NFL Odds, Public Betting & Super Bowl Futures

The NFL board moves fast, and the early lines are where the edges live. This is the full Cleatz NFL hub, Week 5 spreads and totals, NFL betting splits, and the Kalshi win probabilities I trade against from my desk in Jackson Hole. I’m not here to tell you who to root for. I’m here to show you where the money’s going, where the public’s piling in, and where the market hasn’t caught up yet. Lines this early are soft. Read them before they tighten.

— Jason, Cleatz Founder

NFL — Week 5 — interactive game grid; select a game to open lines, Kalshi odds and player props.

CLEATZ · pro football
NFL — Week 5
The Cleatz read Follow the NFL Week 5 slate with game lines and market comparisons below. There are 1 games on the slate; see each matchup for kickoff time. The public is all over Bills +3.5 at 55% of the spread handle. On the futures board, Los Angeles R leads at 12% to win the Super Bowl. Open a game below for the sportsbook comparison.

NFL Week 5 Odds & Lines

Every spread and total on the Week 5 board, with the share of public bets on each side. The number to the right of each team is the point spread; O/U is the projected combined score. The percentage is where the public bets are landing — a heavy lean isn’t a signal to follow, it’s a signal to ask why the line hasn’t moved with it.

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+EV props this week · best price vs. consensus
Alex Bachman — Anytime TDHard Rock Bet (FL) +4000+63% EV
Jackson Hawes — Anytime TDBetMGM +1200+41.8% EV
Dean Connors — Anytime TDHard Rock Bet (FL) +4000+36.3% EV
Ray Davis — Anytime TDHard Rock Bet (FL) +2250+23.8% EV
Matthew Stafford — Anytime TDbetPARX +2200+14.3% EV
Keleki Latu — Anytime TDFliff +1920+11.7% EV

Public Money — Week 5 Share of Handle

“Share of handle” is the percentage of money on a side, not the percentage of tickets. When handle and ticket count split apart, that gap is usually sharp money on one side and public money on the other. The teams below are drawing the most lopsided action on the Week 5 board — the starting point for any fade.

Most Bet Teams
Bills +3.5@ Rams · Oct 12 · 6:15 pm55%
Ravens +3@ Falcons · Oct 11 · 6:20 pm51%
Most Bet Totals
Over 43.5 PointsRavens @ Falcons · Oct 11 · 6:20 pm84%
Over 54.5 PointsBills @ Rams · Oct 12 · 6:15 pm77%
WEEK 5 NFL PUBLIC BETS →

Super Bowl & Conference Futures — Kalshi Win Probability

These aren’t sportsbook futures odds with vig baked in — they’re live Kalshi win probabilities, priced by a real market in cents on the dollar. That makes them a cleaner read on what a title is actually worth than a book’s padded number. Use them to spot futures the sportsbooks haven’t repriced yet. New to Kalshi? Our Kalshi promo code gets you started.

Super Bowl Champion
Los Angeles R12%
San Francisco12%
Buffalo11%
Kansas City10%
Seattle9%
Full Super Bowl odds →KALSHI FREE $25 TRADE ↗
AFC Championship
Kansas City18%
Buffalo18%
Baltimore17%
Jacksonville13%
Denver8%
KALSHI FREE $25 TRADE ↗
NFC Championship
San Francisco20%
Los Angeles R18%
Seattle13%
Minnesota9%
Chicago8%
KALSHI FREE $25 TRADE ↗

NFL Win Totals 2026 — Kalshi Over/Under

Season win totals are the market’s preseason verdict on every team. We track all 32 with live Kalshi over/under prices and public splits on a dedicated page. → See every team’s 2026 NFL win total

San Francisco
O/U12.5
Over 46%Under 54%
Baltimore
O/U11.5
Over 58%Under 42%
Buffalo
O/U11.5
Over 54%Under 46%
Jacksonville
O/U11.5
Over 54%Under 46%
Kansas City
O/U11.5
Over 57%Under 43%
Los Angeles R
O/U11.5
Over 43%Under 57%
Minnesota
O/U11.5
Over 44%Under 56%
Cincinnati
O/U10.5
Over 44%Under 56%
Prices as of Oct 12, 2:15 PM MDT · live Kalshi orderbook midpoints
Trade win totals on Kalshi ↗

NFL Betting — Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I find current NFL odds?
Available spreads and totals for the selected slate appear on the board above. The default view follows the nearest remaining week with game lines.
What does “public betting percentage” mean?
It’s the share of bets on one side of a market. A high percentage means the public is heavily on that side — which often signals where the value sits on the other side once you account for handle vs. tickets.
How is Kalshi win probability different from sportsbook futures odds?
Kalshi prices are set by a live market in cents, with no built-in vig. Sportsbook futures bake in a margin, so a Kalshi win probability is usually a cleaner read on a team’s true title odds.
What are NFL season win totals?
A win total is the number of regular-season games the market expects a team to win. You bet whether the team finishes Over or Under that number — a season-long read on a team’s outlook.
Can I trade NFL markets on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi offers regulated NFL futures and win-total markets across most U.S. states. New traders can use Cleatz promo code CLEATZ10 to get started.

JZ bio
Founder at CLEATZ | jason@cleatz.com | Web | + posts

Jason Ziernicki is the founder of CLEATZ and has worked in the online sports betting industry since 2012. At CLEATZ, he focuses on public betting data, sportsbook line movement, prediction markets and data-driven sports betting tools.