The Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati. This page compares live sportsbook odds against prediction market prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and no-vig exchanges to identify discrepancies between the two pricing sources.
Buccaneers vs. Bengals Odds Today
- Spread
- Bengals -3.5 12 of 14 books
- Total
- 50.5 12 of 14 books
- Moneyline
- Buccaneers +186 / Bengals -190 best available
- Win probability
- Buccaneers 35% / Bengals 65% median of 14 books, no vig
- Kalshi
- Buccaneers 35% / Bengals 65%
- Polymarket
- Buccaneers 35% / Bengals 65%
All figures read from one snapshot at page load, so they match the tables below.
Books and prediction markets agree here, inside 0.4 of a point once the vig is removed. The best bid and ask are 1¢ apart, a tight market at the displayed price.
Buccaneers vs. Bengals Odds Comparison
13 of 15 books have Buccaneers at +3.5. The total is not settled — it ranges from 50.5 to 52.5, with 50.5 the consensus. Best Buccaneers moneyline: Novig at +186.
Spread
| Book | TB | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +3.5 -105 | -3.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | +3.5 -105 | -3.5 -115 |
| BetMGM | +4 -110 | -4 -108 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -102 | -3.5 -125 |
| Caesars | +4 -108 | -4 -112 |
| Bet365 | +3.5 -105 | -3.5 -116 |
| BetRivers | +3.5 -108 | -3.5 -113 |
| Novig No Vig | +3.5 -104 | -3.5 -108 |
| Fanatics | +3.5 +100 | -3.5 -120 |
| Bally Bet | +3.5 -108 | -3.5 -113 |
| betPARX | +3.5 -108 | -3.5 -113 |
| Fliff | +3.5 -105 | -3.5 -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +3.5 -105 | -3.5 -115 |
| Pinnacle | +3.5 +101 | -3.5 -114 |
| ProphetX No Vig | +3.5 -101 | -3.5 -109 |
Total
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 50.5 -120 | 50.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | 50.5 -112 | 50.5 -108 |
| BetMGM | 52.5 -110 | 52.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 50.5 -109 | 50.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 50.5 -109 | 50.5 -110 |
| Bet365 | 50.5 -111 | 50.5 -111 |
| BetRivers | 50.5 -112 | 50.5 -109 |
| Novig No Vig | 50.5 -108 | 50.5 -111 |
| Fanatics | 50.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 |
| Bally Bet | 50.5 -112 | 50.5 -109 |
| betPARX | 50.5 -112 | 50.5 -109 |
| Fliff | 50.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 50.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 |
| Pinnacle | 51 -101 | 51 -116 |
| ProphetX No Vig | 50.5 -102 | 50.5 -108 |
Moneyline
| Book | TB | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +170 | -205 |
| FanDuel | +172 | -205 |
| BetMGM | +170 | -210 |
| Caesars | +171 | -205 |
| Caesars | +171 | -205 |
| Bet365 | +170 | -208 |
| BetRivers | +163 | -205 |
| Novig No Vig | +186 | -190 |
| Fanatics | +175 | -215 |
| Bally Bet | +165 | -200 |
| betPARX | +165 | -200 |
| Fliff | +165 | -215 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +170 | -210 |
| Pinnacle | +181 | -209 |
| ProphetX No Vig | +182 | -202 |
Best available price on each side is highlighted.
| Baker Mayfield | DK 231.5PP 235.5UD 237.5 |
| Joe Burrow | DK 269.5PP 269.5UD 266.5 |
| Baker Mayfield | DK 1.5PP 1.5UD 1.5 |
| Joe Burrow | DK 2.5PP 2 |
| Baker Mayfield | DK 14.5PP 16.5UD 15.5 |
| Bucky Irving | DK 57.5PP 55.5UD 55.5 |
| Chase Brown | DK 58.5PP 59.5UD 58.5 |
| Joe Burrow | DK 6.5PP 6.5UD 6.5 |
| Kenny Gainwell | UD 21.5 |
| Samaje Perine | PP 17.5UD 17.5 |
| Andrei Iosivas | PP 8.5UD 8.5 |
| Bucky Irving | DK 14.5PP 12.5UD 12.5 |
| Cade Otton | PP 27.5UD 28.5 |
| Chase Brown | DK 22.5PP 22.5UD 24.5 |
| Chris Godwin | PP 39.5UD 41.5 |
| Colbie Young | PP 7.5UD 8.5 |
| Drew Sample | PP 8.5UD 6.5 |
| Emeka Egbuka | DK 56.5PP 54.5UD 54.5 |
| Erick All | PP 9.5UD 9.5 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | DK 88.5PP 87.5UD 87.5 |
| Jalen McMillan | PP 37.5UD 37.5 |
| Tee Higgins | DK 64.5PP 60.5UD 62.5 |
| Bucky Irving | DK 2.5 |
| Chase Brown | DK 3.5PP 3.5UD 3.5 |
| Emeka Egbuka | DK 4.5PP 4 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | DK 7.5PP 7 |
| Mike Gesicki | PP 1.5UD 1.5 |
| Samaje Perine | PP 1.5 |
| Tee Higgins | DK 4.5PP 5 |
| Andrei Iosivas | DK +260CZR +265 |
| Baker Mayfield | DK +500CZR +500 |
| Bucky Irving | DK +150CZR +134 |
| Cade Otton | DK +320CZR +305 |
| Chase Brown | DK -140CZR -141 |
| Chris Godwin | DK +220CZR +205 |
| Colbie Young | DK +300CZR +275 |
| Drew Sample | DK +900CZR +650 |
| Emeka Egbuka | DK +165CZR +172 |
| Erick All | DK +500CZR +450 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | DK -130CZR -125 |
| Jack Endries | DK +750CZR +575 |
Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig & ProphetX Odds: Buccaneers vs. Bengals
Contract prices are live probabilities with no vig, so they compare directly to a devigged book line. Where the two differ, the gap shows where the markets disagree on this game's win probability.
| Market | TB | CIN | Spread | Traded | Open Int. | 24hBengals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Up to $500 bonus → | 35% | 65% | 1¢ | 56.3k | 47k | — |
| Polymarket $20 free trade → | 35% | 65% | 3¢ | $1.1k | — | -1 |
| Novig Play $10, get $25 free → | 35% | 65% | — | — | — | — |
| ProphetX $20 free trade → | 35% | 65% | — | — | — | — |
Kalshi trades in contracts; Polymarket reports in dollars. Novig is an exchange priced from its moneyline — the odds feed carries no order-book depth for it.
Where the price has moved
Every line is the implied probability of Bengals winning, so up means the market likes Bengals more. Since each contract opened, Kalshi has moved toward Bengals 2 points, 63% to 65%; Polymarket has moved toward Bengals 3 points, 62% to 65%. The dashed line is the sportsbook consensus with the vig removed.
Kalshi Polymarket Sportsbooks, no vig
Buccaneers and Bengals Season Win Totals
Kalshi's over/under on each club's regular-season wins. It is the quickest read on how far apart these two teams are expected to finish.
| Team | O/U Wins | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| TBBuccaneers | 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| CINBengals | 10.5 | 49% | 51% |
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
Buccaneers and Bengals Super Bowl Futures
Best available price across the licensed books, with 30-day movement and what the prediction markets make of it.
| Team | To WinBest Price | 30d | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBBuccaneers | +5500 DraftKings | — | 2% | 1% |
| CINBengals | +2200 BetMGM | — | 4% | 3% |
| Market | Buccaneers | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 35% | 65% |
| Polymarket | 35% | 65% |
| Book | 36% | 64% |
| Novig | 35% | 65% |
| ProphetX | 35% | 65% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 50.20 |
|---|---|---|
| Total points | Polymarket | 50.50 |
| Exchanges | agree | |
| Spread Cincinnati | Kalshi | −3.8 |