The Chargers visit the Bills at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. This page compares live sportsbook odds with prediction market prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and no-vig exchanges to identify potential gaps between the two.
Chargers vs. Bills Odds Today
- Spread
- Bills -3 2 of 2 books
- Total
- 48.5 1 of 2 books
- Moneyline
- Chargers +140 / Bills -162 best available
- Win probability
- Chargers 40% / Bills 60% median of 2 books, no vig
- Polymarket
- Chargers 40% / Bills 60%
All figures read from one snapshot at page load, so they match the tables below.
Books and prediction markets agree here, inside 0.0 of a point once the vig is removed. The best bid and ask are 33¢ apart, a wide market at the displayed price.
Chargers vs. Bills Odds Comparison
All 3 books have Chargers at +3. The total is not settled — it ranges from 48.5 to 50, with 48.5 the consensus. Best Chargers moneyline: Caesars at +140.
Spread
| Book | LAC | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +3 -110 | -3 -110 |
| Caesars | +3 -115 | -3 -115 |
| Caesars | +3 -115 | -3 -115 |
Total
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 50 -115 | 50 -115 |
| Caesars | 50 -115 | 50 -115 |
Moneyline
| Book | LAC | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +136 | -162 |
| Caesars | +140 | -180 |
| Caesars | +140 | -180 |
Best available price on each side is highlighted.
Polymarket Odds: Chargers vs. Bills
Contract prices are live probabilities with no vig, so they compare directly to a devigged book line. Where the two differ, the gap shows where the markets disagree on this game's win probability.
| Market | LAC | BUF | Spread | Traded | Open Int. | 24hBills |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket $20 free trade → | 40% | 60% | 33¢ | — | — | — |
Kalshi trades in contracts; Polymarket reports in dollars. Novig is an exchange priced from its moneyline — the odds feed carries no order-book depth for it.
Where the price has moved
Every line is the implied probability of Bills winning, so up means the market likes Bills more. Since each contract opened, Polymarket has moved toward Bills 10 points, 50% to 60%. The dashed line is the sportsbook consensus with the vig removed.
Polymarket Sportsbooks, no vig
Chargers and Bills Season Win Totals
Kalshi's over/under on each club's regular-season wins. It is the quickest read on how far apart these two teams are expected to finish.
| Team | O/U Wins | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| LACChargers | 10.5 | 46% | 54% |
| BUFBills | 10.5 | 57% | 43% |
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
Chargers and Bills Super Bowl Futures
Best available price across the licensed books, with 30-day movement and what the prediction markets make of it.
| Team | To WinBest Price | 30d | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LACChargers | +1700 FanDuel | — | 5% | 4% |
| BUFBills | +1000 FanDuel | — | 8% | 9% |