Polymarket is officially active in the United States and is quickly becoming one of the most popular ways for Americans to trade real-money predictions on politics, sports-related events, financial outcomes, entertainment, and more. The platform has secured regulatory approval and is now operating under a fully compliant structure in the U.S. through regulated intermediaries.
If you want to join one of the fastest-growing prediction markets in the world, Cleatz readers can use promo code CLEATZ when signing up.
Polymarket Promo Code: Free $50 Trade Bonus (June 2026)
| Polymarket Promo Code | Details |
|---|---|
| 💰 Polymarket Promo Code Bonus Offer | DEPOSIT $20 & GET A $50 FREE TRADE |
| 🚨 Promo Code | CLEATZ |
| 🇺🇸 Available States | Available Now in the US: 49 States + Washington D.C. (Nevada excluded) |
| 📲 Polymarket App Available Platforms | iOS (Apple App Store), Android (Google Play) |
| 💲 Minimum Deposit | $10 Minimum Deposit |
| ✅ Polymarket Promo Last Verified | June 03, 2026 – No Expiration Date |
Polymarket Bonus vs. Other Prediction Market Promos
| Prediction Markets | Polymarket | Kalshi Promo Code | Novig Promo Code |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💰 Sign-Up Bonus | Free $50 Bonus | $10 Sign-Up Bonus | 1,000 Novig Coins & Five (5) Novig Cash + 10% Off First Purchase (up to $100) |
| 🚨 Promo Code | CLEATZ | CLEATZ10 | CLEATZ |
| 💲 Bonus Type | Deposit $20 & Get $50 | Trade & Get | No-Deposit Offer + First Deposit Discount |
| 💵 Minimum Deposit | $10 | $10 | $5 |
| 📱 Mobile App | iOS (Apple App Store) & Android (Google Play) | iOS (Apple App Store) & Android (Google Play) | iOS (Apple App Store) & Android (Google Play) |
| 🎂 Minimum Age | 18 | 18 | 21 |
Trending Polymarket Trades & News Today
Polymarket Intelligence Report — Tuesday, June 2, 2026
NBA Finals tip tomorrow, SpaceX SPCX listing in 10 days & the Warsh era opens
Today is defined by two parallel storylines hitting the platform’s deepest liquidity pools: the massive anticipation surrounding tomorrow night’s NBA Finals opener between San Antonio and New York, and the historic SpaceX IPO scheduled to begin trading 10 days from today under the ticker SPCX. For a full cross-platform comparison, see our best prediction market apps guide.
Market 1
🏀 NBA Finals: Spurs vs. Knicks Game 1 Tomorrow
The sports betting and prediction market landscape is laser-focused on the 2026 NBA Finals between the San Antonio Spurs and the New York Knicks, with Game 1 tipping off tomorrow, June 3 at 8:30 PM ET on ABC.
Market consensus — Spurs as heavy favorites: The markets are showing strong consensus, with the Spurs entering as heavy favorites at roughly 64% to win the series. Polymarket has seen over $975,000 in 24-hour volume specifically for this series, and sportsbooks are in near-perfect alignment with prediction market probabilities, pricing the Spurs at approximately -220. When retail-driven Polymarket and traditional sportsbooks reach this tight an alignment, it usually means the consensus is structurally well-supported rather than a sentiment overshoot. Compare cross-platform Finals odds on Kalshi.
The Wemby factor: Victor Wembanyama’s statistical dominance during the regular season (25.0 PPG, 11.5 RPG, 3.1 BPG) is the primary driver of this high probability. San Antonio’s 62–20 regular-season record vs. the Knicks’ 53–29 gave the Spurs home court for the series—a 9-win gap that the moneyline is fully pricing.
The Knicks’ case: While the Knicks are considered underdogs, they enter the series with an 11-game postseason winning streak after defeating the Hawks 4–2 in Round 1, sweeping the 76ers in Round 2, and sweeping the Cavaliers in the Eastern Conference Finals. Some analysts argue that their real-world probability may be higher than the 36% market price suggests—a structurally hot team meeting a structurally better team is exactly the kind of matchup prediction markets historically misprice on either side.
Market 2
🚀 Corporate: SpaceX IPO “Project Apex” June 12 Listing
The financial markets are on IPO watch for SpaceX, which is officially scheduled to begin trading on the Nasdaq under the ticker SPCX on June 12, 2026. The May 15 Polymarket contract pricing Project Apex at 86.5% probability of announcement before June 30 has now resolved Yes—the focus has shifted entirely to valuation outcomes.
Valuation & scale: SpaceX is targeting an initial market value between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion. If achieved, this would be the largest IPO in U.S. history, surpassing Saudi Aramco’s 2019 record by an enormous margin. Goldman Sachs is leading the syndicate alongside Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Citigroup, and JPMorgan—validating the Morgan Stanley vs. Goldman Sachs bookrunner contract from May 15.
The timeline: The company officially filed its S-1 registration statement on May 20, 2026, confirming both the SPCX ticker and the Nasdaq listing. The roadshow opens June 8, pricing is set for June 11, and trading begins June 12.
Market outlook: While retail demand is expected to be extremely high—underwriters have reserved 30% of the float for retail, three times the standard mega-cap norm—analysts are cautioning that the valuation (over 110x trailing revenue) is historically unsustainable compared to other high-growth tech stocks. Live macro markets and equity-IPO contract activity will be the cleanest cross-asset read in the lead-up to pricing.
Market 3
🏛️ Fed policy: The “Warsh Era” begins First Test in 14 Days
Kevin Warsh has officially begun his tenure as Chair of the Federal Reserve following his confirmation on May 13. The macro contract slate is now repricing around his stated priorities rather than his confirmation odds.
Warsh’s first major policy signal will arrive at the upcoming FOMC meeting on June 16–17. The prediction market consensus is a 94% probability of a rate hold—but the policy guidance language is where the real market move will live. Sharp macro traders are positioning around the meeting statement rather than the headline rate decision. Compare Fed contracts on Kalshi.
Financial markets are closely monitoring how Warsh balances his stated priorities—such as avoiding a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) and researching the economic impacts of AI—against the reality of stubborn inflation and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. The CBDC stance is the one with the cleanest prediction market expression: contracts for “U.S. introduces CBDC by 2027” have repriced lower since Warsh’s confirmation, reflecting that a Warsh-led Fed makes that outcome structurally less likely.
Market 4
📈 General market sentiment Hedge Bias
Outside of these headline events, Polymarket traders remain cautious regarding the broader economy.
Despite record highs for the S&P 500, prediction markets have shown a slight bias toward a “dip” in the index for the start of June, suggesting traders are hedging against potential volatility as the summer progresses. The downside bias is the kind of asymmetric positioning that often emerges around major event catalysts—in this case, the combination of the SPCX listing on June 12, the FOMC decision on June 17, and the unfolding NBA Finals all clustered in a two-week window.
Key Differences: Polymarket vs. Kalshi
| Feature | 🔵 Polymarket | 🟢 Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Legal status | Recently returned to the U.S. | Fully legal in all 50 states |
| Infrastructure | Blockchain-based, decentralized | Traditional, centralized exchange |
| Trading fees | Zero fees on all trades | Modest fees on winning trades |
| Market variety | Entertainment, sports, tech, viral moments | Regulated markets: politics, economics, sports |
| Transparency | Full blockchain transparency | Standard platform transparency |
Kalshi vs. Polymarket
KALSHI
Pros
- Easy to access
Robinhood integration, normal bank account, your non-crypto friends can actually use it - Regulated (CFTC)
Fought the legal battles that opened the door for every other US prediction market - They make money
Fees suck for traders but it means they have an actual business model
Cons
- Fees make forecasts worse
~several cents to move a 50¢ market. That’s a wide band of “close enough” baked into every price - Can’t see the data
No individual trades, no order flow, no way to do wallet-level analysis - Fewer markets
Limited geopolitical markets
POLYMARKET
Pros
- Better forecasts
No fees so prices actually reflect probability. This is why media cites Poly - All data is public
Every trade is on-chain. You can do real detective work - More markets, global access
Geopolitical, war, culture. Crypto rails so anyone worldwide can trade - Where everyone checks first
The go-to source traders and media trust most for real-time odds
Cons
- No KYC
Harder to catch manipulation, wash trading, sketchy war market activity - US legal gray area
Regulatory risk is real and unresolved - How do they make money?
No fees = great for users but what’s the long-term plan here
Pros and Cons of Using Polymarket
| 👍 Pros | 👎 Cons |
|---|---|
| Zero trading fees make it extremely cost-effective for active traders | Not ideal for users who prefer fiat-only trading |
| Huge menu of markets: sports, politics, entertainment, business, culture | Requires some knowledge of crypto & wallets |
| Real-time odds reflect actual market sentiment (not sportsbook margins) | Lower liquidity possible in niche markets |
| Ability to sell positions early to lock in profits | Crypto onboarding may be a barrier for beginners |
| Full blockchain transparency for all activity | Volatile gas fees at peak activity times |
| Daily liquidity rewards incentivize keeping balanced positions |
Where is Polymarket Legal? (June 2026 State Guide)
As of March 2026, Polymarket operates in the U.S. under a CFTC-regulated “Intermediate Access” model. While technically legal at the federal level, the platform is currently in a “limited rollout” phase. Access is primarily granted to users who have cleared the official waitlist or possess an invite code for the regulated U.S. app.
Fully Operational States (Waitlist/Invite Only)
In states without active legal challenges, the U.S. version of Polymarket is fully operational for its available contract types (currently focused on Sports and Economics, with Politics rolling out gradually).
- Key States: California, Texas, Florida, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and 30+ others.
- Note: While California and Texas do not have legal sports betting, Polymarket is accessible there because it is regulated as a derivatives exchange, not a sportsbook.
Restricted or Contested States
Like Kalshi, Polymarket is currently facing a “tug-of-war” with state regulators who argue that sports-event contracts constitute unlicensed gambling. If you are in these states, you may be geofenced from specific sports markets.
| State | Status | Restriction Detail |
| Tennessee | Restricted | Cease-and-desist issued (Jan 2026); sports-related contracts are currently halted. |
| Nevada | Restricted | Gaming Control Board lawsuit seeking to block sports event contracts. |
| Massachusetts | Restricted | Following the Jan 2026 injunction against Kalshi, sports contracts are restricted. |
| New York | Contested | State Gaming Commission issued a C&D; currently in “standstill” pending court ruling. |
| Maryland | Contested | Active litigation; users may see blocks on specific local sports events. |
| New Jersey | Contested | State is appealing federal preemption; legal status is currently in flux. |
| Connecticut | Contested | Active regulatory review of “event contracts” involving athletic outcomes. |
Key Compliance Differences
Unlike the global version of Polymarket, the U.S. Regulated App requires:
- Strict KYC: Full identity verification (SSN/ID) is mandatory.
- Broker Funding: You cannot trade directly via a crypto wallet (e.g., MetaMask). Funds must be deposited through CFTC-approved brokers.
- MLB Integrity Pact: As of March 19, 2026, Polymarket is the exclusive partner of MLB, meaning baseball markets use official league data for settlement.
What You Can Trade on Polymarket Right Now
Polymarket is known for offering fast-moving event markets that reflect real-time public sentiment. Active U.S. markets include categories such as:
Politics
- Election outcomes
- Debate performance
- Policy announcements
Financial and Economic events
- Federal Reserve decisions
- CPI and inflation predictions
- Stock and crypto-related outcomes
Sports Related & Adjacent Markets
Sports-based contracts are still carefully reviewed by regulators, but Polymarket now offers a growing number of sports-adjacent markets, including the Super Bowl, with more expansion expected as guidelines evolve. Barron’s recently reported that regulators are still evaluating which sports contracts can be offered under current CFTC rules.
Entertainment and Pop Culture
- Award show results
- Celebrity events
- Streaming competition outcomes
The variety and speed of Polymarket’s markets are exactly why the platform has grown into a leading global prediction exchange.
How U.S. Access Works
Regulated intermediary onboarding
U.S. users do not deposit directly on Polymarket. Instead, they join through a regulated intermediary that handles onboarding, funding, compliance checks, and trade execution.
Real-time trading with global liquidity
Once connected through an intermediary, users are part of Polymarket’s global liquidity pool, which provides tighter spreads and faster price movement.
Smooth Rollout
Yahoo Finance noted that Polymarket began operating in the U.S. in a controlled-access format before expanding to broader availability.
How to Buy Shares on Polymarket
So you want to buy shares on Polymarket. Great choice. It’s like the stock market, except you’re betting on things that actually matter… like elections, celebrity divorces, and whether your favorite NFL coach survives another week.
Here’s how to pretend you’re a seasoned prediction-market wizard:
1. Connect and Fund Your Wallet
Step one: Attach your crypto wallet.
Step two: Then deposit some USDC.
Once your wallet is funded, congratulations, you’re now financially invested in the fate of humanity.
2. Browse the Markets
Polymarket has prediction markets on everything:
- Politics
- Sports
- Pop culture
- And whatever else the internet is collectively panicking about today
Each market shows the price of “Yes” and “No” shares, aka the market’s best guess at the odds.
If “Yes” is 73 cents, the world thinks there’s a 73% chance of that thing happening. Whether the world is right is… debatable.
3. Choose Your Side
Now it’s decision time.
- Think the event WILL happen? Buy “Yes.”
- Think everyone else is an idiot? Buy “No.”
You can:
- Market order: Buy immediately like an impatient person.
- Limit order: Set your price and smugly wait for someone to meet your terms.
Either way, you’re now officially “a trader.” Go ahead, tell your friends.
4. Understand Pricing and Payouts
Each share costs whatever the market probability is.
If “Yes” costs $0.60 and you drop $60, you get 100 shares.
If you’re right, each share pays out $1.
If you’re wrong, your shares become digital confetti.
5. Manage Your Position Like a Pro
You don’t have to hold until the bitter end.
You can:
- Sell for a profit
- Sell for a loss
- Pretend you meant to do that
If prices move your way, take your victory lap early. If they don’t… well, at least you learned something. Probably.
6. Market Resolution
When the event is over, Polymarket confirms the result and settles everything.
- Winners get $1 per share
- Losers get a harsh lesson in humility
How Payouts Work
Polymarket’s payout system is simple: Buy for less than $1. Get $1 if you’re right. Bask in glory.
There are three ways to make money:
1. Hold Until the End
Example: Buy 100 “Yes” shares at $0.40.
If “Yes” wins, you get $100.
You spent $40.
Profit: $60.
Smugness level: elite.
2. Trade Before the Event Even Happens
Buy at $0.30, sell at $0.70, profit $0.40 per share—before reality even shows up.
You basically front-ran the news cycle. Nice.
3. Earn Liquidity Rewards
Place smart limit orders and let Polymarket pay you for improving the market.
It’s like earning interest… but cooler, and you don’t have to pretend to understand APR.
Why Bettors and Traders Love Polymarket
Prediction markets often price information faster than traditional sportsbooks or financial media. They react instantly to:
- Breaking injury news
- Shifts in election polling
- Market announcements
- Rumors and insider sentiment
- Economic data leaks
- Social media catalysts
For bettors and traders who thrive on fast information, Polymarket provides a completely different way to stay ahead of the curve.
Polymarket Payment Methods
Polymarket offers a range of secure and reliable payment options for both deposits and withdrawals. Users can fund their accounts using credit cards, cryptocurrency, or traditional bank transfers.
Supported credit cards include Mastercard and Visa. Crypto options currently available are USDT, DAI, ETH, WETH, MATIC, POL, SOL, CBBTC, and ARB. Bank transfers are also supported, giving users an additional safe and straightforward way to move funds in and out of Polymarket.
| Polymarket Payment Methods | Deposits | Withdrawals |
|---|---|---|
| Credit Cards (Mastercard, Visa) | Yes | Yes |
| Crypto (USDT, DAI, ETH, WETH, MATIC, POL, SOL, CBBTC, ARB) | Yes | Yes |
| Bank Transfer | Yes | Yes |
Polymarket Promo Code FAQ
The Polymarket promo code for our readers is CLEATZ. We will always recommend looking for the best new-trader bonus offer on Polymarket.
The minimum age to use Polymarket is 18.
Polymarket allows users to trade on sports prediction market outcomes on a fee-free platform; sports betting pits the user against the house.
Users on Polymarket can earn Liquidity Rewards when they place orders that help the balance and activity of the market.
Jason Ziernicki is the founder of CLEATZ, where he analyzes sports betting data, public betting percentages, alt-line trends, and prediction markets across the NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports.
He is based in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where he routinely trades on Kalshi each month, hoping to win on weather markets like snowfall, as well as sports and politics.
His work focuses on turning sportsbook data and betting market trends into actionable insights for bettors/traders.
