The Miami Dolphins travel to Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland to face the Washington Commanders on Friday, August 14 at 7:00 PM ET. This page compares live sportsbook odds with prediction market prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and no-vig exchanges to identify where sharp traders and casual bettors diverge on the game's outcome.
Dolphins vs. Commanders Odds Today
- Spread
- Dolphins -2.5 9 of 15 books
- Total
- 36.5 12 of 15 books
- Moneyline
- Dolphins -143 / Commanders +138 best available
- Win probability
- Dolphins 58% / Commanders 42% sportsbooks, no vig
- Kalshi
- Dolphins 58% / Commanders 42%
- Polymarket
- Dolphins 58% / Commanders 42%
All figures read from one snapshot at page load, so they match the tables below.
Books and prediction markets agree here, inside 0.2 of a point once the vig is removed. The best bid and ask are 1¢ apart, a tight market at the displayed price.
Best Dolphins vs. Commanders Odds
9 of 15 books have Dolphins at -2.5. The total is not settled — it ranges from 36.5 to 37, with 36.5 the consensus. Best Dolphins moneyline: BetRivers at -143.
Spread
| Book | MIA | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -3 -105 | +3 -115 |
| FanDuel | -2.5 -120 | +2.5 -102 |
| BetMGM | — | — |
| Caesars | -2.5 -121 | +2.5 +101 |
| Caesars | -2.5 -121 | +2.5 +101 |
| Bet365 | -2.5 -116 | +2.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | -2.5 -113 | +2.5 -108 |
| Novig No Vig | — | — |
| Fanatics | -3 +100 | +3 -120 |
| Bally Bet | -2.5 -113 | +2.5 -108 |
| betPARX | -2.5 -113 | +2.5 -108 |
| Fliff | — | — |
| Hard Rock Bet | -2.5 -110 | +2.5 -110 |
| Pinnacle | -3 +103 | +3 -120 |
| ProphetX No Vig | -2.5 -116 | +2.5 +102 |
Total
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 36.5 -112 | 36.5 -108 |
| FanDuel | 36.5 -112 | 36.5 -108 |
| BetMGM | 36.5 -115 | 36.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 36.5 -109 | 36.5 -112 |
| Caesars | 36.5 -109 | 36.5 -112 |
| Bet365 | 36.5 -111 | 36.5 -111 |
| BetRivers | 37 -112 | 37 -109 |
| Novig No Vig | 36.5 -111 | 36.5 -108 |
| Fanatics | 36.5 -110 | 36.5 -110 |
| Bally Bet | — | — |
| betPARX | — | — |
| Fliff | 36.5 -120 | 36.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 36.5 -110 | 36.5 -110 |
| Pinnacle | 36.5 -109 | 36.5 -107 |
| ProphetX No Vig | 36.5 -107 | 36.5 -107 |
Moneyline
| Book | MIA | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -155 | +130 |
| FanDuel | -154 | +130 |
| BetMGM | -145 | +120 |
| Caesars | -152 | +127 |
| Caesars | -152 | +127 |
| Bet365 | -152 | +125 |
| BetRivers | -143 | +116 |
| Novig No Vig | -144 | +138 |
| Fanatics | -150 | +125 |
| Bally Bet | -143 | +116 |
| betPARX | -143 | +116 |
| Fliff | -155 | +120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -155 | +125 |
| Pinnacle | -153 | +130 |
| ProphetX No Vig | -151 | +129 |
Best available price on each side is highlighted.
Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig & ProphetX Odds: Dolphins vs. Commanders
Contract prices are live probabilities with no vig, so they compare directly to a devigged book line. Where the two differ, the gap shows where the markets disagree on this game's win probability.
| Market | MIA | WAS | Spread | Traded | Open Int. | 24hCommanders |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Up to $500 bonus → | 58% | 42% | 1¢ | 18.2k | 16.6k | -1 |
| Polymarket $20 free trade → | 58% | 42% | 1¢ | $532 | — | -4 |
| Novig Play $10, get $25 free → | 58% | 42% | — | — | — | — |
| ProphetX $20 free trade → | 58% | 42% | — | — | — | — |
Kalshi trades in contracts; Polymarket reports in dollars. Novig is an exchange priced from its moneyline — the odds feed carries no order-book depth for it.
Where the price has moved
Every line is the implied probability of Commanders winning, so up means the market likes Commanders more. Since each contract opened, Kalshi has moved away from Commanders 11 points, 53% to 42%; Polymarket has moved away from Commanders 12 points, 54% to 42%. The dashed line is the sportsbook consensus with the vig removed.
Kalshi Polymarket Sportsbooks, no vig
Spread and Total: Dolphins vs. Commanders
Polymarket lists a separate contract for every line. Each is matched to the book's own number, so both columns describe the same bet rather than two similar ones.
| Bet | BooksNo Vig | Polymarket | Book Width |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA-2.5 | 51% | 54% | 3¢ |
| Over36.5 | 50% | 50% | 4¢ |
Dolphins and Commanders Season Win Totals
Kalshi's over/under on each club's regular-season wins. It is the quickest read on how far apart these two teams are expected to finish.
| Team | O/U Wins | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIADolphins | 3.5 | 56% | 44% |
| WASCommanders | 7.5 | 49% | 51% |
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
Dolphins and Commanders Super Bowl Futures
Best available price across the licensed books, with 30-day movement and what the prediction markets make of it.
| Team | To WinBest Price | 30d | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIADolphins | +100000 FanDuel | ▼ +60000 | 1% | 1% |
| WASCommanders | +6600 BetMGM | — | 2% | 1% |
Dolphins vs. Commanders Weather
- Temperature
- 82°FSunny
- Wind
- 8 mphNNW
- Precipitation
- 1%chance of rain
- Impact
- Lownothing in the forecast that typically moves a total