NFL Passing Props: QB Yards, TDs & Best Odds
Every NFL quarterback’s full passing menu in one place: passing yards, passing touchdowns, completions, attempts, and interceptions, with each QB on a single row so you can see the whole market at a glance. For every number, the board surfaces the best available price on each side across your sportsbooks, with a direct link to that market.
Passing props reward line shopping more than almost any other market, because five different numbers are in play for the same quarterback, and books rarely agree on all of them. A half-point on a passing-yards line or a few cents of juice on a completions-over doesn’t feel like much on one ticket; across a season of QB props, that’s the margin. The board does the shopping for you: the top over and top under on every market, already found.
Tap any quarterback to open his passing game log: completions and attempts, yards, touchdowns, and interceptions week by week, alongside season rates like completion percentage, yards per attempt, and yards per game. In the offseason, those rates are how you scout each QB’s range before Week 1 lines post.
| Player & Matchup | Pass Yds | Pass TD | Comp | Att | INT | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Jared Goff | 271.5 | — | — | — | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %68% Yards / att7.9 Pass yds / g268.5 TD – INT34–8 Recent passing game log
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| Joe Burrow | 265.5 | — | — | — | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %67% Yards / att7.0 Pass yds / g226.1 TD – INT17–5 Recent passing game log
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| Matthew Stafford | 259o249.5·B365u249.5·B365 | — | — | — | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %65% Yards / att7.9 Pass yds / g276.9 TD – INT46–8 Recent passing game log
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| Dak Prescott | 253.5o249.5·B365u249.5·B365 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %67% Yards / att7.6 Pass yds / g267.8 TD – INT30–10 Recent passing game log
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| Tyler Shough | 249.5 | — | — | — | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %68% Yards / att7.3 Pass yds / g216.7 TD – INT10–6 Recent passing game log
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| Baker Mayfield | 248.5 | — | — | — | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %63% Yards / att6.8 Pass yds / g217.2 TD – INT26–11 Recent passing game log
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| Brock Purdy | 247.5o249.5·B365u249.5·B365 | — | — | — | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %69% Yards / att7.6 Pass yds / g240.8 TD – INT20–10 Recent passing game log
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| Justin Herbert | 246.5 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %66% Yards / att7.3 Pass yds / g232.9 TD – INT26–13 Recent passing game log
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| Patrick Mahomes | 241 | — | — | — | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %63% Yards / att7.2 Pass yds / g256.2 TD – INT22–11 Recent passing game log
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| Chris Williams | 239.5 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %58% Yards / att6.9 Pass yds / g231.9 TD – INT27–7 Recent passing game log
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| Sam Darnold | 238 | — | — | — | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %68% Yards / att8.5 Pass yds / g238.1 TD – INT25–14 Recent passing game log
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| Jordan Love | 231.5 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %66% Yards / att7.7 Pass yds / g225.4 TD – INT23–6 Recent passing game log
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| Trevor Lawrence | 230.5 | — | — | — | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %61% Yards / att7.2 Pass yds / g235.7 TD – INT29–12 Recent passing game log
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| Cj Stroud | 228.5 | — | — | — | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %65% Yards / att7.2 Pass yds / g217.2 TD – INT19–8 Recent passing game log
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| Bo Nix | 225.5 | — | — | — | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %63% Yards / att6.4 Pass yds / g231.2 TD – INT25–11 Recent passing game log
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| Josh Allen | 223.5 | — | — | — | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %69% Yards / att8.0 Pass yds / g229.3 TD – INT25–10 Recent passing game log
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| Brevin Jordan | 223.5 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
No 2025 passing data for this player yet. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Jayden Daniels | 223.5 | — | — | — | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %61% Yards / att6.7 Pass yds / g180.3 TD – INT8–3 Recent passing game log
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| Lamar Jackson | 219.5 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %64% Yards / att8.4 Pass yds / g196.1 TD – INT21–7 Recent passing game log
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| Jaxson Dart | 217.5o224.5·B365u224.5·B365 | — | — | — | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %64% Yards / att6.7 Pass yds / g189.3 TD – INT15–5 Recent passing game log
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| Aaron Rodgers | 216.5 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %66% Yards / att6.7 Pass yds / g207.6 TD – INT24–7 Recent passing game log
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| Jalen Hurts | 215.5 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %65% Yards / att7.1 Pass yds / g201.5 TD – INT25–6 Recent passing game log
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| Drake Maye | 215 | — | — | — | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %72% Yards / att8.9 Pass yds / g258.5 TD – INT31–8 Recent passing game log
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| Geno Smith | 199.5 | — | — | — | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %67% Yards / att6.8 Pass yds / g201.7 TD – INT19–17 Recent passing game log
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| Bryce Young | 198.5 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %64% Yards / att6.3 Pass yds / g188.2 TD – INT23–11 Recent passing game log
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| Cameron Ward | 189.5 | — | — | — | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %60% Yards / att5.9 Pass yds / g186.4 TD – INT15–7 Recent passing game log
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| Malik Willis | 178.5 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comp %86% Yards / att12.1 Pass yds / g105.5 TD – INT3–0 Recent passing game log
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How To Read The Board
- Player & Matchup — each quarterback on one row, with his team, opponent, and kickoff time under his name. Tap the row to open his passing log and season rates.
- Pass Yds · Pass TD · Comp · Att · INT — the five passing markets, each in its own cell. The big number is the line; below it, o is the best over and u is the best under, each showing the sportsbook offering it. Tap a price to go straight to that market.
- Best over / best under, per market — “best over” is the lowest available line (the easiest number to clear); “best under” is the highest available line. When books disagree on the number, that gap is free value if you’re already shopping.
- INT — interceptions are shown as the over/under line (usually 0.5). An over means the quarterback throws at least one pick.
How to Bet NFL Passing Props
Passing production is a tug-of-war between volume (how many times he drops back) and efficiency (what he does per attempt). Different passing markets lean on different sides of that, so the questions that move the lines are:
Opponent pass defense. Start with how the defense holds up through the air — yards allowed per attempt, pressure rate, and whether they force turnovers. A leaky secondary lifts yards and completions; a heavy pass rush that gets home suppresses yards and feeds interception overs.
Game script and the spread. This is the biggest lever on attempts and completions. Trailing teams throw to catch up, so a home underdog QB has natural volume appeal; a favorite protecting a lead late runs the clock and passes less. Yards and TDs care about script too, but attempts are the purest game-script bet on the board.
Game total and pace. A high total and a fast, no-huddle offense mean more dropbacks and more scoring chances — friendly to yards, TDs, completions, and attempts alike. A low-total, run-heavy script cuts every passing number.
Weather. This is where passing props diverge sharply from rushing. Wind is the enemy of the passing game — sustained wind over ~15–20 mph drags down yards and completions and pushes unders, and cold and rain compound it. A dome or a calm, warm forecast removes that drag. Always check the forecast before betting a passing over.
Protection and personnel. An offensive line missing tackles means pressure, and pressure caps even an elite arm. A top receiver in or out can swing a yards line meaningfully, and a QB nursing an injury changes his whole range. Backfield and receiving-corps news is passing-prop news.
Then shop. Once you’ve picked a side, the board’s best-price cell is doing the work most bettors skip. Take the number, not the brand.
The Five Passing Prop Markets
Passing yards. The headline market: volume times efficiency. It’s driven by expected dropbacks (game script, pace, total) and matchup (yards allowed per attempt, pressure). Weather is the swing factor unique to this market versus the ground game — wind and cold pull yards down.
Passing touchdowns. Usually posted at 1.5, sometimes 2.5. It’s about touchdown equity: how a team scores (through the air vs. on the ground), red-zone efficiency, and the opponent’s red-zone defense. A pass-first offense facing a defense that bends in the red zone leans over; a run-heavy, field-goal-prone team leans under.
Completions. Attempts filtered through completion percentage. Short, rhythm-based offenses — quick game, screens, west-coast concepts — inflate completions even without big yardage. Game script matters here too: more attempts generally means more completions, so a trailing pass-heavy QB is a completions-over profile.
Attempts. The most game-script-sensitive number on the board. It barely cares about efficiency — it’s about how often a team chooses to throw. Big underdogs, poor rushing attacks, and shootout scripts drive attempts up; controlling favorites with a run game drive them down. If your read is on how the game flows, attempts is the cleanest expression of it.
Interceptions. Typically an over/under of 0.5 — over means at least one pick. It’s a high-variance market driven by the quarterback’s turnover profile, the opponent’s takeaway rate and pass rush, weather, and desperation late in bad game scripts. Treat it as the noisiest of the five: real signal exists (turnover-prone QB vs. a ball-hawking defense in wind), but variance is high, so stake accordingly.
What Counts As A “Good” Passing Line
A “good” line is one that’s mispriced against the quarterback’s true range of outcomes — not simply a low number. Two tells the board makes easy to spot:
- Best price vs. the market. When one book’s best over or under beats the consensus on a market, you’re getting a number the market itself says is generous. That gap is your edge, and it’s free if you’re already shopping across the board.
- Line dispersion. When books disagree on the number — one posts 248.5 passing yards, another 251.5 — there’s a half-point (or three) to buy on the better side. The per-market cell shows the best number on each side so the spread is visible at a glance.
Frequently Asked Questions
When do sportsbooks post NFL passing props? Most books post quarterback passing props 24–48 hours before kickoff, with pricing firming up as game day nears. Daily-fantasy platforms often post projections earlier in the week. The board fills in automatically as lines go live, so a thin or empty slate usually just means the books haven’t posted yet.
What passing markets does the board cover? Five, for every starting quarterback with posted props: passing yards, passing touchdowns, completions, attempts, and interceptions — each on the same row, with the best over and best under on each market.
Which sportsbook has the best passing props odds? It changes by quarterback, by market, and by day — no single book is always best. That’s the point of the board’s best-over and best-under columns: they surface the top available price on each side of every passing market so you can bet the number instead of defaulting to one app.
How does weather affect NFL passing props? A lot — more than most other props. Strong wind is the biggest factor: it drags down passing yards and completions and pushes unders, and cold and rain compound the effect. Domes and calm, warm forecasts remove that drag. Always check the forecast before betting a passing over.
How do I find a specific quarterback’s passing props? Use the game filter to narrow to a matchup, or scan the player column — every starting QB with posted props appears as his own row, showing all five markets, the best price on each side, and his passing log when you tap in.
21+. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Odds and lines are subject to change; always confirm the current price at your sportsbook before betting.
Lines and best-price data are aggregated across sportsbooks and refreshed throughout the day. CLEATZ provides information and analysis, not betting advice.
Jason Ziernicki is the founder of CLEATZ, where he analyzes sports betting data, public betting percentages, alt-line trends, and prediction markets across the NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports.
He is based in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where he routinely trades on Kalshi each month, hoping to win on weather markets like snowfall, as well as sports and politics.
His work focuses on turning sportsbook data and betting market trends into actionable insights for bettors/traders.