The Commanders visit the Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Arlington on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET. This page compares live sportsbook odds with prices from prediction markets including Kalshi, Polymarket, and no-vig exchanges to identify gaps between the two.
Commanders vs. Cowboys Odds Today
- Spread
- Cowboys -4.5 1 of 2 books
- Total
- 51.5 1 of 2 books
- Moneyline
- Commanders +170 / Cowboys -191 best available
- Win probability
- Commanders 36% / Cowboys 64% median of 2 books, no vig
- Kalshi
- Commanders 37% / Cowboys 63%
- Polymarket
- Commanders 36% / Cowboys 64%
All figures read from one snapshot at page load, so they match the tables below.
Books and prediction markets agree here, inside 0.8 of a point once the vig is removed. The best bid and ask are 5¢ apart, a moderate spread at the displayed price.
Commanders vs. Cowboys Odds Comparison
1 of 3 books have Commanders at +4.5. The total is not settled — it ranges from 51.5 to 52.5, with 51.5 the consensus. Best Commanders moneyline: DraftKings at +170.
Spread
| Book | WAS | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +4.5 -115 | -4.5 -105 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -113 | -3.5 -107 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -113 | -3.5 -107 |
Total
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 51.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 52.5 -110 | 52.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 52.5 -110 | 52.5 -110 |
Moneyline
| Book | WAS | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +170 | -205 |
| Caesars | +160 | -191 |
| Caesars | +160 | -191 |
Best available price on each side is highlighted.
Kalshi & Polymarket Odds: Commanders vs. Cowboys
Contract prices are live probabilities with no vig, so they compare directly to a devigged book line. Where the two differ, the gap shows where the markets disagree on this game's win probability.
| Market | WAS | DAL | Spread | Traded | Open Int. | 24hCowboys |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Up to $500 bonus → | 37% | 63% | 5¢ | 55 | 53 | — |
| Polymarket $20 free trade → | 36% | 64% | 13¢ | — | — | +2 |
Kalshi trades in contracts; Polymarket reports in dollars. Novig is an exchange priced from its moneyline — the odds feed carries no order-book depth for it.
Where the price has moved
Every line is the implied probability of Cowboys winning, so up means the market likes Cowboys more. Since each contract opened, Kalshi has moved toward Cowboys 15 points, 48% to 63%; Polymarket has moved toward Cowboys 15 points, 49% to 64%. The dashed line is the sportsbook consensus with the vig removed.
Kalshi Polymarket Sportsbooks, no vig
Commanders and Cowboys Season Win Totals
Kalshi's over/under on each club's regular-season wins. It is the quickest read on how far apart these two teams are expected to finish.
| Team | O/U Wins | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| WASCommanders | 6.5 | 51% | 49% |
| DALCowboys | 9.5 | 57% | 43% |
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
Commanders and Cowboys Super Bowl Futures
Best available price across the licensed books, with 30-day movement and what the prediction markets make of it.
| Team | To WinBest Price | 30d | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WASCommanders | +6600 BetMGM | — | 2% | 1% |
| DALCowboys | +2500 BetRivers | — | 4% | 5% |