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Home/NFL Odds, Public Betting & Super Bowl Futures

NFL Odds, Public Betting & Super Bowl Futures

The NFL board moves fast, and the early lines are where the edges live. This is the full Cleatz NFL hub, Week 10 spreads and totals, NFL betting splits, and the Kalshi win probabilities I trade against from my desk in Jackson Hole. I’m not here to tell you who to root for. I’m here to show you where the money’s going, where the public’s piling in, and where the market hasn’t caught up yet. Lines this early are soft. Read them before they tighten.

— Jason, Cleatz Founder

CLEATZFOLLOWING THE MONEY.
Picks ↗Props ↗Lines ↗

NFL · WEEKLY BRIEFING

NFL Weekly Board

This week · Nov 10–Nov 16 · Times ET

Tracked saved picks · 144 graded76–65–3

Featured game selections

Saved pick

New York Jets +7.5

Buffalo Bills @ New York JetsSun, Nov 15 · 1:00 pm ET
Sharp moneyFade the publicRevenge spot

Saved line · Thu, Nov 5 · 1:57 pm ET

Saved pick

Dallas Cowboys +3.5

San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas CowboysSun, Nov 15 · 4:25 pm ET
Fade the publicSteam / RLM

Saved line · Mon, Nov 9 · 1:41 am ET

Explore game picks ↗

Public Betting Consensus

Upcoming selections · Bet % and Handle %

Ranked by Bet %Bet %Handle %
1
Buffalo Bills -7Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets
100%97%
2
Kansas City Chiefs -4.5Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons
100%100%
3
Green Bay Packers -4.5Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers
100%97%
4
Detroit Lions -1.5New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions
100%100%
All betting splits ↗

Player prop trends

All props ↗

Historical screens at the displayed line

Historical prop lean

Jared Goff

NE @ DET

Under 5.5 rushing yards

-300 · fanatics

L5 5/5 hits · L10 8/10

L5 trend + better available line · Opponent adjustments excluded

Historical prop lean

Drake Maye

NE @ DET

Over 1.5 passing TDs

-138 · fanduel

L5 5/5 hits · L10 6/10

L5 trend + workload support · Opponent adjustments excluded

Historical prop lean

Isaiah Likely

WAS @ NYG

Over 45.5 receiving yards

-135 · fanatics

L5 4/5 hits · L10 5/10

L5 trend + better available line · Opponent adjustments excluded

Historical hit rates describe appearances at the displayed line; they are not win probabilities. NFL trends do not include injury or opponent adjustments.

Market moves to know

All moves ↗

Chargers @ Ravens — Game Total Over 38.5 Total

Sportsbook consensus · Opening → current
47.5 → 38.5

Rams @ Cardinals — Game Total Over 39.5 Total

Sportsbook consensus · Opening → current
47.5 → 39.5

Upcoming games

All lines ↗
Washington Commanders @ New York GiantsThu, Nov 12 · 8:15 pm ETNew England Patriots @ Detroit LionsSun, Nov 15 · 9:30 am ETBuffalo Bills @ New York JetsSun, Nov 15 · 1:00 pm ETCarolina Panthers @ New Orleans SaintsSun, Nov 15 · 1:00 pm ETHouston Texans @ Cleveland BrownsSun, Nov 15 · 1:00 pm ETJacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee TitansSun, Nov 15 · 1:00 pm ETKansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta FalconsSun, Nov 15 · 1:00 pm ETMiami Dolphins @ Indianapolis ColtsSun, Nov 15 · 1:00 pm ETMinnesota Vikings @ Green Bay PackersSun, Nov 15 · 1:00 pm ETLos Angeles Rams @ Arizona CardinalsSun, Nov 15 · 4:05 pm ETSeattle Seahawks @ Las Vegas RaidersSun, Nov 15 · 4:05 pm ETSan Francisco 49ers @ Dallas CowboysSun, Nov 15 · 4:25 pm ETPittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati BengalsSun, Nov 15 · 8:20 pm ETLos Angeles Chargers @ Baltimore RavensMon, Nov 16 · 8:15 pm ET
Odds checked Tue, Nov 10 · 10:50 am ETPick record & methodology ↗

JZ bio
Jason Ziernicki
Founder at CLEATZ | jason@cleatz.com | Web | + postsBio ⮌

Jason Ziernicki is the founder of CLEATZ and has worked in the online sports betting industry since 2012. At CLEATZ, he focuses on public betting data, sportsbook line movement, prediction markets and data-driven sports betting tools.

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NFL Weather Report — Check game-time wind, precipitation, roof status and available totals.

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Polymarket disclosure

*Polymarket Disclaimer: 18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See http://polymarket.us/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization.

Kalshi disclosure

*Kalshi Disclaimer: Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it’s appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Prices may not be live and are subject to change. See http://kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Federally regulated event contract exchange. Users over the age of 18 are able to register and trade.

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