2026 World Series Odds: Sportsbooks vs. Prediction Markets
The Los Angeles Dodgers are the current 2026 World Series favorites at roughly +160 across major sportsbooks, implying about a 35% chance to win. But prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket often price that probability differently, creating actionable gaps between public betting lines and true market consensus. Below, we compare live sportsbook odds vs. prediction market probabilities for all 30 MLB teams to identify where the best value (and biggest traps) exist.
How to Read This Chart
American odds show how much you win on a $100 bet. For example, +210 returns $210 in profit. We convert those odds into implied probability so they can be compared directly with prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, which trade in percentages. The Delta column highlights pricing gaps: Green signals potential value (market higher than books), while red flags teams that may be overpriced due to public betting pressure.
2026 MLB World Series Odds
Swipe the table to compare every sportsbook — the team column stays in place.
| # | Team | Best | 14d Trend | Kalshi | FanDuel | DraftKings | BetMGM | BetRivers | Rebet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Dodgers 33.3% implied | +200 Rebet | -4.4pp | 32.2¢ | +165 | +180 | +160 | +170 | +200 |
| 2 | Milwaukee Brewers 11.1% implied | +800 FanDuel | +1.4pp | 12.9¢ | +800 | +800 | +800 | +700 | +750 |
| 3 | New York Yankees 10.5% implied | +850 Rebet | -1.2pp | 10.1¢ | +800 | +800 | +800 | +700 | +850 |
| 4 | Tampa Bay Rays 8.3% implied | +1100 DraftKings | flat | 7¢ | +1000 | +1100 | +1100 | +1100 | +1100 |
| 5 | Boston Red Sox 6.7% implied | +1400 FanDuel | +0.4pp | 5.5¢ | +1400 | +1400 | +1400 | +1300 | +1400 |
| 6 | Atlanta Braves 5.9% implied | +1600 Rebet | -2.5pp | 5.8¢ | +1400 | +1200 | +1200 | +1300 | +1600 |
| 7 | Chicago Cubs 5.9% implied | +1600 Rebet | -1.8pp | 5.9¢ | +1500 | +1400 | +1400 | +1500 | +1600 |
| 8 | Philadelphia Phillies 5.3% implied | +1800 FanDuel | +0.9pp | 6.4¢ | +1800 | +1400 | +1500 | +1600 | +1600 |
| 9 | Chicago White Sox 3.2% implied | +3000 BetRivers | +0.5pp | 3.2¢ | +2500 | +2500 | +2200 | +3000 | +2500 |
| 10 | Houston Astros 2.8% implied | +3500 Rebet | -1.6pp | 2.1¢ | +2500 | +3000 | +2800 | +3000 | +3500 |
| 11 | Cleveland Guardians 2.8% implied | +3500 DraftKings | +1.2pp | 2.6¢ | +3000 | +3500 | +3500 | +3000 | +3500 |
| 12 | Seattle Mariners 2.4% implied | +4000 FanDuel | +1.1pp | 1.5¢ | +4000 | +3000 | +3500 | +4000 | +3300 |
| 13 | San Diego Padres 2.4% implied | +4000 FanDuel | +0.8pp | 2.3¢ | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 | +3000 | +3500 |
| 14 | Texas Rangers 1.2% implied | +8000 BetMGM | -0.3pp | 1.5¢ | +6000 | +3500 | +8000 | +3000 | +5500 |
| 15 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1.0% implied | +10000 Rebet | flat | 0.8¢ | +8000 | +7500 | +8000 | +5000 | +10000 |
| 16 | Toronto Blue Jays 1.0% implied | +10000 FanDuel | -0.2pp | 0.8¢ | +10000 | +6000 | +8000 | +5000 | +6600 |
| 17 | Baltimore Orioles 0.7% implied | +15000 Rebet | flat | 0.4¢ | +12500 | +11000 | +10000 | +10000 | +15000 |
| 18 | Minnesota Twins 0.3% implied | +30000 BetMGM | -0.3pp | 0.4¢ | +25000 | +15000 | +30000 | +12500 | +15000 |
| 19 | Detroit Tigers 0.2% implied | +60000 FanDuel | -1.6pp | 0.2¢ | +60000 | +15000 | +40000 | +12500 | +20000 |
| 20 | Miami Marlins 0.1% implied | +100000 FanDuel | flat | 0.1¢ | +100000 | +40000 | +75000 | +20000 | +50000 |
| 21 | Pittsburgh Pirates 0.1% implied | +100000 FanDuel | flat | 0.1¢ | +100000 | +50000 | +75000 | +25000 | +100000 |
| 22 | St. Louis Cardinals 0.1% implied | +100000 FanDuel | flat | 0.1¢ | +100000 | +50000 | +75000 | +15000 | +75000 |
| 23 | Kansas City Royals 0.1% implied | +100000 DraftKings | flat | 0.1¢ | — | +100000 | +100000 | +50000 | +100000 |
| 24 | Cincinnati Reds 0.1% implied | +100000 DraftKings | flat | 0.1¢ | — | +100000 | +100000 | +50000 | +100000 |
| 25 | Washington Nationals 0.1% implied | +100000 DraftKings | flat | 0.1¢ | — | +100000 | +100000 | +25000 | +100000 |
| 26 | New York Mets 0.1% implied | +100000 DraftKings | flat | 0.1¢ | — | +100000 | +100000 | +50000 | +100000 |
| 27 | Athletics 0.1% implied | +100000 Rebet | flat | 0.1¢ | — | — | — | +50000 | +100000 |
| 28 | Los Angeles Angels 0.1% implied | +100000 Rebet | flat | 0.1¢ | — | — | — | +50000 | +100000 |
| 29 | San Francisco Giants 0.1% implied | +150000 Rebet | flat | 0.1¢ | — | — | — | +50000 | +150000 |
| 30 | Colorado Rockies 0.1% implied | +200000 Rebet | flat | 0.1¢ | — | — | — | +75000 | +200000 |
This Week in the World Series Market
Week ending August 25, 2026The Philadelphia Phillies attracted the week's heaviest action, tightening from +2000 to +1700 as their implied win probability climbed 0.8 points to 5.6%. The Milwaukee Brewers followed a similar path, adding 0.5 points over the same period.
The Houston Astros moved in the opposite direction, drifting from +2200 to +3300 and shedding 1.4 points of implied probability. The Detroit Tigers experienced a comparable fade and now sit at +17500. When a contender's price lengthens this sharply, it typically signals either injury concerns or a deteriorating playoff position rather than any fundamental reassessment of talent, making it worth checking rotation news before treating the drift as value.
The sharpest disconnect between sportsbooks and the Kalshi prediction market appears on the Los Angeles Dodgers. The best available sportsbook price of +175 implies a 36.4% probability, while Kalshi traders have priced the same outcome at 33.8¢. That makes the sportsbook number more expensive, an unusual inversion given that book-implied figures normally run above prediction markets due to built-in margin. Any gap wider than a couple of points warrants scrutiny before placing a bet. The trend column tracks each team's implied probability over the past fourteen days, so a shortened price paired with a rising sparkline indicates sustained market movement rather than a reaction to any single outcome.
Where Sportsbooks and Prediction Markets Disagree
Sportsbooks don’t price purely on probability; they price around public money, liability, and behavior. Prediction markets, on the other hand, reflect trader consensus and sharper capital. When those two diverge meaningfully, it creates opportunity. If Kalshi says a team has a 12% chance to win the World Series but sportsbooks imply 7%, that gap isn’t noise; it’s the market telling you something.
Most Overpriced Teams Right Now
The New York Yankees are a clear example of public betting inflation. They’re sitting around +850 at major sportsbooks (10.5% implied), while prediction markets have them closer to 7–8%. That 2–3% gap is significant at the top of the board and suggests books are shading toward heavy recreational money on a high-profile team.
You’re not betting into a bad team; you’re betting into a bad price.
Best Value Plays vs. the Market
The Seattle Mariners stand out as one of the strongest value discrepancies on the board. Sportsbooks list them around +1300 (≈7.1% implied), while prediction markets are closer to 11–12%. That’s one of the largest gaps available right now.
If that pricing holds, it’s exactly the kind of edge you’re trying to capture in futures markets, buying probability before books adjust.
💰You can trade Mariners World Series odds directly on Kalshi.
How World Series Futures Betting Works
What +210 Actually Means
A $100 bet at +210 returns $310 total ($210 profit + $100 stake).
Implied probability:
- 100 ÷ (100 + 210) = 32.3%
Why Prediction Markets Differ
Sportsbooks build in a margin and react to MLB public money. Prediction markets reflect real-money probability trading with lower fees, which often makes them a sharper signal.
When to Bet Futures
- Bet early if you see a clear pricing inefficiency
- Wait, if the team hasn’t proven itself yet
- Avoid favorites unless the number is clearly wrong
Right now, the Dodgers are priced fairly, not cheaply.
See additional MLB betting tools on CLEATZ:
2026 World Series Odds FAQ
The Los Angeles Dodgers are the current favorites to win the 2026 World Series at around +210 to +225 across major sportsbooks. That implies roughly a 30–32% chance to win. Their combination of elite top-end talent and roster depth is the primary reason they sit clearly above the rest of the field.
World Series futures odds are preseason or in-season bets placed on which team will win the championship at the end of the year. These “World Series futures odds” reflect each team’s implied probability long before the MLB postseason begins and adjust throughout the season based on performance and betting action.
You can bet on the 2026 World Series at major sportsbooks like DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM, which offer traditional futures betting in most regulated U.S. states. You can also use prediction markets like Kalshi, which allow users to trade event-based contracts based on real-money probability pricing (availability varies by state). Each platform offers slightly different odds, which is why comparing them is critical.
The Milwaukee Brewers are one of the best dark horse picks for the 2026 World Series at around +2200. They’ve shown strong early-season performance and have a pitching profile that can carry them through a long season. At those odds, they offer a compelling mix of upside and price compared to other mid-tier contenders.
The Dodgers are priced as heavy favorites because they combine elite star power with unmatched roster depth. With players like Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman, plus a deep pitching staff, they project as one of the most complete teams in baseball. Their recent postseason success and ability to sustain performance over 162 games further justify their position at the top of the World Series odds board.
They aren’t different — “World Series odds” and “World Series futures” refer to the same type of bet. Both describe wagering on which team will win the championship before the season ends. The terms are used interchangeably across sportsbooks and betting content.
To calculate implied probability from American odds, use this formula for positive odds: divide 100 by (odds + 100). For example, +1000 odds equals 100 ÷ (1000 + 100) = 9.1% implied probability. This conversion allows you to compare sportsbook odds directly with prediction market probabilities.
Jason Ziernicki is the founder of CLEATZ, where he analyzes sports betting data, public betting percentages, alt-line trends, and prediction markets across the NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports.
He is based in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where he routinely trades on Kalshi each month, hoping to win on weather markets like snowfall, as well as sports and politics.
His work focuses on turning sportsbook data and betting market trends into actionable insights for bettors/traders.