Live PGA Tour Leaderboard & Golf Win Probabilities

See how the prediction markets are pricing this week’s PGA Tour event side-by-side with Data Golf’s projection model. The leaderboard below pulls live win probabilities from Kalshi event contracts and Polymarket, alongside Data Golf’s pre-tournament model (which blends a baseline skill rating with course history and course fit) and opening Round-1 odds from bet365. It’s the same data the sharps use, in one place, without flipping between four tabs. If you want to see the ever-important weather forecast for the Tour Championship, we have that too.

This tool auto-detects whether a tournament is in progress or upcoming. During play, you’ll see live positions, scores, win probability, and current market prices refreshed every minute. Between events, the table flips to pre-tournament mode with make-cut, top-20, top-10, top-5, and win probabilities for the full field.