NFL Public Betting Percentages & Live Betting Splits
NFL public betting percentages show where bettors are putting their tickets and money across every game on the schedule. The CLEATZ live tracker compares Bets % and Handle % for NFL spreads, moneylines, and totals, while also tracking line movement, changes since the opening number, and available Kalshi win probabilities.
Use the board below to see the most-bet NFL teams and totals, the largest gaps between tickets and money, and where betting action has shifted since the market opened. Data updates throughout the week as sportsbooks take more action and NFL lines move toward kickoff.
NFL Public Betting · 2026-27 Season
Select week
Kalshi ▲ Bears Kalshi 39% → 79% Browns @ Bears
- 40% Sat 8/15 · 9:47am
- 39% Fri 8/14 · 9:47am (open)
Kalshi ▲ Bills Kalshi 59% → 86% Panthers @ Bills
- 61% Sat 8/15 · 9:47am
- 60% Fri 8/14 · 9:48pm
- 59% Fri 8/14 · 9:47am (open)
Handle ▲ Saints spread handle 8% → 62% Jaguars @ Saints
- 61% Sat 8/15 · 9:47am
- 8% Fri 8/14 · 9:47am (open)
Handle ▼ Over handle 74% → 47% Browns @ Bears
- 39% Sat 8/15 · 9:47am
- 58% Fri 8/14 · 9:48pm
- 74% Fri 8/14 · 9:47am (open)
Handle ▼ Ravens ML handle 73% → 46% Eagles @ Ravens
- 49% Sat 8/15 · 9:47am
- 67% Fri 8/14 · 9:48pm
- 73% Fri 8/14 · 9:47am (open)
Spread ▼ Giants spread +2.5 → +1.5 Vikings @ Giants
- +1.5 Sat 8/15 · 9:47am
- +2.5 Fri 8/14 · 9:47am (open)
Spread ▼ Chiefs spread -1.5 → -2.5 Rams @ Chiefs
- -2.5 Fri 8/14 · 9:48pm
- -1.5 Fri 8/14 · 9:47am (open)
Handle ▼ Over handle 55% → 37% Vikings @ Giants
- 33% Sat 8/15 · 9:47am
- 37% Fri 8/14 · 9:48pm
- 55% Fri 8/14 · 9:47am (open)
- Eagles -3.5 @ Ravens 95%
- Giants +1.5 vs. Vikings 92%
- Bills -3 vs. Panthers 87%
- Browns -3 @ Bears 80%
- Cowboys +3 @ Seahawks 80%
- Over 35.5 Points Rams @ Chiefs 89%
- Over 36.5 Points Eagles @ Ravens 89%
- Over 38.5 Points Panthers @ Bills 86%
- Over 35.5 Points Jaguars @ Saints 72%
- Under 42.5 Points Vikings @ Giants 63%
- Giants +114 vs. Vikings 90%
- Bills -155 vs. Panthers 84%
- Seahawks -148 vs. Cowboys 70%
- Browns -170 @ Bears 65%
- Chiefs -130 vs. Rams 61%
- Bills vs. Panthers 86%
- Bears vs. Browns 79%
- Eagles @ Ravens 63%
- Vikings @ Giants 59%
- Seahawks vs. Cowboys 59%
| Market | Panthers | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 14% | 86% |
| Polymarket | 32% | 68% |
| Sportsbooks | 42% | 58% |
| Market | Vikings | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 59% | 41% |
| Polymarket | 29% | 71% |
| Sportsbooks | 55% | 45% |
| Market | Browns | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 21% | 79% |
| Polymarket | 41% | 59% |
| Sportsbooks | 60% | 40% |
| Market | Rams | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 46% | 54% |
| Polymarket | 45% | 55% |
| Sportsbooks | 46% | 54% |
| Market | Jaguars | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 43% | 57% |
| Polymarket | 43% | 57% |
| Sportsbooks | 46% | 54% |
| Market | Eagles | Ravens |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 63% | 37% |
| Polymarket | 64% | 36% |
| Sportsbooks | 62% | 38% |
| Market | Cowboys | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 41% | 59% |
| Polymarket | 43% | 57% |
| Sportsbooks | 43% | 57% |
ML ▼ Vikings ML +105 → -118 Packers @ Vikings
- -118 Fri 8/14 · 9:47am
- -105 Thu 8/6 · 9:47pm
- -108 Tue 8/4 · 9:48pm
- -105 Mon 8/3 · 9:48am
- -108 Sun 8/2 · 9:49pm
- -105 Mon 7/27 · 9:48pm
- -108 Wed 7/22 · 9:48pm
- -105 Mon 7/20 · 9:47pm
- -108 Thu 7/16 · 9:48am
- +105 Wed 6/3 · 9:47am (open)
ML ▲ Texans ML -105 → +100 Bills @ Texans
- +100 Thu 8/6 · 9:47pm
- -102 Tue 8/4 · 9:48pm
- +100 Tue 8/4 · 9:47am
- +102 Sun 8/2 · 9:49pm
- +100 Mon 7/20 · 9:47pm
- -108 Fri 7/17 · 9:47pm
- -105 Wed 6/3 · 9:47am (open)
Handle ▲ Steelers spread handle 9% → 95% Falcons @ Steelers
- 95% Fri 8/14 · 9:47am
- 53% Thu 8/13 · 9:47pm
- 52% Thu 8/13 · 9:48am
- 17% Mon 8/10 · 9:48pm
- 15% Sun 8/9 · 9:48am
- 16% Thu 8/6 · 9:47pm
- 17% Wed 7/22 · 9:48pm
- 18% Fri 7/17 · 9:47pm
- 8% Thu 7/16 · 9:48am
- 9% Wed 6/3 · 9:47am (open)
Handle ▲ Over handle 1% → 83% Ravens @ Colts
- 83% Sun 8/9 · 9:48am
- 39% Tue 8/4 · 9:47am
- 43% Mon 8/3 · 9:48am
- 45% Sat 8/1 · 9:48pm
- 22% Thu 7/23 · 9:49am
- 18% Fri 7/17 · 9:47pm
- 19% Thu 7/16 · 9:48am
- 1% Wed 6/3 · 9:47am (open)
Handle ▲ Eagles spread handle 11% → 87% Commanders @ Eagles
- 87% Fri 8/14 · 9:47am
- 85% Thu 8/13 · 9:48am
- 83% Tue 8/11 · 9:48pm
- 82% Mon 8/10 · 9:48pm
- 84% Fri 8/7 · 9:47am
- 62% Thu 8/6 · 9:47am
- 63% Sun 8/2 · 9:49pm
- 52% Sun 8/2 · 9:47am
- 54% Sat 8/1 · 9:48pm
- 53% Mon 7/27 · 9:48pm
- 54% Sun 7/26 · 9:48pm
- 17% Thu 7/23 · 9:47pm
- 18% Wed 7/22 · 9:48pm
- 19% Tue 7/21 · 9:48pm
- 55% Mon 7/20 · 9:47pm
- 59% Fri 7/17 · 9:47pm
- 40% Thu 7/16 · 9:48am
- 11% Wed 6/3 · 9:47am (open)
Handle ▲ Steelers ML handle 14% → 89% Falcons @ Steelers
- 89% Fri 8/14 · 9:47am
- 70% Thu 8/13 · 9:47pm
- 69% Thu 8/13 · 9:48am
- 70% Wed 8/12 · 9:48pm
- 71% Mon 8/10 · 9:48pm
- 72% Sat 8/8 · 9:48am
- 73% Fri 8/7 · 9:48pm
- 74% Thu 8/6 · 9:47pm
- 68% Tue 8/4 · 9:48pm
- 65% Tue 8/4 · 9:47am
- 67% Sat 8/1 · 9:48pm
- 65% Sat 8/1 · 9:48am
- 64% Fri 7/31 · 9:48pm
- 62% Tue 7/28 · 9:48pm
- 63% Mon 7/27 · 9:48pm
- 62% Sun 7/26 · 9:48pm
- 61% Fri 7/24 · 9:48pm
- 63% Fri 7/24 · 9:48am
- 62% Thu 7/23 · 9:47pm
- 63% Wed 7/22 · 9:48pm
- 62% Wed 7/22 · 9:48am
- 58% Tue 7/21 · 9:48pm
- 57% Tue 7/21 · 9:48am
- 49% Mon 7/20 · 9:47pm
- 33% Fri 7/17 · 9:47pm
- 32% Fri 7/17 · 9:47am
- 35% Thu 7/16 · 9:48am
- 14% Wed 6/3 · 9:47am (open)
Handle ▼ Over handle 82% → 7% Packers @ Vikings
- 7% Fri 8/14 · 9:47am
- 6% Sun 8/2 · 9:49pm
- 3% Thu 7/30 · 9:48pm
- 83% Fri 7/17 · 9:47pm
- 100% Thu 7/16 · 9:48am
- 82% Wed 6/3 · 9:47am (open)
Handle ▲ Titans spread handle 11% → 72% Jets @ Titans
- 72% Thu 8/13 · 9:47pm
- 71% Sat 8/1 · 9:48am
- 31% Mon 7/27 · 9:48pm
- 33% Mon 7/27 · 9:48am
- 27% Sat 7/25 · 9:48pm
- 26% Thu 7/23 · 9:47pm
- 25% Sat 7/18 · 9:48pm
- 28% Fri 7/17 · 9:47pm
- 15% Thu 7/16 · 9:48am
- 11% Wed 6/3 · 9:47am (open)
- Raiders -3.5 vs. Dolphins 99%
- Steelers -3 vs. Falcons 95%
- Ravens -3.5 @ Colts 92%
- Cowboys -2.5 @ Giants 92%
- Broncos +3 @ Chiefs 92%
- Under 48.5 Points Cowboys @ Giants 100%
- Under 46.5 Points Cardinals @ Chargers 99%
- Under 47.5 Points Commanders @ Eagles 98%
- Over 46.5 Points Bears @ Panthers 97%
- Under 48.5 Points 49ers @ Rams 93%
- Patriots +154 @ Seahawks 94%
- Jaguars -375 vs. Browns 92%
- Ravens -175 @ Colts 89%
- Steelers -175 vs. Falcons 89%
- Broncos +124 @ Chiefs 88%
- Chargers vs. Cardinals 81%
- Jaguars vs. Browns 76%
- Lions vs. Saints 75%
- Eagles vs. Commanders 67%
- Seahawks vs. Patriots 65%
| Market | Patriots | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 35% | 65% |
| Polymarket | 34% | 66% |
| Sportsbooks | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 49ers | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 35% | 65% |
| Polymarket | 36% | 64% |
| Sportsbooks | 37% | 63% |
| Market | Saints | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 25% | 75% |
| Polymarket | 25% | 75% |
| Sportsbooks | 27% | 73% |
| Market | Browns | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 24% | 76% |
| Polymarket | 25% | 75% |
| Sportsbooks | 24% | 76% |
| Market | Bills | Texans |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 52% | 48% |
| Polymarket | 50% | 50% |
| Sportsbooks | 52% | 48% |
| Market | Bears | Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 58% | 42% |
| Polymarket | 58% | 42% |
| Sportsbooks | 57% | 43% |
| Market | Buccaneers | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 35% | 65% |
| Polymarket | 37% | 63% |
| Sportsbooks | 36% | 64% |
| Market | Ravens | Colts |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 62% | 38% |
| Polymarket | 61% | 39% |
| Sportsbooks | 61% | 39% |
| Market | Falcons | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 40% | 60% |
| Polymarket | 40% | 60% |
| Sportsbooks | 39% | 61% |
| Market | Jets | Titans |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 44% | 56% |
| Polymarket | 42% | 58% |
| Sportsbooks | 43% | 57% |
| Market | Cardinals | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 19% | 81% |
| Polymarket | 20% | 80% |
| Sportsbooks | 19% | 81% |
| Market | Commanders | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 33% | 67% |
| Polymarket | 32% | 68% |
| Sportsbooks | 34% | 66% |
| Market | Packers | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 48% | 52% |
| Polymarket | 48% | 52% |
| Sportsbooks | 48% | 52% |
| Market | Dolphins | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 35% | 65% |
| Polymarket | 36% | 64% |
| Sportsbooks | 37% | 63% |
| Market | Cowboys | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 57% | 43% |
| Polymarket | 59% | 41% |
| Sportsbooks | 57% | 43% |
| Market | Broncos | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 43% | 57% |
| Polymarket | 43% | 57% |
| Sportsbooks | 43% | 57% |
Splits via cleatz.com. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How to Read NFL Public Betting Percentages
NFL betting splits show how wagering activity is distributed across each side of a market.
The two numbers to understand are Bets % and Handle %.
Bets %, sometimes called ticket percentage, measures the share of individual wagers placed on a side.
Handle %, or money percentage, measures the share of total dollars wagered on that side.
Those numbers become more useful when viewed together.
If a team has 75% of the bets and 75% of the money, both ticket count and dollars are heavily concentrated on that side.
If a team has only 35% of the bets but 65% of the handle, fewer wagers are backing that team but those wagers are larger on average.
That does not prove professional bettors are responsible for the difference. It does tell you that bet count and wager size are telling different stories, which makes the matchup worth investigating further.
What Does Bets % Mean?
Bets % represents the percentage of tracked wagers placed on a particular side.
For example, if the Bills have 70% of spread bets against the Dolphins, approximately seven out of every 10 tracked spread tickets are backing Buffalo.
The team with the higher percentage is commonly referred to as the public side or consensus side.
CLEATZ displays ticket percentages separately for:
- point spreads;
- moneylines; and
- game totals.
The percentages should be treated as a snapshot of the tracked betting market rather than a prediction of which side will win.
What Does Handle % Mean?
Handle % measures where the actual dollars are being wagered.
Suppose one team receives:
35% of bets
65% of handle
The bets on that team are larger on average than the wagers placed on its opponent.
That disparity is sometimes used as a possible signal of larger or more sophisticated wagers, but handle percentage does not identify individual bettors. One unusually large wager can also have a significant effect, particularly early in the betting cycle when the number of tickets is still small.
The closer kickoff gets and the more betting volume enters a market, the more context the percentages generally provide.
What Is a Bets vs. Money Discrepancy?
The difference between ticket percentage and handle percentage is one of the quickest ways to find unusual NFL betting splits.
Consider two examples.
Team A
- 78% of bets
- 80% of money
There is little disagreement between the two measurements. Team A is simply a heavily backed side.
Team B
- 32% of bets
- 67% of money
That is much more interesting. Most tickets are on Team B’s opponent, but most of the dollars are backing Team B.
CLEATZ makes these differences visible across spreads, totals and moneylines so they can be compared with actual line movement.
The discrepancy itself is not a bet recommendation. It is a market signal that deserves context.
NFL Line Movement: Why the Opening Number Matters
Current public betting percentages become more useful when you know where the market started.
That’s why the CLEATZ NFL betting tracker includes Moves Since Open.
A point spread moving from -2.5 to -3.5 is telling you something different from a spread that has remained at -3 all week — even if the current public percentages look identical.
CLEATZ tracks changes in:
- point spreads;
- totals;
- moneyline odds; and
- betting handle.
This allows you to see not only where bettors are positioned now, but how the market arrived there.
For the latest prices across the full schedule, compare the public betting data with the CLEATZ NFL Lines page.
What Is Reverse Line Movement?
Reverse line movement, often shortened to RLM, occurs when an NFL line moves against the side receiving the majority of tracked bets.
For example:
A favorite opens at -4.
The favorite receives 75% of spread tickets.
But instead of moving to -4.5 or -5, the market falls to -3.5.
That is reverse line movement because the number moved toward the less-popular underdog despite most tracked wagers backing the favorite.
RLM can indicate that larger wagers, influential market activity or action elsewhere in the sportsbook market are affecting the price.
It should not automatically be labeled “sharp money.” Sportsbook prices can move for many reasons, including injuries, lineup news, weather, market-making activity and changes at other sportsbooks.
The strongest approach is to evaluate public percentages and line movement together.
NFL Spread Public Betting
The point spread is one of the most closely watched sections of the NFL public betting market.
For each matchup, CLEATZ shows the current spread alongside the percentage of bets and money backing each team.
A heavily backed favorite is easy to identify, but the more interesting situations often occur when:
- a team has substantially more money than tickets;
- the unpopular team is attracting the majority of the handle;
- the spread has moved against the public side; or
- the line has moved significantly since opening.
Instead of treating a 70% or 80% public side as an automatic fade, use the percentage as one part of the overall market picture.
NFL Moneyline Public Betting
Moneyline betting removes the point spread and asks only which team will win the game.
The CLEATZ board displays both moneyline odds and public betting splits, making it possible to compare the popularity of each team with the price bettors are currently receiving.
Moneyline splits can behave differently from spread splits.
A favorite may attract most spread bets while an underdog draws more moneyline interest because of the larger plus-money payout. Conversely, bettors may prefer laying the moneyline with a strong favorite rather than asking that team to cover a large spread.
Comparing the two markets can reveal how differently bettors are approaching the same matchup.
NFL Over/Under Public Betting
NFL totals measure whether the combined score will finish above or below the sportsbook’s posted number.
CLEATZ tracks Over and Under ticket percentages, handle percentages and total movement.
One of the most useful combinations to watch is public action alongside a changing total.
For example, if a majority of tickets are on the Over while the total is falling, the price movement conflicts with the public consensus and deserves a closer look.
Weather can also become a major factor in NFL totals, particularly when wind, rain, snow or extreme cold develops closer to kickoff.
Use the CLEATZ NFL Weather Report alongside totals betting splits to see which games may be affected by the forecast.
What Does “Moves Since Open” Show?
The Moves Since Open section highlights the biggest changes since CLEATZ first captured a market.
Those changes can include:
- spread movement;
- total movement;
- moneyline movement;
- spread handle changes;
- moneyline handle changes; and
- total handle changes.
This is different from simply looking at today’s percentages.
A team sitting at 60% of the handle today could have opened at 25%, meaning money has moved strongly toward that side. Another team sitting at the same 60% may have been there all week.
The current number tells you where the market is.
Moves Since Open helps tell you where it has been.
Most Bet NFL Games This Week
CLEATZ automatically ranks the most heavily backed markets for each NFL week.
The weekly board highlights the:
Most Bet Spread — the team receiving the largest share of spread tickets.
Most Bet Total — the Over or Under attracting the greatest ticket concentration.
Most Bet Moneyline — the team with the strongest moneyline consensus.
These rankings provide a quick way to find the most lopsided NFL public betting positions without manually reviewing every matchup on the slate.
Extreme percentages deserve additional context, especially early in the week when betting volume may still be limited.
Kalshi NFL Win Probabilities
Where available, CLEATZ also displays Kalshi win probabilities alongside traditional sportsbook moneylines and public betting data.
Prediction markets express prices as probabilities rather than traditional American sportsbook odds.
A team trading at 62% on Kalshi is being priced by that market at approximately a 62% chance of winning.
This creates another useful comparison.
The sportsbook moneyline represents one view of the matchup. Public betting percentages show how sportsbook customers are positioned. Kalshi provides a market-driven probability from a separate trading venue.
When those signals broadly agree, the market is telling a consistent story.
When they separate, the disagreement can be more useful than the consensus.
How Should You Use NFL Public Betting Data?
Public betting percentages work best as context, not picks.
A useful NFL market workflow is:
- Check the current spread, moneyline and total.
- Compare Bets % with Handle %.
- Look for unusually large discrepancies.
- Check how the line and handle have moved since open.
- Compare the sportsbook market with Kalshi when available.
- Review injuries, weather and matchup information.
- Compare the current number across sportsbooks before making a decision.
No individual betting split tells you what will happen on Sunday.
The value of the CLEATZ tool is that it puts several pieces of market information in one place, making it easier to identify where the crowd is concentrated, where larger wagers are landing and where the market itself is moving.
NFL Public Betting FAQ
“Fading the Public” is a contrarian sports betting strategy where you bet against the majority of the public. The logic is that sportsbooks often adjust lines to balance their risk against heavy public sentiment, creating inflated value on the unpopular side. When 80% of tickets are on one team, “fading” means betting on the opponent to align with the “House” or sharp money.
Yes, but it is important to understand what it measures. Public betting data accurately reflects market sentiment (who the majority of fans are picking), not necessarily the outcome of the game. For the most accurate picture, compare the Ticket Percentage (number of bets) against the Handle Percentage (total money wagered) to see where the high-volume professional bettors are placing their money.
Cleatz aggregates real-time betting trends from a major regulated U.S. sportsbook.
NFL public betting percentages show the distribution of wagers across the betting public. “Ticket %” refers to the number of individual bets, while “Handle %” refers to the total amount of money wagered. They help bettors see where the “herd” is going versus where the large, professional bets are being placed.
The NFL has much higher betting volume per game than any other sport. Because there are fewer games, every matchup is heavily analyzed, making the lines more “efficient” and making the gap between public tickets and sharp money much more significant to track.
Handle % is the percentage of the total money wagered on a specific side. A team with a low ticket count but a high handle % is a classic sign of “sharp” action—meaning fewer people are betting on them, but they are betting much larger amounts of money.
Reverse line movement occurs when the point spread moves in the opposite direction of the public betting majority. If 75% of the public bets on the favorite, but the spread gets smaller (e.g., moves from -7 to -6), it indicates that professional bettors have placed large enough wagers on the underdog to force the book to adjust.
Primetime games (Thursday, Sunday, and Monday night) see much more public action than afternoon games. Because casual bettors want “skin in the game” for the only match on TV, these lines are often the most lopsided and frequently see the most “shaded” lines from sportsbooks.
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More NFL Betting Data
Continue your NFL research with:
NFL Lines — Compare current spreads, moneylines and totals.
NFL Picks — Data-driven matchup analysis and betting angles.
NFL Weather — Monitor wind, rain, snow and game-day conditions.
Super Bowl Odds — Track championship futures throughout the season.
Jason Ziernicki is the founder of CLEATZ, where he analyzes sports betting data, public betting percentages, alt-line trends, and prediction markets across the NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports.
He is based in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where he routinely trades on Kalshi each month, hoping to win on weather markets like snowfall, as well as sports and politics.
His work focuses on turning sportsbook data and betting market trends into actionable insights for bettors/traders.