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Home/Best NFL Rushing Yards Props Today: Live Lines & Best Odds

Best NFL Rushing Yards Props Today: Live Lines & Best Odds

Compare NFL rushing yards props by player, matchup, line and sportsbook price. Review recent carries and results against the displayed line, then open a player row for available game logs and book comparisons. Use Longest Rush for single-play markets, or QB Matchups for weekly defenses ranked by rushing yards allowed to quarterbacks.

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NFL Rushing Yards Props

Compare lines, prices and recent results by matchup. Open a player for book comparisons and research.

Odds snapshot: Nov 15, 6:49 PM ET

Odds snapshot needs refresh. Cached prices are for reference; confirm availability at the book.

ReceivingRushingPassingTouchdowns

Rushing Yards watchlist

Up to five historical research candidates. Each record applies to the stated side and threshold.

Joe BurrowPIT @ CINOver 5.5 (-150)FAN

L5 5/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5

L5 trend + workload support
Kimani VidalLAC @ BALOver 18.5 (-116)B365

L5 5/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed

L5 trend + workload support
Jaylen WarrenPIT @ CINOver 62.5 (-140)MGM

L5 4/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed

L5 trend + workload support
Derrick HenryLAC @ BALUnder 80.5 (-108)Novig

L5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed

L5 trend + workload support
Jacoby BrissettLAC @ BALOver 5.5 (+105)Novig

L5 4/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed

L5 trend + workload support

No current candidates meet the history and freshness requirements for this view. Available lines remain below.

How this watchlist works

Five qualifying played games and at least four of the last five results beating the exact quoted threshold are required. Pushes are not hits. Ranking within each upcoming week uses L5 hits plus existing line-comparison and workload signals. L10 is context, not a probability. The odds snapshot must be within 20 minutes; known quote timestamps older than two hours are excluded. Some markets, including interceptions, receive no automatic lean. Full reasons and sample details are in each player’s research drawer.

Rushing Yards by game

PIT @ CIN

Sun, Nov 15 · 8:20 PM ETFull game · Pregame lines
PlayerReference lineBest OverBest UnderL5 / L10 vs line
Jaylen WarrenPIT · RBReference line64.5Posted lineOver-113FDUnder+104NovigAgainst 64.5L5: 4 O / 1 UL10: 6 O / 4 UCompare & research +

Previous five: 12.8 → latest five: 16.2 carries/game. Change: +26.6%.

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Chase BrownCIN · RBReference line44.5Posted lineOver-104NovigUnder-104NovigAgainst 44.5L5: 2 O / 3 UL10: 7 O / 3 UCompare & research +

Previous five: 16.8 → latest five: 10.8 carries/game. Change: -35.7%.

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Rico DowdlePIT · RBReference line28.5Posted lineOver-106NovigUnder-104NovigAgainst 28.5L5: 3 O / 2 UL10: 7 O / 3 UCompare & research +

Previous five: 12.4 → latest five: 9.2 carries/game. Change: -25.8%.

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Samaje PerineCIN · RBReference line17.5Posted lineOver-102NovigUnder-104NovigAgainst 17.5L5: 2 O / 3 UL10: 4 O / 6 UCompare & research +

Previous five: 4.2 → latest five: 7.2 carries/game. Change: +71.4%.

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Joe BurrowCIN · QBReference line6.5Posted lineOver+100NovigUnder-102NovigAgainst 6.5L5: 4 O / 1 UL10: 7 O / 3 UCompare & research +

Previous five: 2.6 → latest five: 3 carries/game. Change: +15.4%.

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Aaron RodgersPIT · QBReference line0.5Posted lineOver+100NovigUnder-108NovigAgainst 0.5L5: 2 O / 3 UL10: 6 O / 4 UCompare & research +

Previous five: 1.8 → latest five: 1 carries/game. Change: -44.4%.

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

DK MetcalfPIT · WRReference line0.5Estimate · not a posted lineOver—No price at this lineUnder—No price at this lineAgainst 0.5L5: 1 O / 4 UL10: 1 O / 9 UCompare & research +

Previous five: 0 → latest five: 0.2 carries/game. Percentage change is undefined because the previous-five average is zero.

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Dohnte MeyersCIN · WRReference line0.5Estimate · not a posted lineOver—No price at this lineUnder—No price at this lineAgainst 0.5L5: 1 O / 4 UL10: 2 O / 6 UCompare & research +

Latest five: 0.2 carries/game. 8/10 qualifying games available; two complete five-game windows are needed for a workload change.

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Germie BernardPIT · WRReference line0.5Estimate · not a posted lineOver—No price at this lineUnder—No price at this lineAgainst 0.5L5: 1 O / 4 UL10: 1 O / 6 UCompare & research +

Latest five: 0.2 carries/game. 7/10 qualifying games available; two complete five-game windows are needed for a workload change.

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Pat FreiermuthPIT · TEReference line0.5Estimate · not a posted lineOver—No price at this lineUnder—No price at this lineAgainst 0.5L5: 2 O / 3 UL10: 4 O / 6 UCompare & research +

Previous five: 0.4 → latest five: 0.4 carries/game. Change: 0%.

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

LAC @ BAL

Mon, Nov 16 · 8:15 PM ETFull game · Pregame lines
PlayerReference lineBest OverBest UnderL5 / L10 vs line
Derrick HenryBAL · RBReference line80.5Posted lineOver-105NovigUnder-108NovigAgainst 80.5L5: 1 O / 4 UL10: 4 O / 6 UCompare & research +

Previous five: 21.8 → latest five: 17.2 carries/game. Change: -21.1%.

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Omarion HamptonLAC · RBReference line33.5Posted lineOver-110CIRUnder-110CIRAgainst 33.5L5: 2 O / 3 UL10: 6 O / 4 UCompare & research +

Previous five: 16 → latest five: 10.4 carries/game. Change: -35%.

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Kimani VidalLAC · RBReference line21.5Posted lineOver-107NovigUnder-109DKAgainst 21.5L5: 4 O / 1 UL10: 5 O / 5 UCompare & research +

Previous five: 4.2 → latest five: 7 carries/game. Change: +66.7%.

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Justin HerbertLAC · QBReference line20.5Posted lineOver-110NovigUnder-110CZRAgainst 20.5L5: 3 O / 2 UL10: 6 O / 4 UCompare & research +

Previous five: 5.2 → latest five: 4.4 carries/game. Change: -15.4%.

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Justice HillBAL · RBReference line12.5Posted lineOver-103NovigUnder-110HRBAgainst 12.5L5: 3 O / 2 UL10: 5 O / 5 UCompare & research +

Previous five: 2.8 → latest five: 3.8 carries/game. Change: +35.7%.

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Keaton MitchellLAC · RBReference line10.5Posted lineOver-105FANUnder-109DKAgainst 10.5L5: 3 O / 2 UL10: 6 O / 4 UCompare & research +

Previous five: 5.6 → latest five: 5.8 carries/game. Change: +3.6%.

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Jacoby BrissettBAL · QBReference line5.5Posted lineOver+105NovigUnder-110FANAgainst 5.5L5: 4 O / 1 UL10: 7 O / 3 UCompare & research +

Previous five: 2.8 → latest five: 3.6 carries/game. Change: +28.6%.

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Zay FlowersBAL · WRReference line3.5Posted lineOver+111NovigUnder-124PINAgainst 3.5L5: 2 O / 3 UL10: 3 O / 7 UCompare & research +

Previous five: 0.2 → latest five: 1 carries/game. Change: +400%.

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

LA @ ARI

Sun, Nov 15 · 4:05 PM ETStarted · Pregame snapshot
PlayerReference lineBest OverBest UnderL5 / L10 vs line
Blake CorumLA · RBReference line107.5Posted lineOver-112CZRUnder—No price at this lineAgainst 107.5L5: 0 O / 5 UL10: 0 O / 10 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Kyren WilliamsLA · RBReference line29.5Posted lineOver-113CZRUnder—No price at this lineAgainst 29.5L5: 5 O / 0 UL10: 10 O / 0 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Tyler AllgeierARI · RBReference line20.5Posted lineOver—No price at this lineUnder-115CZRAgainst 20.5L5: 3 O / 2 UL10: 5 O / 5 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Zonovan KnightARIReference line11.5Posted lineOver-120DKUnder-115DKAgainst 11.5L5: —L10: —Compare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Matthew StaffordLA · QBReference line9.5Estimate · not a posted lineOver—No price at this lineUnder—No price at this lineAgainst 9.5L5: 0 O / 5 UL10: 2 O / 8 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Carson BeckARIReference line5.5Posted lineOver-110CZRUnder-120CZRAgainst 5.5L5: —L10: —Compare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Evan HullARI · RBReference line1.5Estimate · not a posted lineOver—No price at this lineUnder—No price at this lineAgainst 1.5L5: 4 O / 1 UL10: 6 O / 1 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

SEA @ LV

Sun, Nov 15 · 4:05 PM ETStarted · Pregame snapshot
PlayerReference lineBest OverBest UnderL5 / L10 vs line
Zach CharbonnetSEA · RBReference line99.5Posted lineOver-115HRBUnder-110HRBAgainst 99.5L5: 1 O / 4 UL10: 1 O / 9 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Jadarian PriceSEA · RBReference line38.5Posted lineOver-110HRBUnder-115HRBAgainst 38.5L5: 2 O / 3 UL10: 2 O / 3 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Ashton JeantyLV · RBReference line24.5Posted lineOver-109CZRUnder-120CZRAgainst 24.5L5: 2 O / 3 UL10: 7 O / 3 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Fernando MendozaLV · QBReference line22.5Posted lineOver+220DKUnder-140HRBAgainst 22.5L5: 0 O / 1 UL10: 0 O / 1 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Drew LockSEA · QBReference line5.5Posted lineOver-110CZRUnder-118CZRAgainst 5.5L5: 2 O / 3 UL10: 2 O / 4 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

AJ BarnerSEA · TEReference line0.5Estimate · not a posted lineOver—No price at this lineUnder—No price at this lineAgainst 0.5L5: 2 O / 3 UL10: 3 O / 7 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Kirk CousinsLV · QBReference line0.5Estimate · not a posted lineOver—No price at this lineUnder—No price at this lineAgainst 0.5L5: 2 O / 3 UL10: 4 O / 6 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

SF @ DAL

Sun, Nov 15 · 4:25 PM ETStarted · Pregame snapshot
PlayerReference lineBest OverBest UnderL5 / L10 vs line
Deebo SamuelSF · WRReference line78.5Posted lineOver+105DKUnder-145DKAgainst 78.5L5: 0 O / 5 UL10: 0 O / 10 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Javonte WilliamsDAL · RBReference line55.5Posted lineOver-115MGMUnder+100FANAgainst 55.5L5: 3 O / 2 UL10: 5 O / 5 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Kaelon BlackSF · RBReference line49.5Posted lineOver-160MGMUnder—No price at this lineAgainst 49.5L5: 2 O / 3 UL10: 3 O / 5 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Christian McCaffreySF · RBReference line41.5Posted lineOver-117CZRUnder-112CZRAgainst 41.5L5: 4 O / 1 UL10: 7 O / 3 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Brock PurdySF · QBReference line22.5Posted lineOver-108FDUnder-110MGMAgainst 22.5L5: 3 O / 2 UL10: 7 O / 3 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Israel AbanikandaDALReference line8.5Estimate · not a posted lineOver—No price at this lineUnder—No price at this lineAgainst 8.5L5: —L10: —Compare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Dak PrescottDAL · QBReference line1.5Posted lineOver+120HRBUnder-125DKAgainst 1.5L5: 3 O / 2 UL10: 7 O / 3 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

Ryan FlournoyDAL · WRReference line0.5Estimate · not a posted lineOver—No price at this lineUnder—No price at this lineAgainst 0.5L5: 1 O / 4 UL10: 1 O / 9 UCompare & research +

Records above use the reference line, not historical closing lines. O = Over, U = Under, P = Push. Alternate thresholds below are different bets.

No players match this view. Try another matchup or include started games.

Reading lines and recent results

Over and Under prices are compared at the displayed reference line. A dash means no qualifying quote at that threshold. Alternative sportsbook lines and DFS projections remain separate in player details. L5/L10 are actual qualifying samples, with pushes shown separately; missing games are not filled. History may span seasons and teams. Historical records are not forecasts or calculated betting edges.

NFL Lines Injury Report NFL Weather Odds Movers

Longest Rush

Best available number, then best price at that number. Compare all quoted lines below.

Longest Rush research leans

Historical leans · At least 4/5 hits · Nearest remaining week first · Confirm the line and price.

Week 10 · Upcoming · LAC @ BAL

Derrick Henry

Rushing LongestRushUnder lean

Under 17.5 at -117

draftkingsL5 5/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed

Previous five: 21.8 → latest five: 17.2 opportunities/game. Change: -21.1%.

See reasoning

Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

5/5 under 17.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 under 17.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

6 quoted books: 15.5–17.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 21.8 → latest five: 17.2 opportunities/game. Change: -21.1%.

Feed snapshot: Nov 15, 6:49 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop
  • Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
  • Workload spans 2025–2026.
  • L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Week 10 · Tonight · PIT @ CIN

Jaylen Warren

Rushing LongestRushOver lean

Over 17.5 at -122

fanduelL5 4/5 · L10 5/10 · L10 is mixed

Previous five: 12.8 → latest five: 16.2 opportunities/game. Change: +26.6%.

See reasoning

Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 over 17.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

5/10 over 17.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

5 quoted books: 17.5–18.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 12.8 → latest five: 16.2 opportunities/game. Change: +26.6%.

Feed snapshot: Nov 15, 6:49 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop
  • Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
  • Workload spans 2025–2026.
  • L10 is mixed: 5/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Week 10 · Tonight · PIT @ CIN

Joe Burrow

Rushing LongestRushOver lean

Over 5.5 at -111

bet365L5 4/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed

Previous five: 2.6 → latest five: 3 opportunities/game. Change: +15.4%.

See reasoning

Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 over 5.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 over 5.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

5 quoted books: 5.5–6.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.6 → latest five: 3 opportunities/game. Change: +15.4%.

Feed snapshot: Nov 15, 6:49 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop
  • Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
  • Workload spans 2025–2026.
  • L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

How leans are selected

Standard passing, rushing and receiving L5/L10 use the latest qualifying regular-season games across the selected and previous seasons, newest first. Prior-team games count. Longest-play markets retain the qualifying-game policy shown on their board. Passing history excludes appearances without a pass attempt. Five games and at least 4 of the latest 5 results beating the exact selected threshold qualify a historical Over or Under lean. Pushes are not hits. L10, line comparison and workload are additional context, not requirements or exclusions. L10 fewer than 5/10 is flagged as conflicting, 5–7/10 as mixed, and 8–10/10 as supporting. Samples of 6–9 games show the actual denominator; missing games are never filled. Within each upcoming week, ranking uses L5 hits with additional credit for a better line than the median of at least three quoted books (0.5 for counts; 2.5 for yards), or a 10% workload change in the same direction. Workload compares the latest five qualifying games with the preceding five across seasons and teams. All ten games need numeric workload values; missing values are never filled or skipped to create a different sample. Season and team changes are disclosed as context. With five to nine games, the latest-five average is shown when complete; no change is calculated. A zero preceding-five average has no percentage change. Unavailable or opposing workload does not block a historical lean. Both sides qualifying at different lines produces no directional lean. Feed must be refreshed within 20 minutes; quotes known to be older than two hours are excluded. Historical leans are not projected win probabilities or calculated betting edges. Passing TD totals use this same historical Over/Under screen. Anytime TD and First TD scorer markets are separate and receive no automatic directional lean. Unsupported markets receive no automatic directional lean.

No players match these filters.

Week 10 · Tonight

Aaron RodgersPIT @ CIN · Sun Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET
Over lean
Over0.5 (-120)bet365
Under0.5 (-111)bet365
Over 0.5 yards
L5 4/5L10 8/10
Under 0.5 yards
L5 1/5L10 2/10

Median longest: 6 yd · Carries/game: 1.8

10 qualifying games · 2025-12-07 to 2026-10-25

Longest-play chart, game log & books
Chase BrownPIT @ CIN · Sun Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET
No clear lean
Over12.5 (-116)bet365
Under13.5 (-114)fanduel
Over 12.5 yards
L5 2/5L10 6/10
Under 13.5 yards
L5 3/5L10 6/10

Median longest: 13 yd · Carries/game: 13.8

10 qualifying games · 2025-12-28 to 2026-11-08

Longest-play chart, game log & books
Jaylen WarrenPIT @ CIN · Sun Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET
Over lean
Over17.5 (-122)fanduel
Under18.5 (-112)caesars
Over 17.5 yards
L5 4/5L10 5/10
Under 18.5 yards
L5 1/5L10 5/10

Median longest: 20.5 yd · Carries/game: 14.5

10 qualifying games · 2026-01-05 to 2026-11-01

Longest-play chart, game log & books
Joe BurrowPIT @ CIN · Sun Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET
Over lean
Over5.5 (-111)bet365
Under6.5 (-120)hardrockbet
Over 5.5 yards
L5 4/5L10 7/10
Under 6.5 yards
L5 1/5L10 3/10

Median longest: 8.5 yd · Carries/game: 2.8

10 qualifying games · 2025-12-28 to 2026-11-08

Longest-play chart, game log & books
Rico DowdlePIT @ CIN · Sun Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET
No clear lean
Over10.5 (-107)caesars
Under10.5 (-111)bet365
Over 10.5 yards
L5 3/5L10 5/10
Under 10.5 yards
L5 2/5L10 5/10

Median longest: 9.5 yd · Carries/game: 9.5

10 qualifying games · 2025-12-14 to 2026-11-01

Longest-play chart, game log & books
Samaje PerinePIT @ CIN · Sun Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET
No clear lean
Over7.5 (-111)caesars
Under8.5 (-140)fanduel
Over 7.5 yards
L5 3/5L10 5/10
Under 8.5 yards
L5 2/5L10 6/10

Median longest: 7 yd · Carries/game: 5.7

10 qualifying games · 2025-12-28 to 2026-11-08

Longest-play chart, game log & books
Derrick HenryLAC @ BAL · Mon Nov 16, 8:15 PM ET
Under lean
Over15.5 (-111)bet365
Under17.5 (-117)draftkings
Over 15.5 yards
L5 1/5L10 4/10
Under 17.5 yards
L5 5/5L10 7/10

Median longest: 13 yd · Carries/game: 19.5

10 qualifying games · 2026-01-05 to 2026-11-06

Longest-play chart, game log & books
Justice HillLAC @ BAL · Mon Nov 16, 8:15 PM ET
No clear lean
Over7.5 (+101)draftkings
Under7.5 (-125)bet365
Over 7.5 yards
L5 2/5L10 3/10
Under 7.5 yards
L5 3/5L10 7/10

Median longest: 6 yd · Carries/game: 3.5

10 qualifying games · 2025-10-31 to 2026-11-06

Longest-play chart, game log & books
Jacoby BrissettLAC @ BAL · Mon Nov 16, 8:15 PM ET
No clear lean
Over4.5 (-125)bet365
Under5.5 (-111)draftkings
Over 4.5 yards
L5 3/5L10 7/10
Under 5.5 yards
L5 2/5L10 4/10

Median longest: 7 yd · Carries/game: 3.3

10 qualifying games · 2025-12-21 to 2026-11-01

Longest-play chart, game log & books
Justin HerbertLAC @ BAL · Mon Nov 16, 8:15 PM ET
No clear lean
Over10.5 (-120)bet365
Under11.5 (-121)draftkings
Over 10.5 yards
L5 2/5L10 5/10
Under 11.5 yards
L5 3/5L10 6/10

Median longest: 9 yd · Carries/game: 5

10 qualifying games · 2025-12-27 to 2026-11-08

Longest-play chart, game log & books
Kimani VidalLAC @ BAL · Mon Nov 16, 8:15 PM ET
Over lean
Over7.5 (-114)fanduel
Under8.5 (-116)bet365
Over 7.5 yards
L5 5/5L10 7/10
Under 8.5 yards
L5 0/5L10 4/10

Median longest: 9 yd · Carries/game: 6.7

10 qualifying games · 2025-12-14 to 2026-11-08

Longest-play chart, game log & books
Omarion HamptonLAC @ BAL · Mon Nov 16, 8:15 PM ET
No clear lean
Over9.5 (-120)hardrockbet
Under11.5 (-108)fanduel
Over 9.5 yards
L5 3/5L10 6/10
Under 11.5 yards
L5 3/5L10 6/10

Median longest: 10.5 yd · Carries/game: 11.7

10 qualifying games · 2025-12-27 to 2026-11-08

Longest-play chart, game log & books
Keaton MitchellLAC @ BAL · Mon Nov 16, 8:15 PM ET
No clear lean
Over6.5 (+104)caesars
Under6.5 (-120)bet365
Over 6.5 yards
L5 3/5L10 7/10
Under 6.5 yards
L5 2/5L10 3/10

Median longest: 10 yd · Carries/game: 5.7

10 qualifying games · 2025-12-28 to 2026-11-08

Longest-play chart, game log & books

Started · Week 10 · Pregame snapshot

Dak PrescottSF @ DAL · Sun Nov 15, 4:25 PM ET
No clear lean
Over2.5 (+165)hardrockbet
Under2.5 (-220)hardrockbet
Over 2.5 yards
L5 4/5L10 8/10
Under 2.5 yards
L5 1/5L10 2/10

Median longest: 7 yd · Carries/game: 3.1

10 qualifying games · 2025-12-25 to 2026-11-08

Longest-play chart, game log & books

L5/L10 compare the most recent qualifying completed games with the displayed current line, not historical betting results. Sample: at least one carry per game; current and previous seasons, including playoffs. Pushes are shown separately within the sample. Missing stats are excluded. History: ESPN game logs, player IDs: nflverse. Odds: SGO. Historical frequency is not a forecast. Opponent explosive rates are not included in this release.

CLEATZ NFL PLAYER PROPS

QB Rushing Matchups

Weekly NFL slate

Compare opposing defenses by quarterback rushing yards allowed, player production and available rushing props. Confirmed and projected starter labels are separate; an odds listing is not a depth chart.

ILLUSTRATIVE SAMPLE — NOT LIVE ODDS
—QBs in slate
—With posted props
—Most QB yards allowed / game
—Largest avg − line gap
HOW TO READ THIS

Rankings show opponent QB rushing yards allowed per game, not a projection. Upcoming known OUT/IR and traded players are screened against sourced roster updates and the CLEATZ injury cache. Completed games are graded Over/Under/Push against a line saved before kickoff, after nflverse publishes the player result. No archived line or no player appearance = No grade. L5/L10 results appear in Details.

#Quarterback / matchupDef QB yds/gQB avgL5 avgRush propOver / UnderAvg − lineActual rush ydsO/U resultResearch
Source:
Results use saved, pre-kickoff sportsbook lines and nflverse weekly player results only. Stats may be revised after final. No-grade includes DNP, uncaptured lines and missing data. Passing market alone does not confirm a QB is starting. Known IR/traded players are screened out of upcoming games. Sourced starter statuses are labeled confirmed or projected; unverified candidates may remain. Check game-day inactives.Full NFL injury report

How to compare NFL rushing props

  1. Compare rushing yards thresholds and Over/Under prices together. The best available number and the best payout may belong to different books.
  2. Read recent carries alongside yardage history. Check for changes in backfield role, injuries and game situation before relying on the earlier sample.
  3. Keep total rushing yards separate from longest rush. One measures the game total; the other depends on a single play and uses the history policy shown on its own board.

Reading the history and research signals

L5 and L10 refer to recent qualifying game samples, which can span seasons and teams. They compare past results with the displayed current line; they are not a record of bets placed at historical odds. A historical lean requires at least four of the latest five results to beat its selected threshold, plus the sample and freshness requirements in the methodology. L10 and workload add context; the hit rate is not a forecast probability.

Check the displayed update time. Cached prices may change or be unavailable when you reach a sportsbook. Missing data is not a zero result.

Rushing props FAQ

What is the difference between rushing yards and longest rush props?

Rushing yards props use a player’s total rushing yardage in the game. Longest rush props use the yardage of the player’s longest rushing play. Compare each market with its own line and history.

Does a rushing yards lean account for an injury or a new role?

The automated screen uses qualifying historical results, available prices and workload context. It does not make an injury or opponent adjustment. Review the player’s current role separately.

Research other NFL prop markets

  • NFL passing props
  • NFL receiving props
  • NFL touchdown props


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JZ bio
Jason Ziernicki
Founder at CLEATZ | jason@cleatz.com | Web | + postsBio ⮌

Jason Ziernicki is the founder of CLEATZ and has worked in the online sports betting industry since 2012. At CLEATZ, he focuses on public betting data, sportsbook line movement, prediction markets and data-driven sports betting tools.

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