NBA Finals Odds 2026: Knicks vs. Spurs Odds To Win Series
NBA Championship Odds
The Miami Heat saw the largest shift, with their championship odds deteriorating significantly as FanDuel moved them from +2000 to +3300 while Kalshi's implied probability plummeted from 11 cents to 3 cents. The Philadelphia 76ers moved sharply in the opposite direction, improving from +2000 to +1000 at FanDuel and gaining 6 percentage points in implied probability across the market. The Golden State Warriors also declined by 2 percentage points, drifting from +4000 to +6000, while the Oklahoma City Thunder and New York Knicks each fell by 1 percentage point over the period.
| # | Team | Best | Kalshi | OG | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma City Thunder 21.0% | +275 BetMGM | 21¢ | — | — | +260 | +275 |
| 2 | San Antonio Spurs 20.0% | +275 BetMGM | 20¢ | — | — | +270 | +275 |
| 3 | Philadelphia 76ers 12.0% | +1,000 FanDuel | 12¢ | — | — | +1,000 | +950 |
| 4 | New York Knicks 7.0% | +900 FanDuel | 7¢ | — | — | +900 | +900 |
| 5 | Boston Celtics 6.0% | +1,400 FanDuel | 6¢ | — | — | +1,400 | +1,400 |
| 6 | Denver Nuggets 4.0% | +2,200 FanDuel | 4¢ | — | — | +2,200 | +2,200 |
| 7 | Detroit Pistons 4.0% | +2,500 FanDuel | 4¢ | — | — | +2,500 | +2,500 |
| 8 | Toronto Raptors 4.0% | +2,500 BetMGM | 4¢ | — | — | +2,000 | +2,500 |
| 9 | Cleveland Cavaliers 3.0% | +2,700 FanDuel | 3¢ | — | — | +2,700 | +2,500 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Lakers 3.0% | +4,500 FanDuel | 3¢ | — | — | +4,500 | +4,000 |
| 11 | Miami Heat 3.0% | +3,300 FanDuel | 3¢ | — | — | +3,300 | +3,000 |
| 12 | Minnesota Timberwolves 3.0% | +2,500 FanDuel | 3¢ | — | — | +2,500 | +2,500 |
| 13 | Golden State Warriors 2.0% | +6,000 BetMGM | 2¢ | — | — | +5,500 | +6,000 |
| 14 | Houston Rockets 2.0% | +6,000 BetMGM | 2¢ | — | — | +4,000 | +6,000 |
| 15 | Indiana Pacers 2.0% | +5,000 BetMGM | 2¢ | — | — | +4,000 | +5,000 |
| 16 | Atlanta Hawks 1.0% | +8,000 BetMGM | 1¢ | — | — | +5,500 | +8,000 |
| 17 | Brooklyn Nets 1.0% | +100,000 BetMGM | 1¢ | — | — | +75,000 | +100,000 |
| 18 | Charlotte Hornets 1.0% | +15,000 BetMGM | 1¢ | — | — | +12,500 | +15,000 |
| 19 | Chicago Bulls 1.0% | +75,000 FanDuel | 1¢ | — | — | +75,000 | +75,000 |
| 20 | Dallas Mavericks 1.0% | +20,000 FanDuel | 1¢ | — | — | +20,000 | +15,000 |
| 21 | Los Angeles Clippers 1.0% | +60,000 FanDuel | 1¢ | — | — | +60,000 | +50,000 |
| 22 | Memphis Grizzlies 1.0% | +75,000 FanDuel | 1¢ | — | — | +75,000 | +75,000 |
| 23 | Milwaukee Bucks 1.0% | +75,000 FanDuel | 1¢ | — | — | +75,000 | +75,000 |
| 24 | New Orleans Pelicans 1.0% | +75,000 FanDuel | 1¢ | — | — | +75,000 | +50,000 |
| 25 | Orlando Magic 1.0% | +8,000 BetMGM | 1¢ | — | — | +6,000 | +8,000 |
| 26 | Phoenix Suns 1.0% | +12,500 FanDuel | 1¢ | — | — | +12,500 | +12,500 |
| 27 | Portland Trail Blazers 1.0% | +8,000 BetMGM | 1¢ | — | — | +6,500 | +8,000 |
| 28 | Sacramento Kings 1.0% | +100,000 BetMGM | 1¢ | — | — | +75,000 | +100,000 |
| 29 | Utah Jazz 1.0% | +20,000 FanDuel | 1¢ | — | — | +20,000 | +20,000 |
| 30 | Washington Wizards 1.0% | +22,500 FanDuel | 1¢ | — | — | +22,500 | +15,000 |
Odds subject to change. Must be 21+ and physically located in a state where betting is legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
2026 NBA Finals · Trends & Edges
New York Knicks vs. San Antonio Spurs — a 1999 rematch
Knicks 3-SEED EAST
Spurs 2-SEED WEST
The angle: New York owns the better offense, but San Antonio is the rarer, more complete champion profile — top-3 defense behind DPOY Wembanyama, balanced on both ends. The series question: can the Knicks’ offense crack the stingiest defense it has faced, while the Spurs attack New York’s weaker end?
Team ratings: 2025-26 regular season (points per 100 possessions). Series prices and OG market values reflect pre-Game-1 snapshots and move. For informational purposes only — not betting advice.
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How to Bet NBA Finals Odds
Betting on the NBA Finals isn’t just about picking the winner; it’s about finding value across different market structures.
Futures Bets (Championship Winner)
This is a “set it and forget it” bet on who will lift the Larry O’Brien Trophy. Because these markets stay open nearly year-round, timing your entry, such as buying the Spurs during the Wemby injury dip, is key to maximizing your payout.
Conference Winner & Series Props
If you aren’t sold on a team winning it all, you can bet on them to win the Western or Eastern Conference. Additionally, sportsbooks offer Series Props, allowing you to bet on the total number of games (e.g., “Over 5.5 games”) or the exact series score.
Prediction Markets vs. Sportsbooks
For a more fluid experience, many bettors are moving toward prediction markets like Kalshi or Polymarket. Unlike traditional sportsbooks that bake in a “vig” (house edge), prediction markets allow you to buy and sell “shares” in a team’s success like a stock. For example, buying OKC at 54¢ means you profit if they win, but you can also sell your position mid-series if you think their momentum is stalling.
NBA Championship Odds History
Understanding historical patterns can help prevent “recency bias” when looking at 2026 lines.
- 2024-25 Season: The OKC Thunder entered the preseason at +240 and eventually won the title. Historically, teams within the top 3 of preseason odds end up winning the championship roughly 70% of the time.
- The “Favorite” Factor: It is rare for a favorite to sit at minus-money (-120) before the Conference Finals begin, highlighting just how much the market trusts this specific OKC roster compared to previous years.
