2027 NFL Draft Odds: Who Will Be The #1 Pick?

2027 NFL Draft Tracker

No. 1 Overall Pick Odds

Live market on the first selection of the 2027 NFL Draft

359

Days To Draft

Odds viaFANDUEL

2027 NFL Draft — First Overall Pick

Team TBD

Pick assignment finalized after the 2026 NFL regular season

Current Favorite

Arch Manning

QBTexas

+165

22.4% fair / 37.7% raw

Player	School	Odds	Implied Probability
Tier 1 — Clear Favorite
QBArch Manning	Texas	+165	22.4%
Tier 2 — Live Contenders
QBDante Moore	Oregon	+500	9.9%
WRJeremiah Smith	Ohio State	+600	8.5%
QBCJ Carr	Notre Dame	+600	8.5%
Tier 3 — Dark Horses
QBJulian Sayin	Ohio State	+1200	4.6%
QBLaNorris Sellers	South Carolina	+1200	4.6%
QBDrew Mestemaker	North Texas	+1200	4.6%
Tier 4 — Longshots
QBJayden Maiava	USC	+2000	2.8%
QBDarian Mensah	Duke	+2200	2.6%
EDGEColin Simmons	Texas	+2200	2.6%
EDGEDylan Stewart	South Carolina	+2200	2.6%
QBJosh Hoover	TCU	+4500	1.3%
Tier 5 — Deep Longshots
QBSam Leavitt	Arizona State	+5500	1.1%
QBDJ Lagway	Florida	+6500	0.9%
WRCam Coleman	Auburn	+6500	0.9%
OTTrevor Goosby	Texas	+6500	0.9%
OTJordan Seaton	Colorado	+6500	0.9%
QBJohn Mateer	Oklahoma	+6500	0.9%
CBLeonard Moore	Notre Dame	+6500	0.9%
WRRyan Williams	Alabama	+8000	0.7%
QBEli Holstein	Pittsburgh	+8000	0.7%
DTDavid Stone	Florida State	+8000	0.7%
QBBeau Pribula	Missouri	+8000	0.7%
EDGEJordan Ross	Alabama	+8000	0.7%
QBByrum Brown	South Florida	+8000	0.7%
EDGEMatayo Uiagalelei	Oregon	+8000	0.7%
QBTrinidad Chambliss	Mississippi	+8000	0.7%
QBAidan Chiles	Michigan State	+10000	0.6%
QBAshton Hampton	Iowa	+12500	0.5%
WRDuce Robinson	USC	+12500	0.5%
LBSammy Brown	Clemson	+12500	0.5%
OLKade Pieper	Nebraska	+12500	0.5%
RBJustice Haynes	Michigan	+12500	0.5%
CBEllis Robinson IV	Georgia	+12500	0.5%
RBMark Fletcher	Miami	+12500	0.5%
EDGEQuincy Rhodes Jr.	Arkansas	+12500	0.5%
EDGEPrincewill Umanmielen	Mississippi	+12500	0.5%
RBLJ Martin	BYU	+12500	0.5%
EDGEYhonzae Pierre	Alabama	+12500	0.5%
EDGEJohn Henry Daley	Stanford	+12500	0.5%
WRKelley Jones	San Jose State	+12500	0.5%
DTJustin Scott	Miami	+12500	0.5%
LBWhit Weeks	LSU	+12500	0.5%
EDGEDamon Wilson Jr.	Missouri	+12500	0.5%
EDGEAnto Saka	Minnesota	+12500	0.5%
TETerrance Carter	LSU	+12500	0.5%
EDGEKenyatta Jackson	Ohio State	+12500	0.5%
CBMarcus Neal Jr.	Texas	+12500	0.5%
DTJayden Jackson	Alabama	+12500	0.5%
OLIapani Laloulu	Oregon	+12500	0.5%
SKJ Bolden	Georgia	+12500	0.5%
CBOJ Frederique Jr.	Miami	+12500	0.5%
WRIan Strong	Rutgers	+12500	0.5%
EDGEElijah Rushing	Notre Dame	+12500	0.5%

Tier 1 — Clear Favorite

QBArch Manning

Texas

+165

22.4%

Tier 2 — Live Contenders

QBDante Moore

Oregon

+500

9.9%

WRJeremiah Smith

Ohio State

+600

8.5%

QBCJ Carr

Notre Dame

+600

8.5%

Tier 3 — Dark Horses

QBJulian Sayin

Ohio State

+1200

4.6%

QBLaNorris Sellers

South Carolina

+1200

4.6%

QBDrew Mestemaker

North Texas

+1200

4.6%

Tier 4 — Longshots

QBJayden Maiava

USC

+2000

2.8%

QBDarian Mensah

Duke

+2200

2.6%

EDGEColin Simmons

Texas

+2200

2.6%

EDGEDylan Stewart

South Carolina

+2200

2.6%

QBJosh Hoover

TCU

+4500

1.3%

Tier 5 — Deep Longshots

QBSam Leavitt

Arizona State

+5500

1.1%

QBDJ Lagway

Florida

+6500

0.9%

WRCam Coleman

Auburn

+6500

0.9%

OTTrevor Goosby

Texas

+6500

0.9%

OTJordan Seaton

Colorado

+6500

0.9%

QBJohn Mateer

Oklahoma

+6500

0.9%

CBLeonard Moore

Notre Dame

+6500

0.9%

WRRyan Williams

Alabama

+8000

0.7%

QBEli Holstein

Pittsburgh

+8000

0.7%

DTDavid Stone

Florida State

+8000

0.7%

QBBeau Pribula

Missouri

+8000

0.7%

EDGEJordan Ross

Alabama

+8000

0.7%

QBByrum Brown

South Florida

+8000

0.7%

EDGEMatayo Uiagalelei

Oregon

+8000

0.7%

QBTrinidad Chambliss

Mississippi

+8000

0.7%

QBAidan Chiles

Michigan State

+10000

0.6%

QBAshton Hampton

Iowa

+12500

0.5%

WRDuce Robinson

USC

+12500

0.5%

LBSammy Brown

Clemson

+12500

0.5%

OLKade Pieper

Nebraska

+12500

0.5%

RBJustice Haynes

Michigan

+12500

0.5%

CBEllis Robinson IV

Georgia

+12500

0.5%

RBMark Fletcher

Miami

+12500

0.5%

EDGEQuincy Rhodes Jr.

Arkansas

+12500

0.5%

EDGEPrincewill Umanmielen

Mississippi

+12500

0.5%

RBLJ Martin

BYU

+12500

0.5%

EDGEYhonzae Pierre

Alabama

+12500

0.5%

EDGEJohn Henry Daley

Stanford

+12500

0.5%

WRKelley Jones

San Jose State

+12500

0.5%

DTJustin Scott

Miami

+12500

0.5%

LBWhit Weeks

LSU

+12500

0.5%

EDGEDamon Wilson Jr.

Missouri

+12500

0.5%

EDGEAnto Saka

Minnesota

+12500

0.5%

TETerrance Carter

LSU

+12500

0.5%

EDGEKenyatta Jackson

Ohio State

+12500

0.5%

CBMarcus Neal Jr.

Texas

+12500

0.5%

DTJayden Jackson

Alabama

+12500

0.5%

OLIapani Laloulu

Oregon

+12500

0.5%

SKJ Bolden

Georgia

+12500

0.5%

CBOJ Frederique Jr.

Miami

+12500

0.5%

WRIan Strong

Rutgers

+12500

0.5%

EDGEElijah Rushing

Notre Dame

+12500

0.5%

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Jason Ziernicki

Founder at CLEATZ | jason@cleatz.com | Web | + posts

Jason Ziernicki is the founder of CLEATZ, where he analyzes sports betting data, public betting percentages, alt-line trends, and prediction markets across the NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports.

He is based in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where he routinely trades on Kalshi each month, hoping to win on weather markets like snowfall, as well as sports and politics.

His work focuses on turning sportsbook data and betting market trends into actionable insights for bettors/traders.