The Jacksonville Jaguars travel to Denver to face the Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, September 20 at 4:05 PM ET. This page compares live sportsbook odds against prices from prediction markets including Kalshi, Polymarket, and no-vig exchanges to identify potential value discrepancies.
Jaguars vs. Broncos Odds Today
- Spread
- Broncos -2.5 1 of 2 books
- Total
- 43.5 1 of 2 books
- Moneyline
- Jaguars +135 / Broncos -142 best available
- Win probability
- Jaguars 42% / Broncos 58% median of 2 books, no vig
- Kalshi
- Jaguars 42% / Broncos 58%
- Polymarket
- Jaguars 43% / Broncos 57%
All figures read from one snapshot at page load, so they match the tables below.
Books and prediction markets agree here, inside 1.0 of a point once the vig is removed. The best bid and ask are 4¢ apart, a moderate spread at the displayed price.
Jaguars vs. Broncos Odds Comparison
1 of 3 books have Jaguars at +2.5. The total is not settled — it ranges from 43.5 to 45.5, with 43.5 the consensus. Best Jaguars moneyline: Caesars at +135.
Spread
| Book | JAX | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +2.5 -105 | -2.5 -115 |
| Caesars | +3 -115 | -3 -105 |
| Caesars | +3 -115 | -3 -105 |
Total
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 43.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 45.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 45.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 |
Moneyline
| Book | JAX | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +120 | -142 |
| Caesars | +135 | -170 |
| Caesars | +135 | -170 |
Best available price on each side is highlighted.
Kalshi & Polymarket Odds: Jaguars vs. Broncos
Contract prices are live probabilities with no vig, so they compare directly to a devigged book line. Where the two differ, the gap shows where the markets disagree on this game's win probability.
| Market | JAX | DEN | Spread | Traded | Open Int. | 24hBroncos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Up to $500 bonus → | 42% | 58% | 4¢ | 27 | 27 | — |
| Polymarket $20 free trade → | 43% | 57% | 13¢ | — | — | — |
Kalshi trades in contracts; Polymarket reports in dollars. Novig is an exchange priced from its moneyline — the odds feed carries no order-book depth for it.
Where the price has moved
Every line is the implied probability of Broncos winning, so up means the market likes Broncos more. Since each contract opened, Kalshi has moved toward Broncos 10 points, 48% to 58%; Polymarket has moved toward Broncos 7 points, 50% to 57%. The dashed line is the sportsbook consensus with the vig removed.
Kalshi Polymarket Sportsbooks, no vig
Jaguars and Broncos Season Win Totals
Kalshi's over/under on each club's regular-season wins. It is the quickest read on how far apart these two teams are expected to finish.
| Team | O/U Wins | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAXJaguars | 9.5 | 49% | 51% |
| DENBroncos | 9.5 | 55% | 45% |
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
Jaguars and Broncos Super Bowl Futures
Best available price across the licensed books, with 30-day movement and what the prediction markets make of it.
| Team | To WinBest Price | 30d | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAXJaguars | +3000 FanDuel | — | 3% | 3% |
| DENBroncos | +2000 FanDuel | — | 5% | 5% |
| Market | Jaguars | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 42% | 58% |
| Polymarket | 43% | 57% |
| Book | 44% | 56% |