2026 World Series Odds: Sportsbooks vs. Prediction Markets
The Los Angeles Dodgers are the current 2026 World Series favorites at roughly +180 across major sportsbooks, implying about a 30–32% chance to win. But prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket often price that probability differently, creating actionable gaps between public betting lines and true market consensus. Below, we compare live sportsbook odds vs. prediction market probabilities for all 30 MLB teams to identify where the best value (and biggest traps) exist.
How to Read This Chart
American odds show how much you win on a $100 bet. For example, +210 returns $210 in profit. We convert those odds into implied probability so they can be compared directly with prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, which trade in percentages. The Delta column highlights pricing gaps: Green signals potential value (market higher than books), while red flags teams that may be overpriced due to public betting pressure.
2026 MLB World Series Odds
- Los Angeles Dodgers shortened from +175 to +170 at FanDuel; Kalshi ↓1.4¢ (34.0¢ → 32.6¢).
- New York Yankees Kalshi ↑1.5¢ (11.6¢ → 13.1¢).
- Milwaukee Brewers Kalshi ↓0.9¢ (9.5¢ → 8.6¢).
- Seattle Mariners Kalshi ↑0.9¢ (6.6¢ → 7.5¢).
- Miami Marlins shortened from +10,000 to +7,500 at BetRivers; Kalshi ↓0.4¢ (1.4¢ → 1.0¢).
| # | Team | Best | Kalshi | FanDuel | DraftKings | BetMGM | BetRivers | Rebet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Dodgers 37% | +170 FanDuel | 31.2¢ | +170 | +190 | +185 | +175 | +190 |
| 2 | New York Yankees 15.4% | +550 FanDuel | 13.6¢ | +550 | +550 | +550 | +550 | +550 |
| 3 | Atlanta Braves 10.5% | +850 BetRivers | 7.5¢ | +1,100 | +1,200 | +1,200 | +850 | +1,100 |
| 4 | Milwaukee Brewers 10% | +900 BetRivers | 8.6¢ | +1,000 | +1,100 | +1,000 | +900 | +1,000 |
| 5 | Seattle Mariners 9.1% | +1,000 BetRivers | 6.4¢ | +1,200 | +1,200 | +1,100 | +1,000 | +1,000 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Phillies 7.7% | +1,200 FanDuel | 6.7¢ | +1,200 | +1,200 | +1,300 | +1,300 | +1,200 |
| 7 | Tampa Bay Rays 6.3% | +1,500 DraftKings | 4.9¢ | +1,800 | +1,500 | +1,600 | +1,700 | +1,600 |
| 8 | Chicago Cubs 5.6% | +1,700 DraftKings | 3.4¢ | +2,200 | +1,700 | +2,000 | +2,500 | +2,500 |
| 9 | Texas Rangers 5% | +1,900 DraftKings | 3.3¢ | +2,200 | +1,900 | +2,500 | +2,500 | +2,500 |
| 10 | Cleveland Guardians 3.2% | +3,000 FanDuel | 2.4¢ | +3,000 | +3,000 | +3,000 | +3,000 | +4,000 |
| 11 | Toronto Blue Jays 3.2% | +3,000 DraftKings | 1.6¢ | +4,500 | +3,000 | +3,500 | +4,000 | +3,300 |
| 12 | Boston Red Sox 2.8% | +3,500 FanDuel | 2.9¢ | +3,500 | +4,000 | +5,000 | +6,500 | +6,600 |
| 13 | Chicago White Sox 2.4% | +4,000 FanDuel | 2.1¢ | +4,000 | +4,500 | +4,500 | +4,000 | +4,000 |
| 14 | Detroit Tigers 2.4% | +4,000 BetMGM | 1.9¢ | +4,500 | +6,000 | +4,000 | +4,000 | +4,500 |
| 15 | Houston Astros 2.4% | +4,000 DraftKings | 1.8¢ | +5,500 | +4,000 | +5,000 | +4,000 | +5,000 |
| 16 | Pittsburgh Pirates 1.5% | +6,500 BetRivers | 1.3¢ | +7,500 | +10,000 | +8,000 | +6,500 | +7,500 |
| 17 | San Diego Padres 1.5% | +6,500 BetRivers | 0.9¢ | +10,000 | +10,000 | +10,000 | +6,500 | +6,600 |
| 18 | Baltimore Orioles 1.4% | +7,000 FanDuel | 0.9¢ | +7,000 | +10,000 | +10,000 | +7,500 | +7,500 |
| 19 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1.3% | +7,500 BetRivers | 0.8¢ | +10,000 | +12,000 | +15,000 | +7,500 | +15,000 |
| 20 | Miami Marlins 1.3% | +7,500 BetRivers | 1.4¢ | +12,500 | +10,000 | +10,000 | +7,500 | +10,000 |
| 21 | Minnesota Twins 1.2% | +8,000 DraftKings | 0.7¢ | +12,500 | +8,000 | +12,500 | +15,000 | +8,000 |
| 22 | St. Louis Cardinals 1% | +10,000 BetMGM | 0.7¢ | +15,000 | +17,000 | +10,000 | +10,000 | +12,500 |
| 23 | Cincinnati Reds 0.7% | +15,000 BetRivers | 0.2¢ | +50,000 | +40,000 | +40,000 | +15,000 | +30,000 |
| 24 | Athletics 0.5% | +20,000 DraftKings | 0.1¢ | +50,000 | +20,000 | +50,000 | +20,000 | +20,000 |
| 25 | Washington Nationals 0.5% | +20,000 BetRivers | 0.3¢ | +50,000 | +40,000 | +40,000 | +20,000 | +30,000 |
| 26 | Kansas City Royals 0.4% | +25,000 BetRivers | 0.1¢ | +50,000 | +50,000 | +50,000 | +25,000 | +50,000 |
| 27 | New York Mets 0.4% | +25,000 BetRivers | 0.4¢ | +50,000 | +40,000 | +50,000 | +25,000 | +30,000 |
| 28 | Colorado Rockies 0.2% | +50,000 FanDuel | 0.1¢ | +50,000 | +50,000 | +100,000 | +75,000 | +100,000 |
| 29 | San Francisco Giants 0.2% | +50,000 FanDuel | 0.2¢ | +50,000 | +50,000 | +50,000 | +50,000 | +50,000 |
| 30 | Los Angeles Angels 0.2% | +50,000 FanDuel | 0.1¢ | +50,000 | +50,000 | +50,000 | +50,000 | +50,000 |
Where Sportsbooks and Prediction Markets Disagree
Sportsbooks don’t price purely on probability; they price around public money, liability, and behavior. Prediction markets, on the other hand, reflect trader consensus and sharper capital. When those two diverge meaningfully, it creates opportunity. If Kalshi says a team has a 12% chance to win the World Series but sportsbooks imply 7%, that gap isn’t noise; it’s the market telling you something.
Most Overpriced Teams Right Now
The New York Yankees are a clear example of public betting inflation. They’re sitting around +850 at major sportsbooks (10.5% implied), while prediction markets have them closer to 7–8%. That 2–3% gap is significant at the top of the board and suggests books are shading toward heavy recreational money on a high-profile team.
You’re not betting into a bad team; you’re betting into a bad price.
Best Value Plays vs. the Market
The Seattle Mariners stand out as one of the strongest value discrepancies on the board. Sportsbooks list them around +1300 (≈7.1% implied), while prediction markets are closer to 11–12%. That’s one of the largest gaps available right now.
If that pricing holds, it’s exactly the kind of edge you’re trying to capture in futures markets, buying probability before books adjust.
💰You can trade Mariners World Series odds directly on Kalshi.
How World Series Futures Betting Works
What +210 Actually Means
A $100 bet at +210 returns $310 total ($210 profit + $100 stake).
Implied probability:
- 100 ÷ (100 + 210) = 32.3%
Why Prediction Markets Differ
Sportsbooks build in a margin and react to MLB public money. Prediction markets reflect real-money probability trading with lower fees, which often makes them a sharper signal.
When to Bet Futures
- Bet early if you see a clear pricing inefficiency
- Wait, if the team hasn’t proven itself yet
- Avoid favorites unless the number is clearly wrong
Right now, the Dodgers are priced fairly, not cheaply.
See additional MLB betting tools on CLEATZ:
2026 World Series Odds FAQ
The Los Angeles Dodgers are the current favorites to win the 2026 World Series at around +210 to +225 across major sportsbooks. That implies roughly a 30–32% chance to win. Their combination of elite top-end talent and roster depth is the primary reason they sit clearly above the rest of the field.
World Series futures odds are preseason or in-season bets placed on which team will win the championship at the end of the year. These “World Series futures odds” reflect each team’s implied probability long before the postseason begins and adjust throughout the season based on performance and betting action.
You can bet on the 2026 World Series at major sportsbooks like DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM, which offer traditional futures betting in most regulated U.S. states. You can also use prediction markets like Kalshi, which allow users to trade event-based contracts based on real-money probability pricing (availability varies by state). Each platform offers slightly different odds, which is why comparing them is critical.
The Milwaukee Brewers are one of the best dark horse picks for the 2026 World Series at around +2200. They’ve shown strong early-season performance and have a pitching profile that can carry them through a long season. At those odds, they offer a compelling mix of upside and price compared to other mid-tier contenders.
The Dodgers are priced as heavy favorites because they combine elite star power with unmatched roster depth. With players like Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman, plus a deep pitching staff, they project as one of the most complete teams in baseball. Their recent postseason success and ability to sustain performance over 162 games further justify their position at the top of the World Series odds board.
They aren’t different — “World Series odds” and “World Series futures” refer to the same type of bet. Both describe wagering on which team will win the championship before the season ends. The terms are used interchangeably across sportsbooks and betting content.
To calculate implied probability from American odds, use this formula for positive odds: divide 100 by (odds + 100). For example, +1000 odds equals 100 ÷ (1000 + 100) = 9.1% implied probability. This conversion allows you to compare sportsbook odds directly with prediction market probabilities.
Jason Ziernicki is the founder of CLEATZ, where he analyzes sports betting data, public betting percentages, alt-line trends, and prediction markets across the NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports.
He is based in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where he routinely trades on Kalshi each month, hoping to win on weather markets like snowfall, as well as sports and politics.
His work focuses on turning sportsbook data and betting market trends into actionable insights for bettors/traders.