The Pittsburgh Steelers travel to Gillette Stadium in Foxborough to face the New England Patriots on Sunday afternoon. This page compares live sportsbook odds across multiple books with prediction market prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and no-vig exchanges to identify potential discrepancies.
Steelers vs. Patriots Odds Today
- Spread
- Patriots -4.5 1 of 2 books
- Total
- 43.5 1 of 2 books
- Moneyline
- Steelers +225 / Patriots -218 best available
- Win probability
- Steelers 32% / Patriots 68% median of 2 books, no vig
- Kalshi
- Steelers 33% / Patriots 67%
- Polymarket
- Steelers 33% / Patriots 67%
All figures read from one snapshot at page load, so they match the tables below.
Books and prediction markets agree here, inside 1.1 of a point once the vig is removed. The best bid and ask are 5¢ apart, a moderate spread at the displayed price.
Steelers vs. Patriots Odds Comparison
1 of 3 books have Steelers at +4.5. The total is not settled — it ranges from 42.5 to 43.5, with 43.5 the consensus. Best Steelers moneyline: Caesars at +225.
Spread
| Book | PIT | NE |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +4.5 -110 | -4.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +5.5 -110 | -5.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +5.5 -110 | -5.5 -110 |
Total
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 43.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 42.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 42.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 |
Moneyline
| Book | PIT | NE |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +180 | -218 |
| Caesars | +225 | -280 |
| Caesars | +225 | -280 |
Best available price on each side is highlighted.
Kalshi & Polymarket Odds: Steelers vs. Patriots
Contract prices are live probabilities with no vig, so they compare directly to a devigged book line. Where the two differ, the gap shows where the markets disagree on this game's win probability.
| Market | PIT | NE | Spread | Traded | Open Int. | 24hPatriots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Up to $500 bonus → | 33% | 67% | 5¢ | 15 | 15 | — |
| Polymarket $20 free trade → | 33% | 67% | 14¢ | — | — | +1 |
Kalshi trades in contracts; Polymarket reports in dollars. Novig is an exchange priced from its moneyline — the odds feed carries no order-book depth for it.
Where the price has moved
Every line is the implied probability of Patriots winning, so up means the market likes Patriots more. Since each contract opened, Kalshi has moved toward Patriots 16 points, 49% to 65%; Polymarket has moved toward Patriots 18 points, 49% to 67%. The dashed line is the sportsbook consensus with the vig removed.
Kalshi Polymarket Sportsbooks, no vig
Steelers and Patriots Season Win Totals
Kalshi's over/under on each club's regular-season wins. It is the quickest read on how far apart these two teams are expected to finish.
| Team | O/U Wins | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITSteelers | 8.5 | 46% | 54% |
| NEPatriots | 9.5 | 59% | 41% |
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
Steelers and Patriots Super Bowl Futures
Best available price across the licensed books, with 30-day movement and what the prediction markets make of it.
| Team | To WinBest Price | 30d | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITSteelers | +8000 BetMGM | — | 2% | 1% |
| NEPatriots | +2000 BetMGM | — | 5% | 3% |
| Market | Steelers | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 33% | 67% |
| Polymarket | 33% | 67% |
| Book | 34% | 66% |