The New England Patriots travel to EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville to face the Florida Jaguars on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. This page compares live sportsbook odds with prices from prediction markets including Kalshi, Polymarket, and no-vig exchanges to identify potential value disparities.
Patriots vs. Jaguars Odds Today
- Spread
- Jaguars -1.5 2 of 2 books
- Total
- 45.5 1 of 2 books
- Moneyline
- Patriots +100 / Jaguars -118 best available
- Win probability
- Patriots 48% / Jaguars 52% median of 2 books, no vig
- Polymarket
- Patriots 47% / Jaguars 53%
All figures read from one snapshot at page load, so they match the tables below.
Books and prediction markets agree here, inside 0.6 of a point once the vig is removed. The best bid and ask are 45¢ apart, a wide market at the displayed price.
Patriots vs. Jaguars Odds Comparison
All 3 books have Patriots at +1.5. The total is not settled — it ranges from 45.5 to 46.5, with 45.5 the consensus. Best Patriots moneyline: Caesars at +100.
Spread
| Book | NE | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +1.5 -115 | -1.5 -105 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -115 | -1.5 -115 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -115 | -1.5 -115 |
Total
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 45.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 46.5 -115 | 46.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 46.5 -115 | 46.5 -115 |
Moneyline
| Book | NE | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -102 | -118 |
| Caesars | +100 | -131 |
| Caesars | +100 | -131 |
Best available price on each side is highlighted.
Polymarket Odds: Patriots vs. Jaguars
Contract prices are live probabilities with no vig, so they compare directly to a devigged book line. Where the two differ, the gap shows where the markets disagree on this game's win probability.
| Market | NE | JAX | Spread | Traded | Open Int. | 24hJaguars |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket $20 free trade → | 47% | 53% | 45¢ | — | — | -2 |
Kalshi trades in contracts; Polymarket reports in dollars. Novig is an exchange priced from its moneyline — the odds feed carries no order-book depth for it.
Where the price has moved
Every line is the implied probability of Jaguars winning, so up means the market likes Jaguars more. Since each contract opened, Polymarket has moved toward Jaguars 3 points, 50% to 53%. The dashed line is the sportsbook consensus with the vig removed.
Polymarket Sportsbooks, no vig
Patriots and Jaguars Season Win Totals
Kalshi's over/under on each club's regular-season wins. It is the quickest read on how far apart these two teams are expected to finish.
| Team | O/U Wins | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEPatriots | 9.5 | 56% | 44% |
| JAXJaguars | 9.5 | 51% | 49% |
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
Patriots and Jaguars Super Bowl Futures
Best available price across the licensed books, with 30-day movement and what the prediction markets make of it.
| Team | To WinBest Price | 30d | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEPatriots | +2000 BetMGM | — | 5% | 4% |
| JAXJaguars | +3000 FanDuel | — | 3% | 2% |
| Market | Patriots | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 47% | 53% |
| Book | 48% | 52% |