NFL Public Betting Splits: Bets, Handle & Money Percentages
Live NFL public betting percentages for today, Saturday, September 05, 2026, show where bettors are putting their tickets and money on every spread, moneyline, and total. CLEATZ refreshes the board every five minutes, tracking how NFL betting splits and lines have moved since opening.
Use the board below to find the most-bet NFL teams and totals, the largest gaps between bet percentage and handle percentage, and the biggest shifts in betting action. Data updates throughout the week as sportsbook volume and prediction-market activity increase ahead of kickoff.
How to Read NFL Betting Splits
Compare bets percentage, handle percentage, and Sharp Signals to see where the public is betting—and where larger wagers may disagree with the crowd.
Handle %
Percentage of total dollars wagered on an NFL side. This measures the money, not the number of bets.
Bets %
Percentage of individual betting tickets on an NFL side, regardless of how much money each bettor wagered.
Sharp Signal
Flags a meaningful gap where Handle % exceeds Bets %, suggesting a larger average wager on that side.
Example An NFL favorite with 78% of handle but only 45% of bets creates a 33-point gap and triggers a Sharp Signal.
2026 NFL Public Betting Splits — Week 1
Kalshi ▼ Titans Kalshi 59% → 52% Jets @ Titans
- 52% Fri 9/4 · 9:48pm
- 53% Thu 9/3 · 9:48am
- 54% Wed 9/2 · 9:47pm
- 55% Tue 9/1 · 9:47am
- 56% Sun 8/30 · 9:47pm
- 57% Tue 8/25 · 9:48am
- 58% Sat 8/22 · 9:49pm
- 57% Wed 8/19 · 9:47am
- 56% Tue 8/11 · 9:48pm
- 57% Tue 8/11 · 9:47am
- 56% Fri 8/7 · 9:47am
- 55% Thu 8/6 · 9:47pm
- 56% Wed 8/5 · 9:48pm
- 55% Wed 8/5 · 9:48am
- 56% Tue 8/4 · 9:48pm
- 55% Tue 8/4 · 9:47am
- 56% Mon 8/3 · 9:48am
- 57% Sun 8/2 · 9:47am
- 56% Sat 8/1 · 9:48pm
- 55% Thu 7/30 · 9:47am
- 56% Mon 7/27 · 9:48pm
- 57% Wed 7/22 · 9:48am
- 58% Tue 7/21 · 9:48pm
- 57% Thu 7/16 · 9:48am
- 59% Wed 6/3 · 9:47am (open)
Spread ▲ Vikings spread +1.5 → -1.5 Packers @ Vikings
- -1.5 Fri 8/14 · 9:47am
- +1.5 Wed 6/3 · 9:47am (open)
Kalshi ▼ Seahawks Kalshi 67% → 62% Patriots @ Seahawks
- 62% Fri 9/4 · 9:48pm
- 63% Fri 9/4 · 9:48am
- 62% Sun 8/30 · 9:47pm
- 61% Sun 8/30 · 9:48am
- 62% Mon 8/24 · 9:48pm
- 63% Sun 8/23 · 9:47am
- 64% Sun 8/16 · 9:48am
- 65% Thu 8/13 · 9:47pm
- 64% Thu 8/13 · 9:48am
- 65% Wed 8/12 · 9:48pm
- 64% Wed 8/12 · 9:47am
- 65% Tue 8/11 · 9:48pm
- 64% Sun 8/9 · 9:48am
- 65% Sat 8/8 · 9:48am
- 64% Fri 8/7 · 9:48pm
- 65% Thu 8/6 · 9:47pm
- 64% Wed 8/5 · 9:48am
- 65% Tue 8/4 · 9:47am
- 64% Mon 8/3 · 9:48am
- 65% Sun 8/2 · 9:47am
- 64% Sat 8/1 · 9:48pm
- 65% Fri 7/31 · 9:48pm
- 64% Fri 7/31 · 9:48am
- 65% Thu 7/16 · 9:48am
- 67% Wed 6/3 · 9:47am (open)
Total ▲ Total 44.5 → 47.5 Bears @ Panthers
- +47.5 Tue 8/18 · 9:47pm
- +46.5 Fri 7/31 · 9:48pm
- +44.5 Wed 6/3 · 9:47am (open)
Handle ▲ Eagles spread handle 11% → 94% 83pp Commanders @ Eagles
- 94% Fri 9/4 · 9:48pm
- 93% Fri 9/4 · 9:48am
- 94% Thu 9/3 · 9:48pm
- 93% Thu 9/3 · 9:48am
- 92% Tue 9/1 · 9:48pm
- 91% Mon 8/31 · 9:47pm
- 87% Sun 8/30 · 9:47pm
- 86% Sat 8/29 · 9:48am
- 87% Fri 8/28 · 9:48pm
- 83% Fri 8/28 · 9:47am
- 88% Mon 8/24 · 9:48pm
- 87% Sat 8/22 · 9:49pm
- 86% Sun 8/16 · 9:48pm
- 88% Sun 8/16 · 9:48am
- 87% Fri 8/14 · 9:47am
- 85% Thu 8/13 · 9:48am
- 83% Tue 8/11 · 9:48pm
- 82% Mon 8/10 · 9:48pm
- 84% Fri 8/7 · 9:47am
- 62% Thu 8/6 · 9:47am
- 63% Sun 8/2 · 9:49pm
- 52% Sun 8/2 · 9:47am
- 54% Sat 8/1 · 9:48pm
- 53% Wed 7/29 · 9:48pm
- 40% Thu 7/16 · 9:48am
- 11% Wed 6/3 · 9:47am (open)
Handle ▲ Steelers spread handle 9% → 86% 77pp Falcons @ Steelers
- 86% Thu 9/3 · 9:48am
- 85% Wed 9/2 · 9:47am
- 86% Tue 9/1 · 9:48pm
- 83% Mon 8/31 · 9:47pm
- 82% Fri 8/28 · 9:47am
- 85% Wed 8/26 · 9:47pm
- 82% Tue 8/25 · 9:48pm
- 89% Sun 8/23 · 9:47pm
- 90% Thu 8/20 · 9:48am
- 91% Wed 8/19 · 9:48pm
- 92% Tue 8/18 · 9:47pm
- 91% Mon 8/17 · 9:47am
- 95% Fri 8/14 · 9:47am
- 53% Thu 8/13 · 9:47pm
- 52% Thu 8/13 · 9:48am
- 17% Mon 8/10 · 9:48pm
- 15% Sun 8/9 · 9:48am
- 16% Thu 8/6 · 9:47pm
- 17% Thu 7/23 · 9:49am
- 8% Thu 7/16 · 9:48am
- 9% Wed 6/3 · 9:47am (open)
Handle ▲ Over handle 10% → 78% 68pp Patriots @ Seahawks
- 78% Fri 9/4 · 9:48pm
- 71% Fri 9/4 · 9:48am
- 72% Thu 9/3 · 9:48pm
- 71% Thu 9/3 · 9:48am
- 79% Wed 9/2 · 9:47pm
- 77% Wed 9/2 · 9:47am
- 78% Tue 9/1 · 9:48pm
- 77% Sun 8/30 · 9:47pm
- 54% Sun 8/30 · 9:48am
- 42% Sat 8/29 · 9:48pm
- 41% Fri 8/28 · 9:47am
- 16% Tue 8/25 · 9:48pm
- 19% Sun 8/23 · 9:47pm
- 18% Tue 8/18 · 9:47pm
- 16% Mon 8/17 · 9:47am
- 15% Sun 8/16 · 9:48pm
- 19% Sun 8/16 · 9:48am
- 35% Mon 8/10 · 9:48pm
- 53% Fri 8/7 · 9:47am
- 54% Thu 8/6 · 9:47pm
- 58% Wed 8/5 · 9:48am
- 78% Thu 7/30 · 9:48pm
- 90% Thu 7/16 · 9:48am
- 10% Wed 6/3 · 9:47am (open)
Handle ▼ Over handle 82% → 14% 68pp Packers @ Vikings
- 14% Fri 9/4 · 9:48pm
- 13% Thu 9/3 · 9:48am
- 12% Tue 9/1 · 9:47am
- 11% Sun 8/30 · 9:47pm
- 8% Sat 8/29 · 9:48am
- 7% Fri 8/14 · 9:47am
- 6% Sun 8/2 · 9:49pm
- 3% Thu 7/30 · 9:48pm
- 83% Tue 7/21 · 9:48pm
- 100% Thu 7/16 · 9:48am
- 82% Wed 6/3 · 9:47am (open)
- Raiders -3.5 vs. Dolphins 96%
- Eagles -5.5 vs. Commanders 94%
- Cowboys -2.5 @ Giants 93%
- Jaguars -7.5 vs. Browns 91%
- Broncos +3 @ Chiefs 91%
- Bears -2.5 @ Panthers 88%
- Lions -7 vs. Saints 87%
- Steelers -3.5 vs. Falcons 86%
- Rams -3.5 vs. 49ers 77%
- Bills -1.5 @ Texans 73%
- Over 47.5 Points Bears @ Panthers 95%
- Under 46.5 Points Cardinals @ Chargers 94%
- Under 48.5 Points 49ers @ Rams 88%
- Under 46.5 Points Packers @ Vikings 86%
- Over 49.5 Points Saints @ Lions 84%
- Under 44.5 Points Commanders @ Eagles 83%
- Over 44.5 Points Patriots @ Seahawks 78%
- Under 42.5 Points Falcons @ Steelers 78%
- Over 38.5 Points Jets @ Titans 78%
- Under 44.5 Points Bills @ Texans 71%
- Jaguars -410 vs. Browns 91%
- Lions -310 vs. Saints 90%
- Eagles -218 vs. Commanders 89%
- Ravens -175 @ Colts 84%
- Rams -198 vs. 49ers 79%
- Cowboys -148 @ Giants 79%
- Broncos +124 @ Chiefs 79%
- Steelers -185 vs. Falcons 75%
- Vikings -122 vs. Packers 75%
- Bears -148 @ Panthers 73%
- Chargers vs. Cardinals 81%
- Jaguars vs. Browns 78%
- Lions vs. Saints 74%
- Eagles vs. Commanders 68%
- Bengals vs. Buccaneers 65%
| Market | Patriots | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 38% | 62% |
| Polymarket | 37% | 63% |
| Book | 38% | 62% |
| Novig | 36% | 64% |
| ProphetX | 37% | 63% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 44.00 |
|---|---|---|
| Spread Seattle | Kalshi | −3.4 |
| To score a TD Kalshi | Market | Book | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Price | 36.5% | 39.5% | −3.0 |
| A. Brown | 31.5% | 33.9% | −2.4 |
| G. Holani | 28.5% | 31.6% | −3.1 |
| Passing yards Kalshi | Market | Book | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Darnold | 226.5 | 228.5 | −2.0 |
| D. Maye | 226.4 | 227.5 | −1.1 |
| Passing TDs Kalshi | Market | Book | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Maye | 1.2 | 1.5 | −0.3 |
| Rushing yards Kalshi | Market | Book | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Price | 51.3 | 51.5 | −0.2 |
| R. Stevenson | 42.0 | 42.5 | −0.5 |
| Receiving yards Kalshi | Market | Book | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Brown | 60.5 | 60.5 | −0.0 |
| C. Kupp | 32.0 | 30.5 | +1.5 |
| A. Barner | 25.5 | 25.5 | −0.0 |
| Market | 49ers | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 36% | 64% |
| Polymarket | 36% | 64% |
| Book | 36% | 64% |
| Novig | 35% | 65% |
| ProphetX | 36% | 64% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 47.80 |
|---|---|---|
| Spread Los Angeles R | Kalshi | −3.6 |
| To score a TD Kalshi | Market | Book | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. McCaffrey | 56.5% | 54.1% | +2.4 |
| P. Nacua | 40.5% | 40.1% | +0.4 |
| B. Corum | 34.5% | 36.1% | −1.6 |
| Passing TDs Kalshi | Market | Book | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Stafford | 1.9 | 1.5 | +0.4 |
| B. Purdy | 1.4 | 1.5 | −0.1 |
| Receiving yards Kalshi | Market | Book | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. McCaffrey | 40.1 | 37.5 | +2.6 |
| Market | Saints | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 26% | 74% |
| Polymarket | 26% | 74% |
| Book | 27% | 73% |
| Novig | 26% | 74% |
| ProphetX | 26% | 74% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 50.13 |
|---|---|---|
| Spread Detroit | Kalshi | −7.0 |
| Market | Browns | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 22% | 78% |
| Polymarket | 22% | 78% |
| Book | 23% | 77% |
| Novig | 22% | 78% |
| ProphetX | 23% | 77% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 40.32 |
|---|---|---|
| Total points | Polymarket | 40.50 |
| Exchanges | agree | |
| Spread Jacksonville | Kalshi | −8.0 |
| Market | Bears | Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 59% | 41% |
| Polymarket | 60% | 40% |
| Book | 57% | 43% |
| Novig | 59% | 41% |
| ProphetX | 59% | 41% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 47.32 |
|---|---|---|
| Spread Chicago | Kalshi | −2.8 |
| Market | Ravens | Colts |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 63% | 37% |
| Polymarket | 62% | 38% |
| Book | 61% | 39% |
| Novig | 62% | 38% |
| ProphetX | 62% | 38% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 47.75 |
|---|---|---|
| Total points | Polymarket | 47.75 |
| Exchanges | agree | |
| Spread Baltimore | Kalshi | −3.4 |
| Market | Bills | Texans |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 50% | 50% |
| Polymarket | 50% | 50% |
| Book | 52% | 48% |
| Novig | 50% | 50% |
| ProphetX | 50% | 50% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 44.23 |
|---|
| Passing yards Kalshi | Market | Book | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Allen | 222.7 | 220.5 | +2.2 |
| Passing TDs Kalshi | Market | Book | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Allen | 1.1 | 1.5 | −0.4 |
| Market | Buccaneers | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 35% | 65% |
| Polymarket | 35% | 65% |
| Book | 36% | 64% |
| Novig | 35% | 65% |
| ProphetX | 35% | 65% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 50.20 |
|---|---|---|
| Total points | Polymarket | 50.50 |
| Exchanges | agree | |
| Spread Cincinnati | Kalshi | −3.8 |
| Market | Falcons | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 37% | 63% |
| Polymarket | 37% | 63% |
| Book | 38% | 62% |
| Novig | 38% | 62% |
| ProphetX | 38% | 62% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 41.70 |
|---|---|---|
| Spread Pittsburgh | Kalshi | −3.3 |
| Market | Jets | Titans |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 48% | 52% |
| Polymarket | 47% | 53% |
| Book | 46% | 54% |
| Novig | 48% | 52% |
| ProphetX | 47% | 53% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 39.07 |
|---|
| Market | Cardinals | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 19% | 81% |
| Polymarket | 19% | 81% |
| Book | 18% | 82% |
| Novig | 17% | 83% |
| ProphetX | 19% | 81% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 47.00 |
|---|---|---|
| Spread Los Angeles C | Kalshi | −9.9 |
| Market | Commanders | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 32% | 68% |
| Polymarket | 31% | 69% |
| Book | 34% | 66% |
| Novig | 33% | 67% |
| ProphetX | 32% | 68% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 44.34 |
|---|---|---|
| Total points | Polymarket | 44.50 |
| Exchanges | agree | |
| Spread Philadelphia | Kalshi | −4.9 |
| Passing yards Kalshi | Market | Book | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hurts | 215.6 | 213.5 | +2.1 |
| Market | Dolphins | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 38% | 62% |
| Polymarket | 38% | 62% |
| Book | 36% | 64% |
| Novig | 37% | 63% |
| ProphetX | 37% | 63% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 40.50 |
|---|---|---|
| Spread Las Vegas | Kalshi | −3.3 |
| Passing yards Kalshi | Market | Book | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Willis | 188.1 | 180.5 | +7.6 |
| Market | Packers | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 47% | 53% |
| Polymarket | 47% | 53% |
| Book | 47% | 53% |
| Novig | 46% | 54% |
| ProphetX | 48% | 52% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 46.21 |
|---|
| Passing yards Kalshi | Market | Book | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Murray | 227.4 | 222.5 | +4.9 |
| Market | Cowboys | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 60% | 40% |
| Polymarket | 60% | 40% |
| Book | 57% | 43% |
| Novig | 60% | 40% |
| ProphetX | 59% | 41% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 48.30 |
|---|---|---|
| Spread Dallas | Kalshi | −3.0 |
| Passing yards Kalshi | Market | Book | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Prescott | 263.7 | 260.5 | +3.2 |
| Market | Broncos | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 44% | 56% |
| Polymarket | 44% | 56% |
| Book | 43% | 57% |
| Novig | 44% | 56% |
| ProphetX | 43% | 57% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 43.00 |
|---|---|---|
| Spread Kansas City | Kalshi | −2.6 |
Splits via cleatz.com. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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*Kalshi Disclaimer: Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it’s appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Prices may not be live and are subject to change. See http://kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Federally regulated event contract exchange. Users over the age of 18 can register and trade.
Most Bet Games for NFL Week 1
Spread Leaders
The most bet spreads for Week 1 are Jaguars -7.5 vs. Browns and Raiders -3.5 vs. Dolphins, both pulling 96% of spread action. Broncos +3 at Chiefs is next at 94%, followed by Cowboys -2.5 at the Giants at 93%, and Eagles -4.5 vs. Commanders at 91%.
Moneyline Leaders
The Jaguars also top the moneyline board, taking 94% of ML action at -395 vs. Cleveland. The Lions are next at 92% vs. the Saints, with the Eagles at 89% vs. Washington. Ravens -175 at the Colts comes in at 82%, and Vikings -118 vs. the Packers rounds out the top five at 80%.
Most Bet Totals
On totals, the public is leaning highest on Bears at Panthers Over 47.5, which is getting 91% of action. Then it shifts heavily toward unders: 49ers at Rams Under 48.5 and Packers at Vikings Under 45.5 are both at 88%, while Commanders at Eagles Under 45.5 is at 85%, and Falcons at Steelers Under 41.5 is at 84%.
Kalshi win market
Kalshi’s highest win percentages are led by the Chargers vs. Cardinals at 81%. Jaguars vs. Browns is next at 77%, followed by Lions vs. Saints at 73%, Eagles vs. Commanders at 68%, and Bengals vs. Buccaneers at 66%.
TLDR
The Jaguars are the clearest public team on the Week 1 board, showing up at the top of both spread and moneyline betting. The Eagles also show up across multiple categories, while the totals board is a mix of one strong over and several popular unders. Kalshi’s strongest market lean is on the Chargers, with Jacksonville and Detroit also standing out.
How to Read NFL Public Betting Percentages
NFL betting splits show how wagering activity is distributed across the market’s sides.
The two numbers to understand are Bets % and Handle %.
Bets %, sometimes called ticket percentage, measures the share of individual wagers placed on a side.
Handle %, or money percentage, measures the share of total dollars wagered on that side.
Those numbers become more useful when viewed together.
If a team has 75% of the bets and 75% of the money, both ticket count and dollars are heavily concentrated on that side.
If a team has only 35% of the bets but 65% of the handle, fewer wagers are backing that team, but those wagers are larger on average.
That does not prove professional bettors are responsible for the difference. It does tell you that bet count and wager size are telling different stories, which makes the matchup worth investigating further.
What Does Bets % Mean?
Bets % represents the percentage of tracked wagers placed on a particular side.
For example, if the Bills have 70% of spread bets against the Dolphins, approximately seven out of every 10 tracked spread tickets are backing Buffalo.
The team with the higher percentage is commonly referred to as the public side or consensus side.
CLEATZ displays ticket percentages separately for:
- Point spreads
- Moneylines
- Game totals
The percentages should be treated as a snapshot of the tracked betting market rather than a prediction of which side will win.
What Does Handle % Mean?
Handle % measures where the actual dollars are being wagered.
Suppose one team receives:
35% of bets
65% of handle
The bets on that team are larger on average than the wagers placed on its opponent.
That disparity is sometimes used as a possible signal of larger or more sophisticated wagers, but handle percentage does not identify individual bettors. One unusually large wager can also have a significant effect, particularly early in the betting cycle when the number of tickets is still small.
The closer kickoff gets, and the more betting volume enters a market, the more context the percentages generally provide.
What Is a Bets vs. Money Discrepancy?
The difference between ticket percentage and handle percentage is one of the quickest ways to find unusual NFL betting splits.
Consider two examples.
Team A
- 78% of bets
- 80% of money
There is little disagreement between the two measurements. Team A is simply a heavily backed side.
Team B
- 32% of bets
- 67% of money
That is much more interesting. Most tickets are on Team B’s opponent, but most of the dollars are backing Team B.
CLEATZ makes these differences visible across spreads, totals and moneylines so they can be compared with actual line movement.
The discrepancy itself is not a bet recommendation. It is a market signal that deserves context.
NFL Line Movement: Why the Opening Number Matters
Current public betting percentages become more useful when you know where the market started.
That’s why the CLEATZ NFL betting tracker includes Moves Since Open.
A point spread moving from -2.5 to -3.5 is telling you something different from a spread that has remained at -3 all week, even if the current public percentages look identical.
CLEATZ tracks changes in:
- Point spreads
- Totals
- Moneyline odds
- Betting handle
This allows you to see not only where bettors are positioned now, but how the market arrived there.
For the latest prices across the full schedule, compare the public betting data with the CLEATZ NFL Lines page.
What Is Reverse Line Movement?
Reverse line movement, often shortened to RLM, occurs when an NFL line moves against the side receiving the majority of tracked bets.
For example:
A favorite opens at -4.
The favorite receives 75% of spread tickets.
But instead of moving to -4.5 or -5, the market falls to -3.5.
That is reverse line movement because the number moved toward the less-popular underdog despite most tracked wagers backing the favorite.
RLM can indicate that larger wagers, influential market activity or action elsewhere in the sportsbook market are affecting the price.
It should not automatically be labeled “sharp money.” Sportsbook prices can move for many reasons, including injuries, lineup news, weather, market-making activity and changes at other sportsbooks.
The strongest approach is to evaluate public percentages and line movement together.
NFL Spread Public Betting
The point spread is one of the most closely watched sections of the NFL public betting market.
For each matchup, CLEATZ shows the current spread alongside the percentage of bets and money backing each team.
A heavily backed favorite is easy to identify, but the more interesting situations often occur when:
- A team has substantially more money than tickets
- The unpopular team is attracting the majority of the handle
- The spread has moved against the public side
- The line has moved significantly since opening
Instead of treating a 70% or 80% public side as an automatic fade, use the percentage as one part of the overall market picture.
NFL Moneyline Public Betting
Moneyline betting removes the point spread and asks only which team will win the game.
The CLEATZ board displays both moneyline odds and public betting splits, making it possible to compare the popularity of each team with the price bettors are currently receiving.
Moneyline splits can behave differently from spread splits.
A favorite may attract most spread bets while an underdog draws more moneyline interest because of the larger plus-money payout. Conversely, bettors may prefer laying the moneyline with a strong favorite rather than asking that team to cover a large spread.
Comparing the two markets can reveal how differently bettors are approaching the same matchup.
NFL Over/Under Public Betting
NFL totals measure whether the combined score will finish above or below the sportsbook’s posted number.
CLEATZ tracks Over and Under ticket percentages, handle percentages and total movement.
One of the most useful combinations to watch is public action alongside a changing total.
For example, if a majority of tickets are on the Over while the total is falling, the price movement conflicts with the public consensus and deserves a closer look.
Weather can also become a major factor in NFL totals, particularly when wind, rain, snow or extreme cold develops closer to kickoff.
Use the CLEATZ NFL Weather Report alongside totals betting splits to see which games may be affected by the forecast.
What Does “Moves Since Open” Show?
The Moves Since Open section highlights the biggest changes since CLEATZ first captured a market.
Those changes can include:
- Spread movement
- Total movement
- Moneyline movement;
- Spread handle changes
- Moneyline handle changes
- Total handle changes
This is different from simply looking at today’s percentages.
A team sitting at 60% of the handle today could have opened at 25%, meaning money has moved strongly toward that side. Another team sitting at the same 60% may have been there all week.
The current number tells you where the market is.
Moves Since Open helps tell you where it has been.
Kalshi NFL Win Probabilities
Where available, CLEATZ also displays Kalshi win probabilities alongside traditional sportsbook moneylines and public betting data.
Prediction markets express prices as probabilities rather than traditional American sportsbook odds.
A team trading at 62% on Kalshi is being priced by that market at approximately a 62% chance of winning.
This creates another useful comparison.
The sportsbook moneyline represents one view of the matchup. Public betting percentages show how sportsbook customers are positioned. Kalshi provides a market-driven probability from a separate trading venue.
When those signals broadly agree, the market is telling a consistent story.
When they separate, the disagreement can be more useful than the consensus.
How Should You Use NFL Public Betting Data?
Public betting percentages work best as context, not picks.
A useful NFL market workflow is:
- Check the current spread, moneyline, and total.
- Compare Bets % with Handle %.
- Look for unusually large discrepancies.
- Check how the line and handle have moved since open.
- Compare the sportsbook market with Kalshi when available.
- Review injuries, weather, and matchup information.
- Compare the current number across sportsbooks before making a decision.
No individual betting split tells you what will happen on Sunday.
The value of the CLEATZ tool is that it puts several pieces of market information in one place, making it easier to identify where the crowd is concentrated, where larger wagers are landing and where the market itself is moving.
NFL Public Betting FAQ
“Fading the Public” is a contrarian sports betting strategy where you bet against the majority of the public. The logic is that sportsbooks often adjust lines to balance their risk against heavy public sentiment, creating inflated value on the unpopular side. When 80% of tickets are on one team, “fading” means betting on the opponent to align with the “House” or sharp money.
Yes, but it is important to understand what it measures. Public betting data accurately reflects market sentiment (who the majority of fans are picking), not necessarily the outcome of the game. For the most accurate picture, compare the Ticket Percentage (number of bets) against the Handle Percentage (total money wagered) to see where the high-volume professional bettors are placing their money.
Cleatz aggregates real-time betting trends from a major regulated U.S. sportsbook.
NFL public betting percentages show the distribution of wagers across the betting public. “Ticket %” refers to the number of individual bets, while “Handle %” refers to the total amount of money wagered. They help bettors see where the “herd” is going versus where the large, professional bets are being placed.
The NFL has much higher betting volume per game than any other sport. Because there are fewer games, every matchup is heavily analyzed, making the lines more “efficient” and making the gap between public tickets and sharp money much more significant to track.
Handle % is the percentage of the total money wagered on a specific side. A team with a low ticket count but a high handle % is a classic sign of “sharp” action, meaning fewer people are betting on them, but they are betting much larger amounts of money.
Reverse line movement occurs when the point spread moves in the opposite direction of the public betting majority. If 75% of the public bets on the favorite, but the spread gets smaller (e.g., moves from -7 to -6), it indicates that professional bettors have placed large enough wagers on the underdog to force the book to adjust.
Primetime games (Thursday, Sunday, and Monday night) see much more public action than afternoon games. Because casual bettors want “skin in the game” for the only match on TV, these lines are often the most lopsided and frequently see the most “shaded” lines from sportsbooks.
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More NFL Betting Data
Continue your NFL research with:
NFL Lines — Compare current spreads, moneylines and totals.
NFL Picks — Data-driven matchup analysis and betting angles.
NFL Weather — Monitor wind, rain, snow and game-day conditions.
Super Bowl Odds — Track championship futures throughout the season.
Jason Ziernicki is the founder of CLEATZ and has worked in the online sports betting industry since 2012. At CLEATZ, he focuses on public betting data, sportsbook line movement, prediction markets and data-driven sports betting tools.