College Football SP+ Rankings for the 2026 Season
The 2026 college football season is shaping up to be the most chaotic yet. With the 12-team playoff format now firmly established and the transfer portal having settled after the spring window, we turn to the gold standard of analytics: Bill Connelly’s SP+ rankings.
Whether you’re looking for college football power ratings to inform your Heisman bets or just want to see how your team stacks up against the latest SP+ rankings, this is your definitive guide to the 2026 CFB betting landscape.
CLEATZ / COLLEGE FOOTBALL
SP+ meets
the market.
WEEK 72026 SEASONConnelly’s model. The available line. A clearer look at where they disagree.
FBS ratings & projections: Bill Connelly’s SP+ sheet ↗
Source checked Oct 16 · 1:18 pm ET. Model period: Week 7.
Source checked Oct 16 · 1:18 pm ET. Model period: Week 7.
FBS TEAMS138Complete ratings table
UPCOMING GAMES55Published SP+ projections
CURRENT COMPARISONS54Matched odds retrieved within 15 min
GAPS OF 2+ POINTS36Against current market only
THIS WEEK’S BOARD
Where the numbers separate
A point difference is a research signal. It is not a measured probability of covering.
Current lines use the CLEATZ Game Odds cache. DraftKings is preferred; another named book is used when unavailable. Retrieved time is the feed-cache time, not a book’s quote timestamp.
These are reference lines published in Connelly’s sheet. They are not current sportsbook offers or verified opening lines. Source gaps are excluded from the live comparison count and CLEATZ results record.
| Matchup / kickoff | SP+ projection | Current market | Model–market gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elon at StanfordOct 17 · 7:30 pm ET | Stanford −15.8Stanford 84% win probability | Stanford −35.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET | 19.7 ptsElon +35.5 (-110) |
| Charleston Southern at ClemsonOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | Clemson −33.5Clemson 98% win probability | Clemson −43.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET | 10 ptsCharleston Southern +43.5 (-110) |
| Massachusetts at BuffaloOct 17 · 1:00 pm ET | Massachusetts −1.9Massachusetts 55% win probability | Buffalo −7 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Buffalo −3 | 8.9 ptsMassachusetts +7 (-112) |
| Utah at ColoradoOct 17 · 10:15 pm ET | Utah −23.4Utah 93% win probability | Utah −14.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Utah −16.5 | 8.9 ptsUtah -14.5 (-112) |
| Akron at Miami-OHOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Miami-OH −18.5Miami-OH 88% win probability | Miami-OH −10 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Miami-OH −10 | 8.5 ptsMiami-OH -10 (-108) |
| New Mexico at HawaiiOct 17 · 10:30 pm ET | New Mexico −22.7New Mexico 92% win probability | New Mexico −14.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: New Mexico −14.5 | 8.2 ptsNew Mexico -14.5 (-110) |
| Northwestern at Michigan StateOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | Northwestern −14.3Northwestern 81% win probability | Northwestern −7 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Northwestern −8.5 | 7.3 ptsNorthwestern -7 (-115) |
| Notre Dame at BYUOct 17 · 7:30 pm ET | Notre Dame −4Notre Dame 60% win probability | Notre Dame −10.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Notre Dame −10.5 | 6.5 ptsBYU +10.5 (-110) |
| Pittsburgh at Boston CollegeOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | Pittsburgh −12.8Pittsburgh 79% win probability | Pittsburgh −6.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Pittsburgh −6.5 | 6.3 ptsPittsburgh -6.5 (-110) |
| Georgia State at James MadisonOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | James Madison −16.7James Madison 85% win probability | James Madison −10.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: James Madison −11.5 | 6.2 ptsJames Madison -10.5 (-105) |
| Washington at PurdueOct 16 · 8:00 pm ET | Washington −3Washington 57% win probability | Purdue −3 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Purdue −3 | 6 ptsWashington +3 (-108) |
| Memphis at TulaneOct 16 · 7:30 pm ET | Memphis −12.6Memphis 79% win probability | Memphis −7 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Memphis −6.5 | 5.6 ptsMemphis -7 (-108) |
| Kent State at USFOct 17 · 7:00 pm ET | USF −25.7USF 95% win probability | USF −20.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: USF −19.5 | 5.2 ptsUSF -20.5 (-112) |
| Missouri at Ole MissOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Ole Miss −0.4Ole Miss 51% win probability | Ole Miss −5.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Ole Miss −6 | 5.1 ptsMissouri +5.5 (-115) |
| Arizona State at Texas TechOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Texas Tech −20.5Texas Tech 90% win probability | Texas Tech −15.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Texas Tech −14 | 5 ptsTexas Tech -15.5 (-110) |
| Cincinnati at West VirginiaOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | Cincinnati −3.4Cincinnati 59% win probability | West Virginia −1.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: West Virginia −1.5 | 4.9 ptsCincinnati +1.5 (-112) |
| Wisconsin at UCLAOct 17 · 7:30 pm ET | UCLA −7.2UCLA 68% win probability | UCLA −2.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: UCLA −3.5 | 4.7 ptsUCLA -2.5 (-115) |
| Louisville at SyracuseOct 17 · 7:30 pm ET | Louisville −10.9Louisville 75% win probability | Louisville −15.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Louisville −13.5 | 4.6 ptsSyracuse +15.5 (-110) |
| Louisiana Tech at UL-MonroeOct 17 · 8:00 pm ET | Louisiana Tech −20Louisiana Tech 90% win probability | Louisiana Tech −15.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Louisiana Tech −14.5 | 4.5 ptsLouisiana Tech -15.5 (-108) |
| Florida at TexasOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | Texas −15.9Texas 84% win probability | Texas −11.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Texas −9.5 | 4.4 ptsTexas -11.5 (-108) |
| Western Michigan at Central MichiganOct 17 · 1:30 pm ET | Western Michigan −11Western Michigan 75% win probability | Western Michigan −7 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Western Michigan −7 | 4 ptsWestern Michigan -7 (-102) |
| Mississippi State at LSUOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | LSU −11.6LSU 77% win probability | LSU −15.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: LSU −10.5 | 3.9 ptsMississippi State +15.5 (-108) |
| Troy at UL-LafayetteOct 17 · 5:00 pm ET | UL-Lafayette −6.8UL-Lafayette 67% win probability | UL-Lafayette −3 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: UL-Lafayette −4.5 | 3.8 ptsUL-Lafayette -3 (-115) |
| Fresno State at San Diego StateOct 17 · 10:30 pm ET | Fresno State −11.3Fresno State 76% win probability | Fresno State −7.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Fresno State −8.5 | 3.8 ptsFresno State -7.5 (-105) |
| Alabama at TennesseeOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Alabama −3.8Alabama 59% win probability | Alabama −7.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Alabama −6.5 | 3.7 ptsTennessee +7.5 (-108) |
| Charlotte at TempleOct 17 · 1:00 pm ET | Temple −24.6Temple 94% win probability | Temple −21 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Temple −21.5 | 3.6 ptsTemple -21 (-108) |
| Northern Illinois at WyomingOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Wyoming −12.1Wyoming 78% win probability | Wyoming −8.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Wyoming −7 | 3.6 ptsWyoming -8.5 (-105) |
| Florida State at Miami-FLOct 17 · 7:00 pm ET | Miami-FL −24.5Miami-FL 94% win probability | Miami-FL −21 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Miami-FL −21 | 3.5 ptsMiami-FL -21 (-105) |
| UNLV at Air ForceOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Air Force −4.8Air Force 62% win probability | Air Force −1.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: UNLV −1.5 | 3.3 ptsAir Force -1.5 (-110) |
| Ball State at Bowling GreenOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | Bowling Green −9.7Bowling Green 73% win probability | Bowling Green −6.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Bowling Green −7.5 | 3.2 ptsBowling Green -6.5 (-115) |
| Navy at UTSAOct 17 · 8:00 pm ET | UTSA −3.4UTSA 59% win probability | UTSA −6.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: UTSA −6.5 | 3.1 ptsNavy +6.5 (+102) |
| San Jose State at UTEPOct 17 · 9:00 pm ET | San Jose State −9.9San Jose State 73% win probability | San Jose State −7 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: San Jose State −8.5 | 2.9 ptsSan Jose State -7 (-105) |
| Ohio State at IndianaOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | Ohio State −0.2Ohio State 51% win probability | Ohio State −3 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Ohio State −3 | 2.8 ptsIndiana +3 (-112) |
| North Carolina at DukeOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Duke −5.8Duke 64% win probability | Duke −3 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Duke −3.5 | 2.8 ptsDuke -3 (-110) |
| Virginia at SMUOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | SMU −6.8SMU 67% win probability | SMU −9.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: SMU −8.5 | 2.7 ptsVirginia +9.5 (-110) |
| Washington State at Oregon StateOct 17 · 6:00 pm ET | Oregon State −20.7Oregon State 90% win probability | Oregon State −18.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Oregon State −17.5 | 2.2 ptsOregon State -18.5 (-105) |
| Kansas at Kansas StateOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | Kansas State −6.3Kansas State 65% win probability | Kansas State −4.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Kansas State −6.5 | 1.8 ptsKansas State -4.5 (-110) |
| Tulsa at RiceOct 17 · 4:30 pm ET | Tulsa −5.8Tulsa 64% win probability | Tulsa −4.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Tulsa −4.5 | 1.3 ptsTulsa -4.5 (-110) |
| Arkansas State at Southern MissOct 17 · 7:00 pm ET | Arkansas State −7.8Arkansas State 69% win probability | Arkansas State −6.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Arkansas State −7 | 1.3 ptsArkansas State -6.5 (-112) |
| Georgia Tech at Virginia TechOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Virginia Tech −10.7Virginia Tech 75% win probability | Virginia Tech −9.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Virginia Tech −9.5 | 1.2 ptsVirginia Tech -9.5 (-108) |
| Appalachian State at Coastal CarolinaOct 16 · 8:00 pm ET | Appalachian State −2.5Appalachian State 56% win probability | Appalachian State −1.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Appalachian State −1.5 | 1 ptsAppalachian State -1.5 (-108) |
| Florida Atlantic at ArmyOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | Army −1.5Army 54% win probability | Army −2.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Army −2.5 | 1 ptsFlorida Atlantic +2.5 (-118) |
| Nevada at North Dakota StateOct 17 · 7:00 pm ET | North Dakota State −15.4North Dakota State 83% win probability | North Dakota State −14.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: North Dakota State −15.5 | 0.9 ptsNorth Dakota State -14.5 (-112) |
| Penn State at MichiganOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Michigan −6Michigan 65% win probability | Michigan −6.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Michigan −6.5 | 0.5 ptsPenn State +6.5 (-110) |
| TCU at BaylorOct 17 · 7:00 pm ET | Baylor −6Baylor 65% win probability | Baylor −5.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Baylor −6.5 | 0.5 ptsBaylor -5.5 (-110) |
| Wake Forest at CaliforniaOct 17 · 10:30 pm ET | Wake Forest −10.5Wake Forest 75% win probability | Wake Forest −10 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Wake Forest −9.5 | 0.5 ptsWake Forest -10 (-110) |
| Rutgers at MarylandOct 17 · 12:30 pm ET | Maryland −5.9Maryland 64% win probability | Maryland −5.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Maryland −4.5 | 0.4 ptsMaryland -5.5 (-105) |
| Nebraska at OregonOct 17 · 11:00 pm ET | Oregon −6.6Oregon 66% win probability | Oregon −7 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Oregon −7 | 0.4 ptsNebraska +7 (-118) |
| Auburn at GeorgiaOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Georgia −19.8Georgia 89% win probability | Georgia −19.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Georgia −18.5 | 0.3 ptsGeorgia -19.5 (-110) |
| Kentucky at OklahomaOct 17 · 7:30 pm ET | Oklahoma −6.8Oklahoma 67% win probability | Oklahoma −6.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Oklahoma −6.5 | 0.3 ptsOklahoma -6.5 (-112) |
| Toledo at Eastern MichiganOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Toledo −6.7Toledo 66% win probability | Toledo −6.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Toledo −5.5 | 0.2 ptsToledo -6.5 (-115) |
| Arkansas at VanderbiltOct 17 · 7:00 pm ET | Vanderbilt −6.1Vanderbilt 65% win probability | Vanderbilt −6 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Vanderbilt −6 | 0.1 ptsVanderbilt -6 (-112) |
| Oklahoma State at HoustonOct 17 · 7:30 pm ET | Houston −4.4Houston 61% win probability | Houston −4.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Houston −4.5 | 0.1 ptsOklahoma State +4.5 (-110) |
| Ohio at Sacramento StateOct 17 · 10:00 pm ET | Ohio −15.5Ohio 83% win probability | Ohio −15.5 DraftKings · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:33 pm ET First CLEATZ line: Ohio −14.5 | 0 ptsNo difference |
| The Citadel at Texas A&MOct 17 · 1:00 pm ET | Texas A&M −52.5Texas A&M 100% win probability | Not availableNo recent matched quote | — |
| Delaware at Middle TennesseeOct 13 · 7:00 pm ET · Kickoff passed | Delaware −3.9Delaware 60% win probability | Pregame closedNo live-game comparisons | — |
| Florida International at Jacksonville StateOct 13 · 8:00 pm ET · Kickoff passed | Jacksonville State −5.5Jacksonville State 63% win probability | Pregame closedNo live-game comparisons | — |
| Kennesaw State at Missouri StateOct 14 · 7:30 pm ET · Kickoff passed | Kennesaw State −7.2Kennesaw State 68% win probability | Pregame closedNo live-game comparisons | — |
| Western Kentucky at Sam HoustonOct 14 · 8:00 pm ET · Kickoff passed | Western Kentucky −1Western Kentucky 53% win probability | Pregame closedNo live-game comparisons | — |
| East Carolina at UABOct 15 · 7:30 pm ET · Kickoff passed | East Carolina −9East Carolina 71% win probability | Pregame closedNo live-game comparisons | — |
| Georgia Southern at Old DominionOct 15 · 7:30 pm ET · Kickoff passed | Georgia Southern −2.8Georgia Southern 57% win probability | Pregame closedNo live-game comparisons | — |
| Colorado State at Texas StateOct 15 · 8:00 pm ET · Kickoff passed | Texas State −10.1Texas State 74% win probability | Pregame closedNo live-game comparisons | — |
No games match these filters.
| Matchup / kickoff | SP+ projection | Source reference | Model–market gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Akron at Miami-OHOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Miami-OH −18.5Miami-OH 88% win probability | Miami-OH −10 Connelly sheet · reference only | 8.5 ptsMiami-OH |
| New Mexico at HawaiiOct 17 · 10:30 pm ET | New Mexico −22.7New Mexico 92% win probability | New Mexico −14.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 8.2 ptsNew Mexico |
| Utah at ColoradoOct 17 · 10:15 pm ET | Utah −23.4Utah 93% win probability | Utah −16.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 6.9 ptsUtah |
| Notre Dame at BYUOct 17 · 7:30 pm ET | Notre Dame −4Notre Dame 60% win probability | Notre Dame −10.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 6.5 ptsBYU |
| Arizona State at Texas TechOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Texas Tech −20.5Texas Tech 90% win probability | Texas Tech −14 Connelly sheet · reference only | 6.5 ptsTexas Tech |
| Florida at TexasOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | Texas −15.9Texas 84% win probability | Texas −9.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 6.4 ptsTexas |
| Pittsburgh at Boston CollegeOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | Pittsburgh −12.8Pittsburgh 79% win probability | Pittsburgh −6.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 6.3 ptsPittsburgh |
| UNLV at Air ForceOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Air Force −4.8Air Force 62% win probability | UNLV −1.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 6.3 ptsAir Force |
| Kent State at USFOct 17 · 7:00 pm ET | USF −25.7USF 95% win probability | USF −19.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 6.2 ptsUSF |
| Washington at PurdueOct 16 · 8:00 pm ET | Washington −3Washington 57% win probability | Purdue −3 Connelly sheet · reference only | 6 ptsWashington |
| Northwestern at Michigan StateOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | Northwestern −14.3Northwestern 81% win probability | Northwestern −8.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 5.8 ptsNorthwestern |
| Memphis at TulaneOct 16 · 7:30 pm ET | Memphis −12.6Memphis 79% win probability | Memphis −7 Connelly sheet · reference only | 5.6 ptsMemphis |
| Missouri at Ole MissOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Ole Miss −0.4Ole Miss 51% win probability | Ole Miss −6 Connelly sheet · reference only | 5.6 ptsMissouri |
| Louisiana Tech at UL-MonroeOct 17 · 8:00 pm ET | Louisiana Tech −20Louisiana Tech 90% win probability | Louisiana Tech −14.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 5.5 ptsLouisiana Tech |
| Georgia State at James MadisonOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | James Madison −16.7James Madison 85% win probability | James Madison −11.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 5.2 ptsJames Madison |
| Northern Illinois at WyomingOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Wyoming −12.1Wyoming 78% win probability | Wyoming −7 Connelly sheet · reference only | 5.1 ptsWyoming |
| Massachusetts at BuffaloOct 17 · 1:00 pm ET | Massachusetts −1.9Massachusetts 55% win probability | Buffalo −3 Connelly sheet · reference only | 4.9 ptsMassachusetts |
| Cincinnati at West VirginiaOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | Cincinnati −3.4Cincinnati 59% win probability | West Virginia −1.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 4.9 ptsCincinnati |
| Western Michigan at Central MichiganOct 17 · 1:30 pm ET | Western Michigan −11Western Michigan 75% win probability | Western Michigan −7 Connelly sheet · reference only | 4 ptsWestern Michigan |
| Wisconsin at UCLAOct 17 · 7:30 pm ET | UCLA −7.2UCLA 68% win probability | UCLA −3.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 3.7 ptsUCLA |
| Ohio State at IndianaOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | Ohio State −0.2Ohio State 51% win probability | Ohio State −3.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 3.3 ptsIndiana |
| Washington State at Oregon StateOct 17 · 6:00 pm ET | Oregon State −20.7Oregon State 90% win probability | Oregon State −17.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 3.2 ptsOregon State |
| Navy at UTSAOct 17 · 8:00 pm ET | UTSA −3.4UTSA 59% win probability | UTSA −6.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 3.1 ptsNavy |
| Florida State at Miami-FLOct 17 · 7:00 pm ET | Miami-FL −24.5Miami-FL 94% win probability | Miami-FL −21.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 3 ptsMiami-FL |
| Fresno State at San Diego StateOct 17 · 10:30 pm ET | Fresno State −11.3Fresno State 76% win probability | Fresno State −8.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 2.8 ptsFresno State |
| Alabama at TennesseeOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Alabama −3.8Alabama 59% win probability | Alabama −6.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 2.7 ptsTennessee |
| Louisville at SyracuseOct 17 · 7:30 pm ET | Louisville −10.9Louisville 75% win probability | Louisville −13.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 2.6 ptsSyracuse |
| Troy at UL-LafayetteOct 17 · 5:00 pm ET | UL-Lafayette −6.8UL-Lafayette 67% win probability | UL-Lafayette −4.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 2.3 ptsUL-Lafayette |
| North Carolina at DukeOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Duke −5.8Duke 64% win probability | Duke −3.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 2.3 ptsDuke |
| Ball State at Bowling GreenOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | Bowling Green −9.7Bowling Green 73% win probability | Bowling Green −7.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 2.2 ptsBowling Green |
| Charlotte at TempleOct 17 · 1:00 pm ET | Temple −24.6Temple 94% win probability | Temple −22.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 2.1 ptsTemple |
| Virginia at SMUOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | SMU −6.8SMU 67% win probability | SMU −8.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 1.7 ptsVirginia |
| San Jose State at UTEPOct 17 · 9:00 pm ET | San Jose State −9.9San Jose State 73% win probability | San Jose State −8.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 1.4 ptsSan Jose State |
| Rutgers at MarylandOct 17 · 12:30 pm ET | Maryland −5.9Maryland 64% win probability | Maryland −4.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 1.4 ptsMaryland |
| Tulsa at RiceOct 17 · 4:30 pm ET | Tulsa −5.8Tulsa 64% win probability | Tulsa −4.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 1.3 ptsTulsa |
| Toledo at Eastern MichiganOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Toledo −6.7Toledo 66% win probability | Toledo −5.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 1.2 ptsToledo |
| Georgia Tech at Virginia TechOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Virginia Tech −10.7Virginia Tech 75% win probability | Virginia Tech −9.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 1.2 ptsVirginia Tech |
| Mississippi State at LSUOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | LSU −11.6LSU 77% win probability | LSU −10.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 1.1 ptsLSU |
| Appalachian State at Coastal CarolinaOct 16 · 8:00 pm ET | Appalachian State −2.5Appalachian State 56% win probability | Appalachian State −1.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 1 ptsAppalachian State |
| Florida Atlantic at ArmyOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | Army −1.5Army 54% win probability | Army −2.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 1 ptsFlorida Atlantic |
| Wake Forest at CaliforniaOct 17 · 10:30 pm ET | Wake Forest −10.5Wake Forest 75% win probability | Wake Forest −9.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 1 ptsWake Forest |
| Ohio at Sacramento StateOct 17 · 10:00 pm ET | Ohio −15.5Ohio 83% win probability | Ohio −14.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 1 ptsOhio |
| Nevada at North Dakota StateOct 17 · 7:00 pm ET | North Dakota State −15.4North Dakota State 83% win probability | North Dakota State −14.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 0.9 ptsNorth Dakota State |
| Arkansas State at Southern MissOct 17 · 7:00 pm ET | Arkansas State −7.8Arkansas State 69% win probability | Arkansas State −7 Connelly sheet · reference only | 0.8 ptsArkansas State |
| Penn State at MichiganOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Michigan −6Michigan 65% win probability | Michigan −6.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 0.5 ptsPenn State |
| TCU at BaylorOct 17 · 7:00 pm ET | Baylor −6Baylor 65% win probability | Baylor −6.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 0.5 ptsTCU |
| Nebraska at OregonOct 17 · 11:00 pm ET | Oregon −6.6Oregon 66% win probability | Oregon −7 Connelly sheet · reference only | 0.4 ptsNebraska |
| Auburn at GeorgiaOct 17 · 3:30 pm ET | Georgia −19.8Georgia 89% win probability | Georgia −19.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 0.3 ptsGeorgia |
| Kentucky at OklahomaOct 17 · 7:30 pm ET | Oklahoma −6.8Oklahoma 67% win probability | Oklahoma −6.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 0.3 ptsOklahoma |
| Kansas at Kansas StateOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | Kansas State −6.3Kansas State 65% win probability | Kansas State −6.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 0.2 ptsKansas |
| Arkansas at VanderbiltOct 17 · 7:00 pm ET | Vanderbilt −6.1Vanderbilt 65% win probability | Vanderbilt −6 Connelly sheet · reference only | 0.1 ptsVanderbilt |
| Oklahoma State at HoustonOct 17 · 7:30 pm ET | Houston −4.4Houston 61% win probability | Houston −4.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 0.1 ptsOklahoma State |
| Elon at StanfordOct 17 · 7:30 pm ET | Stanford −15.8Stanford 84% win probability | Not availableNo recent matched quote | — |
| Charleston Southern at ClemsonOct 17 · 12:00 pm ET | Clemson −33.5Clemson 98% win probability | Not availableNo recent matched quote | — |
| The Citadel at Texas A&MOct 17 · 1:00 pm ET | Texas A&M −52.5Texas A&M 100% win probability | Not availableNo recent matched quote | — |
| East Carolina at UABOct 15 · 7:30 pm ET · Kickoff passed | East Carolina −9East Carolina 71% win probability | East Carolina −4.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 4.5 pts · historical |
| Kennesaw State at Missouri StateOct 14 · 7:30 pm ET · Kickoff passed | Kennesaw State −7.2Kennesaw State 68% win probability | Kennesaw State −3.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 3.7 pts · historical |
| Florida International at Jacksonville StateOct 13 · 8:00 pm ET · Kickoff passed | Jacksonville State −5.5Jacksonville State 63% win probability | Jacksonville State −3 Connelly sheet · reference only | 2.5 pts · historical |
| Colorado State at Texas StateOct 15 · 8:00 pm ET · Kickoff passed | Texas State −10.1Texas State 74% win probability | Texas State −12.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 2.4 pts · historical |
| Delaware at Middle TennesseeOct 13 · 7:00 pm ET · Kickoff passed | Delaware −3.9Delaware 60% win probability | Delaware −2.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 1.4 pts · historical |
| Georgia Southern at Old DominionOct 15 · 7:30 pm ET · Kickoff passed | Georgia Southern −2.8Georgia Southern 57% win probability | Georgia Southern −4 Connelly sheet · reference only | 1.2 pts · historical |
| Western Kentucky at Sam HoustonOct 14 · 8:00 pm ET · Kickoff passed | Western Kentucky −1Western Kentucky 53% win probability | Western Kentucky −1.5 Connelly sheet · reference only | 0.5 pts · historical |
No games match these filters.
Ohio State
+29.4 SP+; offense No. 1 and defense No. 1. Ratings measure team strength, not championship probability.
Oklahoma State
Up 20 places to No. 22 from the prior source ranking. Rank movement and rating-point movement are different measures.
Elon
The largest matched upcoming difference is 19.7 points versus DraftKings. Check the matchup and price before drawing a conclusion.
THE FOUNDATION
Complete FBS SP+ rankings
Standard FBS rating scale. Higher overall and offense are better; lower defense is better.
138 teams
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| Rank | Team | SP+ | CFB title odds | Change | Offense | Defense | AP | Coaches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio StateBig Ten · 5-1 | +29.4 | +400 | ↑ 1 | 41.3No. 1 | 11.7No. 1 | — | — |
| 2 | GeorgiaSEC · | +28.3 | +475 | ↓ 1 | 40.5No. 4 | 12.7No. 3 | — | — |
| 3 | Notre DameIndies · | +28 | +500 | ↑ 1 | 41No. 2 | 13.3No. 6 | — | — |
| 4 | Miami-FLACC · | +27.8 | +750 | ↑ 1 | 40.6No. 3 | 13.1No. 5 | — | — |
| 5 | IndianaBig Ten · | +26.7 | +1100 | ↓ 2 | 39.3No. 7 | 12.8No. 4 | — | — |
| 6 | TexasSEC · | +24.3 | +1050 | ↑ 2 | 36.3No. 16 | 12.2No. 2 | — | — |
| 7 | UtahBig 12 · | +23.5 | +6800 | ↑ 2 | 39.1No. 8 | 15.7No. 13 | — | — |
| 8 | AlabamaSEC · 5-1 | +23 | +1000 | ↓ 2 | 40No. 5 | 17.1No. 16 | — | — |
| 9 | LSUSEC · 4-2 | +21.7 | +3500 | ↓ 2 | 36.7No. 13 | 14.9No. 11 | — | — |
| 10 | Texas TechBig 12 · | +21.6 | +8000 | ↑ 1 | 36.7No. 14 | 15.4No. 12 | — | — |
| 11 | BYUBig 12 · | +21.5 | +9000 | ↑ 3 | 35No. 20 | 13.8No. 9 | — | — |
| 12 | OregonBig Ten · 3-2 | +21 | +7000 | ↓ 2 | 38.2No. 10 | 17.4No. 19 | — | — |
| 13 | MissouriSEC · 5-1 | +18 | +10000 | ↑ 2 | 33No. 33 | 14.9No. 10 | — | — |
| 14 | NebraskaBig Ten · 5-1 | +16.9 | +25000 | ↓ 2 | 34.7No. 22 | 17.7No. 20 | — | — |
| 15 | TennesseeSEC · 5-1 | +16.7 | +10000 | ↓ 2 | 34.9No. 21 | 18.5No. 23 | — | — |
| 16 | Ole MissSEC · 4-1 | +15.9 | +2600 | ↑ 19 | 39.9No. 6 | 24.4No. 57 | — | — |
| 17 | NorthwesternBig Ten · 4-1 | +15.6 | +75000 | ↑ 16 | 35.1No. 19 | 19.7No. 27 | — | — |
| 18 | UCLABig Ten · | +15.3 | +17500 | ↑ 3 | 34.3No. 24 | 19.2No. 25 | — | — |
| 19 | ArizonaBig 12 · 5-1 | +15.2 | +125000 | — | 35.5No. 17 | 20No. 28 | — | — |
| 20 | HoustonBig 12 · 5-1 | +15.2 | +20000 | ↓ 4 | 36.6No. 15 | 21.5No. 35 | — | — |
| 21 | USCBig Ten · 6-1 | +14.4 | +13000 | ↓ 4 | 38.5No. 9 | 24.2No. 54 | — | — |
| 22 | Oklahoma StateBig 12 · 4-1 | +13.3 | +25000 | ↑ 20 | 34.5No. 23 | 21.5No. 36 | — | — |
| 23 | MichiganBig Ten · 3-2 | +13.1 | +100000 | ↑ 3 | 26.6No. 68 | 13.4No. 7 | — | — |
| 24 | IowaBig Ten · 5-1 | +13 | +20000 | ↑ 10 | 29.3No. 51 | 16.7No. 15 | — | — |
| 25 | LouisvilleACC · 3-3 | +13 | +125000 | ↑ 7 | 38No. 11 | 25No. 61 | — | — |
| 26 | SMUACC · 4-1 | +12.8 | +50000 | ↓ 2 | 34.2No. 25 | 21No. 31 | — | — |
| 27 | BaylorBig 12 · 4-1 | +12.7 | +75000 | ↑ 4 | 31.3No. 42 | 19No. 24 | — | — |
| 28 | Mississippi StateSEC · 4-1 | +12.6 | +25000 | ↓ 1 | 37.8No. 12 | 25.5No. 65 | — | — |
| 29 | New MexicoMWC · 4-1 | +12.3 | +150000 | ↓ 4 | 29.8No. 46 | 17.8No. 22 | — | — |
| 30 | OklahomaSEC · | +12.3 | +6000 | ↓ 7 | 25.7No. 84 | 13.7No. 8 | — | — |
| 31 | Kansas StateBig 12 · 3-2 | +11 | +150000 | ↓ 9 | 33.5No. 28 | 22.7No. 46 | — | — |
| 32 | FloridaSEC · 4-2 | +11 | +12500 | ↓ 12 | 35.1No. 18 | 24.6No. 59 | — | — |
| 33 | AuburnSEC · 3-2 | +11 | +120000 | ↑ 4 | 27.9No. 63 | 17.1No. 17 | — | — |
| 34 | WisconsinBig Ten · 4-1 | +10.5 | +75000 | ↑ 10 | 26.3No. 76 | 15.8No. 14 | — | — |
| 35 | Wake ForestACC · 5-1 | +10.5 | +75000 | ↑ 10 | 32.6No. 34 | 22.3No. 44 | — | — |
| 36 | PittsburghACC · 5-1 | +10.5 | +125000 | ↓ 18 | 29.7No. 47 | 19.4No. 26 | — | — |
| 37 | South CarolinaSEC · 3-3 | +9.9 | +200000 | ↑ 13 | 33.5No. 29 | 24No. 53 | — | — |
| 38 | Penn StateBig Ten · 3-3 | +9.6 | +100000 | ↓ 8 | 30No. 45 | 20.5No. 29 | — | — |
| 39 | Virginia TechACC · 4-2 | +9.5 | +125000 | ↓ 11 | 32No. 38 | 22.4No. 45 | — | — |
| 40 | James MadisonSun Belt · | +9.4 | +125000 | ↓ 11 | 31.1No. 44 | 21.8No. 39 | — | — |
| 41 | TCUBig 12 · 2-3 | +9.2 | +250000 | ↑ 6 | 26.5No. 70 | 17.1No. 18 | — | — |
| 42 | Boise StatePac-12 · 5-1 | +9.1 | +75000 | ↓ 2 | 34.1No. 27 | 25.1No. 62 | — | — |
| 43 | North Dakota StateMWC · 5-1 | +8.6 | +125000 | ↓ 5 | 26.1No. 80 | 17.7No. 21 | — | — |
| 44 | VirginiaACC · 4-2 | +8.5 | +125000 | ↑ 4 | 29.6No. 48 | 21.3No. 33 | — | — |
| 45 | DukeACC · 4-1 | +8.2 | +125000 | ↓ 2 | 31.5No. 41 | 23.4No. 50 | — | — |
| 46 | Texas A&MSEC · 3-3 | +8 | +125000 | ↓ 7 | 29.3No. 50 | 21.4No. 34 | — | — |
| 47 | KentuckySEC · 5-1 | +8 | +30000 | ↓ 1 | 33.1No. 32 | 25No. 60 | — | — |
| 48 | MemphisAAC · 5-1 | +7.6 | +125000 | ↑ 6 | 34.1No. 26 | 26.6No. 78 | — | — |
| 49 | LibertyCUSA · 5-1 | +7.3 | +300000 | ↑ 7 | 29No. 56 | 21.6No. 38 | — | — |
| 50 | KansasBig 12 · 2-3 | +7.2 | +200000 | ↑ 1 | 29.4No. 49 | 22.3No. 43 | — | — |
| 51 | Oregon StatePac-12 · 4-2 | +7.1 | +200000 | ↑ 7 | 31.6No. 40 | 24No. 52 | — | — |
| 52 | WashingtonBig Ten · 3-3 | +7.1 | +20000 | ↓ 11 | 28.2No. 59 | 21.1No. 32 | — | — |
| 53 | IllinoisBig Ten · 3-3 | +5.8 | +100000 | ↓ 1 | 33.1No. 31 | 27.7No. 84 | — | — |
| 54 | Florida StateACC · 3-3 | +5.8 | +150000 | ↓ 18 | 32.2No. 35 | 26.6No. 77 | — | — |
| 55 | CincinnatiBig 12 · 4-1 | +5.3 | +150000 | — | 31.6No. 39 | 26.5No. 75 | — | — |
| 56 | North CarolinaACC · 3-2 | +4.9 | +150000 | ↑ 9 | 26.4No. 73 | 21.5No. 37 | — | — |
| 57 | UCFBig 12 · 3-3 | +4.1 | +200000 | ↓ 8 | 26.1No. 81 | 22.1No. 41 | — | — |
| 58 | Fresno StatePac-12 · 4-2 | +3.7 | +125000 | ↑ 2 | 26.4No. 72 | 22.9No. 47 | — | — |
| 59 | Arizona StateBig 12 · 3-2 | +3.6 | +125000 | ↑ 10 | 27No. 66 | 23.2No. 48 | — | — |
| 60 | MinnesotaBig Ten · 4-2 | +2.9 | +125000 | ↓ 7 | 25No. 87 | 22.1No. 42 | — | — |
| 61 | ClemsonACC · 3-2 | +2.2 | +150000 | ↑ 2 | 22.6No. 97 | 20.7No. 30 | — | — |
| 62 | PurdueBig Ten · 3-3 | +1.6 | +400000 | ↑ 19 | 31.3No. 43 | 30.1No. 100 | — | — |
| 63 | Air ForceMWC · 4-1 | +1.4 | +300000 | ↑ 8 | 26.6No. 67 | 25.3No. 64 | — | — |
| 64 | Georgia TechACC · 2-3 | +1.3 | +300000 | ↑ 8 | 27.9No. 62 | 26.7No. 81 | — | — |
| 65 | VanderbiltSEC · 3-3 | +1.2 | +150000 | ↓ 8 | 28.2No. 60 | 27.2No. 82 | — | — |
| 66 | Iowa StateBig 12 · 3-3 | +1 | +200000 | ↓ 7 | 25.4No. 85 | 24.6No. 58 | — | — |
| 67 | UTSAAAC · 5-1 | +0.8 | +200000 | ↑ 7 | 28.3No. 58 | 27.5No. 83 | — | — |
| 68 | USFAAC · 4-2 | +0.6 | +250000 | ↓ 2 | 26.4No. 71 | 25.9No. 67 | — | — |
| 69 | Florida AtlanticAAC · 4-1 | +0.1 | +300000 | ↑ 1 | 28.9No. 57 | 29No. 95 | — | — |
| 70 | NavyAAC · 2-3 | -0.2 | +300000 | ↑ 7 | 26.3No. 75 | 26.4No. 74 | — | — |
| 71 | Texas StatePac-12 · 2-3 | -0.2 | +125000 | ↑ 2 | 33.2No. 30 | 33.2No. 118 | — | — |
| 72 | SyracuseACC · 2-3 | -0.4 | — | ↓ 4 | 25.1No. 86 | 25.6No. 66 | — | — |
| 73 | West VirginiaBig 12 · 3-3 | -0.6 | +75000 | ↓ 9 | 32.1No. 37 | 32.9No. 116 | — | — |
| 74 | UNLVMWC · 4-2 | -0.9 | +300000 | ↑ 5 | 24.4No. 91 | 25.3No. 63 | — | — |
| 75 | ArmyAAC · 3-2 | -0.9 | +125000 | ↑ 3 | 27.5No. 65 | 28.5No. 91 | — | — |
| 76 | North TexasAAC · 4-2 | -1 | +200000 | ↑ 10 | 32.1No. 36 | 32.7No. 115 | — | — |
| 77 | Michigan StateBig Ten · 2-4 | -1.2 | +100000 | ↓ 1 | 25No. 89 | 26.2No. 73 | — | — |
| 78 | ConnecticutIndies · 3-3 | -1.3 | +100000 | ↑ 7 | 29.1No. 55 | 30.5No. 105 | — | — |
| 79 | East CarolinaAAC · 3-2 | -1.3 | +400000 | ↑ 3 | 22.5No. 98 | 23.8No. 51 | — | — |
| 80 | NC StateACC · 3-3 | -1.3 | +250000 | ↓ 18 | 29.2No. 52 | 30.6No. 106 | — | — |
| 81 | MarylandBig Ten · 2-4 | -2 | — | ↓ 20 | 26.2No. 78 | 28.2No. 89 | — | — |
| 82 | ToledoMAC · 4-2 | -2.1 | +100000 | ↓ 15 | 24.1No. 93 | 26No. 70 | — | — |
| 83 | UL-LafayetteSun Belt · 4-2 | -2.3 | +100000 | ↓ 8 | 26.5No. 69 | 28.7No. 93 | — | — |
| 84 | Jacksonville StateCUSA · 4-2 | -2.4 | — | ↓ 4 | 26.2No. 79 | 28.4No. 90 | — | — |
| 85 | ArkansasSEC · 2-4 | -2.4 | +125000 | ↓ 2 | 26.4No. 74 | 29No. 96 | — | — |
| 86 | ColoradoBig 12 · 2-3 | -2.4 | +350000 | ↓ 2 | 21.4No. 102 | 23.3No. 49 | — | — |
| 87 | CaliforniaACC · 3-3 | -2.5 | +350000 | ↑ 1 | 24.4No. 90 | 26.6No. 76 | — | — |
| 88 | Western MichiganMAC · 4-2 | -3.2 | +125000 | ↑ 10 | 21.1No. 105 | 24.4No. 55 | — | — |
| 89 | NevadaMWC · 2-3 | -4.3 | — | ↑ 8 | 21.4No. 103 | 26.1No. 71 | — | — |
| 90 | Georgia SouthernSun Belt · 2-4 | -4.6 | — | ↑ 3 | 25.9No. 82 | 30.2No. 102 | — | — |
| 91 | Georgia StateSun Belt · 4-1 | -4.8 | +400000 | ↓ 1 | 27.6No. 64 | 32.2No. 114 | — | — |
| 92 | Boston CollegeACC · 2-3 | -4.9 | — | — | 19.5No. 110 | 24.4No. 56 | — | — |
| 93 | TulsaAAC · 3-3 | -5.1 | — | ↓ 6 | 22.9No. 95 | 28.1No. 88 | — | — |
| 94 | RutgersBig Ten · 1-4 | -5.3 | — | — | 29.2No. 53 | 34.7No. 125 | — | — |
| 95 | Florida InternationalCUSA · 3-2 | -5.4 | +100000 | — | 16.9No. 121 | 22.1No. 40 | — | — |
| 96 | Louisiana TechSun Belt · 3-2 | -5.9 | +100000 | ↑ 5 | 25.8No. 83 | 31.5No. 109 | — | — |
| 97 | Appalachian StateSun Belt · 3-2 | -6 | +125000 | ↓ 8 | 21.8No. 100 | 28No. 86 | — | — |
| 98 | Miami-OHMAC · 3-3 | -6.4 | — | ↑ 1 | 22.2No. 99 | 28.6No. 92 | — | — |
| 99 | TempleAAC · 2-4 | -6.5 | — | ↓ 8 | 25No. 88 | 31.6No. 112 | — | — |
| 100 | TroySun Belt · 3-2 | -6.6 | — | ↑ 2 | 23No. 94 | 29.5No. 98 | — | — |
| 101 | OhioMAC · 4-2 | -6.7 | — | ↑ 5 | 21.6No. 101 | 28No. 87 | — | — |
| 102 | TulaneAAC · 2-3 | -7.6 | +250000 | ↓ 6 | 18.8No. 114 | 26.7No. 80 | — | — |
| 103 | Colorado StatePac-12 · 2-3 | -7.8 | +100000 | — | 28No. 61 | 35.7No. 127 | — | — |
| 104 | Arkansas StateSun Belt · 2-4 | -8 | +100000 | — | 26.2No. 77 | 34.2No. 123 | — | — |
| 105 | Utah StatePac-12 · 2-4 | -9 | +100000 | ↑ 2 | 17.4No. 117 | 25.9No. 68 | — | — |
| 106 | MassachusettsMAC · 4-2 | -9.5 | — | ↓ 1 | 20No. 109 | 29.4No. 97 | — | — |
| 107 | Kennesaw StateCUSA · 1-4 | -9.8 | — | ↑ 2 | 20.8No. 106 | 30.2No. 103 | — | — |
| 108 | Old DominionSun Belt · 2-4 | -9.9 | — | ↑ 4 | 16.5No. 123 | 26.2No. 72 | — | — |
| 109 | San Diego StatePac-12 · 2-4 | -10.2 | +75000 | ↓ 9 | 19.5No. 111 | 30.1No. 101 | — | — |
| 110 | Coastal CarolinaSun Belt · 2-4 | -11 | — | ↑ 3 | 22.6No. 96 | 33.6No. 121 | — | — |
| 111 | Washington StatePac-12 · 1-5 | -11.1 | +100000 | ↓ 3 | 15.3No. 127 | 26No. 69 | — | — |
| 112 | South AlabamaSun Belt · 4-2 | -11.1 | +100000 | ↑ 4 | 29.2No. 54 | 39.9No. 136 | — | — |
| 113 | Eastern MichiganMAC · 4-3 | -11.2 | — | ↓ 2 | 19.5No. 112 | 30.3No. 104 | — | — |
| 114 | San Jose StateMWC · 3-3 | -12.2 | — | ↑ 8 | 16No. 125 | 27.9No. 85 | — | — |
| 115 | UABAAC · 3-3 | -12.8 | — | ↓ 5 | 18.8No. 115 | 31.6No. 111 | — | — |
| 116 | HawaiiMWC · 1-5 | -12.9 | — | ↓ 1 | 17.6No. 116 | 30.8No. 108 | — | — |
| 117 | Western KentuckyCUSA · 2-4 | -13 | — | ↑ 9 | 20.3No. 107 | 33.6No. 120 | — | — |
| 118 | DelawareCUSA · 2-3 | -13.1 | +100000 | ↓ 1 | 20.1No. 108 | 32.9No. 117 | — | — |
| 119 | MarshallSun Belt · 3-3 | -13.2 | — | ↑ 4 | 24.4No. 92 | 37.5No. 133 | — | — |
| 120 | RiceAAC · 1-5 | -13.4 | +100000 | ↓ 2 | 16.5No. 124 | 29.8No. 99 | — | — |
| 121 | New Mexico StateCUSA · 2-4 | -13.7 | — | ↓ 1 | 17.3No. 118 | 30.8No. 107 | — | — |
| 122 | WyomingMWC · 3-3 | -13.8 | — | ↑ 2 | 12.9No. 135 | 26.6No. 79 | — | — |
| 123 | BuffaloMAC · 3-3 | -13.9 | +100000 | ↑ 5 | 14.7No. 130 | 28.9No. 94 | — | — |
| 124 | StanfordACC · 2-4 | -14.9 | +100000 | ↓ 10 | 19.4No. 113 | 33.8No. 122 | — | — |
| 125 | Sam HoustonCUSA · 1-4 | -16.5 | — | ↓ 6 | 17.1No. 120 | 33.3No. 119 | — | — |
| 126 | Central MichiganMAC · 3-3 | -16.7 | — | ↓ 5 | 15.2No. 128 | 31.5No. 110 | — | — |
| 127 | Bowling GreenMAC · 2-4 | -17.9 | — | ↑ 5 | 13.8No. 132 | 31.7No. 113 | — | — |
| 128 | Southern MissSun Belt · 1-4 | -18.3 | — | ↓ 1 | 21.2No. 104 | 39.2No. 135 | — | — |
| 129 | Middle TennesseeCUSA · 2-3 | -19.5 | — | — | 15.5No. 126 | 35.1No. 126 | — | — |
| 130 | Missouri StateCUSA · 1-4 | -19.5 | — | ↓ 5 | 17.2No. 119 | 36.3No. 129 | — | — |
| 131 | AkronMAC · 1-5 | -22.4 | — | ↑ 4 | 15No. 129 | 36.9No. 131 | — | — |
| 132 | Kent StateMAC · 2-4 | -22.6 | — | ↓ 2 | 12.2No. 137 | 34.3No. 124 | — | — |
| 133 | Northern IllinoisMWC · | -23.5 | — | — | 12.9No. 134 | 36No. 128 | — | — |
| 134 | UTEPMWC · 1-5 | -24.6 | — | ↑ 2 | 13.3No. 133 | 37.4No. 132 | — | — |
| 135 | Sacramento StateMAC · 1-5 | -24.7 | — | ↓ 4 | 12.1No. 138 | 36.6No. 130 | — | — |
| 136 | Ball StateMAC · 1-5 | -25.2 | — | ↓ 2 | 14.2No. 131 | 38.9No. 134 | — | — |
| 137 | UL-MonroeSun Belt · | -28.4 | — | — | 16.5No. 122 | 44.4No. 138 | — | — |
| 138 | CharlotteAAC · | -28.6 | — | — | 12.4No. 136 | 40.7No. 137 | — | — |
No teams match these filters.
Title odds · retrieved Oct 16 · 1:27 pm ET. Feed updated 2026-10-16. Source: CLEATZ CFB title odds feed. Missing quotes stay blank. Title odds are market context, not an SP+ championship probability.
Change compares rank with the previous source week. SP+ is points above or below an average FBS team on a neutral field. Published game projections can include adjustments beyond a simple rating difference.
PERCEPTION CHECK
SP+ versus the voters
Poll gaps describe a disagreement about rank. They do not establish value at a sportsbook.
Matching polls for this season and week are not available. Poll comparisons will appear after a verified update.
TRACKED FROM INSTALLATION
A record we can inspect
Upcoming comparisons are saved before kickoff. Results use the last saved pregame snapshot and its exact book, line and price.
No graded results yet247 captured games · 0 graded at a 2+ point gap
The recorded sample uses the final saved pregame gap of at least 2 points. Earlier qualifying gaps can fall below that threshold. No retrospective source-line results are counted. This is a tracking rule, not a validated betting strategy. Final scores are checked against ESPN; unresolved games remain ungraded.
Inspect recent captures
| Game | Saved comparison | Captured | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska at Oregon | Nebraska · 0.4 ptsDraftKings · Oregon −7 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| New Mexico at Hawaii | New Mexico · 8.2 ptsDraftKings · New Mexico −14.5 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| Fresno State at San Diego State | Fresno State · 3.8 ptsDraftKings · Fresno State −7.5 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| Wake Forest at California | Wake Forest · 0.5 ptsDraftKings · Wake Forest −10 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| Utah at Colorado | Utah · 8.9 ptsDraftKings · Utah −14.5 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| Ohio at Sacramento State | No difference · 0 ptsDraftKings · Ohio −15.5 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| San Jose State at UTEP | San Jose State · 2.9 ptsDraftKings · San Jose State −7 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| Louisiana Tech at UL-Monroe | Louisiana Tech · 4.5 ptsDraftKings · Louisiana Tech −15.5 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| Navy at UTSA | Navy · 3.1 ptsDraftKings · UTSA −6.5 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| Notre Dame at BYU | BYU · 6.5 ptsDraftKings · Notre Dame −10.5 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| Wisconsin at UCLA | UCLA · 4.7 ptsDraftKings · UCLA −2.5 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| Louisville at Syracuse | Syracuse · 4.6 ptsDraftKings · Louisville −15.5 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| Kentucky at Oklahoma | Oklahoma · 0.3 ptsDraftKings · Oklahoma −6.5 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| Oklahoma State at Houston | Oklahoma State · 0.1 ptsDraftKings · Houston −4.5 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| Elon at Stanford | Elon · 19.7 ptsDraftKings · Stanford −35.5 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| Kent State at USF | USF · 5.2 ptsDraftKings · USF −20.5 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| Florida State at Miami-FL | Miami-FL · 3.5 ptsDraftKings · Miami-FL −21 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| Arkansas State at Southern Miss | Arkansas State · 1.3 ptsDraftKings · Arkansas State −6.5 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| TCU at Baylor | Baylor · 0.5 ptsDraftKings · Baylor −5.5 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
| Arkansas at Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt · 0.1 ptsDraftKings · Vanderbilt −6 | Oct 16 · 1:31 pm ET | Pregame · can update |
Sources, calculation and updates
SP+ belongs to Bill Connelly. CLEATZ imports the FBS ratings and published game projections, matches available sportsbook lines, calculates differences, and tracks snapshots. CLEATZ does not claim to have built the underlying SP+ model.
The signed comparison is the home-team sportsbook spread minus the home-team projected spread. A positive result points toward the home team; a negative result points toward the away team. For example, a projected home spread of −7 versus an available −3.5 produces a 3.5-point difference toward the home team.
Source checks run hourly through WordPress cron. Current odds are read from the existing CLEATZ Game Odds cache and must have been retrieved within 15 minutes. A recent cache retrieval does not guarantee every quote is still available. Missing quotes stay missing. Games whose scheduled kickoff has passed are excluded from upcoming signals.
The source’s projected winner probability is an outright win probability, not a spread-cover probability. Championship prices appear in the rankings table via the existing CLEATZ title-odds feed, checked every 30 minutes. See the full CFB title odds board.
What is the SP+ CFB Ranking?
In the world of CFB analytics rankings, SP+ stands alone. SP+ is the college football equivalent of KenPom rankings. Developed by Bill Connelly, it is a predictive measure of team efficiency. Unlike the AP Poll or the Committee Rankings, which are “resume-based” and reward who you beat, SP+ is “performance-based.” It doesn’t care if you won by 1 on a fluke fumble; it cares how well you played on a per-play basis.
The system is derived from five primary factors:
- Success Rate: Are you staying “on schedule”?
- Explosiveness: How many “big plays” are you generating?
- Field Position: The hidden yardage battle.
- Finishing Drives: Converting yards into points.
- Turnovers: The most volatile, yet impactful, stat.
Mathematically, the rating represents how many points better (or worse) a team is than the average FBS team. For example, if a team has an Overall SP+ of $+25.0$, they would be favored by 25 points over an average opponent on a neutral field.
Why it diverges from the AP Poll: The AP Poll is a beauty contest; SP+ is a calculator. Voters often overrate teams with “clean” records against weak schedules. SP+ strips away the fluff, adjusting for every opponent and every tempo, often revealing “paper tigers” long before the playoff committee does.
How accurate is SP+ at Predicting CFP teams?
Critics often point to “weird” rankings, but historical data shows that the SP+ Top 5 in August almost always produces at least two Playoff participants.
| Season | SP+ Top 5 Accuracy | Correct CFP Teams in Top 10 |
| 2025 | 80% (4 of 5) | 9 of 12 |
| 2024 | 60% (3 of 5) | 8 of 12 |
| 2023 | 75% (3 of 4) | 3 of 4 (4-team era) |
| 2022 | 100% (4 of 4) | 4 of 4 (4-team era) |
Jason Ziernicki is the founder of CLEATZ and has worked in the online sports betting industry since 2012. At CLEATZ, he focuses on public betting data, sportsbook line movement, prediction markets and data-driven sports betting tools.