The Miami Dolphins visit the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday at Allegiant Stadium for an NFL matchup. This page compares live sportsbook odds with prices from prediction markets including Kalshi, Polymarket, and no-vig exchanges to identify potential discrepancies between the two price sources.
Dolphins vs. Raiders Odds Today
- Spread
- Raiders -3.5 12 of 12 books
- Total
- 40.5 7 of 12 books
- Moneyline
- Dolphins +170 / Raiders -182 best available
- Win probability
- Dolphins 36% / Raiders 64% median of 12 books, no vig
- Kalshi
- Dolphins 36% / Raiders 64%
- Polymarket
- Dolphins 36% / Raiders 64%
All figures read from one snapshot at page load, so they match the tables below.
Books and prediction markets agree here, inside 0.5 of a point once the vig is removed. The best bid and ask are 1¢ apart, a tight market at the displayed price.
Dolphins vs. Raiders Odds Comparison
All 13 books have Dolphins at +3.5. The total is not settled — it ranges from 39.5 to 40.5, with 40.5 the consensus. Best Dolphins moneyline: DraftKings at +170.
Spread
| Book | MIA | LV |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| BetMGM | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -109 | -3.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -109 | -3.5 -110 |
| Bet365 | +3.5 -111 | -3.5 -111 |
| BetRivers | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| Novig No Vig | +3.5 -111 | -3.5 +102 |
| Fanatics | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| Bally Bet | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| betPARX | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| Pinnacle | +3.5 -104 | -3.5 -108 |
Total
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 40.5 -110 | 40.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 39.5 -120 | 39.5 -102 |
| BetMGM | 40.5 -110 | 40.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 40.5 -109 | 40.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 40.5 -109 | 40.5 -110 |
| Bet365 | 40.5 -111 | 40.5 -111 |
| BetRivers | 40 -113 | 40 -108 |
| Novig No Vig | 39.5 -150 | 39.5 -106 |
| Fanatics | 40.5 -110 | 40.5 -110 |
| Bally Bet | 40 -113 | 40 -108 |
| betPARX | 40 -113 | 40 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 40.5 -105 | 40.5 -115 |
| Pinnacle | 40.5 -108 | 40.5 -108 |
Moneyline
| Book | MIA | LV |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +170 | -205 |
| FanDuel | +162 | -194 |
| BetMGM | +155 | -190 |
| Caesars | +164 | -197 |
| Caesars | +164 | -197 |
| Bet365 | +165 | -200 |
| BetRivers | +145 | -195 |
| Novig No Vig | +167 | -182 |
| Fanatics | +165 | -200 |
| Bally Bet | +145 | -195 |
| betPARX | +145 | -195 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +165 | -195 |
| Pinnacle | +169 | -194 |
Best available price on each side is highlighted.
| Kirk Cousins | PP 221.5 |
| Malik Willis | PP 180.5UD 175.5 |
| De'Von Achane | PP 76.5UD 76.5 |
| Malik Willis | PP 40.5UD 40.5 |
| Brock Bowers | PP 63.5UD 60.5 |
| De'Von Achane | PP 28.5UD 29.5 |
| Greg Dulcich | UD 20.5 |
| Tre Tucker | PP 41.5UD 40.5 |
| Brock Bowers | PP 5.5 |
| Ashton Jeanty | DK +120 |
| Brock Bowers | DK +190 |
| Caleb Douglas | DK +475 |
| De'Von Achane | DK +105 |
| Greg Dulcich | DK +475 |
| Jalen Nailor | DK +450 |
| Kirk Cousins | DK +1300 |
| Malik Washington | DK +475 |
| Malik Willis | DK +230 |
| Michael Mayer | DK +475 |
| Tre Tucker | DK +280 |
Kalshi, Polymarket & Novig Odds: Dolphins vs. Raiders
Contract prices are live probabilities with no vig, so they compare directly to a devigged book line. Where the two differ, the gap shows where the markets disagree on this game's win probability.
| Market | MIA | LV | Spread | Traded | Open Int. | 24hRaiders |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Up to $500 bonus → | 36% | 64% | 1¢ | 42.5k | 30.5k | -1 |
| Polymarket $20 free trade → | 36% | 64% | 1¢ | $3.7k | — | — |
| Novig Play $10, get $25 free → | 37% | 63% | — | — | — | — |
Kalshi trades in contracts; Polymarket reports in dollars. Novig is an exchange priced from its moneyline — the odds feed carries no order-book depth for it.
Where the price has moved
Every line is the implied probability of Raiders winning, so up means the market likes Raiders more. Since each contract opened, Kalshi has not moved (64%); Polymarket has moved toward Raiders 1 point, 63% to 64%. The dashed line is the sportsbook consensus with the vig removed.
Kalshi Polymarket Sportsbooks, no vig
Dolphins and Raiders Season Win Totals
Kalshi's over/under on each club's regular-season wins. It is the quickest read on how far apart these two teams are expected to finish.
| Team | O/U Wins | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIADolphins | 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| LVRaiders | 5.5 | 56% | 44% |
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
Dolphins and Raiders Super Bowl Futures
Best available price across the licensed books, with 30-day movement and what the prediction markets make of it.
| Team | To WinBest Price | 30d | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIADolphins | +100000 FanDuel | ▼ +75000 | 1% | 1% |
| LVRaiders | +15000 FanDuel | — | 1% | 0% |
Dolphins vs. Raiders Weather
Played indoors at Allegiant Stadium, so weather has no effect on this game.
| Market | Dolphins | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 36% | 64% |
| Polymarket | 36% | 64% |
| Book | 36% | 64% |
| Novig | 37% | 63% |