College Football National Championship Odds Tracker
Compare the best available championship odds and market movement across leading sportsbooks
| # | Team | Consensus | DK | FD | MGM | BR | Best | Movement (14D) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State Buckeyes | +600 | +600 BEST | +550 | +600 | +600 | +600 (DK) | ——— |
| 2 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | +620 | +600 | +650 BEST | +650 | +550 | +650 (FD) | —▲ 30— |
| 3 | Texas Longhorns | +720 | +750 | +800 BEST | +650 | +700 | +800 (FD) | —▲ 30— |
| 4 | Oregon Ducks | +800 | +800 BEST | +750 | +800 | +800 | +800 (DK) | ▼ 30▼ 50— |
| 5 | Indiana Hoosiers | +850 | +900 | +900 BEST | +800 | +800 | +900 (FD) | —▼ 50— |
| 6 | Georgia Bulldogs | +850 | +800 | +850 | +900 BEST | +850 | +900 (MGM) | ——— |
| 7 | Miami Hurricanes | +1,100 | +1,000 | +1,100 | +1,100 | +1,200 BEST | +1,200 (BR) | ——— |
| 8 | LSU Tigers | +1,900 | +1,800 | +2,200 BEST | +1,500 | +2,000 | +2,200 (FD) | —▼ 100— |
| 9 | Texas Tech Red Raiders | +2,100 | +2,200 BEST | +2,000 | +2,200 | +1,600 | +2,200 (DK) | —▲ 100— |
| 10 | Texas A&M Aggies | +2,100 | +2,500 | +2,700 BEST | +1,500 | +1,800 | +2,700 (FD) | ▼ 100▼ 100— |
| 11 | Alabama Crimson Tide | +2,200 | +2,500 | +2,500 BEST | +1,500 | +2,000 | +2,500 (FD) | ——— |
| 12 | Ole Miss Rebels | +2,500 | +3,000 BEST | +2,200 | +2,500 | +2,500 | +3,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 13 | Oklahoma Sooners | +2,550 | +3,000 BEST | +2,200 | +3,000 | +2,200 | +3,000 (DK) | —▲ 450— |
| 14 | USC Trojans | +3,500 | +3,500 | +3,500 BEST | +3,500 | +3,300 | +3,500 (FD) | ——— |
| 15 | Michigan Wolverines | +3,600 | +4,000 | +4,000 BEST | +2,500 | +3,300 | +4,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 16 | Tennessee Volunteers | +5,000 | +7,000 BEST | +5,000 | +5,000 | +5,000 | +7,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 17 | Florida Gators | +5,700 | +7,000 BEST | +5,500 | +6,000 | +4,500 | +7,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 18 | Penn State Nittany Lions | +7,000 | +6,500 | +8,000 BEST | +5,000 | +7,500 | +8,000 (FD) | —▼ 1,000— |
| 19 | Auburn Tigers | +7,700 | +8,000 | +10,000 BEST | +6,600 | +7,500 | +10,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 20 | Missouri Tigers | +8,900 | +10,000 BEST | +8,000 | +8,000 | +10,000 | +10,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 21 | BYU Cougars | +9,500 | +9,000 | +10,000 BEST | +8,000 | +10,000 | +10,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 22 | Clemson Tigers | +9,500 | +13,000 | +25,000 BEST | +5,000 | +7,500 | +25,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 23 | Utah Utes | +10,500 | +11,000 | +17,500 BEST | +8,000 | +10,000 | +17,500 (FD) | ——— |
| 24 | South Carolina Gamecocks | +10,900 | +12,000 | +10,000 | +12,500 BEST | +10,000 | +12,500 (MGM) | ——— |
| 25 | Washington Huskies | +10,900 | +12,000 | +8,000 | +15,000 BEST | +10,000 | +15,000 (MGM) | ——— |
| 26 | Louisville Cardinals | +10,900 | +12,000 | +15,000 BEST | +10,000 | +10,000 | +15,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 27 | SMU Mustangs | +11,100 | +10,000 | +10,000 | +15,000 BEST | +12,500 | +15,000 (MGM) | ——— |
| 28 | Iowa Hawkeyes | +14,500 | +14,000 | +17,500 BEST | +15,000 | +10,000 | +17,500 (FD) | ——— |
| 29 | Vanderbilt Commodores | +15,400 | +20,000 | +20,000 BEST | +10,000 | +12,500 | +20,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 30 | Kansas State Wildcats | +20,000 | +20,000 | +30,000 BEST | +20,000 | +20,000 | +30,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 31 | Illinois Fighting Illini | +20,000 | +20,000 | +60,000 BEST | — | +20,000 | +60,000 (FD) | —▲ 11,100— |
| 32 | Florida State Seminoles | +22,200 | +25,000 | +50,000 BEST | +10,000 | +20,000 | +50,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 33 | Virginia Tech Hokies | +25,000 | +20,000 | +40,000 BEST | +25,000 | +25,000 | +40,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 34 | Pittsburgh Panthers | +25,000 | +25,000 | +40,000 BEST | +15,000 | +25,000 | +40,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 35 | Nebraska Cornhuskers | +26,700 | +20,000 | +125,000 BEST | +20,000 | +40,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 36 | TCU Horned Frogs | +27,300 | +25,000 | +30,000 BEST | +30,000 | +25,000 | +30,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 37 | Houston Cougars | +27,300 | +20,000 | +35,000 BEST | +25,000 | +30,000 | +35,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 38 | Virginia Cavaliers | +27,300 | +20,000 | +60,000 BEST | +30,000 | +25,000 | +60,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 39 | Baylor Bears | +27,300 | +25,000 | +100,000 BEST | +25,000 | +30,000 | +100,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 40 | Arizona State Sun Devils | +30,000 | +30,000 | +70,000 BEST | +15,000 | +30,000 | +70,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 41 | Arizona Wildcats | +30,800 | +25,000 | +75,000 BEST | +40,000 | +25,000 | +75,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 42 | Cincinnati Bearcats | +34,300 | +30,000 | +125,000 BEST | +25,000 | +40,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 43 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | +37,300 | +40,000 BEST | +35,000 | +20,000 | +40,000 | +40,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 44 | Kentucky Wildcats | +37,300 | +35,000 | +50,000 BEST | +25,000 | +40,000 | +50,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 45 | Boise State Broncos | +37,500 | +50,000 | +100,000 BEST | +25,000 | +30,000 | +100,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 46 | North Carolina Tar Heels | +40,000 | +40,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +40,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 47 | Duke Blue Devils | +40,000 | +40,000 | +125,000 BEST | +20,000 | +40,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 48 | Tulane Green Wave | +43,700 | +80,000 | +125,000 BEST | +25,000 | +30,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 49 | Arkansas Razorbacks | +44,400 | +40,000 | +125,000 BEST | +25,000 | +50,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 50 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | +50,000 | +50,000 | +50,000 BEST | +20,000 | +50,000 | +50,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 51 | NC State Wolfpack | +50,000 | +50,000 | +75,000 BEST | +50,000 | +50,000 | +75,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 52 | Kansas Jayhawks | +50,000 | +50,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +50,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 53 | Colorado Buffaloes | +50,000 | +50,000 | +125,000 BEST | +50,000 | +50,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 54 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | +50,900 | +40,000 | +70,000 | +6,000 | +100,000 BEST | +100,000 (BR) | ——— |
| 55 | Iowa State Cyclones | +54,500 | +60,000 | +125,000 BEST | +10,000 | +50,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 56 | Wisconsin Badgers | +60,000 | +50,000 | +75,000 BEST | +30,000 | +75,000 | +75,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 57 | California Golden Bears | +60,000 | +60,000 | +75,000 BEST | — | +50,000 | +75,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 58 | Navy Midshipmen | +60,000 | +60,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +60,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 59 | UCLA Bruins | +60,000 | +60,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +60,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 60 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | +60,000 | +50,000 | +125,000 BEST | +50,000 | +75,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 61 | South Florida Bulls | +66,700 | +60,000 | +125,000 BEST | +50,000 | +75,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 62 | UCF Knights | +66,700 | +60,000 | +125,000 BEST | +30,000 | +75,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 63 | UNLV Rebels | +75,000 | +50,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +75,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 64 | Michigan State Spartans | +75,000 | +60,000 | +125,000 BEST | +75,000 | +75,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 65 | West Virginia Mountaineers | +80,000 | +80,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +75,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 66 | Northwestern Wildcats | +80,000 | +80,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +75,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 67 | San Diego State Aztecs | +80,000 | +80,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +75,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 68 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | +88,900 | +80,000 | — | — | +100,000 BEST | +100,000 (BR) | ——— |
| 69 | Maryland Terrapins | +88,900 | +80,000 | +125,000 BEST | +25,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 70 | North Dakota State Bison | +97,600 | +80,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | — | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 71 | Ohio Bobcats | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 72 | Old Dominion Monarchs | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 73 | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 74 | James Madison Dukes | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 BEST | +50,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 75 | Texas State Bobcats | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 76 | North Texas Mean Green | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 BEST | +50,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 77 | East Carolina Pirates | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 78 | Washington State Cougars | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 79 | Stanford Cardinal | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 80 | Toledo Rockets | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 81 | Fresno State Bulldogs | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 82 | Minnesota Golden Gophers | +100,000 | +80,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 83 | Syracuse Orange | +100,000 | +80,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 84 | Army Black Knights | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 85 | Western Michigan Broncos | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 86 | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 87 | Memphis Tigers | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +30,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 88 | Air Force Falcons | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 89 | Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 90 | New Mexico Lobos | +100,000 | +80,000 | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 91 | Purdue Boilermakers | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 BEST | +100,000 | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 92 | New Mexico State Aggies | +111,100 | — | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 93 | Charlotte 49ers | +111,100 | — | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 94 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | +111,100 | — | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 95 | UMass Minutemen | +111,100 | — | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 96 | Akron Zips | +111,100 | — | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 97 | Kent State Golden Flashes | +111,100 | — | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 98 | Eastern Michigan Eagles | +111,100 | — | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 99 | Ball State Cardinals | +111,100 | — | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 100 | UL Monroe Warhawks | +111,100 | — | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 101 | UTEP Miners | +111,100 | — | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 102 | Georgia State Panthers | +111,100 | — | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 103 | UAB Blazers | +111,100 | — | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 104 | Sam Houston State Bearkats | +111,100 | — | +125,000 BEST | — | +100,000 | +125,000 (FD) | ——— |
| 105 | Boston College Eagles | +125,000 | +150,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +150,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 106 | Troy Trojans | +125,000 | +200,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +200,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 107 | Miami (OH) RedHawks | +125,000 | +200,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +200,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 108 | Louisiana Ragin Cajuns | +125,000 | +200,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +200,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 109 | Kennesaw State Owls | +125,000 | +200,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +200,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 110 | Oregon State Beavers | +125,000 | +200,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +200,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 111 | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | +125,000 | +200,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +200,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 112 | Liberty Flames | +125,000 | +200,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +200,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 113 | Georgia Southern Eagles | +125,000 | +200,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +200,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 114 | UTSA Roadrunners | +125,000 | +200,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +200,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 115 | Utah State Aggies | +125,000 | +200,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +200,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 116 | Delaware Blue Hens | +125,000 | +200,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +200,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 117 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | +125,000 | +300,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +300,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 118 | Temple Owls | +125,000 | +300,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +300,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 119 | Buffalo Bulls | +125,000 | +300,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +300,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 120 | Marshall Thundering Herd | +125,000 | +300,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +300,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 121 | South Alabama Jaguars | +125,000 | +300,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +300,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 122 | Appalachian State Mountaineers | +125,000 | +300,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +300,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 123 | Arkansas State Red Wolves | +125,000 | +300,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +300,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 124 | Northern Illinois Huskies | +125,000 | +500,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +500,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 125 | Colorado State Rams | +125,000 | +500,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +500,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 126 | Bowling Green Falcons | +125,000 | +500,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +500,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 127 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | +125,000 | +500,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +500,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 128 | San Jose State Spartans | +125,000 | +500,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +500,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 129 | Wyoming Cowboys | +125,000 | +500,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +500,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 130 | Florida International Panthers | +125,000 | +500,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +500,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 131 | Rice Owls | +125,000 | +500,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +500,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 132 | Nevada Wolf Pack | +125,000 | +500,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +500,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 133 | Central Michigan Chippewas | +125,000 | +500,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +500,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 134 | Florida Atlantic Owls | +125,000 | +500,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | +100,000 | +500,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 135 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | +176,500 | +300,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | — | +300,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 136 | UConn Huskies | +176,500 | +300,000 BEST | +125,000 | +300,000 | +100,000 | +300,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 137 | Missouri State Bears | +200,000 | +500,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | — | +500,000 (DK) | ——— |
| 138 | Sacramento State Hornets | +200,000 | +500,000 BEST | +125,000 | — | — | +500,000 (DK) | ——— |
How to Read College Football National Championship Odds
The CLEATZ College Football National Championship Odds Tracker displays the best available American odds for each team from the sportsbooks included in the comparison.
All teams currently have positive odds because no individual program is considered more likely to win the national championship than the rest of the field combined.
Positive American odds show how much profit a successful $100 wager would produce:
- +650: A $100 wager returns $650 in profit.
- +2,500: A $100 wager returns $2,500 in profit.
- +10,000: A $100 wager returns $10,000 in profit.
The original stake is also returned after a winning wager.
To convert positive American odds into implied probability, use this formula:
Implied Probability = 100 ÷ (Odds + 100)
For example, Ohio State and Notre Dame are both listed at +650. That price represents an implied championship probability of approximately 13.3% before accounting for the sportsbook’s margin.
What Does “Best Odds” Mean?
The Best Odds column shows the longest available price found among the sportsbooks included in the tracker.
A longer price produces a larger potential payout. If one sportsbook offers a team at +800 and another offers +700, the +800 price is more favorable to the bettor even though both wagers involve the same team and outcome.
Shopping for the best available line is especially important in a futures market. A difference of several hundred points may substantially change the potential return on a long-shot wager.
The sportsbook abbreviation displayed beside each price identifies where that specific line was available when the tracker was last updated. Odds can change quickly and may differ by state or account.
Current Favorites to Win the National Championship
Ohio State and Notre Dame (+650): New Co-Favorites
Ohio State and Notre Dame share the shortest championship odds at +650.
That price implies approximately a 13.3% probability for each program. Ohio State had previously occupied the top position by itself, but Notre Dame’s move from +700 to +650 over the selected 14-day period has created a tie at the top of the market.
The co-favorite status is significant because it shows that sportsbooks no longer see meaningful separation between Ohio State and Notre Dame entering the season.
Oregon and Texas (+800): Close Behind
Oregon and Texas form the next tier at +800, an implied probability of approximately 11.1%.
Oregon’s price was unchanged during the selected 14-day window. Texas moved from approximately +750 to +800, indicating a modest decline in market confidence.
The difference between +650 and +800 is meaningful, but the market still views Oregon and Texas as legitimate championship favorites rather than secondary contenders.
Georgia (+900), Indiana (+950) and Miami (+1100)
Georgia is fifth at +900, giving the Bulldogs an implied probability of 10%.
Indiana follows at +950 after drifting from approximately +850 during the selected 14-day period. The current price implies a 9.5% probability.
Miami is seventh at +1100, or approximately 8.3% implied probability, after shortening from +1200. Among the seven leading teams, Miami produced one of the clearest positive moves during the latest period.
A Clear Top Seven Has Emerged
The current market contains a noticeable break after Miami.
The first seven teams are all priced between +650 and +1100:
- Ohio State: +650
- Notre Dame: +650
- Oregon: +800
- Texas: +800
- Georgia: +900
- Indiana: +950
- Miami: +1100
The next two teams—Texas Tech and Texas A&M—are both +2200.
That jump from +1100 to +2200 means sportsbooks are assigning Miami more than twice the implied championship probability of either Texas Tech or Texas A&M. The market currently views seven teams as the primary championship group, followed by a much larger second tier.
The Second Tier of Championship Contenders
Texas Tech and Texas A&M (+2200)
Texas Tech and Texas A&M share the eighth-shortest price at +2200, which represents an implied probability of approximately 4.3%.
Texas Tech’s price was unchanged during the selected period. Texas A&M also showed no movement over the selected 14-day window, although the tracker indicates some change over the longer comparison period.
Both teams are respected contenders, but their odds remain substantially longer than Miami’s +1100 price.
Alabama and LSU (+2500)
Alabama and LSU are tied at +2500, an implied probability of approximately 3.8%.
Alabama’s price was unchanged. LSU moved from approximately +2200 to +2500 during the selected 14-day period, signaling a measurable decline in market confidence.
Alabama’s position is particularly notable. The Crimson Tide remain a top-10 championship option, but the program is priced behind seven teams and alongside LSU rather than among the clear preseason favorites.
Ole Miss, Oklahoma, USC and Michigan
Ole Miss is next at +3000, followed by Oklahoma and USC at +3500 and Michigan at +4000.
USC has attracted support over the shorter comparison window, although its selected 14-day price is unchanged. Oklahoma, Ole Miss and Michigan were also unchanged over the selected 14-day period.
This group occupies the middle ground between the recognized championship contenders and the deeper long shots.
Biggest 14-Day College Football Championship Odds Movers
Movement should be evaluated in context. A 100-point change near the top of the market can be more meaningful than a 10,000-point adjustment involving a team already priced as an extreme long shot.
Teams Gaining Championship Market Support
Clemson: +20000 to +15000
Clemson produced the largest meaningful move among the teams near the top 30. The Tigers shortened by approximately 5,000 points during the selected 14-day period.
Despite the move, Clemson remains tied with Washington, Louisville and SMU at +15000. The adjustment represents improving sentiment, but not a return to the primary championship tier.
South Carolina: +15000 to +12500
South Carolina shortened by approximately 2,500 points and now owns the 22nd-shortest price on the board.
The Gamecocks remain a long shot, but the move suggests growing sportsbook respect relative to similarly priced SEC programs.
Miami: +1200 to +1100
Miami’s 100-point move is smaller numerically but more important probabilistically. Moving from +1200 to +1100 increased Miami’s implied probability from approximately 7.7% to 8.3%.
Because Miami is already among the favorites, this shift is more consequential than many larger moves near the bottom of the board.
Notre Dame: +700 to +650
Notre Dame shortened by 50 points and joined Ohio State as the championship co-favorite.
This is the most important movement at the very top of the market because it changed the identity of the outright favorite.
Teams Losing Championship Market Support
Houston: +30000 to +35000
Houston lengthened by approximately 5,000 points during the selected 14-day period. The Cougars remain a deep long shot and now sit outside the top 30.
LSU: +2200 to +2500
LSU’s move represents one of the clearest declines among the recognized contenders. The Tigers are now tied with Alabama rather than sitting alongside Texas Tech and Texas A&M at +2200.
Indiana: +850 to +950
Indiana remains sixth on the board, but its championship odds have moved in the wrong direction. The change lowered Indiana’s implied probability from approximately 10.5% to 9.5%.
Texas: +750 to +800
Texas experienced a modest 50-point decline. The Longhorns remain tied with Oregon for the third-shortest odds, so the adjustment has not fundamentally changed their position within the favorite tier.
College Football Championship Dark Horses
Texas Tech (+2200)
Texas Tech is the first team outside the clear top-seven group.
At +2200, the Red Raiders are priced ahead of Alabama, LSU, Ole Miss, Oklahoma, USC and Michigan. Their placement suggests sportsbooks view Texas Tech as a legitimate contender rather than merely an interesting long shot.
Alabama (+2500)
Alabama’s +2500 price is unusually long relative to the program’s historical championship profile.
That does not automatically make the Crimson Tide a value selection. It does, however, create one of the season’s most interesting market questions: whether Alabama’s longer odds accurately reflect its current roster and competitive position or underestimate the program’s ceiling.
USC (+3500)
USC is tied with Oklahoma at +3500 and has shown positive movement over the tracker’s shorter window.
The Trojans are still outside the top 12, but their current price places them ahead of Michigan and well ahead of Florida, Tennessee and several other recognizable programs.
Clemson (+15000)
Clemson is a much deeper long shot, but its substantial shortening during the selected period makes it a team worth monitoring.
The Tigers’ movement does not establish them as a leading championship threat. It does show that their market position has improved more quickly than that of most teams in the same odds range.
Understanding Movement in Long-Shot Markets
Large numerical moves involving extreme long shots can look more dramatic than they actually are.
For example, a move from +125000 to +75000 is a difference of 50,000 points. However, it changes the raw implied probability only from approximately 0.08% to 0.13%.
By comparison, moving a favorite from +750 to +650 changes its implied probability from approximately 11.8% to 13.3%.
This is why CLEATZ readers should consider both the size of the odds change and the team’s starting probability. Movement near the top of the board usually carries more championship significance than a much larger numerical adjustment near the bottom.
How the College Football Championship Odds Tracker Works
The tracker compares available college football national championship futures and displays the best price found for every team.
Users can select three movement periods:
- 7D: Compares the current line with the price seven days earlier.
- 14D: Compares the current line with the price 14 days earlier.
- 30D: Compares the current line with the price 30 days earlier.
A shortening price indicates that a team’s odds have become lower and its implied championship probability has increased.
A lengthening price indicates that a team’s odds have become longer and its implied probability has decreased.
Odds movement may result from several factors, including injuries, roster news, reported betting activity, sportsbook liability, schedule reassessment and differences between operators. A line move does not reveal the cause by itself.
The tracker is updated weekly and is intended to provide an objective comparison of current prices and market movement—not a guarantee of future results.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who Is Favored to Win the College Football National Championship?
Ohio State and Notre Dame are the current co-favorites at +650.
Oregon and Texas are next at +800, followed by Georgia at +900, Indiana at +950 and Miami at +1100.
Which Team Has Moved Up the Most?
Among teams with relatively competitive odds, Clemson produced one of the biggest selected 14-day moves, shortening from approximately +20000 to +15000.
Notre Dame made the most important move at the top of the board by shortening from +700 to +650 and joining Ohio State as the co-favorite.
Which Contender Has Seen Its Odds Fall?
LSU moved from approximately +2200 to +2500, while Indiana moved from +850 to +950.
Texas also experienced a smaller adjustment from approximately +750 to +800.
When Is the 2027 College Football National Championship?
The 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship is scheduled for Monday, January 25, 2027, at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas.
The game is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. Eastern and will conclude the 12-team College Football Playoff.
How Often Are the Odds Updated?
The CLEATZ tracker is scheduled to update every Sunday at midnight UTC. The current table is dated August 2, 2026.
Why Are Odds Different at Different Sportsbooks?
Sportsbooks may have different betting activity, liabilities, risk tolerances and opinions about each team.
That can produce substantially different championship prices, especially for teams outside the group of leading favorites. Comparing prices before placing a futures wager can significantly improve the potential payout.
Jason Ziernicki is the founder of CLEATZ, where he analyzes sports betting data, public betting percentages, alt-line trends, and prediction markets across the NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports.
He is based in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where he routinely trades on Kalshi each month, hoping to win on weather markets like snowfall, as well as sports and politics.
His work focuses on turning sportsbook data and betting market trends into actionable insights for bettors/traders.