NFL Line Movement Tracker – Odds & Prop Movers
Track the biggest NFL line moves across spreads, moneylines, totals, and player props. Compare opening numbers with current market prices, filter by matchup, and see which markets have shifted most this week.
NFL Odds Movers
Biggest NFL Odds Movers This Week
Ty Johnson — Receiving Yards is the week's largest move: the line went from 11.5 to 14.5, with the price at -114 to -113 — a swing of 9.7 percentage points of estimated movement.
- BUF Keon Coleman — Receiving Yards@ Rams 46.5 → 39.5 -108 → -117 −9.5 pp
- LAR Kyren Williams — Receiving Yardsvs. Bills 19.5 → 22.5 -114 → -117 +9.5 pp
- BUF Dalton Kincaid — Receiving Yards@ Rams 47.5 → 55.5 -114 → -113 +9.3 pp
- LAR Rams Team Totalvs. Bills 27.5 → 29.5 -127 → -119 +9.0 pp
- BUF Dalton Kincaid — Receptions@ Rams 3.5 → 4.5 -140 → +100 +7.7 pp
- BUF Khalil Shakir — Receptions@ Rams Over 4.5 +116 → -112 +6.5 pp
Rankings combine price changes with a model-based adjustment when the line changes. This estimate is not a measured change in true win probability or proof of betting value. Open a row for the separate figures; methodology is below the board.
LAR Rams -3.5vs. Bills -3.5 ▼1.6pp -110→-103
Rams -3.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: -3.5 → -3.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: -1.6 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Bills @ Rams — Game Total Over 55.5 54.5 → 55.5 ▲2.2pp -115→-108
Bills @ Rams — Game Total Over 55.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 54.5 → 55.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: 2.2 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Rams Team Total Over 29.5vs. Bills 27.5 → 29.5 ▲9.0pp -127→-119
Rams Team Total Over 29.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 27.5 → 29.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: 9.0 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Matthew Stafford — Passing Yards Over 282.5vs. Bills 280.5 → 282.5 ▲1.0pp -114→-114
Matthew Stafford — Passing Yards Over 282.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 280.5 → 282.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Saved CLEATZ baseline. Estimated movement: 1.0 pp.
Link to this marketBUF Josh Allen — Passing Yards Over 246.5@ Rams 245.5 → 246.5 ▲0.8pp -113→-114
Josh Allen — Passing Yards Over 246.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 245.5 → 246.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Saved CLEATZ baseline. Estimated movement: 0.8 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Matthew Stafford — Passing TDs Over 2.5vs. Bills Over 2.5 ▲6.5pp +162→+124
Matthew Stafford — Passing TDs Over 2.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 2.5 → 2.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: 6.5 pp.
Link to this marketBUF Ty Johnson — Rushing Yards Over 5.5@ Rams 3.5 → 5.5 ▲6.2pp -106→-104
Ty Johnson — Rushing Yards Over 5.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 3.5 → 5.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: 6.2 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Blake Corum — Rushing Yards Over 33.5vs. Bills 31.5 → 33.5 ▲4.1pp -114→-113
Blake Corum — Rushing Yards Over 33.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 31.5 → 33.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: 4.1 pp.
Link to this marketBUF Ty Johnson — Receiving Yards Over 14.5@ Rams 11.5 → 14.5 ▲9.7pp -114→-113
Ty Johnson — Receiving Yards Over 14.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 11.5 → 14.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: 9.7 pp.
Link to this marketBUF Keon Coleman — Receiving Yards Over 39.5@ Rams 46.5 → 39.5 ▼9.5pp -108→-117
Keon Coleman — Receiving Yards Over 39.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 46.5 → 39.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Saved CLEATZ baseline. Estimated movement: -9.5 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Kyren Williams — Receiving Yards Over 22.5vs. Bills 19.5 → 22.5 ▲9.5pp -114→-117
Kyren Williams — Receiving Yards Over 22.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 19.5 → 22.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: 9.5 pp.
Link to this marketBUF Dalton Kincaid — Receiving Yards Over 55.5@ Rams 47.5 → 55.5 ▲9.3pp -114→-113
Dalton Kincaid — Receiving Yards Over 55.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 47.5 → 55.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Saved CLEATZ baseline. Estimated movement: 9.3 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Davis Allen — Receiving Yards Over 5.5vs. Bills 7.5 → 5.5 ▼5.7pp -105→-109
Davis Allen — Receiving Yards Over 5.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 7.5 → 5.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Saved CLEATZ baseline. Estimated movement: -5.7 pp.
Link to this marketBUF Dawson Knox — Receiving Yards Over 11.5@ Rams 13.5 → 11.5 ▼5.2pp -108→-114
Dawson Knox — Receiving Yards Over 11.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 13.5 → 11.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Saved CLEATZ baseline. Estimated movement: -5.2 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Tyler Higbee — Receiving Yards Over 27.5vs. Bills 25.5 → 27.5 ▲4.2pp -114→-111
Tyler Higbee — Receiving Yards Over 27.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 25.5 → 27.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: 4.2 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Konata Mumpfield — Receiving Yards Over 6.5vs. Bills 7.5 → 6.5 ▼3.5pp -114→-113
Konata Mumpfield — Receiving Yards Over 6.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 7.5 → 6.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: -3.5 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Colby Parkinson — Receiving Yards Over 17.5vs. Bills 16.5 → 17.5 ▲3.1pp -114→-113
Colby Parkinson — Receiving Yards Over 17.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 16.5 → 17.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: 3.1 pp.
Link to this marketBUF Khalil Shakir — Receiving Yards Over 46.5@ Rams 45.5 → 46.5 ▲3.0pp -108→-115
Khalil Shakir — Receiving Yards Over 46.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 45.5 → 46.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Saved CLEATZ baseline. Estimated movement: 3.0 pp.
Link to this marketBUF Dalton Kincaid — Receptions Over 4.5@ Rams 3.5 → 4.5 ▲7.7pp -140→+100
Dalton Kincaid — Receptions Over 4.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 3.5 → 4.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: 7.7 pp.
Link to this marketBUF Khalil Shakir — Receptions Over 4.5@ Rams Over 4.5 ▲6.5pp +116→-112
Khalil Shakir — Receptions Over 4.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 4.5 → 4.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: 6.5 pp.
Link to this marketBUF Ty Johnson — Receptions Over 1.5@ Rams 2.5 → 1.5 ▼5.5pp +152→-195
Ty Johnson — Receptions Over 1.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 2.5 → 1.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: -5.5 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Puka Nacua — Receptions Over 7.5vs. Bills 6.5 → 7.5 ▼4.0pp -160→+108
Puka Nacua — Receptions Over 7.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 6.5 → 7.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: -4.0 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Tyler Higbee — Receptions Over 2.5vs. Bills Over 2.5 ▼3.0pp -138→-122
Tyler Higbee — Receptions Over 2.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 2.5 → 2.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: -3.0 pp.
Link to this marketBUF Dawson Knox — Receptions Over 1.5@ Rams Over 1.5 ▲1.7pp +118→+110
Dawson Knox — Receptions Over 1.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 1.5 → 1.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: 1.7 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Kyren Williams — Receptions Over 3.5vs. Bills 2.5 → 3.5 ▲1.6pp -172→+125
Kyren Williams — Receptions Over 3.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 2.5 → 3.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: 1.6 pp.
Link to this marketBUF James Cook III — Receptions Over 1.5@ Rams Over 1.5 ▲1.4pp -122→-129
James Cook III — Receptions Over 1.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 1.5 → 1.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: 1.4 pp.
Link to this marketBUF Keon Coleman — Receptions Over 3.5@ Rams 2.5 → 3.5 ▲0.9pp -172→+129
Keon Coleman — Receptions Over 3.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 2.5 → 3.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. The thresholds differ, so these prices describe different bets. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: 0.9 pp.
Link to this marketBUF Greg Dortch — Anytime Touchdown@ Rams To score 1+ TD ▼6.0pp +500→+841
Greg Dortch — Anytime Touchdown · BUF @ LAR
Selection: To score 1+ TD. This market tracks price movement, with no changing numeric line.
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: -6.0 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Tyler Higbee — Anytime Touchdownvs. Bills To score 1+ TD ▼5.5pp +190→+245
Tyler Higbee — Anytime Touchdown · BUF @ LAR
Selection: To score 1+ TD. This market tracks price movement, with no changing numeric line.
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: -5.5 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Colby Parkinson — Anytime Touchdownvs. Bills To score 1+ TD ▼5.2pp +185→+235
Colby Parkinson — Anytime Touchdown · BUF @ LAR
Selection: To score 1+ TD. This market tracks price movement, with no changing numeric line.
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: -5.2 pp.
Link to this marketBUF Ty Johnson — Anytime Touchdown@ Rams To score 1+ TD ▼4.1pp +500→+694
Ty Johnson — Anytime Touchdown · BUF @ LAR
Selection: To score 1+ TD. This market tracks price movement, with no changing numeric line.
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: -4.1 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Davis Allen — Anytime Touchdownvs. Bills To score 1+ TD ▼3.6pp +550→+750
Davis Allen — Anytime Touchdown · BUF @ LAR
Selection: To score 1+ TD. This market tracks price movement, with no changing numeric line.
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: -3.6 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Jordan Whittington — Anytime Touchdownvs. Bills To score 1+ TD ▼3.2pp +800→+1157
Jordan Whittington — Anytime Touchdown · BUF @ LAR
Selection: To score 1+ TD. This market tracks price movement, with no changing numeric line.
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: -3.2 pp.
Link to this marketBUF Dalton Kincaid — Anytime Touchdown@ Rams To score 1+ TD ▲3.0pp +200→+175
Dalton Kincaid — Anytime Touchdown · BUF @ LAR
Selection: To score 1+ TD. This market tracks price movement, with no changing numeric line.
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: 3.0 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Blake Corum — Anytime Touchdownvs. Bills To score 1+ TD ▼2.9pp +250→+290
Blake Corum — Anytime Touchdown · BUF @ LAR
Selection: To score 1+ TD. This market tracks price movement, with no changing numeric line.
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: -2.9 pp.
Link to this marketBUF Keon Coleman — Anytime Touchdown@ Rams To score 1+ TD ▼2.5pp +230→+260
Keon Coleman — Anytime Touchdown · BUF @ LAR
Selection: To score 1+ TD. This market tracks price movement, with no changing numeric line.
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: -2.5 pp.
Link to this marketBUF James Cook III — Anytime Touchdown@ Rams To score 1+ TD ▼2.1pp -125→-115
James Cook III — Anytime Touchdown · BUF @ LAR
Selection: To score 1+ TD. This market tracks price movement, with no changing numeric line.
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: -2.1 pp.
Link to this marketLAR Harrison Mevis — Field Goals Made Over 1.5vs. Bills Over 1.5 ▲5.1pp -114→-140
Harrison Mevis — Field Goals Made Over 1.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 1.5 → 1.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Saved CLEATZ baseline. Estimated movement: 5.1 pp.
Link to this marketBUF Tyler Bass — Field Goals Made Over 1.5@ Rams Over 1.5 ▲2.5pp -105→-116
Tyler Bass — Field Goals Made Over 1.5 · BUF @ LAR
Line / threshold: 1.5 → 1.5
Price chart scale: 0–100%. Sportsbook margin is included. Two snapshots; no path between them is recorded.
Provider opening quote. Estimated movement: 2.5 pp.
Link to this marketHow to Read NFL Line Movement
Start with the opening number, then compare it with the current number. The direction tells you how the market has changed.
| Example move | What it means |
|---|---|
| Spread: −2.5 → −3.5 | The favorite now needs to win by at least four points to cover, instead of three. |
| Moneyline: +120 → −110 | The team has moved from underdog to favorite. |
| Game total: 47.5 → 44.5 | The market’s scoring threshold has dropped three points. |
| Receiving yards: 39.5 → 49.5 | The player now needs at least 50 yards for the over to win, instead of 40. |
Use the game filter to focus on one matchup. Remember that movement since opening can include changes from several days ago; it does not necessarily indicate a recent surge.
What’s the Difference Between a Line Change and an Odds Change?
The line is the threshold a bet must beat. The odds are the price attached to that bet.
A rushing prop moving from over 49.5 yards to over 59.5 yards is a line change. Over 49.5 staying in place while its price moves from −110 to −140 is an odds change: the same outcome now costs more to back.
Both can change together. Always compare the threshold and the price. A better payout at a higher yardage requirement is a different proposition, not automatically a better deal.
Why Does Crossing 3 or 7 Matter?
Three and seven are key NFL spread numbers because games frequently finish with those winning margins, reflecting field goals and touchdowns with extra points. Learn more about NFL key numbers.
Consider a favorite that wins by exactly three points:
| Your spread | Result |
|---|---|
| −2.5 | Win |
| −3 | Push; stake returned |
| −3.5 | Loss |
The same principle applies around seven. A seven-point win covers −6.5, pushes at −7 and loses at −7.5.
That is why the numbers a spread passes through can matter more than the size of the move alone. Compare prices, too: getting a better spread may require paying more.
What Causes NFL Player Props to Move?
Player props can shift when new information changes expectations about playing time, opportunity or performance.
- Injuries and availability: A teammate’s absence can change expected carries, targets or snaps.
- Role changes: Starting assignments, workload limits and depth-chart updates can alter projections.
- Weather: Wind or other conditions can affect passing, receiving and kicking expectations.
- Game outlook: Changes in the spread or total can affect expectations for passing volume and rushing opportunities.
- Market activity: Wagers, revised projections and adjustments at other sportsbooks can move a line or its price.
Check the NFL injury report and NFL weather report for context. Movement alone does not reveal its cause or prove that professional bettors are behind it.
Does a Big Move Mean the Current Number Offers Value?
No. A large move tells you the market changed. It does not establish that the available price is favorable.
If a receiving prop rises from 39.5 to 54.5 yards, someone who took the early over has a lower hurdle. Betting over 54.5 requires a fresh assessment of the player’s outlook and the current odds.
Before following a move, ask:
- What changed, and is that information already reflected in the number?
- What line and price can I actually get?
- Does my estimate of the outcome’s probability justify that price?
Use NFL public betting splits for additional context and current NFL lines to compare the board. A popular side, a moving line and a valuable bet are different things.
Where Does the Data Come From, and How Is Movement Calculated?
The tracker uses data from SportsGameOdds and compares current consensus numbers with the opening numbers used by the feed. Consensus figures can differ from the line or price available at an individual sportsbook.
Check the board’s “last sync” indicator for data freshness. It describes the latest synchronization, not when every individual market last changed. Prices can move between updates.
Markets are ranked by the tracker’s combined line-and-price movement calculation. The displayed “pp” means percentage points. When the underlying line changes, that calculation includes a model adjustment; it is not simply the difference between the probabilities implied by the two displayed prices.
For example, over 2.5 receptions and over 3.5 receptions are different outcomes. Treat the combined figure as a modeled comparison of movement, rather than a measured change in the likelihood of one unchanged bet. It is not a confidence rating or a prediction of profit.
