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NFL Win Totals 2026: Over/Unders for All 32 Teams

CLEATZ · pro football

How NFL Win Totals Work

A win total is a single number — say 10.5 — representing the games the market expects a team to win across the 17-game season. Take the Over if you project more wins, the Under if you project fewer. On Kalshi each total is a live market priced in cents, so the over/under percentages below reflect real money flowing in, not a sportsbook’s posted line.

2026 NFL Win Totals — All 32 Teams

Every team’s current Kalshi over/under, sorted from highest ceiling to lowest. The line sits at the market’s center of gravity — the win threshold priced closest to a coin flip — and the split is the live market lean on each side of it. Percentages are live Kalshi orderbook midpoints refreshed through the day — in thin offseason markets they can sit a few points off the last-trade number Kalshi headlines.

San Francisco
O/U14.5
Over 52%Under 48%
Los Angeles R
O/U11.5
Over 54%Under 46%
Baltimore
O/U10.5
Over 59%Under 41%
Buffalo
O/U10.5
Over 53%Under 47%
Cincinnati
O/U10.5
Over 44%Under 56%
Detroit
O/U10.5
Over 54%Under 46%
Los Angeles C
O/U10.5
Over 44%Under 56%
Philadelphia
O/U10.5
Over 47%Under 53%
Seattle
O/U10.5
Over 51%Under 49%
Chicago
O/U9.5
Over 48%Under 52%
Dallas
O/U9.5
Over 51%Under 49%
Denver
O/U9.5
Over 56%Under 44%
Green Bay
O/U9.5
Over 55%Under 45%
Houston
O/U9.5
Over 54%Under 46%
Jacksonville
O/U9.5
Over 46%Under 54%
Kansas City
O/U9.5
Over 56%Under 44%
New England
O/U9.5
Over 57%Under 43%
Minnesota
O/U8.5
Over 53%Under 47%
Atlanta
O/U7.5
Over 47%Under 53%
Carolina
O/U7.5
Over 44%Under 56%
Indianapolis
O/U7.5
Over 53%Under 47%
New Orleans
O/U7.5
Over 56%Under 44%
Pittsburgh
O/U7.5
Over 56%Under 44%
Tampa Bay
O/U7.5
Over 58%Under 42%
Washington
O/U7.5
Over 56%Under 44%
Las Vegas
O/U6.5
Over 47%Under 53%
Tennessee
O/U6.5
Over 46%Under 54%
Cleveland
O/U5.5
Over 52%Under 48%
New York J
O/U5.5
Over 46%Under 54%
Arizona
O/U3.5
Over 54%Under 46%
Miami
O/U3.5
Over 61%Under 39%
New York G
O/U3.5
Over 50%Under 50%
Prices as of Jul 19, 6:18 PM MDT · live Kalshi orderbook midpoints

Why the Public Loves the Over

Across the board you’ll see overs drawing the popular money on contenders and unders quietly holding value. It’s the most reliable bias in the win-totals market: fans bet their team’s best-case season, books shade the number up to meet them, and disciplined money takes the other side. The live market pricing above makes that lean visible team by team.

Trade NFL Win Totals on Kalshi

Kalshi offers regulated NFL win-total markets across most U.S. states, priced as live over/under contracts you can enter or exit any time before the season ends. New to Kalshi? Cleatz code CLEATZ10 gets you started — see our full Kalshi promo code breakdown.

Trade NFL win totals on Kalshi ↗

NFL Win Totals — Frequently Asked Questions

What are NFL win totals?
A win total is the number of regular-season games a team is projected to win. You bet or trade whether the team finishes Over or Under that number across the 17-game season.
How do over/under win totals work?
Each team is set a number, like 10.5. Take the Over if you think they win 11 or more, the Under for 10 or fewer. On Kalshi these resolve as a live market priced in cents, so the percentage reflects real money rather than a book’s padded line.
When are 2026 NFL win totals released, and why do they move?
Win totals post in the offseason and shift all the way to Week 1 as rosters, injuries, and schedule strength get priced in. The earliest numbers are the softest — they tighten as money comes in.
Are NFL win total overs or unders the better bet?
Historically the public hammers overs because fans overrate their own team’s ceiling, which is why unders tend to hold contrarian value. The live market pricing on this page shows exactly where that lean sits on every team.
Where can I trade NFL win totals?
Kalshi runs regulated NFL win-total markets across most U.S. states, priced as live over/under contracts. New traders can use Cleatz code CLEATZ10 to get started.

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Jason Ziernicki
Founder at CLEATZ | jason@cleatz.com | Web |  + posts

Jason Ziernicki is the founder of CLEATZ, where he analyzes sports betting data, public betting percentages, alt-line trends, and prediction markets across the NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports.

He is based in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where he routinely trades on Kalshi each month, hoping to win on weather markets like snowfall, as well as sports and politics.

His work focuses on turning sportsbook data and betting market trends into actionable insights for bettors/traders.