2027 NFL Draft Odds: Who Will Be The #1 Pick?
2027 NFL Draft Tracker
No. 1 Overall Pick Odds
Live market on the first selection of the 2027 NFL Draft
#1
2027 NFL Draft — First Overall Pick
Team TBD
Pick assignment finalized after the 2026 NFL regular season
Current Favorite
Arch Manning
+165
22.4% fair / 37.7% raw
| Player | School | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — Clear Favorite | |||
| QBArch Manning | Texas | +165 | |
| Tier 2 — Live Contenders | |||
| QBDante Moore | Oregon | +500 | |
| WRJeremiah Smith | Ohio State | +600 | |
| QBCJ Carr | Notre Dame | +600 | |
| Tier 3 — Dark Horses | |||
| QBJulian Sayin | Ohio State | +1200 | |
| QBLaNorris Sellers | South Carolina | +1200 | |
| QBDrew Mestemaker | North Texas | +1200 | |
| Tier 4 — Longshots | |||
| QBJayden Maiava | USC | +2000 | |
| QBDarian Mensah | Duke | +2200 | |
| EDGEColin Simmons | Texas | +2200 | |
| EDGEDylan Stewart | South Carolina | +2200 | |
| QBJosh Hoover | TCU | +4500 | |
| Tier 5 — Deep Longshots | |||
| QBSam Leavitt | Arizona State | +5500 | |
| QBDJ Lagway | Florida | +6500 | |
| WRCam Coleman | Auburn | +6500 | |
| OTTrevor Goosby | Texas | +6500 | |
| OTJordan Seaton | Colorado | +6500 | |
| QBJohn Mateer | Oklahoma | +6500 | |
| CBLeonard Moore | Notre Dame | +6500 | |
| WRRyan Williams | Alabama | +8000 | |
| QBEli Holstein | Pittsburgh | +8000 | |
| DTDavid Stone | Florida State | +8000 | |
| QBBeau Pribula | Missouri | +8000 | |
| EDGEJordan Ross | Alabama | +8000 | |
| QBByrum Brown | South Florida | +8000 | |
| EDGEMatayo Uiagalelei | Oregon | +8000 | |
| QBTrinidad Chambliss | Mississippi | +8000 | |
| QBAidan Chiles | Michigan State | +10000 | |
| QBAshton Hampton | Iowa | +12500 | |
| WRDuce Robinson | USC | +12500 | |
| LBSammy Brown | Clemson | +12500 | |
| OLKade Pieper | Nebraska | +12500 | |
| RBJustice Haynes | Michigan | +12500 | |
| CBEllis Robinson IV | Georgia | +12500 | |
| RBMark Fletcher | Miami | +12500 | |
| EDGEQuincy Rhodes Jr. | Arkansas | +12500 | |
| EDGEPrincewill Umanmielen | Mississippi | +12500 | |
| RBLJ Martin | BYU | +12500 | |
| EDGEYhonzae Pierre | Alabama | +12500 | |
| EDGEJohn Henry Daley | Stanford | +12500 | |
| WRKelley Jones | San Jose State | +12500 | |
| DTJustin Scott | Miami | +12500 | |
| LBWhit Weeks | LSU | +12500 | |
| EDGEDamon Wilson Jr. | Missouri | +12500 | |
| EDGEAnto Saka | Minnesota | +12500 | |
| TETerrance Carter | LSU | +12500 | |
| EDGEKenyatta Jackson | Ohio State | +12500 | |
| CBMarcus Neal Jr. | Texas | +12500 | |
| DTJayden Jackson | Alabama | +12500 | |
| OLIapani Laloulu | Oregon | +12500 | |
| SKJ Bolden | Georgia | +12500 | |
| CBOJ Frederique Jr. | Miami | +12500 | |
| WRIan Strong | Rutgers | +12500 | |
| EDGEElijah Rushing | Notre Dame | +12500 | |
Tier 1 — Clear Favorite
QBArch Manning
Texas
+165
Tier 2 — Live Contenders
QBDante Moore
Oregon
+500
WRJeremiah Smith
Ohio State
+600
QBCJ Carr
Notre Dame
+600
Tier 3 — Dark Horses
QBJulian Sayin
Ohio State
+1200
QBLaNorris Sellers
South Carolina
+1200
QBDrew Mestemaker
North Texas
+1200
Tier 4 — Longshots
QBJayden Maiava
USC
+2000
QBDarian Mensah
Duke
+2200
EDGEColin Simmons
Texas
+2200
EDGEDylan Stewart
South Carolina
+2200
QBJosh Hoover
TCU
+4500
Tier 5 — Deep Longshots
QBSam Leavitt
Arizona State
+5500
QBDJ Lagway
Florida
+6500
WRCam Coleman
Auburn
+6500
OTTrevor Goosby
Texas
+6500
OTJordan Seaton
Colorado
+6500
QBJohn Mateer
Oklahoma
+6500
CBLeonard Moore
Notre Dame
+6500
WRRyan Williams
Alabama
+8000
QBEli Holstein
Pittsburgh
+8000
DTDavid Stone
Florida State
+8000
QBBeau Pribula
Missouri
+8000
EDGEJordan Ross
Alabama
+8000
QBByrum Brown
South Florida
+8000
EDGEMatayo Uiagalelei
Oregon
+8000
QBTrinidad Chambliss
Mississippi
+8000
QBAidan Chiles
Michigan State
+10000
QBAshton Hampton
Iowa
+12500
WRDuce Robinson
USC
+12500
LBSammy Brown
Clemson
+12500
OLKade Pieper
Nebraska
+12500
RBJustice Haynes
Michigan
+12500
CBEllis Robinson IV
Georgia
+12500
RBMark Fletcher
Miami
+12500
EDGEQuincy Rhodes Jr.
Arkansas
+12500
EDGEPrincewill Umanmielen
Mississippi
+12500
RBLJ Martin
BYU
+12500
EDGEYhonzae Pierre
Alabama
+12500
EDGEJohn Henry Daley
Stanford
+12500
WRKelley Jones
San Jose State
+12500
DTJustin Scott
Miami
+12500
LBWhit Weeks
LSU
+12500
EDGEDamon Wilson Jr.
Missouri
+12500
EDGEAnto Saka
Minnesota
+12500
TETerrance Carter
LSU
+12500
EDGEKenyatta Jackson
Ohio State
+12500
CBMarcus Neal Jr.
Texas
+12500
DTJayden Jackson
Alabama
+12500
OLIapani Laloulu
Oregon
+12500
SKJ Bolden
Georgia
+12500
CBOJ Frederique Jr.
Miami
+12500
WRIan Strong
Rutgers
+12500
EDGEElijah Rushing
Notre Dame
+12500
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Jason Ziernicki is the founder of CLEATZ, where he analyzes sports betting data, public betting percentages, alt-line trends, and prediction markets across the NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports.
He is based in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where he routinely trades on Kalshi each month, hoping to win on weather markets like snowfall, as well as sports and politics.
His work focuses on turning sportsbook data and betting market trends into actionable insights for bettors/traders.