2027 Super Bowl Odds: DraftKings vs. Kalshi vs. Polymarket
The latest 2027 Super Bowl odds offer more than a simple list of championship favorites. The CLEATZ live futures tracker compares the best available sportsbook prices from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and other major operators with real-money win probabilities from Kalshi, Polymarket and OG.
See which teams are rising or falling, track odds movement across the past 7, 14 or 30 days, and identify where the traditional betting market disagrees with prediction-market traders. Whether you are searching for the current Super Bowl favorite, the best price on a contender or a long-shot team gaining momentum, the table below provides an updated snapshot of the entire championship market.
Los Angeles Rams lead the Super Bowl board at +550.
| # | Team | Best Odds | Movement (14D) | Kalshi | Poly | OG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Rams | +550 (DK) | ——— | 16% | 15% | 16% |
| 2 | Seattle Seahawks | +1,100 (FD) | ——▲ 100 | 8% | 7% | 8% |
| 3 | Buffalo Bills | +1,100 (FD) | —▼ +100— | 8% | 9% | 10% |
| 4 | Baltimore Ravens | +1,200 (FD) | ——— | 7% | 7% | 9% |
| 5 | Los Angeles Chargers | +1,700 (BR) | ——▲ 100 | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| 6 | Kansas City Chiefs | +1,700 (FD) | ——▼ +100 | 6% | 6% | 8% |
| 7 | Philadelphia Eagles | +1,800 (FD) | ——▲ 100 | 5% | 5% | 6% |
| 8 | San Francisco 49ers | +1,900 (DK) | ——— | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| 9 | Detroit Lions | +1,900 (DK) | ——▲ 100 | 4% | 4% | 6% |
| 10 | New England Patriots | +2,000 (MGM) | ——— | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| 11 | Houston Texans | +2,000 (MGM) | ——— | 5% | 5% | 6% |
| 12 | Denver Broncos | +2,000 (FD) | ——— | 5% | 5% | 6% |
| 13 | Green Bay Packers | +2,000 (FD) | ——▲ 500 | 3% | 3% | 5% |
| 14 | Cincinnati Bengals | +2,200 (MGM) | ——— | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| 15 | Dallas Cowboys | +2,500 (BR) | ——— | 5% | 5% | 7% |
| 16 | Chicago Bears | +2,700 (FD) | ——— | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| 17 | Jacksonville Jaguars | +3,000 (FD) | ——▲ 300 | 3% | 3% | 5% |
| 18 | Minnesota Vikings | +5,000 (BR) | ——— | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| 19 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +5,500 (DK) | ——▲ 500 | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| 20 | Indianapolis Colts | +6,600 (MGM) | ——— | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| 21 | Washington Commanders | +6,600 (MGM) | ——— | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| 22 | New York Giants | +7,000 (DK) | ——— | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| 23 | Pittsburgh Steelers | +8,000 (MGM) | ——— | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| 24 | New Orleans Saints | +9,000 (DK) | ——▲ 1,000 | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 25 | Carolina Panthers | +10,000 (FD) | ——— | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 26 | Atlanta Falcons | +13,000 (DK) | ——— | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| 27 | Las Vegas Raiders | +15,000 (FD) | ——— | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| 28 | Tennessee Titans | +25,000 (MGM) | ——— | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 29 | Cleveland Browns | +25,000 (FD) | —▲ 5,000— | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 30 | New York Jets | +30,000 (FD) | ——▲ 10,000 | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 31 | Arizona Cardinals | +100,000 (FD) | —▼ +25,000— | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 32 | Miami Dolphins | +100,000 (FD) | ——▼ +20,000 | 1% | 1% | 2% |
How to Read 2027 Super Bowl Odds
What Do the Sportsbook Odds Mean?
The CLEATZ tracker displays the best available American odds from the sportsbooks included in the comparison.
Positive odds represent the profit from a successful $100 wager. For example, a $100 wager at +550 would return $550 in profit, plus the original $100 stake.
To convert positive American odds into implied probability, use this formula:
Implied Probability = 100 ÷ (Odds + 100)
The Los Angeles Rams’ current +550 price translates to an implied championship probability of approximately 15.4%. That closely matches the 16% probability displayed by Kalshi, Polymarket and OG, making the Rams one of the strongest consensus teams on the board.
What Do Prediction-Market Probabilities Mean?
Kalshi, Polymarket and OG display each team’s championship probability directly as a percentage.
A team trading at 8% is being assigned roughly an 8-in-100 chance of winning the Super Bowl by that market. These percentages make it easier to compare prediction-market sentiment with the implied probability of the best available sportsbook price.
Differences between the two markets can highlight several possibilities:
- Prediction-market traders may be more bullish or bearish on a team.
- Sportsbooks may be protecting themselves against existing liability.
- One sportsbook may simply be offering a better price than its competitors.
- Low-volume markets and rounded percentages may exaggerate apparent discrepancies.
Prediction-market percentages should therefore be treated as an additional source of market information—not an automatic signal that one price is correct.
2027 Super Bowl Favorites
Los Angeles Rams (+550): Clear Championship Favorite
The Rams have separated themselves from the rest of the field. Their +550 sportsbook price implies a 15.4% probability, while Kalshi, Polymarket and OG each price Los Angeles at 16%.
That agreement is notable. The previous version of the market showed prediction traders less convinced than sportsbooks, but the current numbers tell a different story: sportsbooks and all three prediction markets now view the Rams as the clear team to beat.
Buffalo Bills (+1000): Leading the Second Tier
Buffalo owns the second-shortest sportsbook price at +1000 after moving in from +1100 during the latest 14-day window.
The +1000 price implies a 9.1% chance, compared with an even 8% across Kalshi, Polymarket and OG. The markets agree that Buffalo belongs among the primary contenders, although the prediction platforms are slightly less optimistic than the sportsbook price.
Seattle Seahawks and Baltimore Ravens (+1200)
Seattle and Baltimore share the third-shortest price at +1200, but their recent movement and prediction-market support are slightly different.
Seattle is priced at 8% on Kalshi, 7% on Polymarket and 8% on OG, nearly identical to the 7.7% implied probability of +1200. The Seahawks have, however, drifted from +1100 to +1200 over the latest 14-day window.
Baltimore is priced at 7% across all three prediction markets. That is slightly below the 7.7% implied probability of the current +1200 sportsbook price, suggesting mild—but hardly dramatic—skepticism from traders.
Kansas City Chiefs (+1600): Prediction Markets Remain Bullish
Kansas City may offer the most interesting comparison among the leading contenders.
The Chiefs’ +1600 price implies a championship probability of approximately 5.9%. Kalshi prices Kansas City at 6%, Polymarket at 7% and OG at 8%.
Two of the three prediction markets therefore assign Kansas City a meaningfully higher probability than the sportsbook line. Among the top five teams, the Chiefs currently show the clearest bullish prediction-market divergence.
The Next Group of Contenders
The Los Angeles Chargers lead the next group at +1700, followed by the Philadelphia Eagles at +1800 and the San Francisco 49ers and Detroit Lions at +1900.
The New England Patriots round out the top 10 at +2000.
Prediction-market support is generally aligned with the sportsbook prices for the Chargers, Eagles, 49ers and Patriots. Detroit is the exception: +1900 implies a 5% probability, while all three prediction markets price the Lions at 4%. That suggests the sportsbook market is currently a little more optimistic about Detroit than prediction traders are.
Biggest Sportsbook and Prediction-Market Discrepancies
| Team | Best Odds | Implied Probability | Kalshi | Polymarket | OG | Market Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | +1600 | 5.9% | 6% | 7% | 8% | Prediction markets are more bullish |
| Buffalo Bills | +1000 | 9.1% | 8% | 8% | 8% | Prediction markets are slightly cooler |
| Detroit Lions | +1900 | 5.0% | 4% | 4% | 4% | Sportsbook price is more optimistic |
| Dallas Cowboys | +2500 | 3.8% | 4% | 4% | 5% | Mild prediction-market support |
| Washington Commanders | +6600 | 1.5% | 3% | 1% | 3% | Major disagreement between platforms |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +8000 | 1.2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | Kalshi and OG are more optimistic |
Kansas City Offers the Cleanest Top-Tier Divergence
Kansas City stands out because the discrepancy appears across meaningful, non-long-shot probabilities. The +1600 sportsbook price implies 5.9%, while Polymarket and OG price the Chiefs at 7% and 8%.
That does not guarantee that +1600 represents value, but it is the clearest example of prediction-market traders being more confident than the sportsbook price among the leading contenders.
Washington Produces the Most Divided Market
The Commanders are +6600, which implies approximately a 1.5% chance. Kalshi and OG each price Washington at 3%, while Polymarket is considerably less optimistic at 1%.
Rather than showing broad market consensus, Washington’s numbers reveal a genuine disagreement between platforms. That makes the Commanders a team worth monitoring as liquidity increases and the season approaches.
Seattle Represents Near-Perfect Consensus
Seattle’s +1200 price implies a 7.7% probability. The prediction markets sit at 8%, 7% and 8%.
Those figures are almost perfectly aligned. Unlike the old analysis, Seattle is no longer a prediction-market outlier—it is now one of the strongest examples of sportsbook and prediction-market consensus.
Biggest 14-Day Super Bowl Odds Movers
Teams Gaining Market Support
Cleveland Browns: +30000 to +25000
Cleveland produced the largest numerical move, although the Browns remain a major long shot. Their championship probability is still displayed at only 1% on Kalshi and Polymarket and 2% on OG.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +5500 to +5000
Tampa Bay shortened by 500 points. The Buccaneers remain outside the primary contender group, but the move places them alongside Minnesota at +5000.
Buffalo Bills: +1100 to +1000
Buffalo’s move is the most meaningful change near the top of the board. The Bills strengthened their position as the clear second choice behind the Rams.
Teams Losing Market Support
New York Jets: +35000 to +40000
The Jets experienced the largest decline among the teams highlighted in the 14-day market report and now sit 30th on the sportsbook board.
Chicago Bears: +2500 to +2700
Chicago slipped outside the +2500 range. Kalshi and OG remain slightly more optimistic at 4%, while Polymarket prices the Bears at 3%.
Seattle Seahawks: +1100 to +1200
Seattle drifted despite remaining tied for the third-shortest odds. The prediction markets continue to support a probability of approximately 7% to 8%, so the move looks more like a modest price adjustment than a major loss of confidence.
2027 Super Bowl Dark Horses Worth Watching
Dallas Cowboys (+2500)
Dallas’ +2500 price implies a 3.8% probability. Kalshi and Polymarket each price the Cowboys at 4%, while OG is slightly higher at 5%.
The gap is not enormous, but all three prediction markets are at least as optimistic as the current sportsbook price.
Washington Commanders (+6600)
Washington is the most intriguing deeper long shot because Kalshi and OG are each assigning the Commanders twice the probability implied by their sportsbook odds.
Polymarket’s lower 1% figure prevents this from being a consensus signal, but the disagreement itself makes Washington one of the more interesting teams to follow.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+8000)
Pittsburgh’s +8000 price implies approximately a 1.2% chance. Kalshi and OG each display 2%, while Polymarket remains at 1%.
As with Washington, the prediction markets are divided. The Steelers nevertheless receive more support from two of the three platforms than their sportsbook price would suggest.
Longest Super Bowl Odds
The Arizona Cardinals have the longest price on the board at +100000, followed by the Miami Dolphins at +75000 and the New York Jets at +40000.
Arizona’s sportsbook price implies a probability of roughly 0.1%, while each prediction platform displays 1%. Miami’s +75000 price implies approximately 0.13%, compared with 1% across all three prediction markets.
Those gaps appear enormous, but percentages at the bottom of the table are rounded to whole numbers. A displayed 1% price could represent a significantly smaller underlying probability. For that reason, apparent value involving extreme long shots should be interpreted cautiously rather than treated as a precise mathematical edge.
Frequently Asked Questions
The Los Angeles Rams are the current favorites at +550. Kalshi, Polymarket and OG each give the Rams a 16% probability, confirming Los Angeles as the consensus favorite across both sportsbooks and prediction markets.
Date: Sunday, February 14, 2027
Location: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California
The movement column compares current prices with the corresponding sportsbook snapshot from 7, 14 or 30 days earlier. Shortening odds indicate increasing market confidence, while lengthening odds indicate declining confidence.
The Washington Commanders stand out at +6600. Kalshi and OG price Washington at 3%, while Polymarket prices the team at only 1%.
Among the leading contenders, the Kansas City Chiefs show the strongest bullish prediction-market discrepancy.
Their +1600 sportsbook price implies approximately 5.9%, compared with 6% on Kalshi, 7% on Polymarket and 8% on OG.
The Buffalo Bills are second at +1000. Buffalo is followed by the Seattle Seahawks and Baltimore Ravens, both at +1200.
How CLEATZ Tracks Super Bowl Odds
The CLEATZ tracker combines four types of information:
- The best available American odds from the sportsbooks included in the tracker.
- Historical sportsbook movement over 7-, 14- and 30-day periods.
- Kalshi championship probabilities.
- Polymarket and OG championship probabilities.
Comparing these markets can reveal consensus, disagreement and changing sentiment. Odds and probabilities can move quickly, however, and prediction-market percentages may be affected by rounding, liquidity, spreads and trading activity.
All odds and probabilities are informational and subject to change.
Disclaimer: This data is for informational purposes only. Odds and probabilities change in real-time. Please wager responsibly.
Jason Ziernicki is the founder of CLEATZ, where he analyzes sports betting data, public betting percentages, alt-line trends, and prediction markets across the NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports.
He is based in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where he routinely trades on Kalshi each month, hoping to win on weather markets like snowfall, as well as sports and politics.
His work focuses on turning sportsbook data and betting market trends into actionable insights for bettors/traders.