Market Signal: Prediction Markets Are Pricing in a Historic Shift in Iran
A significant development is underway in the prediction markets on Polymarket. While traditional news headlines catch up, the “wisdom of the crowd”, backed by millions of dollars in volume, is rapidly pricing in a series of cascading events…
The Heisman’s Real Voters Are on Kalshi and Polymarket This Year
Welcome to the 2025 Heisman race, where the sportsbooks don’t matter, the media doesn’t matter, and the voters don’t matter, because Kalshi and Polymarket have already reduced the entire award to a two-man duel decided by one football game on Saturday.…
2026 Midterms: Prediction Markets Smell a Dem Sweep
If the political class is confused about 2026, don’t worry, the prediction markets have already decided what’s going to happen, how it’s going to happen, and how much they’re willing to lose betting on it. Kalshi and Polymarket traders have been grinding…
2028 Election Prediction Markets Data
Kalshi and Polymarket traders continue to out-dramatic cable news, and with actual numbers. If you thought the last election cycle was chaotic, congratulations, prediction markets have decided to turn 2028 into a long-running dark comedy. Let’s check in…
Polymarket Rockets to Top of the App Charts with U.S. Launch Hype
If you felt your phone vibrate this week, it might have been Polymarket elbowing its way back into American hands. The prediction market platform just hit number one in the Apple App Store’s Sports category. Number one. Before a full U.S. reopening.…
DraftKings To Bring Prediction Markets to ESPN
The Penn Entertainment–ESPN partnership, once pitched as a potential 10-year, $2 billion powerhouse, is now ending early. What used to be ESPN Bet has already been rebranded as theScore Bet, as Penn retreats back to the brand it actually understands.…
Prediction Market Update: Kalshi on Top, Polymarket #2, Volume Dips
Another week, another data drop that proves prediction markets are still the most entertaining mix of finance, gambling, and “I read one chart so now I am Nate Silver.” Let’s dive into the numbers from the past week. Transactions: Kalshi and…
Polymarket’s Billionaire CEO Hits 60 Minutes, Prediction Markets Go Mainstream
Prediction markets just got their “prime time” moment, and no, it wasn’t because Kalshi decided to list a market on supervolcano eruptions (we covered that circus already). This time, the spotlight goes to Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan, who just landed a…
Robinhood Dumps Kalshi For Prediction Market App in ’26
Well, color us shocked. Robinhood, the app that democratized finance (and occasionally pauses it when the plebs start winning), has decided that being friends is overrated. After a nice little fling with Kalshi, where Robinhood happily routed billions of…