The Denver Broncos visit the Atlanta Falcons on Friday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. This page compares live sportsbook odds with prices from prediction markets including Kalshi, Polymarket, and no-vig exchanges.
Broncos vs. Falcons Odds Today
- Spread
- Broncos -4.5 7 of 15 books
- Total
- 37.5 11 of 15 books
- Moneyline
- Broncos -223 / Falcons +208 best available
- Win probability
- Broncos 67% / Falcons 33% sportsbooks, no vig
- Kalshi
- Broncos 68% / Falcons 32%
- Polymarket
- Broncos 67% / Falcons 33%
All figures read from one snapshot at page load, so they match the tables below.
Books and prediction markets agree here, inside 0.6 of a point once the vig is removed. The best bid and ask are 1¢ apart, a tight market at the displayed price.
Best Broncos vs. Falcons Odds
7 of 15 books have Broncos at -4.5. The total is not settled — it ranges from 37.5 to 38.5, with 37.5 the consensus. Best Broncos moneyline: Novig at -223.
Spread
| Book | DEN | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -5.5 -108 | +5.5 -112 |
| FanDuel | -4.5 -115 | +4.5 -105 |
| BetMGM | — | — |
| Caesars | — | — |
| Caesars | -5.5 -110 | +5.5 -110 |
| Bet365 | — | — |
| BetRivers | -4.5 -112 | +4.5 -109 |
| Novig No Vig | -4.5 -156 | +4.5 -186 |
| Fanatics | -5 -110 | +5 -110 |
| Bally Bet | -4.5 -112 | +4.5 -109 |
| betPARX | -4.5 -112 | +4.5 -109 |
| Fliff | -4.5 -120 | +4.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | — | — |
| Pinnacle | -5.5 -106 | +5.5 -110 |
| ProphetX No Vig | -4.5 -116 | +4.5 -101 |
Total
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 38.5 -105 | 38.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 37.5 -110 | 37.5 -110 |
| BetMGM | 38 -110 | 38 -110 |
| Caesars | 37.5 -121 | 37.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 37.5 -121 | 37.5 +100 |
| Bet365 | 37.5 -111 | 37.5 -111 |
| BetRivers | 37.5 -107 | 37.5 -114 |
| Novig No Vig | 37.5 -117 | 37.5 +108 |
| Fanatics | 38.5 -110 | 38.5 -110 |
| Bally Bet | 37.5 -107 | 37.5 -114 |
| betPARX | 37.5 -107 | 37.5 -114 |
| Fliff | — | — |
| Hard Rock Bet | 37.5 -115 | 37.5 -105 |
| Pinnacle | 37.5 -116 | 37.5 -101 |
| ProphetX No Vig | 37.5 -113 | 37.5 +101 |
Moneyline
| Book | DEN | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -245 | +200 |
| FanDuel | -235 | +194 |
| BetMGM | -235 | +195 |
| Caesars | -240 | +193 |
| Caesars | -240 | +193 |
| Bet365 | -244 | +195 |
| BetRivers | -230 | +180 |
| Novig No Vig | -223 | +208 |
| Fanatics | -235 | +190 |
| Bally Bet | -230 | +180 |
| betPARX | -230 | +180 |
| Fliff | -245 | +185 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -250 | +200 |
| Pinnacle | -234 | +192 |
| ProphetX No Vig | -230 | +196 |
Best available price on each side is highlighted.
Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig & ProphetX Odds: Broncos vs. Falcons
Contract prices are live probabilities with no vig, so they compare directly to a devigged book line. Where the two differ, the gap shows where the markets disagree on this game's win probability.
| Market | DEN | ATL | Spread | Traded | Open Int. | 24hFalcons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Up to $500 bonus → | 68% | 32% | 1¢ | 23.7k | 19.6k | — |
| Polymarket $20 free trade → | 67% | 33% | 1¢ | $480 | — | — |
| Novig Play $10, get $25 free → | 68% | 32% | — | — | — | — |
| ProphetX $20 free trade → | 67% | 33% | — | — | — | — |
Kalshi trades in contracts; Polymarket reports in dollars. Novig is an exchange priced from its moneyline — the odds feed carries no order-book depth for it.
Where the price has moved
Every line is the implied probability of Falcons winning, so up means the market likes Falcons more. Since each contract opened, Kalshi has moved away from Falcons 1 point, 33% to 32%; Polymarket has moved toward Falcons 1 point, 32% to 33%. The dashed line is the sportsbook consensus with the vig removed.
Kalshi Polymarket Sportsbooks, no vig
Spread and Total: Broncos vs. Falcons
Polymarket lists a separate contract for every line. Each is matched to the book's own number, so both columns describe the same bet rather than two similar ones.
| Bet | BooksNo Vig | Polymarket | Book Width |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN-4.5 | 50% | 51% | 3¢ |
| Over37.5 | 51% | 51% | 2¢ |
Broncos and Falcons Season Win Totals
Kalshi's over/under on each club's regular-season wins. It is the quickest read on how far apart these two teams are expected to finish.
| Team | O/U Wins | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DENBroncos | 9.5 | 53% | 47% |
| ATLFalcons | 7.5 | 47% | 53% |
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
Broncos and Falcons Super Bowl Futures
Best available price across the licensed books, with 30-day movement and what the prediction markets make of it.
| Team | To WinBest Price | 30d | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DENBroncos | +2000 FanDuel | — | 5% | 4% |
| ATLFalcons | +13000 DraftKings | — | 1% | 1% |
Broncos vs. Falcons Weather
- Temperature
- 96°FPartly Cloudy
- Wind
- 9 mphNW
- Precipitation
- 2%chance of rain
- Impact
- Lownothing in the forecast that typically moves a total
- Roof
- Retractable — the roof may be closed, in which case conditions will not apply.