The Chargers travel to NRG Stadium in Houston on Thursday night to face the Texans in an NFL preseason matchup. This page compares live sportsbook odds with prices from prediction markets including Kalshi, Polymarket, and no-vig exchanges to identify potential discrepancies in how the market prices this game.
Chargers vs. Texans Odds Today
- Spread
- Texans -1.5 12 of 15 books
- Total
- 36.5 8 of 15 books
- Moneyline
- Chargers +110 / Texans -111 best available
- Win probability
- Chargers 48% / Texans 52% sportsbooks, no vig
- Kalshi
- Chargers 49% / Texans 51%
- Polymarket
- Chargers 47% / Texans 53%
All figures read from one snapshot at page load, so they match the tables below.
Books and prediction markets agree here, inside 1.2 of a point once the vig is removed. The best bid and ask are 1¢ apart, a tight market at the displayed price.
Best Chargers vs. Texans Odds
12 of 15 books have Chargers at +1.5. The total is not settled — it ranges from 36.5 to 37.5, with 36.5 the consensus. Best Chargers moneyline: BetRivers at +110.
Spread
| Book | LAC | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +1.5 -118 | -1.5 -102 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -115 | -1.5 -105 |
| BetMGM | — | — |
| Caesars | +1.5 -117 | -1.5 -104 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -117 | -1.5 -104 |
| Bet365 | +1.5 -116 | -1.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -110 | -1.5 -110 |
| Novig No Vig | +1.5 -122 | -1.5 -130 |
| Fanatics | +0.5 -110 | -0.5 -110 |
| Bally Bet | +1.5 -110 | -1.5 -110 |
| betPARX | +1.5 -110 | -1.5 -110 |
| Fliff | +1.5 -120 | -1.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -120 | -1.5 +100 |
| Pinnacle | +1 -109 | -1 -107 |
| ProphetX No Vig | +1.5 -117 | -1.5 -103 |
Total
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 36.5 -120 | 36.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | 36.5 -115 | 36.5 -105 |
| BetMGM | 37 -105 | 37 -115 |
| Caesars | 36.5 -118 | 36.5 -104 |
| Caesars | 36.5 -118 | 36.5 -104 |
| Bet365 | 37.5 -111 | 37.5 -111 |
| BetRivers | 37 -112 | 37 -109 |
| Novig No Vig | 36.5 -108 | 36.5 -104 |
| Fanatics | 37 -105 | 37 -115 |
| Bally Bet | 37 -112 | 37 -109 |
| betPARX | 37 -112 | 37 -109 |
| Fliff | 36.5 -130 | 36.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 36.5 -113 | 36.5 -103 |
| ProphetX No Vig | 36.5 -110 | 36.5 -103 |
Moneyline
| Book | LAC | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +105 | -125 |
| FanDuel | +100 | -118 |
| BetMGM | -102 | -118 |
| Caesars | +100 | -120 |
| Caesars | +100 | -120 |
| Bet365 | +100 | -120 |
| BetRivers | +110 | -134 |
| Novig No Vig | +106 | -111 |
| Fanatics | +105 | -125 |
| Bally Bet | +110 | -134 |
| betPARX | +110 | -134 |
| Fliff | -105 | -125 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +100 | -120 |
| Pinnacle | +101 | -117 |
| ProphetX No Vig | +102 | -115 |
Best available price on each side is highlighted.
Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig & ProphetX Odds: Chargers vs. Texans
Contract prices are live probabilities with no vig, so they compare directly to a devigged book line. Where the two differ, the gap shows where the markets disagree on this game's win probability.
| Market | LAC | HOU | Spread | Traded | Open Int. | 24hTexans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Up to $500 bonus → | 49% | 51% | 1¢ | 49.6k | 37.5k | -4 |
| Polymarket $20 free trade → | 47% | 53% | 1¢ | $1.5k | — | — |
| Novig Play $10, get $25 free → | 48% | 52% | — | — | — | — |
| ProphetX $20 free trade → | 48% | 52% | — | — | — | — |
Kalshi trades in contracts; Polymarket reports in dollars. Novig is an exchange priced from its moneyline — the odds feed carries no order-book depth for it.
Where the price has moved
Every line is the implied probability of Texans winning, so up means the market likes Texans more. Since each contract opened, Kalshi has not moved (51%); Polymarket has moved toward Texans 1 point, 52% to 53%. The dashed line is the sportsbook consensus with the vig removed.
Kalshi Polymarket Sportsbooks, no vig
Spread and Total: Chargers vs. Texans
Polymarket lists a separate contract for every line. Each is matched to the book's own number, so both columns describe the same bet rather than two similar ones.
| Bet | BooksNo Vig | Polymarket | Book Width |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC+1.5 | 51% | No Contract | — |
| Over36.5 | 51% | No Contract | — |
Chargers and Texans Season Win Totals
Kalshi's over/under on each club's regular-season wins. It is the quickest read on how far apart these two teams are expected to finish.
| Team | O/U Wins | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| LACChargers | 10.5 | 43% | 57% |
| HOUTexans | 10.5 | 45% | 55% |
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
Chargers and Texans Super Bowl Futures
Best available price across the licensed books, with 30-day movement and what the prediction markets make of it.
| Team | To WinBest Price | 30d | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LACChargers | +1700 FanDuel | ▲ +1800 | 5% | 5% |
| HOUTexans | +2000 BetMGM | — | 4% | 4% |
Chargers vs. Texans Weather
- Temperature
- 91°FSunny
- Wind
- 15 mphSSE
- Precipitation
- 1%chance of rain
- Impact
- Moderatewind at 15 mph
- Roof
- Retractable — the roof may be closed, in which case conditions will not apply.