The Dolphins travel to Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara to face the 49ers on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET. This page compares live sportsbook odds against prediction market prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and no-vig exchanges to identify potential edges.
Dolphins vs. 49ers Odds Today
- Spread
- 49ers -10.5 2 of 2 books
- Total
- 46.5 1 of 2 books
- Moneyline
- Dolphins +490 / 49ers -550 best available
- Win probability
- Dolphins 18% / 49ers 82% median of 2 books, no vig
- Kalshi
- Dolphins 18% / 49ers 82%
- Polymarket
- Dolphins 16% / 49ers 84%
All figures read from one snapshot at page load, so they match the tables below.
Books and prediction markets agree here, inside 1.7 of a point once the vig is removed. The best bid and ask are 4¢ apart, a moderate spread at the displayed price.
Dolphins vs. 49ers Odds Comparison
All 3 books have Dolphins at +10.5. The total is not settled — it ranges from 45.5 to 46.5, with 46.5 the consensus. Best Dolphins moneyline: DraftKings at +490.
Spread
| Book | MIA | SF |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +10.5 -110 | -10.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +10.5 -110 | -10.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +10.5 -110 | -10.5 -110 |
Total
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 45.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 45.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 |
Moneyline
| Book | MIA | SF |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +490 | -675 |
| Caesars | +400 | -550 |
| Caesars | +400 | -550 |
Best available price on each side is highlighted.
Kalshi & Polymarket Odds: Dolphins vs. 49ers
Contract prices are live probabilities with no vig, so they compare directly to a devigged book line. Where the two differ, the gap shows where the markets disagree on this game's win probability.
| Market | MIA | SF | Spread | Traded | Open Int. | 24h49ers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Up to $500 bonus → | 18% | 82% | 4¢ | 1.2k | 1.1k | — |
| Polymarket $20 free trade → | 16% | 84% | 12¢ | $85 | — | +1 |
Kalshi trades in contracts; Polymarket reports in dollars. Novig is an exchange priced from its moneyline — the odds feed carries no order-book depth for it.
Where the price has moved
Every line is the implied probability of 49ers winning, so up means the market likes 49ers more. Since each contract opened, Kalshi has moved toward 49ers 23 points, 60% to 83%; Polymarket has moved toward 49ers 34 points, 50% to 84%. The dashed line is the sportsbook consensus with the vig removed.
Kalshi Polymarket Sportsbooks, no vig
Dolphins and 49ers Season Win Totals
Kalshi's over/under on each club's regular-season wins. It is the quickest read on how far apart these two teams are expected to finish.
| Team | O/U Wins | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIADolphins | 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| SF49ers | 9.5 | 59% | 41% |
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
Dolphins and 49ers Super Bowl Futures
Best available price across the licensed books, with 30-day movement and what the prediction markets make of it.
| Team | To WinBest Price | 30d | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIADolphins | +100000 FanDuel | ▼ +75000 | 1% | 1% |
| SF49ers | +1900 DraftKings | — | 5% | 4% |
| Market | Dolphins | 49ers |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 18% | 82% |
| Polymarket | 16% | 84% |
| Book | 16% | 84% |