FanDuel’s New “Laser” HR Market: What 110+ MPH Exit Velocity Means for Bettors

FanDuel launched three new MLB home run markets recently, and the most interesting one for serious bettors is the “Laser” HR market, a real-money bet that requires the home run to be hit at 110+ MPH exit velocity. Here’s what that threshold means, which hitters to target, and why this is only the beginning of stat-powered betting markets.

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The Three New FanDuel HR Markets, Explained

1. Daily Dinger – Free-to-play. Pick one player each day to hit a home run. Winners earn a profit boost token. Low-risk, good habit-builder for casual fans.
2. “Laser” HR Markets – Real-money bet. The home run must be hit with an exit velocity of 110+ MPH. Filters out lucky, park-aided dingers. Pure power bets.
3. 3+ Home Run Grids – Bet on multi-HR games and slates. Higher risk/reward, targeting elite sluggers in favorable matchups on big-volume days.

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What Is Laser HR Exit Velocity and Why 110 MPH?

Exit velocity is the speed of the ball off the bat, measured in MPH by Statcast’s radar system at every MLB stadium. It’s one of the cleanest power indicators in baseball because it’s entirely independent of park dimensions, weather, or luck. A 110 MPH exit velocity on a fly ball results in a home run roughly 85–90% of the time under normal conditions, according to Statcast data.

The 110 MPH threshold isn’t arbitrary. It’s roughly the line between “this ball was hit hard enough to go out in almost any park” and “this might have needed help from wind or short fences.” FanDuel chose it deliberately; it’s a real skill separator.

Here’s how exit velocity thresholds break down in practice:

• 95 MPH — Hard contact threshold; the barrel zone starts here
• 100 MPH — Elite hard hit; often a double or warning-track fly out
• 105 MPH — High-probability HR territory in most parks
• 110+ MPH — FanDuel’s Laser threshold; no-doubter territory (~85–90% HR rate)
• 115+ MPH — Judge/Ohtani tier; rare even for elite sluggers

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Who to Target for Laser HR Bets

Not every home run hitter is a “Laser” HR hitter. Players who hit a lot of cheap home runs, short parks, opposite-field flair, and wind assistance will see their implied odds drop significantly on this market. The players who benefit are the ones who consistently barrel the ball at 110+ MPH.

Based on Statcast 2026 data.

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Hitters to Fade on Laser Markets

Several high-volume HR hitters will be overpriced on Laser markets because the books will anchor to their standard HR reputation.

Kyle Schwarber — Pull-side power with a lot of park-aided shots. His HR count is high, but his average exit velocity lags behind true “laser” hitters. A significant portion of his home runs wouldn’t clear 110 MPH in a neutral park.

Marcus Semien — Gap power that produces doubles and line-drive home runs, but rarely the towering shots that dominate Statcast’s top exit velocities.

Any hitter at Coors Field — Thin air inflates HR totals without inflating exit velocity. A 102 MPH fly ball that would be a warning-track out in most parks becomes a home run at altitude. That advantage disappears entirely on Laser markets.

⚠️ Watch Out: Coors Field is one of the best parks for standard HR props and one of the worst for Laser HR props. The altitude effect is park-driven, not exit-velocity-driven. Don’t carry your standard Coors park factor adjustments into the Laser market.

The Bigger Trend: Stats Are Becoming Markets

The real story isn’t just a single product launch; it’s what it signals about where sports betting is heading. Every granular stat now tracked by infrastructure like Google Cloud, Amazon Web Services, and Statcast has the potential to become a betting market. This isn’t a one-off innovation; it’s the early stages of a structural shift.

Think about what’s already technically feasible on any given day during the MLB season: spin rate props, launch angle over/unders, sprint speed markets on stolen base attempts, pitch velocity thresholds, expected batting average bets. The data exists. The infrastructure exists. The regulatory environment is permissive across much of the U.S. The only thing that’s lagging is sportsbook product development, and now that gap is starting to close.

For bettors, this creates a clear window of opportunity. New markets are inefficient markets. Opening lines are often shaped more by intuition and public perception than by fully matured models. The edge available on a niche prop early in the season is almost certainly larger than it will be later on, once books have gathered data, refined pricing, and sharpened their approach.

📈 Long-Term Play: New markets equal pricing inefficiencies. Build your Statcast exit velocity database now. The bettors who’ve done the homework on 110+ MPH HR rates before the books have fully calibrated will have a meaningful edge for at least the first half of this season.

Bottom Line

FanDuel’s Laser HR market is the most interesting new betting product of the 2026 MLB betting season. It rewards bettors who actually understand exit velocity rather than just recognizing a famous slugger’s name. The edge goes to Judge, Ohtani, and Alonso, and away from pull-heavy, park-dependent power hitters and anyone playing in Denver.

Start tracking 110+ MPH HR splits in your research. Cross-reference today’s matchup with the opposing pitcher’s hard-hit-against rate. And check out our MLB weather tool: warm temperatures still matter for borderline exit velocities, even on Laser markets.

We’ll be incorporating exit-velocity tiers into our daily HR props picks going forward.