Live Heisman Odds 2026: Kalshi, Polymarket & Sportsbook Prices
The 2026 Heisman Trophy odds are wide open, and CLEATZ tracks the race across sportsbooks and prediction markets in one live board.
Compare the best available sportsbook odds for each Heisman candidate with current prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. CLEATZ converts market probabilities into comparable American odds, highlights differences between sportsbook and prediction-market pricing, and tracks market rank movement and trading volume.
Use the table below to find the latest Heisman favorites, best odds and the biggest disagreements between the markets. Prices update throughout the day as the 2026 college football season approaches.
2026 Heisman Trophy Odds
Compare sportsbook odds and prediction-market probabilities.
54 candidates · Ranked by Kalshi probability · Prediction markets refresh every 5 minutes.
1Jeremiah SmithOhio State · WRDraftKings+280(DraftKings)Kalshi32%Win probabilityPolymarket31%Win probability14d move-8 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+280 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 26.3%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +213
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 3.1M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
2Darian MensahMiami FL · QBDraftKings+250(DraftKings)Kalshi28%Win probabilityPolymarket26.5%Win probability14d move+4 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+250 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 28.6%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +257
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 2.6M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
3CJ CarrNotre DameDraftKings+220(DraftKings)Kalshi17%Win probabilityPolymarket17.3%Win probability14d move+13 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+220 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 31.3%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +488
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 1.9M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
4Drew MestemakerOklahoma State · QBDraftKings+1550(DraftKings)Kalshi6%Win probabilityPolymarket5.5%Win probability14d move+4 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+1550 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 6.1%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +1567
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 1.7M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
5Gunner StocktonGeorgia · QBDraftKings+2700(DraftKings)Kalshi6%Win probabilityPolymarket4.9%Win probability14d move+4 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+2700 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 3.6%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +1567
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 1.4M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
6Devon DampierUtah · QBDraftKings+1600(DraftKings)Kalshi5%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move+4 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+1600 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 5.9%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +1900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 1.8M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
7Keelon RussellAlabama · QBDraftKings+2400(DraftKings)Kalshi3%Win probabilityPolymarket2.2%Win probability14d move+2 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+2400 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 4%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +3233
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 2M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
8LaNorris SellersSouth Carolina · QBDraftKings+3200(DraftKings)Kalshi2%Win probabilityPolymarket2.1%Win probability14d move+1 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+3200 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 3%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +4900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 1.3M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
9Jayden MaiavaUSC · QBDraftKings+20000(DraftKings)Kalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket2.8%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+20000 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 0.5%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 1.3M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
10Jesse LegreeOregon State · WRDraftKings+50000(DraftKings)Kalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket2.4%Win probability14d move-2 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+50000 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 0.2%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 749.8K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
Show all 54 candidates
11Trinidad ChamblissOle Miss · QBDraftKings+8000(DraftKings)Kalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket1.2%Win probability14d move-2 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+8000 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 1.2%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 2.2M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
12Julian SayinOhio State · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket1.1%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 1.2M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
13Sam LeavittLSU · QBDraftKings+15000(DraftKings)Kalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.8%Win probability14d move-1 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+15000 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 0.7%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 1.7M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
14Josh HooverIndiana · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.8%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 1.1M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
15Arch ManningTexas · QBDraftKings+20000(DraftKings)Kalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.6%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+20000 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 0.5%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 1.5M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
16Kevin JenningsSMU · QBDraftKings+40000(DraftKings)Kalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.6%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+40000 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 0.2%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 1.2M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
17Bo JacksonOhio State · RBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.5%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 85.4K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
18Dante MooreOregon · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.4%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 964.4K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
19Malachi ToneyMiami · WRDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.3%Win probability14d move-20 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 3.3M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
20Ahmad HardyMissouri · RBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.2%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 221.4K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
21Austin MackAlabama · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.2%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 62K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
22Brendan SorsbyCincinnati · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.2%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 211.2K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
23John MateerOklahoma · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.2%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 899.1K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
24Kewan LacyOle Miss · RBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.2%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 248.6K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
25Rocco BechtPenn State · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.2%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 535K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
26Will HammondTexas Tech · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.2%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 148.3K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
27Bryce UnderwoodMichigan · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.1%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 419.5K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
28Byrum BrownAuburn · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.1%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 355.1K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
29Demond Williams Jr.Washington · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.1%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 121.8K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
30Jadan BaughFlorida · RBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.1%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 1.5M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
31Jaron-Keawe SagapoluteleCalifornia · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.1%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 393.1K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
32Kamario TaylorMississippi State · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.1%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 1.9M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
33Marcel ReedTexas A&M · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket0.1%Win probability14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 425.5K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
34Aaron PhiloFlorida · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 135
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
35Anthony ColandreaNebraska · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 73.1K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
36Austin SimmonsMissouri · QBDraftKings+40000(DraftKings)Kalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+40000 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 0.2%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 305.4K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
37Bear BachmeierBYU · QBDraftKings+40000(DraftKings)Kalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+40000 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 0.2%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 1.6M
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
38Charlie BeckerIndiana · WRDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 38K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
39CJ BaileyNC State · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 9.1K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
40Colin SimmonsTexas · EDGEDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 70.6K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
41Conner WeigmanHouston · QBDraftKings+40000(DraftKings)Kalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+40000 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 0.2%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 499.1K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
42DeSean BishopDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move—No baselineDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 65.6K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Nov 9, 7:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
43Dylan RaiolaOregon · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 53.8K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
44Faizon BrandonTennessee · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 753.8K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
45Gio LopezWake ForestDraftKings+11000(DraftKings)Kalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move—No baselineDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+11000 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 0.9%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 36.8K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Nov 6, 7:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
46Lincoln KienholzLouisville · QBDraftKings+25000(DraftKings)Kalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+25000 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 0.4%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 717.7K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
47Mason HeintschelPittsburgh · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 15.1K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
48Michael Hawkins Jr.West Virginia · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 18.7K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
49Nate SheppardDukeDraftKings+8000(DraftKings)Kalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move—No baselineDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+8000 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 1.2%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 24.9K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Movement history is building. At least two recorded snapshots are needed for a chart.
50Nico IamaleavaUCLA · QBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 795
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
51Wayne KnightUCLA · RBDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 158K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
52William “Pop” Watson IIIDraftKings—Not quotedKalshi1%Win probabilityPolymarket—Not quoted14d move0 ppKalshiDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
No sportsbook quote available.
Nov 10, 2026Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: +9900
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: 18.1K
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.Kalshi probability · Recorded snapshots Oct 29, 8:44 PM ET → Nov 12, 7:44 AM ET. History records twice daily.
53Kenny MincheyKentuckyDraftKings+30000(DraftKings)Kalshi—Not quotedPolymarket—Not quoted14d move—No baselineDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+30000 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 0.3%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: —
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: Unavailable
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.No Kalshi history is available for this candidate.
54Noah FifitaArizonaDraftKings+30000(DraftKings)Kalshi—Not quotedPolymarket—Not quoted14d move—No baselineDetails⌄
Sportsbook odds
+30000 (DraftKings)
Nov 10, 2026Implied probability: 0.3%
Market comparison
Kalshi odds equivalent: —
Kalshi − sportsbook: Unavailable
A current-price comparison is unavailable.Market activity
Kalshi traded volume: Unavailable
Volume is activity, not a probability or confidence score.No Kalshi history is available for this candidate.
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What Does Heisman Odds Divergence Mean?
The Divergence column compares a player’s Kalshi probability with the implied probability of the best available sportsbook odds.
A positive number means Kalshi is giving the candidate a higher probability of winning the Heisman than the sportsbook market implies.
A negative number means the best sportsbook odds imply a higher probability than Kalshi.
For example, if a player is available at +3000 at a sportsbook, those odds imply roughly a 3.2% probability. If the same player trades at 5% on Kalshi, CLEATZ would show approximately +1.8 percentage points of positive divergence.
Divergence does not necessarily mean one market is mispriced. Sportsbooks include margin, prediction markets have their own spreads and fees, and liquidity varies by candidate. Instead, it identifies where sportsbooks and prediction-market traders disagree most about the Heisman race.
Those disagreements can be more informative than simply knowing who is currently favored.
How to Read the CLEATZ Heisman Odds Tracker
The CLEATZ Heisman odds board combines traditional sportsbook futures with live prediction-market prices so each candidate can be compared across multiple markets.
Best Book
Best Book shows the best available American odds CLEATZ currently tracks for each Heisman candidate.
The smaller percentage beneath the odds is the sportsbook’s implied probability. For example, +750 corresponds to an implied probability of approximately 11.8%.
Because Heisman futures can vary significantly from sportsbook to sportsbook, comparing prices is especially important in a market where many candidates begin the season at long odds.
Kalshi
The Kalshi column shows the current YES price for each player’s Heisman contract.
A 13% price means the contract is trading at a level corresponding to approximately a 13% market probability.
CLEATZ also converts that probability into fair American odds. A 13% probability, for example, is approximately equivalent to +669.
The fair-odds conversion is provided for comparison purposes and is not a sportsbook quote.
Polymarket
The Polymarket column provides another prediction-market estimate of each player’s probability of winning the Heisman Trophy.
Comparing Kalshi and Polymarket can show whether prediction-market participants broadly agree on a candidate or whether meaningful differences have developed between the two markets.
Divergence
Divergence measures the difference between Kalshi’s probability and the implied probability of the best available sportsbook odds.
Positive divergence means Kalshi is more bullish on the candidate.
Negative divergence means the sportsbook market implies a greater chance of winning.
The larger the absolute difference, the greater the disagreement between the two markets.
14-Day Rank Move
The 14D Rank Move column tracks how each candidate’s position in the Heisman market rankings has changed over the previous 14 days.
A green ▲ indicates the candidate has climbed in the rankings. A red ▼ indicates the candidate has fallen. A dash indicates no ranking change or insufficient historical data.
Rank movement can help identify players gaining or losing momentum before the change becomes obvious from the current odds alone.
Volume
Volume shows the amount of trading activity associated with the prediction-market contract.
Higher volume generally indicates a more actively traded market. Volume provides useful context when evaluating a price move because small, lightly traded markets can move more easily than highly active contracts.
Volume alone should not be interpreted as “sharp” or “public” action because the identity and motivation of individual traders are not known.
Why the Heisman Is a Different Bet
Most futures markets ask “who will win?” The Heisman asks something subtler: “Who will voters decide won?” That distinction is the single biggest reason this market behaves unlike a championship or playoff future, and it’s what creates real edges if you understand it.
The Quarterback Lock
Nine of the top ten contracts on the Heisman board are almost always quarterbacks. This isn’t a coincidence, and it’s not a quirk of any single season — it’s structural. Since 2000, the position has dominated the award to the point that non-QBs effectively need a historically exceptional season and a quiet year at quarterback to win.
The implication for the market: when you see a running back or receiver priced at 6-8%, the price isn’t really about that player’s stat ceiling. It’s about the probability that the season’s top QBs collectively underperform enough to leave a window open. That’s a much lower-probability event than “this RB has a 1,800-yard season,” which is why those prices look pessimistic compared to traditional player props.
The Wide Receiver Drought
Only one wide receiver has won the Heisman in the last 30+ years, DeVonta Smith in 2020. That sample size is small enough to be a near-zero base rate, and the market knows it. According to the official Heisman Trust archive, receivers have been finalists more often than they’ve won, and even the ones who put up generational seasons (Larry Fitzgerald in 2003, Justin Blackmon in 2010, Ja’Marr Chase in 2019) finished behind quarterbacks with weaker box scores.
So when the board prices a top WR at 5-7%, the market isn’t saying “this receiver won’t have a huge year.” It’s saying “even if he does, the voters probably hand it to a QB anyway.” That’s the kind of information that doesn’t surface in sportsbook player-prop markets, where the bet is on the stat line, not the electorate.
Voters Are Part of the Bet
Heisman ballots are cast by 870-ish media members and former winners, regionally distributed. Their tendencies are remarkably stable: they reward winning records over raw counting stats, they favor “Heisman moments” (a signature win, ideally televised on a Saturday night), and they disproportionately weight late-season performance. A player can lead the country in passing yards through October and lose to a QB who has a better November.
When you bet a Heisman future, you’re not just betting on a player’s season. You’re betting on:
- The player putting up the production
- The player’s team winning enough to stay in the conversation
- A signature game landing in the right window
- No other QB on a top-10 team having a louder November
- Voters not splitting between two players from the same conference
That’s five independent conditions. Multiply them out and you understand why even the favorite rarely closes above 25-30%. The Heisman is a probability stack, and the market prices it accordingly.
The Preseason Discount
One last structural quirk worth knowing: Heisman markets always overprice preseason favorites and underprice candidates who haven’t started a college game yet. The brand-name premium fades through August and September as actual production replaces projection. If you’re trading these markets in May or June, the question to ask isn’t “who’s the best player?” — it’s “who’s currently priced for a season they may not deliver?” The answer is usually the recognizable name at the top of the board.
Jason Ziernicki is the founder of CLEATZ and has worked in the online sports betting industry since 2012. At CLEATZ, he focuses on public betting data, sportsbook line movement, prediction markets and data-driven sports betting tools.