Cracks in the Cabinet: Why Prediction Markets are Betting Against Kristi Noem and Howard Lutnick
The second Trump administration arrived with a promise of absolute loyalty and "unprecedented stability." For a year, that narrative held, at least compared to the revolving door of 2017. But as we close out February 2026, the cracks aren't just showing;…
Kalshi Market Odds: Ali Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader?
Twitter/X is swarming daily with users convinced an imminent conflict with Iran is unfolding, and naturally, Kalshi’s prediction markets have a contract for that too. How To Trade This (Because “WWIII Trending” Isn’t a Strategy) Current board: Before Mar…
Kalshi Prediction Markets Price Trump’s State of the Union Speech – Here’s What Traders Expect
Kalshi Traders Are Pricing the Bingo Card If you’re trading the Kalshi “What will Trump say?” market, congratulations, you’ve found the only place in America where “Discombobulator” has an implied probability. Let’s break this down like we would an…