The Atlanta Falcons travel to Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh to face the Steelers on Sunday, September 13 at 1:00 PM ET. This page compares live odds from major sportsbooks against real-money prediction market prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and no-vig exchanges to identify where the sharpest pricing emerges.
Falcons vs. Steelers Odds Today
- Spread
- Steelers -3.5 10 of 14 books
- Total
- 42 7 of 14 books
- Moneyline
- Falcons +163 / Steelers -167 best available
- Win probability
- Falcons 38% / Steelers 62% median of 14 books, no vig
- Kalshi
- Falcons 37% / Steelers 63%
- Polymarket
- Falcons 37% / Steelers 63%
All figures read from one snapshot at page load, so they match the tables below.
Books and prediction markets agree here, inside 1.4 of a point once the vig is removed. The best bid and ask are 1¢ apart, a tight market at the displayed price.
Falcons vs. Steelers Odds Comparison
11 of 15 books have Falcons at +3.5. The total is not settled — it ranges from 41.5 to 42.5, with 42 the consensus. Best Falcons moneyline: Novig at +163.
Spread
| Book | ATL | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +3.5 -118 | -3.5 -102 |
| FanDuel | +3.5 -118 | -3.5 -104 |
| BetMGM | +3 -105 | -3 -115 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -118 | -3.5 -103 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -118 | -3.5 -103 |
| Bet365 | +3.5 -120 | -3.5 +100 |
| BetRivers | +3.5 -121 | -3.5 +100 |
| Novig No Vig | +3.5 -115 | -3.5 +108 |
| Fanatics | +3.5 -115 | -3.5 -105 |
| Bally Bet | +3 -106 | -3 -115 |
| betPARX | +3 -106 | -3 -115 |
| Fliff | +3.5 -120 | -3.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +3.5 -115 | -3.5 -105 |
| Pinnacle | +3 +107 | -3 -121 |
| ProphetX No Vig | +3.5 -114 | -3.5 +103 |
Total
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 42.5 -105 | 42.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 41.5 -115 | 41.5 -105 |
| BetMGM | 41.5 -110 | 41.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 42 -109 | 42 -110 |
| Caesars | 42 -109 | 42 -110 |
| Bet365 | 42.5 -111 | 42.5 -111 |
| BetRivers | 42 -113 | 42 -108 |
| Novig No Vig | 41.5 -125 | 41.5 +102 |
| Fanatics | 42 -110 | 42 -110 |
| Bally Bet | 42 -113 | 42 -108 |
| betPARX | 42 -113 | 42 -108 |
| Fliff | 41.5 -135 | 41.5 -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 42 -110 | 42 -110 |
| Pinnacle | 42.5 -105 | 42.5 -111 |
| ProphetX No Vig | 42 -114 | 42 -106 |
Moneyline
| Book | ATL | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +154 | -185 |
| FanDuel | +150 | -178 |
| BetMGM | +150 | -185 |
| Caesars | +150 | -179 |
| Caesars | +150 | -179 |
| Bet365 | +150 | -182 |
| BetRivers | +140 | -177 |
| Novig No Vig | +163 | -167 |
| Fanatics | +150 | -180 |
| Bally Bet | +140 | -175 |
| betPARX | +140 | -175 |
| Fliff | +145 | -185 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +150 | -180 |
| Pinnacle | +157 | -179 |
| ProphetX No Vig | +161 | -176 |
Best available price on each side is highlighted.
| Aaron Rodgers | DK 215.5PP 215.5UD 212.5 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | DK 207.5PP 207.5UD 207.5 |
| Aaron Rodgers | DK 1.5 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | DK 1.5 |
| Aaron Rodgers | PP 0.5 |
| Bijan Robinson | DK 73.5PP 76.5UD 77.5 |
| Jaylen Warren | DK 41.5PP 39.5UD 39.5 |
| Rico Dowdle | DK 50.5PP 50.5UD 50.5 |
| Bijan Robinson | DK 36.5PP 37.5UD 37.5 |
| Darnell Washington | PP 16.5UD 17.5 |
| DK Metcalf | DK 47.5PP 50.5UD 46.5 |
| Drake London | DK 59.5PP 64.5UD 65.5 |
| Jahan Dotson | PP 17.5UD 17.5 |
| Jaylen Warren | DK 15.5PP 15.5UD 15.5 |
| Kyle Pitts | DK 41.5PP 42.5UD 42.5 |
| Michael Pittman Jr. | DK 42.5PP 42.5UD 44.5 |
| Pat Freiermuth | DK 24.5PP 25.5UD 25.5 |
| Rico Dowdle | DK 10.5PP 10.5UD 9.5 |
| Bijan Robinson | DK 4.5PP 4.5 |
| DK Metcalf | DK 3.5 |
| Drake London | DK 5.5PP 5.5UD 5.5 |
| Jaylen Warren | DK 2.5PP 2.5UD 2.5 |
| Kyle Pitts | DK 4.5PP 4 |
| Michael Pittman Jr. | DK 4.5 |
| Pat Freiermuth | DK 2.5 |
| Rico Dowdle | DK 1.5 |
| Aaron Rodgers | DK +1300CZR +1300 |
| Austin Hooper | DK +900CZR +850 |
| Bijan Robinson | DK -155CZR -154 |
| Brian Robinson Jr. | DK +340CZR +330 |
| Charlie Woerner | DK +2200CZR +2000 |
| Darnell Washington | DK +550CZR +500 |
| DK Metcalf | DK +195CZR +195 |
| Drake London | DK +240CZR +220 |
| Germie Bernard | DK +550CZR +525 |
| Jahan Dotson | DK +600CZR +525 |
| Jaylen Warren | DK +120CZR +124 |
| Kyle Pitts | DK +330CZR +305 |
Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig & ProphetX Odds: Falcons vs. Steelers
Contract prices are live probabilities with no vig, so they compare directly to a devigged book line. Where the two differ, the gap shows where the markets disagree on this game's win probability.
| Market | ATL | PIT | Spread | Traded | Open Int. | 24hSteelers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Up to $500 bonus → | 37% | 63% | 1¢ | 71.4k | 57.4k | — |
| Polymarket $20 free trade → | 37% | 63% | 2¢ | $451 | — | +1 |
| Novig Play $10, get $25 free → | 38% | 62% | — | — | — | — |
| ProphetX $20 free trade → | 38% | 62% | — | — | — | — |
Kalshi trades in contracts; Polymarket reports in dollars. Novig is an exchange priced from its moneyline — the odds feed carries no order-book depth for it.
Where the price has moved
Every line is the implied probability of Steelers winning, so up means the market likes Steelers more. Since each contract opened, Kalshi has moved toward Steelers 4 points, 59% to 63%; Polymarket has moved toward Steelers 17 points, 46% to 63%. The dashed line is the sportsbook consensus with the vig removed.
Kalshi Polymarket Sportsbooks, no vig
Falcons and Steelers Season Win Totals
Kalshi's over/under on each club's regular-season wins. It is the quickest read on how far apart these two teams are expected to finish.
| Team | O/U Wins | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATLFalcons | 6.5 | 52% | 48% |
| PITSteelers | 8.5 | 45% | 55% |
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
Falcons and Steelers Super Bowl Futures
Best available price across the licensed books, with 30-day movement and what the prediction markets make of it.
| Team | To WinBest Price | 30d | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATLFalcons | +13000 DraftKings | — | 1% | 0% |
| PITSteelers | +8000 BetMGM | — | 1% | 1% |
| Market | Falcons | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 37% | 63% |
| Polymarket | 37% | 63% |
| Book | 38% | 62% |
| Novig | 38% | 62% |
| ProphetX | 38% | 62% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 41.75 |
|---|---|---|
| Spread Pittsburgh | Kalshi | −3.3 |