The Kansas City Chiefs travel to Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens to face the Miami Dolphins on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. This page displays live sportsbook odds alongside prices from prediction markets including Kalshi, Polymarket, and no-vig exchanges to identify disparities across major betting venues.
Chiefs vs. Dolphins Odds Today
- Spread
- Chiefs -7.5 2 of 2 books
- Total
- 44.5 1 of 2 books
- Moneyline
- Chiefs -380 / Dolphins +340 best available
- Win probability
- Chiefs 77% / Dolphins 23% median of 2 books, no vig
- Polymarket
- Chiefs 60% / Dolphins 40%
All figures read from one snapshot at page load, so they match the tables below.
Books have Chiefs at 77% once the vig is removed — 16.7 points above Polymarket. The best bid and ask are 41¢ apart, a wide market at the displayed price.
Chiefs vs. Dolphins Odds Comparison
All 3 books have Chiefs at -7.5. The total is not settled — it ranges from 43.5 to 44.5, with 44.5 the consensus. Best Chiefs moneyline: Caesars at -380.
Spread
| Book | KC | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -7.5 -110 | +7.5 -110 |
| Caesars | -7.5 -115 | +7.5 -115 |
| Caesars | -7.5 -115 | +7.5 -115 |
Total
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 44.5 -110 | 44.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 43.5 -115 | 43.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 43.5 -115 | 43.5 -115 |
Moneyline
| Book | KC | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -440 | +340 |
| Caesars | -380 | +285 |
| Caesars | -380 | +285 |
Best available price on each side is highlighted.
Polymarket Odds: Chiefs vs. Dolphins
Contract prices are live probabilities with no vig, so they compare directly to a devigged book line. Where the two differ, the gap shows where the markets disagree on this game's win probability.
| Market | KC | MIA | Spread | Traded | Open Int. | 24hDolphins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket $20 free trade → | 60% | 40% | 41¢ | $100 | — | +2 |
Kalshi trades in contracts; Polymarket reports in dollars. Novig is an exchange priced from its moneyline — the odds feed carries no order-book depth for it.
Where the price has moved
Every line is the implied probability of Dolphins winning, so up means the market likes Dolphins more. Since each contract opened, Polymarket has moved away from Dolphins 10 points, 50% to 40%. The dashed line is the sportsbook consensus with the vig removed.
Polymarket Sportsbooks, no vig
Chiefs and Dolphins Season Win Totals
Kalshi's over/under on each club's regular-season wins. It is the quickest read on how far apart these two teams are expected to finish.
| Team | O/U Wins | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| KCChiefs | 10.5 | 45% | 55% |
| MIADolphins | 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
Chiefs and Dolphins Super Bowl Futures
Best available price across the licensed books, with 30-day movement and what the prediction markets make of it.
| Team | To WinBest Price | 30d | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCChiefs | +1700 FanDuel | — | 6% | 6% |
| MIADolphins | +50000 FanDuel | ▲ +100000 | 1% | 1% |