The Miami Dolphins visit the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday at Allegiant Stadium for an NFL matchup. This page compares live sportsbook odds with prices from prediction markets including Kalshi, Polymarket, and no-vig exchanges to identify potential discrepancies between the two price sources.
Dolphins vs. Raiders Odds Today
- Spread
- Raiders -3.5 14 of 14 books
- Total
- 40.5 9 of 14 books
- Moneyline
- Dolphins +164 / Raiders -176 best available
- Win probability
- Dolphins 37% / Raiders 63% median of 14 books, no vig
- Kalshi
- Dolphins 38% / Raiders 62%
- Polymarket
- Dolphins 38% / Raiders 62%
All figures read from one snapshot at page load, so they match the tables below.
Books and prediction markets agree here, inside 0.7 of a point once the vig is removed. The best bid and ask are 1¢ apart, a tight market at the displayed price.
Dolphins vs. Raiders Odds Comparison
All 15 books have Dolphins at +3.5. The total is not settled — it ranges from 39.5 to 40.5, with 40.5 the consensus. Best Dolphins moneyline: DraftKings at +164.
Spread
| Book | MIA | LV |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +3.5 -118 | -3.5 -104 |
| BetMGM | +3.5 -112 | -3.5 -105 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -113 | -3.5 -108 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -113 | -3.5 -108 |
| Bet365 | +3.5 -116 | -3.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| Novig No Vig | +3.5 -113 | -3.5 +104 |
| Fanatics | +3.5 -115 | -3.5 -105 |
| Bally Bet | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| betPARX | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| Fliff | +3.5 -115 | -3.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +3.5 -115 | -3.5 -105 |
| Pinnacle | +3.5 -115 | -3.5 +102 |
| ProphetX No Vig | +3.5 -111 | -3.5 +103 |
Total
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 40.5 -110 | 40.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 39.5 -120 | 39.5 -102 |
| BetMGM | 40.5 -108 | 40.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 40.5 -109 | 40.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 40.5 -109 | 40.5 -110 |
| Bet365 | 40.5 -111 | 40.5 -111 |
| BetRivers | 40 -110 | 40 -110 |
| Novig No Vig | 39.5 -133 | 39.5 +106 |
| Fanatics | 40.5 -110 | 40.5 -110 |
| Bally Bet | 40 -110 | 40 -110 |
| betPARX | 40 -110 | 40 -110 |
| Fliff | 40.5 -110 | 40.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 40.5 -110 | 40.5 -110 |
| Pinnacle | 40.5 -110 | 40.5 -106 |
| ProphetX No Vig | 40.5 -105 | 40.5 -106 |
Moneyline
| Book | MIA | LV |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +164 | -198 |
| FanDuel | +148 | -176 |
| BetMGM | +155 | -190 |
| Caesars | +157 | -190 |
| Caesars | +157 | -190 |
| Bet365 | +160 | -192 |
| BetRivers | +155 | -195 |
| Novig No Vig | +163 | -178 |
| Fanatics | +150 | -180 |
| Bally Bet | +160 | -195 |
| betPARX | +160 | -195 |
| Fliff | +145 | -185 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +155 | -180 |
| Pinnacle | +156 | -178 |
| ProphetX No Vig | +163 | -180 |
Best available price on each side is highlighted.
| Kirk Cousins | DK 208.5PP 213.5UD 209.5 |
| Malik Willis | DK 180.5PP 179.5UD 179.5 |
| Kirk Cousins | DK 1.5 |
| Malik Willis | DK 0.5PP 1 |
| Ashton Jeanty | UD 76.5 |
| De'Von Achane | DK 69.5PP 69.5UD 70.5 |
| Malik Willis | PP 40.5UD 40.5 |
| Ashton Jeanty | UD 19.5 |
| Brock Bowers | DK 62.5PP 63.5UD 63.5 |
| Caleb Douglas | PP 24.5UD 27.5 |
| De'Von Achane | DK 31.5PP 31.5UD 32.5 |
| Greg Dulcich | PP 24.5 |
| Jack Bech | PP 14.5UD 14.5 |
| Jalen Nailor | PP 19.5UD 20.5 |
| Malik Washington | PP 23.5UD 23.5 |
| Michael Mayer | PP 17.5UD 18.5 |
| Tre Tucker | DK 39.5PP 40.5UD 39.5 |
| Brock Bowers | DK 5.5PP 6 |
| Caleb Douglas | PP 2.5UD 2.5 |
| De'Von Achane | DK 4.5 |
| Greg Dulcich | PP 2.5UD 2.5 |
| Jack Bech | PP 1.5UD 1.5 |
| Malik Washington | PP 2.5UD 2.5 |
| Tre Tucker | DK 3.5PP 3.5 |
| Ashton Jeanty | DK -125CZR -129 |
| Brock Bowers | DK +170CZR +160 |
| De'Von Achane | DK +110CZR +111 |
| Greg Dulcich | DK +450CZR +400 |
| Jack Bech | DK +700CZR +600 |
| Jalen Nailor | DK +400CZR +380 |
| Jalen Tolbert | DK +550CZR +500 |
| Jaylen Wright | DK +500CZR +450 |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. | DK +2500CZR +1900 |
| Kirk Cousins | DK +2000CZR +1600 |
| Malik Benson | DK +600CZR +525 |
| Malik Washington | DK +370CZR +360 |
Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig & ProphetX Odds: Dolphins vs. Raiders
Contract prices are live probabilities with no vig, so they compare directly to a devigged book line. Where the two differ, the gap shows where the markets disagree on this game's win probability.
| Market | MIA | LV | Spread | Traded | Open Int. | 24hRaiders |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Up to $500 bonus → | 38% | 62% | 1¢ | 75.2k | 58.9k | — |
| Polymarket $20 free trade → | 38% | 62% | 1¢ | $9.3k | — | -1 |
| Novig Play $10, get $25 free → | 37% | 63% | — | — | — | — |
| ProphetX $20 free trade → | 37% | 63% | — | — | — | — |
Kalshi trades in contracts; Polymarket reports in dollars. Novig is an exchange priced from its moneyline — the odds feed carries no order-book depth for it.
Where the price has moved
Every line is the implied probability of Raiders winning, so up means the market likes Raiders more. Since each contract opened, Kalshi has moved away from Raiders 2 points, 64% to 62%; Polymarket has moved away from Raiders 1 point, 63% to 62%. The dashed line is the sportsbook consensus with the vig removed.
Kalshi Polymarket Sportsbooks, no vig
Dolphins and Raiders Season Win Totals
Kalshi's over/under on each club's regular-season wins. It is the quickest read on how far apart these two teams are expected to finish.
| Team | O/U Wins | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIADolphins | 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| LVRaiders | 5.5 | 55% | 45% |
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
Dolphins and Raiders Super Bowl Futures
Best available price across the licensed books, with 30-day movement and what the prediction markets make of it.
| Team | To WinBest Price | 30d | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIADolphins | +50000 FanDuel | ▲ +100000 | 1% | 1% |
| LVRaiders | +15000 BetRivers | — | 1% | 0% |
Dolphins vs. Raiders Weather
Played indoors at Allegiant Stadium, so weather has no effect on this game.
| Market | Dolphins | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 38% | 62% |
| Polymarket | 38% | 62% |
| Book | 36% | 64% |
| Novig | 37% | 63% |
| ProphetX | 37% | 63% |
| Total points | Kalshi | 40.50 |
|---|---|---|
| Spread Las Vegas | Kalshi | −3.3 |
| Passing yards Kalshi | Market | Book | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Willis | 188.1 | 180.5 | +7.6 |