The San Francisco 49ers travel to SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California to face the Los Angeles Rams on Thursday night to kick off the NFL season. This page compares live sportsbook odds with prices from prediction markets including Kalshi, Polymarket, and no-vig exchanges to identify potential discrepancies in how the matchup is priced.
49ers vs. Rams Odds Today
- Spread
- Rams -3.5 12 of 13 books
- Total
- 48.5 13 of 13 books
- Moneyline
- 49ers +170 / Rams -180 best available
- Win probability
- 49ers 37% / Rams 63% median of 13 books, no vig
- Kalshi
- 49ers 39% / Rams 61%
- Polymarket
- 49ers 36% / Rams 64%
All figures read from one snapshot at page load, so they match the tables below.
Books and prediction markets agree here, inside 2.2 of a point once the vig is removed. The best bid and ask are 1¢ apart, a tight market at the displayed price.
49ers vs. Rams Odds Comparison
13 of 14 books have 49ers at +3.5. The total sits at 48.5 everywhere. Best 49ers moneyline: Novig at +170.
Spread
| Book | SF | LAR |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +3.5 -115 | -3.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +3.5 -105 | -3.5 -115 |
| BetMGM | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -109 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -109 |
| Bet365 | +3.5 -111 | -3.5 -111 |
| BetRivers | +3.5 -112 | -3.5 -109 |
| Novig No Vig | +3.5 -111 | -3.5 -106 |
| Fanatics | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| Bally Bet | +3.5 -112 | -3.5 -109 |
| betPARX | +3.5 -112 | -3.5 -109 |
| Fliff | +3.5 -120 | -3.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| Pinnacle | +3 +111 | -3 -125 |
Total
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 48.5 -108 | 48.5 -112 |
| FanDuel | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 |
| BetMGM | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 48.5 -112 | 48.5 -108 |
| Caesars | 48.5 -112 | 48.5 -108 |
| Bet365 | 48.5 -111 | 48.5 -111 |
| BetRivers | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 |
| Novig No Vig | 48.5 +100 | 48.5 -117 |
| Fanatics | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 |
| Bally Bet | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 |
| betPARX | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 |
| Fliff | 48.5 -115 | 48.5 -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 |
| Pinnacle | 48.5 -105 | 48.5 -111 |
Moneyline
| Book | SF | LAR |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +154 | -185 |
| FanDuel | +168 | -200 |
| BetMGM | +155 | -190 |
| Caesars | +162 | -193 |
| Caesars | +162 | -193 |
| Bet365 | +165 | -200 |
| BetRivers | +160 | -200 |
| Novig No Vig | +170 | -182 |
| Fanatics | +150 | -180 |
| Bally Bet | +160 | -195 |
| betPARX | +160 | -195 |
| Fliff | +155 | -200 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +165 | -195 |
| Pinnacle | +163 | -187 |
Best available price on each side is highlighted.
| Brock Purdy | DK 245.5PP 245.5UD 249.5 |
| Matthew Stafford | DK 265.5PP 265.5UD 266.5 |
| Brock Purdy | DK 1.5PP 1.5UD 1.5 |
| Matthew Stafford | DK 1.5 |
| Blake Corum | DK 37.5PP 36.5UD 36.5 |
| Brock Purdy | PP 14.5UD 14.5 |
| Christian McCaffrey | DK 59.5PP 59.5UD 59.5 |
| Kyren Williams | DK 56.5PP 57.5UD 57.5 |
| Puka Nacua | PP 0.5 |
| Blake Corum | PP 0.5UD 0.5 |
| Christian McCaffrey | DK 39.5PP 36.5UD 40.5 |
| Davante Adams | PP 49.5UD 49.5 |
| Deebo Samuel | DK 31.5PP 29.5UD 29.5 |
| Kyren Williams | PP 10.5UD 10.5 |
| Mike Evans | DK 47.5PP 47.5 |
| Puka Nacua | DK 90.5PP 90.5UD 92.5 |
| Christian McCaffrey | DK 4.5PP 4.5 |
| Davante Adams | PP 4.5 |
| Deebo Samuel | DK 2.5 |
| Mike Evans | DK 3.5 |
| Puka Nacua | DK 7.5PP 7 |
| Blake Corum | DK +140CZR +147 |
| Brock Purdy | DK +500CZR +525 |
| Christian McCaffrey | DK -150CZR -150 |
| Colby Parkinson | DK +400CZR +390 |
| Davante Adams | DK +125CZR +135 |
| Deebo Samuel | DK +235CZR +215 |
| George Kittle | DK +200CZR +215 |
| Jake Tonges | DK +265CZR +240 |
| James Jordan | DK +800CZR +700 |
| Jordan Whittington | DK +425CZR +450 |
| Kaelon Black | DK +800CZR +675 |
| Kyren Williams | DK -135CZR -132 |
Kalshi, Polymarket & Novig Odds: 49ers vs. Rams
Contract prices are live probabilities with no vig, so they compare directly to a devigged book line. Where the two differ, the gap shows where the markets disagree on this game's win probability.
| Market | SF | LAR | Spread | Traded | Open Int. | 24hRams |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Up to $500 bonus → | 39% | 61% | 1¢ | 180.9k | 114.6k | +1 |
| Polymarket $20 free trade → | 36% | 64% | 2¢ | $1.4k | — | — |
| Novig Play $10, get $25 free → | 36% | 64% | — | — | — | — |
Kalshi trades in contracts; Polymarket reports in dollars. Novig is an exchange priced from its moneyline — the odds feed carries no order-book depth for it.
Where the price has moved
Every line is the implied probability of Rams winning, so up means the market likes Rams more. Since each contract opened, Kalshi has not moved (62%); Polymarket has moved toward Rams 14 points, 50% to 64%. The dashed line is the sportsbook consensus with the vig removed.
Kalshi Polymarket Sportsbooks, no vig
49ers and Rams Season Win Totals
Kalshi's over/under on each club's regular-season wins. It is the quickest read on how far apart these two teams are expected to finish.
| Team | O/U Wins | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF49ers | 9.5 | 59% | 41% |
| LARRams | 11.5 | 56% | 44% |
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
49ers and Rams Super Bowl Futures
Best available price across the licensed books, with 30-day movement and what the prediction markets make of it.
| Team | To WinBest Price | 30d | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF49ers | +1900 DraftKings | — | 5% | 4% |
| LARRams | +550 DraftKings | — | 16% | 15% |
| Market | 49ers | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 39% | 61% |
| Polymarket | 36% | 64% |
| Book | 38% | 62% |
| Novig | 36% | 64% |