Spencer Pratt Surges in LA Mayor Odds as Kalshi Market Tightens
The Los Angeles mayoral race has officially crossed into prediction-market chaos. According to the latest Kalshi data, incumbent Karen Bass remains the favorite at 53%, but Spencer Pratt has surged to 33%, putting him well ahead of Nithya Raman at 14%.…
The Ghost Trader Is Dead – and Polymarket Killed Him
A Green Beret turned $33,000 into $409,000 in a week. He did it on Polymarket. And the only reason we know his name is that he forgot the ledger never blinks. The arrest of Master Sgt. Gannon Ken Van Dyke isn’t just a story about one soldier with a…
The Real Reason Why Congress Is Trying to Kill Prediction Markets
The relationship between the halls of power and the landscape of information is undergoing a seismic shift, and the epicenter of this earthquake isn’t X (Twitter) or AI; it’s the rise of the prediction market. If you follow financial regulation…
Kalshi Data: Marco Rubio Surges to 19% as 2028 Presidential Field Tightens
This is a high-stakes moment in the young history of prediction markets! Based on the latest Kalshi data, the 2028 Presidential race has effectively become a three-way statistical tie. 2028 Crystal Ball: The “Three-Headed Monster” Emerges on…
Prediction Markets vs. Sports Betting: Which Industry Wins the Next Decade?
For the past decade, sports betting has been the fastest-growing gambling industry in the United States. Since legalization spread state-by-state after the 2018 Supreme Court ruling, sportsbooks like DraftKings and FanDuel have handled hundreds of…
Cracks in the Cabinet: Why Prediction Markets are Betting Against Kristi Noem and Howard Lutnick
The second Trump administration arrived with a promise of absolute loyalty and “unprecedented stability.” For a year, that narrative held, at least compared to the revolving door of 2017. But as we close out February 2026, the cracks…
Kalshi Prediction Markets Price Trump’s State of the Union Speech – Here’s What Traders Expect
Kalshi Traders Are Pricing the Bingo Card If you’re trading the Kalshi “What will Trump say?” market, congratulations, you’ve found the only place in America where “Discombobulator” has an implied probability. Let’s break this down like we would an…
2026 Midterms: Prediction Markets Smell a Dem Sweep
If the political class is confused about 2026, don’t worry, the prediction markets have already decided what’s going to happen, how it’s going to happen, and how much they’re willing to lose betting on it. Kalshi and Polymarket traders have been grinding…