The Atlanta Falcons travel to Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh to face the Steelers on Sunday, September 13 at 1:00 PM ET. This page compares live odds from major sportsbooks against real-money prediction market prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and no-vig exchanges to identify where the sharpest pricing emerges.
Falcons vs. Steelers Odds Today
- Spread
- Steelers -3 8 of 13 books
- Total
- 42.5 6 of 13 books
- Moneyline
- Falcons +150 / Steelers -163 best available
- Win probability
- Falcons 40% / Steelers 60% median of 12 books, no vig
- Kalshi
- Falcons 39% / Steelers 61%
- Polymarket
- Falcons 40% / Steelers 60%
All figures read from one snapshot at page load, so they match the tables below.
Books and prediction markets agree here, inside 0.7 of a point once the vig is removed. The best bid and ask are 1¢ apart, a tight market at the displayed price.
Falcons vs. Steelers Odds Comparison
9 of 14 books have Falcons at +3. The total is not settled — it ranges from 41.5 to 42.5, with 42.5 the consensus. Best Falcons moneyline: Novig at +150.
Spread
| Book | ATL | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +3 +100 | -3 -120 |
| FanDuel | +3 -105 | -3 -115 |
| BetMGM | +3 -105 | -3 -115 |
| Caesars | +3 -106 | -3 -114 |
| Caesars | +3 -106 | -3 -114 |
| Bet365 | — | — |
| BetRivers | +3 -110 | -3 -110 |
| Novig No Vig | +3.5 -117 | -3.5 -108 |
| Fanatics | — | — |
| Bally Bet | +3 -110 | -3 -110 |
| betPARX | +3 -110 | -3 -110 |
| Fliff | — | — |
| Hard Rock Bet | +3.5 -120 | -3.5 +100 |
| Pinnacle | +3 +102 | -3 -114 |
Total
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 41.5 -115 | 41.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 42.5 -108 | 42.5 -112 |
| BetMGM | 42.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 42.5 -106 | 42.5 -114 |
| Caesars | 42.5 -106 | 42.5 -114 |
| Bet365 | 42.5 -111 | 42.5 -111 |
| BetRivers | 41.5 -112 | 41.5 -109 |
| Novig No Vig | 42.5 -113 | 42.5 -122 |
| Fanatics | — | — |
| Bally Bet | 41.5 -112 | 41.5 -109 |
| betPARX | 41.5 -112 | 41.5 -109 |
| Fliff | — | — |
| Hard Rock Bet | 42.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 |
| Pinnacle | 41.5 -121 | 41.5 +104 |
Moneyline
| Book | ATL | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +145 | -175 |
| FanDuel | +142 | -168 |
| BetMGM | +140 | -165 |
| Caesars | +142 | -170 |
| Caesars | +142 | -170 |
| Bet365 | +140 | -167 |
| BetRivers | +135 | -167 |
| Novig No Vig | +150 | -163 |
| Fanatics | +145 | -175 |
| Bally Bet | +138 | -167 |
| betPARX | +138 | -167 |
| Fliff | +125 | — |
| Hard Rock Bet | +145 | -170 |
| Pinnacle | +150 | -170 |
Best available price on each side is highlighted.
| Aaron Rodgers | PP 222.5UD 216.5 |
| Aaron Rodgers | PP 0.5 |
| Bijan Robinson | PP 83.5UD 83.5 |
| Bijan Robinson | PP 38.5UD 38.5 |
| DK Metcalf | PP 49.5UD 49.5 |
| Drake London | PP 72.5UD 70.5 |
| Kyle Pitts | PP 52.5UD 50.5 |
| Michael Pittman Jr. | UD 45.5 |
| Bijan Robinson | PP 4.5 |
| Drake London | PP 5.5 |
| Aaron Rodgers | DK +1400 |
| Bijan Robinson | DK -155 |
| Brian Robinson Jr. | DK +400 |
| Darnell Washington | DK +500 |
| DK Metcalf | DK +210 |
| Drake London | DK +200 |
| Jaylen Warren | DK +125 |
| Kyle Pitts | DK +270 |
| Michael Pittman Jr. | DK +245 |
| Pat Freiermuth | DK +310 |
| Rico Dowdle | DK +110 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | DK +3000 |
Kalshi, Polymarket & Novig Odds: Falcons vs. Steelers
Contract prices are live probabilities with no vig, so they compare directly to a devigged book line. Where the two differ, the gap shows where the markets disagree on this game's win probability.
| Market | ATL | PIT | Spread | Traded | Open Int. | 24hSteelers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Up to $500 bonus → | 39% | 61% | 1¢ | 27.3k | 19.5k | -1 |
| Polymarket $20 free trade → | 40% | 60% | 1¢ | $128 | — | +1 |
| Novig Play $10, get $25 free → | 39% | 61% | — | — | — | — |
Kalshi trades in contracts; Polymarket reports in dollars. Novig is an exchange priced from its moneyline — the odds feed carries no order-book depth for it.
Where the price has moved
Every line is the implied probability of Steelers winning, so up means the market likes Steelers more. Since each contract opened, Kalshi has moved toward Steelers 2 points, 59% to 61%; Polymarket has moved toward Steelers 14 points, 46% to 60%. The dashed line is the sportsbook consensus with the vig removed.
Kalshi Polymarket Sportsbooks, no vig
Falcons and Steelers Season Win Totals
Kalshi's over/under on each club's regular-season wins. It is the quickest read on how far apart these two teams are expected to finish.
| Team | O/U Wins | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATLFalcons | 6.5 | 53% | 47% |
| PITSteelers | 8.5 | 46% | 54% |
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
Falcons and Steelers Super Bowl Futures
Best available price across the licensed books, with 30-day movement and what the prediction markets make of it.
| Team | To WinBest Price | 30d | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATLFalcons | +13000 DraftKings | — | 1% | 0% |
| PITSteelers | +8000 BetMGM | — | 2% | 1% |
| Market | Falcons | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 39% | 61% |
| Polymarket | 40% | 60% |
| Book | 39% | 61% |
| Novig | 39% | 61% |