The Colts travel to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City for a Sunday night matchup against the Chiefs. This page displays live odds from major sportsbooks alongside pricing from prediction markets including Kalshi and Polymarket, allowing bettors to identify discrepancies between the two sources.
Colts vs. Chiefs Odds Today
- Spread
- Chiefs -6.5 1 of 2 books
- Total
- 47.5 1 of 2 books
- Moneyline
- Colts +250 / Chiefs -290 best available
- Win probability
- Colts 28% / Chiefs 72% median of 2 books, no vig
- Kalshi
- Colts 27% / Chiefs 73%
- Polymarket
- Colts 29% / Chiefs 71%
All figures read from one snapshot at page load, so they match the tables below.
Books and prediction markets agree here, inside 1.1 of a point once the vig is removed. The best bid and ask are 4¢ apart, a moderate spread at the displayed price.
Colts vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison
1 of 3 books have Colts at +6.5. The total is not settled — it ranges from 46.5 to 47.5, with 47.5 the consensus. Best Colts moneyline: Caesars at +250.
Spread
| Book | IND | KC |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +6.5 -110 | -6.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +7 -110 | -7 -110 |
| Caesars | +7 -110 | -7 -110 |
Total
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 47.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
Moneyline
| Book | IND | KC |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +235 | -290 |
| Caesars | +250 | -330 |
| Caesars | +250 | -330 |
Best available price on each side is highlighted.
Kalshi & Polymarket Odds: Colts vs. Chiefs
Contract prices are live probabilities with no vig, so they compare directly to a devigged book line. Where the two differ, the gap shows where the markets disagree on this game's win probability.
| Market | IND | KC | Spread | Traded | Open Int. | 24hChiefs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Up to $500 bonus → | 27% | 73% | 4¢ | 11 | 11 | — |
| Polymarket $20 free trade → | 29% | 71% | 13¢ | — | — | +9 |
Kalshi trades in contracts; Polymarket reports in dollars. Novig is an exchange priced from its moneyline — the odds feed carries no order-book depth for it.
Where the price has moved
Every line is the implied probability of Chiefs winning, so up means the market likes Chiefs more. Since each contract opened, Kalshi has moved toward Chiefs 20 points, 53% to 73%; Polymarket has moved toward Chiefs 21 points, 50% to 71%. The dashed line is the sportsbook consensus with the vig removed.
Kalshi Polymarket Sportsbooks, no vig
Colts and Chiefs Season Win Totals
Kalshi's over/under on each club's regular-season wins. It is the quickest read on how far apart these two teams are expected to finish.
| Team | O/U Wins | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| INDColts | 7.5 | 58% | 42% |
| KCChiefs | 9.5 | 54% | 46% |
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
Colts and Chiefs Super Bowl Futures
Best available price across the licensed books, with 30-day movement and what the prediction markets make of it.
| Team | To WinBest Price | 30d | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDColts | +6600 BetMGM | — | 2% | 1% |
| KCChiefs | +1700 FanDuel | ▼ +1600 | 6% | 6% |