The Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati. This page compares live sportsbook odds against prediction market prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and no-vig exchanges to identify discrepancies between the two pricing sources.
Buccaneers vs. Bengals Odds Today
- Spread
- Bengals -3.5 11 of 12 books
- Total
- 51.5 10 of 12 books
- Moneyline
- Buccaneers +187 / Bengals -198 best available
- Win probability
- Buccaneers 36% / Bengals 64% median of 12 books, no vig
- Kalshi
- Buccaneers 36% / Bengals 64%
- Polymarket
- Buccaneers 34% / Bengals 66%
All figures read from one snapshot at page load, so they match the tables below.
Books and prediction markets agree here, inside 1.8 of a point once the vig is removed. The best bid and ask are 1¢ apart, a tight market at the displayed price.
Buccaneers vs. Bengals Odds Comparison
12 of 13 books have Buccaneers at +3.5. The total is not settled — it ranges from 51 to 51.5, with 51.5 the consensus. Best Buccaneers moneyline: Pinnacle at +187.
Spread
| Book | TB | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +3.5 -105 | -3.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| BetMGM | +3.5 -105 | -3.5 -115 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -108 | -3.5 -112 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -108 | -3.5 -112 |
| Bet365 | +3.5 -105 | -3.5 -116 |
| BetRivers | +3.5 -112 | -3.5 -109 |
| Novig No Vig | +3.5 -102 | -3.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | — | — |
| Bally Bet | +3.5 -112 | -3.5 -109 |
| betPARX | +3.5 -112 | -3.5 -109 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +3.5 -105 | -3.5 -115 |
| Pinnacle | +3.5 +105 | -3.5 -118 |
Total
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 51.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 51.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 |
| BetMGM | 51.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 51.5 -108 | 51.5 -112 |
| Caesars | 51.5 -108 | 51.5 -112 |
| Bet365 | 51.5 -111 | 51.5 -111 |
| BetRivers | 51.5 -109 | 51.5 -112 |
| Novig No Vig | 51.5 +106 | 51.5 -122 |
| Fanatics | — | — |
| Bally Bet | 51.5 -109 | 51.5 -112 |
| betPARX | 51.5 -109 | 51.5 -112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 51.5 -105 | 51.5 -115 |
| Pinnacle | 51 -110 | 51 -106 |
Moneyline
| Book | TB | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +164 | -198 |
| FanDuel | +164 | -198 |
| BetMGM | +165 | -200 |
| Caesars | +171 | -205 |
| Caesars | +171 | -205 |
| Bet365 | +175 | -213 |
| BetRivers | +160 | -200 |
| Novig No Vig | +182 | -199 |
| Fanatics | +175 | -215 |
| Bally Bet | +165 | -200 |
| betPARX | +165 | -200 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +175 | -210 |
| Pinnacle | +187 | -216 |
Best available price on each side is highlighted.
| Baker Mayfield | PP 253.5UD 250.5 |
| Joe Burrow | PP 269.5UD 265.5 |
| Baker Mayfield | PP 1.5 |
| Baker Mayfield | PP 16.5UD 16.5 |
| Chase Brown | PP 56.5UD 56.5 |
| Joe Burrow | PP 5.5UD 5.5 |
| Emeka Egbuka | PP 59.5UD 61.5 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | PP 87.5UD 89.5 |
| Tee Higgins | PP 57.5UD 57.5 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | PP 7.5UD 7.5 |
| Baker Mayfield | DK +550 |
| Bucky Irving | DK +105 |
| Cade Otton | DK +320 |
| Chase Brown | DK -155 |
| Chris Godwin | DK +250 |
| Cincinnati Bengals D/ST | DK +550 |
| Emeka Egbuka | DK +210 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | DK -110 |
| Joe Burrow | DK +750 |
| Mike Gesicki | DK +310 |
| Sean Tucker | DK +450 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers D/ST | DK +600 |
Kalshi, Polymarket & Novig Odds: Buccaneers vs. Bengals
Contract prices are live probabilities with no vig, so they compare directly to a devigged book line. Where the two differ, the gap shows where the markets disagree on this game's win probability.
| Market | TB | CIN | Spread | Traded | Open Int. | 24hBengals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Up to $500 bonus → | 36% | 64% | 1¢ | 20.7k | 15.6k | — |
| Polymarket $20 free trade → | 34% | 66% | 2¢ | $744 | — | — |
| Novig Play $10, get $25 free → | 35% | 65% | — | — | — | — |
Kalshi trades in contracts; Polymarket reports in dollars. Novig is an exchange priced from its moneyline — the odds feed carries no order-book depth for it.
Where the price has moved
Every line is the implied probability of Bengals winning, so up means the market likes Bengals more. Since each contract opened, Kalshi has moved toward Bengals 1 point, 63% to 64%; Polymarket has moved toward Bengals 4 points, 62% to 66%. The dashed line is the sportsbook consensus with the vig removed.
Kalshi Polymarket Sportsbooks, no vig
Buccaneers and Bengals Season Win Totals
Kalshi's over/under on each club's regular-season wins. It is the quickest read on how far apart these two teams are expected to finish.
| Team | O/U Wins | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| TBBuccaneers | 8.5 | 48% | 52% |
| CINBengals | 10.5 | 45% | 55% |
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
Buccaneers and Bengals Super Bowl Futures
Best available price across the licensed books, with 30-day movement and what the prediction markets make of it.
| Team | To WinBest Price | 30d | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBBuccaneers | +5500 DraftKings | ▼ +5000 | 2% | 1% |
| CINBengals | +2200 BetMGM | — | 5% | 4% |
| Market | Buccaneers | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 36% | 64% |
| Polymarket | 34% | 66% |
| Book | 36% | 64% |
| Novig | 35% | 65% |