NFL Receiving Props Week 5: Live Lines & Best Odds
Compare NFL receiving props across receiving yards, receptions and longest reception using the market tabs. Review player matchups, available sportsbook lines and recent history. Open a player row for available game logs and book comparisons before choosing a threshold and price.
Receiving yards research leans
Historical leans · At least 4/5 hits · Nearest remaining week first · Confirm the line and price.
Chris Olave
Receiving YardsOver leanOver 78.5 at -115
betmgmL5 5/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixedPrevious five: 10 → latest five: 11.8 targets/game. Change: +18%.
See reasoning
Over lean · Research notes
5/5 over 78.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).
7/10 over 78.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.
9 quoted books: 78.5–81.5. Selected threshold is better than the median quoted line.
Previous five: 10 → latest five: 11.8 targets/game. Change: +18%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
- Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
- Workload spans 2025–2026.
- L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
Devaughn Vele
Receiving YardsOver leanOver 36.5 at -125
betmgmL5 5/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5Previous five: 5.6 → latest five: 7.4 targets/game. Change: +32.1%.
See reasoning
Over lean · Research notes
5/5 over 36.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).
8/10 over 36.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.
9 quoted books: 36.5–40.5. Selected threshold is better than the median quoted line.
Previous five: 5.6 → latest five: 7.4 targets/game. Change: +32.1%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
- Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
- Workload spans 2025–2026.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
James Cook
Receiving YardsUnder leanUnder 13.5 at -116
bet365L5 5/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixedPrevious five: 2.8 → latest five: 2 targets/game. Change: -28.6%.
See reasoning
Under lean · Research notes
5/5 under 13.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).
7/10 under 13.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.
8 quoted books: 9.5–13.5. Selected threshold is better than the median quoted line.
Previous five: 2.8 → latest five: 2 targets/game. Change: -28.6%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
- Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
- Workload spans 2025–2026.
- L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
How leans are selected
Standard passing, rushing and receiving L5/L10 use the latest qualifying regular-season games across the selected and previous seasons, newest first. Prior-team games count. Longest-play markets retain the qualifying-game policy shown on their board. Passing history excludes appearances without a pass attempt. Five games and at least 4 of the latest 5 results beating the exact selected threshold qualify a historical Over or Under lean. Pushes are not hits. L10, line comparison and workload are additional context, not requirements or exclusions. L10 fewer than 5/10 is flagged as conflicting, 5–7/10 as mixed, and 8–10/10 as supporting. Samples of 6–9 games show the actual denominator; missing games are never filled. Within each upcoming week, ranking uses L5 hits with additional credit for a better line than the median of at least three quoted books (0.5 for counts; 2.5 for yards), or a 10% workload change in the same direction. Workload compares the latest five qualifying games with the preceding five across seasons and teams. All ten games need numeric workload values; missing values are never filled or skipped to create a different sample. Season and team changes are disclosed as context. With five to nine games, the latest-five average is shown when complete; no change is calculated. A zero preceding-five average has no percentage change. Unavailable or opposing workload does not block a historical lean. Both sides qualifying at different lines produces no directional lean. Feed must be refreshed within 20 minutes; quotes known to be older than two hours are excluded. Historical leans are not projected win probabilities or calculated betting edges. Passing TD totals use this same historical Over/Under screen. Anytime TD and First TD scorer markets are separate and receive no automatic directional lean. Unsupported markets receive no automatic directional lean.
| Player & Matchup | Market | Over | Under | L5 vs line | Pick'em | CLEATZ Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 · Upcoming | ||||||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR | 94.5 | +106Novig | -110CIR | 3-2Median: 122 | 94.5 Underdog93.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Puka Nacua WR | 92.5 | -113Novig | -102Novig | 2-3Median: 76 | 92.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Chris Olave WR | 81.5 | -104Novig | -111Novig | 5-0Median: 116 | 81.5 PrizePicks | Over lean78.5 (-115) · betmgmL5 trend + better available lineL5 5/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown WR | 80.5 | -110DK | -114DK | 2-3Median: 75 | 79.5 Underdog80.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Trey McBride TE | 80.5 | -111DK | -113DK | 1-4Median: 65 | 79.5 PrizePicks79.5 Underdog | Under lean82.5 (-115) · betmgmHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Drake London WR | 80.5 | +102Novig | -110CIR | 2-3Median: 78 | 82.5 Underdog80.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Nico Collins WR | 77.5 | -110CIR | +102Novig | 2-3Median: 75 | 79.5 Underdog79.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Justin Jefferson WR | 76.5 | -117CZR | -113CZR | 2-3Median: 55 | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Michael Wilson WR | 74.5 | -110CIR | +102Novig | 3-2Median: 89 | 74.5 PrizePicks79.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Brock Bowers TE | 70.5 | -114FD | +111Novig | 2-3Median: 46 | 79.5 Underdog71.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Garrett Wilson WR | 68.5 | -113Novig | -113CZR | 2-3Median: 57 | 69.5 Underdog69.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Zay Flowers WR | 68.5 | -113Novig | -113Novig | 4-1Median: 118 | 69.5 PrizePicks69.5 Underdog | Over lean65.5 (-125) · fanaticsL5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Davante Adams WR | 62.5 | -111Novig | -113Novig | 3-2Median: 71 | 62.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Parker Washington WR | 60.5 | -113Novig | -102Novig | 3-2Median: 83 | 60.5 Underdog60.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Christian Watson WR | 60.5 | -110CIR | -110CIR | 3-2Median: 96 | 60.5 Underdog60.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Terry McLaurin WR | 59.5 | -132B365 | — | 2-3Median: 57 | 59.5 Underdog61.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Josh Downs WR | 58.5 | +113Novig | -114FD | 3-2Median: 61 | 58.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Stefon Diggs WR | 56.5 | — | — | 0-5Median: 43 | — | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Matthew Golden WR | 55.5 | -110CIR | -110CIR | 3-2Median: 58 | 58.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Jaylen Waddle WR | 55.5 | -110CIR | -108Novig | 1-4Median: 10 | 59.5 Underdog54.5 PrizePicks | Under lean55.5 (-108) · novigL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Malik Nabers WR | 54.5 | -114FD | +113Novig | 2-3Median: 26 | 56.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| George Kittle TE | 54.5 | -108Novig | -111Novig | 3-2Median: 70 | 54.5 Underdog52.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| DK Metcalf WR | 53.5 | -110DK | -110CIR | 1-4Median: 40 | 53.5 PrizePicks | Under lean53.5 (-110) · circaHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Romeo Doubs WR | 51.5 | +100Novig | -111Novig | 3-2Median: 58 | 51.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Jameson Williams WR | 51.5 | -110CIR | +115Novig | 2-3Median: 49 | 51.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Sam LaPorta TE | 51.5 | -110CIR | -104Novig | 3-2Median: 52 | 51.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Mike Evans WR | 50.5 | -108Novig | -113Novig | 2-3Median: 49 | 47.5 PrizePicks49.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Dalton Kincaid TE | 50.5 | -111Novig | +102Novig | 2-3Median: 48 | 50.5 PrizePicks49.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Tucker Kraft TE | 49.5 | +100Novig | -110CIR | 1-4Median: 26 | 49.5 PrizePicks | Under lean50.5 (-140) · fanaticsHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Denzel Boston WR | 47.5 | -110CIR | +100Novig | 3-1Median: 74 | 47.5 PrizePicks45.5 Underdog | Insufficient history4/5 qualifying games |
| Luther Burden III WR | 46.5 | -113Novig | -113Novig | 3-2Median: 61 | 48.5 PrizePicks49.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Tyler Warren TE | 46.5 | -102Novig | -109DK | 1-4Median: 26 | 48.5 PrizePicks | Under lean49.5 (-116) · bet365L5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 9/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Carnell Tate WR | 45.5 | -110FAN | -102Novig | 2-2Median: 48 | 45.5 PrizePicks | Insufficient history4/5 qualifying games |
| Dontayvion Wicks WR | 44.5 | -113Novig | -112CZR | 2-3Median: 32 | 44.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Malik Washington WR | 44.5 | -113Novig | -102PIN | 3-2Median: 53 | 44.5 PrizePicks | Over lean42.5 (-125) · betmgmL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 4/10 · L10 conflicts with L5 |
| Khalil Shakir WR | 43.5 | -111Novig | -113Novig | 2-3Median: 38 | 43.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Juwan Johnson TE | 42.5 | -105PIN | -113Novig | 5-0Median: 59 | 42.5 PrizePicks42.5 Underdog | Over lean40.5 (-125) · fanaticsHistorical L5 trendL5 5/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Jakobi Meyers WR | 41.5 | -108CZR | -110CIR | 2-3Median: 40 | 43.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Dallas Goedert TE | 41.5 | -111DK | -108Novig | 2-3Median: 32 | 41.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Isaiah Likely TE | 41.5 | -111Novig | -106Novig | 2-3Median: 33 | 41.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Roman Wilson WR | 41.5 | -108Novig | -111Novig | 2-3Median: 28 | 41.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Adonai Mitchell WR | 41 | — | — | 3-2Median: 43 | — | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Devaughn Vele WR | 40.5 | -109DK | -106Novig | 4-1Median: 64 | 39.5 Underdog39.5 PrizePicks | Over lean36.5 (-125) · betmgmL5 trend + better available lineL5 5/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Jordan Addison WR | 40.5 | -114FD | -114FD | 2-3Median: 21 | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Rome Odunze WR | 39.5 | -110CIR | +104Novig | 4-1Median: 44 | — | Over lean39.5 (-110) · circaHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Tre Tucker WR | 39.5 | -108Novig | -102Novig | 3-2Median: 43 | 40.5 PrizePicks39.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| T.J. Hockenson TE | 38.5 | -110HRB | -113Novig | 1-4Median: 29 | 38.5 PrizePicks | Under lean41.5 (-116) · bet365L5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Colston Loveland TE | 37.5 | -113Novig | +106Novig | 2-3Median: 31 | 37.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Hunter Henry TE | 37.5 | -108Novig | -104Novig | 3-2Median: 40 | 37.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB | 37.5 | -112DK | -112DK | 2-3Median: 33 | 36.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Keon Coleman WR | 37.5 | -113Novig | -102Novig | 3-2Median: 49 | 34.5 Underdog | Over lean24.5 (-275) · betmgmL5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Dalton Schultz TE | 36.5 | -108CZR | -110HRB | 2-3Median: 35 | 37.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Courtland Sutton WR | 36.5 | -112CZR | +108Novig | 1-4Median: 11 | 36.5 PrizePicks | Under lean36.5 (+108) · novigL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 4/10 · L10 conflicts with L5 |
| Harold Fannin Jr. TE | 35.5 | -110CIR | -102Novig | 2-3Median: 30 | 36.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Christian McCaffrey RB | 35.5 | -111Novig | -108Novig | 2-3Median: 34 | 36.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Makai Lemon WR | 34.5 | -114FD | -114FD | 0-4Median: 20.5 | 34.5 PrizePicks39.5 Underdog | Insufficient history4/5 qualifying games |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. WR | 34.5 | +104Novig | -108Novig | 1-4Median: 12 | 32.5 PrizePicks34.5 Underdog | Under lean35.5 (-140) · fanaticsL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Deebo Samuel WR | 34.5 | -113Novig | +106Novig | 2-3Median: 31 | 33.5 PrizePicks34.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Brenton Strange TE | 33.5 | +108Novig | -114FD | 2-3Median: 32 | 33.5 PrizePicks33.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Wan'Dale Robinson WR | 32.5 | -114FD | -113Novig | 3-2Median: 38 | 34.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Kenyon Sadiq TE | 32.5 | +113Novig | -114FD | 1-3Median: 19 | 24.5 Underdog31.5 PrizePicks | Insufficient history4/5 qualifying games |
| Mark Andrews TE | 30.5 | -111DK | -113DK | 2-3Median: 27 | 29.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Keenan Allen WR | 29.5 | -109DK | -114CZR | 3-2Median: 32 | 29.5 PrizePicks39.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Michael Mayer TE | 28.5 | -113Novig | -108Novig | 4-1Median: 32 | 29.5 PrizePicks | Over lean28.5 (-113) · novigL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 5/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Kalif Raymond WR | 27.5 | -114DK | -110DK | 4-1Median: 52 | 29.5 PrizePicks | Over lean25.5 (-125) · fanaticsL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Pat Freiermuth TE | 27.5 | -113Novig | +100Novig | 4-1Median: 32 | 27.5 PrizePicks | Over lean25.5 (-135) · fanaticsL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| RJ Harvey RB | 27.5 | -111Novig | -113Novig | 3-2Median: 33 | 27.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Chigoziem Okonokwo | 26.5 | — | — | — | 26.5 PrizePicks | Insufficient history0/5 qualifying games |
| Michael Pittman WR | 26.5 | -120PIN | -110PIN | 1-4Median: 16 | 26.5 PrizePicks | Under lean26.5 (-110) · pinnacleL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Bijan Robinson RB | 26.5 | -106Novig | -109DK | 1-4Median: 10 | 26.5 PrizePicks27.5 Underdog | Under lean28.5 (-120) · betmgmL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 5/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Kayshon Boutte WR | 25.5 | -105FAN | -113Novig | 2-3Median: 24 | 25.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Greg Dulcich TE | 25.5 | -113Novig | +100Novig | 3-2Median: 31 | 25.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| DeMario Douglas WR | 25.5 | -110FAN | -113CZR | 2-3Median: 20 | 25.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Isaac TeSlaa WR | 25.5 | -112CZR | +100Novig | 3-2Median: 26 | 25.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Tyler Higbee TE | 25.5 | -111DK | -104Novig | 3-2Median: 62 | 25.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Brian Thomas WR | 24.5 | -104Novig | +100Novig | 3-2Median: 40 | 24.5 PrizePicks24.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Darius Cooper WR | 24.5 | -114FD | -114FD | 3-2Median: 26 | 24.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Ashton Jeanty RB | 24.5 | -108Novig | +100Novig | 3-2Median: 37 | 22.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Efton Chism III WR | 24.5 | -112DK | +100CZR | 3-2Median: 35 | 24.5 PrizePicks24.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Kyle Pitts TE | 24.5 | -104Novig | -104Novig | 2-3Median: 15 | 24.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Kendrick Bourne WR | 23.5 | -113Novig | +102Novig | 2-3Median: 22 | 24.5 PrizePicks | Under lean25.5 (-140) · fanaticsHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Cooper Kupp WR | 23.5 | -113Novig | -113CZR | 3-2Median: 29 | 23.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Isaiah Williams WR | 22.5 | -113CZR | -114PIN | 3-2Median: 24 | 21.5 PrizePicks | Over lean20.5 (-135) · fanaticsHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Darnell Washington TE | 22.5 | -113Novig | -108Novig | 2-3Median: 18 | 22.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| AJ Barner TE | 21.5 | -111Novig | -113Novig | 1-4Median: 13 | 22.5 PrizePicks | Under lean22.5 (-115) · betmgmL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 4/10 · L10 conflicts with L5 |
| Jaylen Warren RB | 20.5 | -116B365 | -116B365 | 5-0Median: 33 | 20.5 PrizePicks14.5 Underdog | Over lean20.5 (-116) · bet365L5 trend + workload supportL5 5/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Rashid Shaheed WR | 20.5 | -108DK | -102Novig | 1-4Median: 14 | 20.5 PrizePicks | Under lean20.5 (-102) · novigHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Bo Melton WR | 19.5 | +400B365 | — | 0-5Median: 0 | 24.5 Underdog0.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Mark Redman TE | 19.5 | +550B365 | — | 1-0Median: 29 | 24.5 Underdog0.5 PrizePicks | Insufficient history1/5 qualifying games |
| Chase Brown RB | 19.5 | — | — | 2-3Median: 18 | 19.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Isaiah Davis RB | 19.5 | — | — | 1-4Median: 0 | — | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Troy Franklin WR | 19.5 | -113Novig | +102Novig | 2-3Median: 17 | 19.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Jahan Dotson WR | 19.5 | -112DK | +102Novig | 2-3Median: 19 | 19.5 PrizePicks19.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Kyren Williams RB | 19.5 | -114FD | +120Novig | 4-1Median: 24 | 20.5 PrizePicks | Over lean19.5 (-114) · fanduelL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 5/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Josh Palmer WR | 19.5 | -108DK | +104Novig | 2-3Median: 12 | 19.5 PrizePicks14.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Jaylin Noel WR | 18.5 | -114FD | +101PIN | 3-2Median: 31 | 18.5 PrizePicks | Over lean15.5 (-140) · fanaticsL5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 5/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Kevin Coleman WR | 18.5 | -112CZR | -111DK | 0-3Median: 3 | 18.5 PrizePicks | Insufficient history3/5 qualifying games |
| Aaron Jones RB | 18.5 | -114FD | -102Novig | 2-3Median: 10 | 19.5 PrizePicks18.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Germie Bernard WR | 18.5 | -111Novig | +100Novig | 1-2Median: 14 | 18.5 PrizePicks | Insufficient history3/5 qualifying games |
| D'Andre Swift RB | 17.5 | -113DK | -110CZR | 1-4Median: 10 | 12.5 Underdog | Under lean17.5 (-110) · caesarsHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Elic Ayomanor WR | 17.5 | +113Novig | -114FD | 3-2Median: 22 | 17.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Gunnar Helm TE | 17.5 | -102Novig | -113Novig | 1-4Median: 13 | 18.5 PrizePicks | Under lean19.5 (-135) · betmgmL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Darnell Mooney WR | 17.5 | -114FD | -110HRB | 4-1Median: 20 | 17.5 PrizePicks | Over lean15.5 (-125) · fanaticsHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson RB | 17.5 | -113Novig | -112CZR | 3-2Median: 22 | 17.5 PrizePicks20.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Cody White WR | 17.5 | -110CZR | -108DK | 2-3Median: 4 | 17.5 PrizePicks14.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Evan Engram TE | 17.5 | -113Novig | -113Novig | 2-3Median: 17 | 17.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Rashod Bateman WR | 17.5 | -113Novig | -111Novig | 3-2Median: 37 | 17.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Colby Parkinson TE | 16.5 | -113DK | -111DK | 2-3Median: 15 | 16.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Xavier Hutchinson WR | 15.5 | -110FAN | -113Novig | 5-0Median: 46 | 14.5 Underdog | Over lean14.5 (-114) · caesarsL5 trend + workload supportL5 5/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Quinshon Judkins RB | 15.5 | -111MGM | -111DK | 4-1Median: 27 | 14.5 Underdog15.5 PrizePicks | Over lean15.5 (-111) · betmgmL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Jonathan Taylor RB | 15.5 | -111Novig | -108DK | 2-3Median: 13 | 15.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Dameon Pierce RB | 14.5 | — | — | 0-5Median: 0 | 14.5 Underdog | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Jerry Jeudy WR | 14.5 | +104Novig | -111Novig | 4-1Median: 26 | 14.5 Underdog14.5 PrizePicks | Over lean14.5 (+104) · novigHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Will Shipley RB | 13.5 | -115MGM | -110PIN | 0-5Median: 8 | 13.5 PrizePicks | Under lean15.5 (-125) · fanaticsHistorical L5 trendL5 5/5 · L10 10/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Alvin Kamara RB | 13.5 | -113Novig | -109DK | 2-3Median: 7 | 13.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Braelon Allen RB | 13.5 | -113Novig | -110CZR | 0-5Median: 3 | 14.5 Underdog14.5 PrizePicks | Under lean16.5 (-110) · betmgmL5 trend + better available lineL5 5/5 · Available 7/8 |
| Mason Taylor TE | 13.5 | -113Novig | -109DK | 4-1Median: 21 | 14.5 Underdog13.5 PrizePicks | Over lean13.5 (-113) · novigHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Laquon Treadwell WR | 13.5 | -112CZR | -113Novig | 3-2Median: 20 | 13.5 PrizePicks14.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| MarShawn Lloyd RB | 12.5 | -108Novig | -110CZR | 1-3Median: 6.5 | 12.5 PrizePicks | Insufficient history4/5 qualifying games |
| Cameron Skattebo RB | 12.5 | -113Novig | -106DK | 3-2Median: 18 | 12.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Raheim Sanders RB | 12.5 | -110HRB | -112DK | 2-3Median: 7 | 10.5 Underdog11.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Kyle Williams WR | 12.5 | -116B365 | -116B365 | 1-4Median: 0 | 11.5 PrizePicks24.5 Underdog | Under lean12.5 (-116) · bet365L5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 5/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Marvin Mims Jr. WR | 12.5 | -116B365 | -110HRB | 1-4Median: 10 | 12.5 PrizePicks9.5 Underdog | No clear leanBoth sides qualify at different lines |
| Skyy Moore WR | 11.5 | -114PIN | -114PIN | 1-4Median: 0 | 11.5 PrizePicks | Under lean11.5 (-114) · pinnacleHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Jeremiyah Love RB | 11.5 | -113Novig | -111DK | 2-2Median: 12.5 | 11.5 PrizePicks | Insufficient history4/5 qualifying games |
| Emanuel Wilson RB | 11.5 | +102Novig | -106Novig | 1-4Median: 0 | 9.5 Underdog10.5 PrizePicks | Under lean11.5 (-106) · novigHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 9/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Tory Horton WR | 11.5 | -109DK | -113Novig | 2-3Median: 6 | 11.5 PrizePicks9.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Ty Johnson RB | 11.5 | -113Novig | -113Novig | 3-2Median: 20 | 11.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Foster Moreau TE | 10.5 | +135FAN | -210FAN | 2-3Median: 7 | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Najee Harris RB | 10.5 | — | — | 1-4Median: 0 | 2.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Ollie Gordon RB | 10.5 | -106DK | -114PIN | 1-4Median: 0 | — | Under lean11.5 (-115) · betmgmHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 9/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Matthew Hibner TE | 10.5 | -116B365 | -116B365 | 3-0Median: 23 | 11.5 PrizePicks | Insufficient history3/5 qualifying games |
| Dawson Knox TE | 10.5 | -108DK | -113Novig | 2-3Median: 7 | 10.5 PrizePicks9.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Bhayshul Tuten RB | 9.5 | -104Novig | +100Novig | 3-2Median: 17 | 9.5 PrizePicks9.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB | 9.5 | — | — | 1-4Median: 0 | 9.5 Underdog | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Cole Kmet TE | 9.5 | -108DK | -113Novig | 3-2Median: 13 | 9.5 PrizePicks9.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Tyjae Spears RB | 9.5 | -113Novig | -110CZR | 2-3Median: 9 | 9.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Rachaad White RB | 9.5 | -110CZR | -113Novig | 2-3Median: 7 | 9.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Eli Raridon TE | 9.5 | -113CZR | -113Novig | 2-1Median: 12 | 9.5 PrizePicks24.5 Underdog | Insufficient history3/5 qualifying games |
| Tyler Allgeier RB | 9.5 | -110HRB | -111Novig | 1-4Median: 9 | 9.5 PrizePicks11.5 Underdog | Under lean11.5 (-116) · bet365Historical L5 trendL5 5/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| George Holani RB | 9.5 | -106DK | -113Novig | 1-4Median: 2 | 9.5 Underdog9.5 PrizePicks | Under lean10.5 (-120) · betmgmHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 9/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| James Cook RB | 9.5 | -113CZR | +102Novig | 1-4Median: 4 | 9.5 PrizePicks12.5 Underdog | Under lean13.5 (-116) · bet365L5 trend + better available lineL5 5/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Calvin Ridley WR | 8.5 | -113Novig | -106Novig | 4-1Median: 13 | 8.5 PrizePicks | Over lean8.5 (-113) · novigHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 9/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Tony Pollard RB | 8.5 | -106Novig | -110HRB | 2-3Median: 2 | 8.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Joquavious Marks | 8.5 | -106Novig | -108DK | — | 8.5 PrizePicks | Insufficient history0/5 qualifying games |
| Elijah Higgins TE | 8.5 | -116B365 | -116B365 | 3-2Median: 19 | 19.5 Underdog8.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Justice Hill RB | 8.5 | -110HRB | -111DK | 3-2Median: 10 | 8.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Devontez Walker WR | 8.5 | -113CZR | -108FD | 3-2Median: 19 | 8.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Jonnu Smith TE | 7.5 | -109CZR | -113Novig | 4-1Median: 18 | 14.5 Underdog7.5 PrizePicks | Over lean7.5 (-109) · caesarsL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| David Montgomery RB | 7.5 | -111Novig | -107DK | 5-0Median: 15 | 7.5 PrizePicks | Over lean7.5 (-111) · novigL5 trend + workload supportL5 5/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| TreVeyon Henderson RB | 7.5 | -116B365 | -116B365 | 0-5Median: 0 | 8.5 Underdog8.5 PrizePicks | Under lean7.5 (-116) · bet365L5 trend + workload supportL5 5/5 · L10 5/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Olamide Zaccheaus WR | 7.5 | -110HRB | -113Novig | 2-3Median: 5 | 7.5 PrizePicks | Under lean10.5 (-195) · fanaticsL5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Konata Mumpfield WR | 7.5 | -111MGM | -109DK | 2-3Median: 7 | 7.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Daniel Bellinger TE | 5.5 | — | — | 3-2Median: 7 | — | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Kendre Miller RB | 5.5 | -116B365 | -116B365 | 2-3Median: 5 | 4.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Jordan Whittington WR | 5.5 | -113CZR | -108DK | 2-3Median: 4 | 5.5 PrizePicks | Under lean10.5 (-230) · fanaticsL5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Derrick Henry RB | 4.5 | -113Novig | -105DK | 3-2Median: 6 | 4.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Kaleb Johnson RB | 4 | — | — | 1-4Median: 0 | 0.5 PrizePicks9.5 Underdog | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Kyle Monangai RB | 3.5 | — | — | 4-1Median: 11 | — | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Chimere Dike WR | 3.5 | — | — | 3-2Median: 7 | — | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Jacory Merritt RB | 3.5 | — | — | 3-2Median: 5 | 6.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| J.K. Dobbins RB | 3.5 | -116B365 | -116B365 | 3-2Median: 4 | 9.5 Underdog3.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Marlin Klein TE | 2.5 | — | — | 1-0Median: 16 | — | Insufficient history1/5 qualifying games |
| Brevin Jordan TE | 2.5 | — | — | 1-0Median: 13 | — | Insufficient history1/5 qualifying games |
| Jared Wayne WR | 2.5 | — | — | 4-0Median: 20 | — | Insufficient history4/5 qualifying games |
| Theo Johnson TE | 2.5 | — | — | 3-2Median: 9 | 2.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Lewis Bond WR | 1.5 | — | — | 0-1Median: 0 | — | Insufficient history1/5 qualifying games |
| Nicholas Singleton RB | 1.5 | — | — | 0-2Median: 0 | — | Insufficient history2/5 qualifying games |
| Jaylen Wright RB | 1 | — | — | 1-4Median: 0 | 2.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Cade Stover TE | 0.5 | — | — | 4-1Median: 9 | — | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Brian Robinson RB | 0.5 | +115B365 | -147B365 | 2-3Median: 0 | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
Receptions research leans
Historical leans · At least 4/5 hits · Nearest remaining week first · Confirm the line and price.
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Receiving ReceptionsUnder leanUnder 3.5 at -280
fanaticsL5 5/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5Previous five: 7.6 → latest five: 2.8 targets/game. Change: -63.2%.
See reasoning
Under lean · Research notes
5/5 under 3.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).
8/10 under 3.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.
8 quoted books: 2.5–3.5. Selected threshold is better than the median quoted line.
Previous five: 7.6 → latest five: 2.8 targets/game. Change: -63.2%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
- Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
- Workload spans 2025–2026.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
Jordan Whittington
Receiving ReceptionsUnder leanUnder 1.5 at -450
fanaticsL5 5/5 · L10 9/10 · L10 supports L5Previous five: 1.4 → latest five: 0.8 targets/game. Change: -42.9%.
See reasoning
Under lean · Research notes
5/5 under 1.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).
9/10 under 1.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.
7 quoted books: 0.5–1.5. Selected threshold is better than the median quoted line.
Previous five: 1.4 → latest five: 0.8 targets/game. Change: -42.9%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
- Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
- Workload spans 2025–2026.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Receiving ReceptionsOver leanOver 6.5 at -156
novigL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixedPrevious five: 10 → latest five: 12.2 targets/game. Change: +22%.
See reasoning
Over lean · Research notes
4/5 over 6.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).
6/10 over 6.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.
9 quoted books: 6.5–7.5. Selected threshold is better than the median quoted line.
Previous five: 10 → latest five: 12.2 targets/game. Change: +22%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
- Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
- Workload spans 2025–2026.
- L10 is mixed: 6/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
How leans are selected
Standard passing, rushing and receiving L5/L10 use the latest qualifying regular-season games across the selected and previous seasons, newest first. Prior-team games count. Longest-play markets retain the qualifying-game policy shown on their board. Passing history excludes appearances without a pass attempt. Five games and at least 4 of the latest 5 results beating the exact selected threshold qualify a historical Over or Under lean. Pushes are not hits. L10, line comparison and workload are additional context, not requirements or exclusions. L10 fewer than 5/10 is flagged as conflicting, 5–7/10 as mixed, and 8–10/10 as supporting. Samples of 6–9 games show the actual denominator; missing games are never filled. Within each upcoming week, ranking uses L5 hits with additional credit for a better line than the median of at least three quoted books (0.5 for counts; 2.5 for yards), or a 10% workload change in the same direction. Workload compares the latest five qualifying games with the preceding five across seasons and teams. All ten games need numeric workload values; missing values are never filled or skipped to create a different sample. Season and team changes are disclosed as context. With five to nine games, the latest-five average is shown when complete; no change is calculated. A zero preceding-five average has no percentage change. Unavailable or opposing workload does not block a historical lean. Both sides qualifying at different lines produces no directional lean. Feed must be refreshed within 20 minutes; quotes known to be older than two hours are excluded. Historical leans are not projected win probabilities or calculated betting edges. Passing TD totals use this same historical Over/Under screen. Anytime TD and First TD scorer markets are separate and receive no automatic directional lean. Unsupported markets receive no automatic directional lean.
| Player & Matchup | Market | Over | Under | Pick'em | CLEATZ Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 · Upcoming | |||||
| Amon-Ra St. Brown WR | 7.5 | +115FAN | -125MGM | 8.5 Underdog7 PrizePicks | Over lean6.5 (-156) · novigL5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Trey McBride TE | 7.5 | -120Novig | +111Novig | 8 PrizePicks8.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Puka Nacua WR | 7.5 | +115B365 | -133DK | 7 PrizePicks5.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Chris Olave WR | 6.5 | -104PIN | -104Novig | 6.5 PrizePicks6.5 Underdog | Over lean6.5 (-104) · pinnacleL5 trend + workload supportL5 5/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Justin Jefferson WR | 6.5 | +120FAN | -149DK | 6.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Garrett Wilson WR | 6.5 | +144Novig | -153Novig | — | Under lean6.5 (-153) · novigL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Brock Bowers TE | 6.5 | +102Novig | +105MGM | 6.5 Underdog6.5 PrizePicks | Under lean6.5 (+105) · betmgmHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Michael Wilson WR | 6.5 | +122Novig | -138CZR | 6.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR | 6.5 | -118DK | +108Novig | 6.5 PrizePicks7.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Nico Collins WR | 5.5 | +100Novig | +100DK | 5.5 Underdog5.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Malik Nabers WR | 5.5 | +141Novig | -153DK | 5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Terry McLaurin WR | 5.5 | +125B365 | — | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Tyler Warren TE | 5.5 | +141Novig | -149PIN | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Drake London WR | 5.5 | -141B365 | +135Novig | 4.5 Underdog | Under lean6.5 (-155) · betmgmL5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Zay Flowers WR | 5.5 | +111Novig | -117Novig | 5.5 PrizePicks4.5 Underdog | Under lean5.5 (-117) · novigHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Stefon Diggs WR | 5 | — | — | — | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Parker Washington WR | 4.5 | -108Novig | +105DK | 5.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Dallas Goedert TE | 4.5 | +113Novig | -120Novig | — | Under lean4.5 (-120) · novigL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Tucker Kraft TE | 4.5 | +108Novig | -122FD | 4.5 Underdog4.5 PrizePicks | Under lean4.5 (-122) · fanduelHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Christian Watson WR | 4.5 | +115B365 | -135DK | 4.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Matthew Golden WR | 4.5 | +104Novig | -112DK | 4.5 Underdog4.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Luther Burden III WR | 4.5 | +117Novig | -115MGM | 4.5 Underdog4.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Carnell Tate WR | 4.5 | +117Novig | -134PIN | — | Insufficient history4/5 qualifying games |
| Dalton Schultz TE | 4.5 | +127Novig | -145DK | — | Under lean4.5 (-145) · draftkingsHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Isaiah Likely TE | 4.5 | -108FD | +102Novig | 4.5 PrizePicks4.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Malik Washington WR | 4.5 | -115MGM | +105DK | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Juwan Johnson TE | 4.5 | +122Novig | -135MGM | 4.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| T.J. Hockenson TE | 4.5 | +108Novig | -117DK | 4.5 PrizePicks4.5 Underdog | Under lean4.5 (-117) · draftkingsHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Harold Fannin Jr. TE | 4.5 | +135B365 | -138Novig | 4 PrizePicks3.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| DK Metcalf WR | 4.5 | +133Novig | -135DK | 4.5 Underdog4 PrizePicks | Under lean4.5 (-135) · draftkingsHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Josh Downs WR | 4.5 | -122Novig | +122DK | 5 PrizePicks5.5 Underdog | Under lean5.5 (-165) · betmgmL5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 9/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Jaylen Waddle WR | 4.5 | -105B365 | +112DK | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB | 4.5 | -108Novig | +102FD | 4.5 PrizePicks5.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Sam LaPorta TE | 4.5 | -125Novig | +119DK | 5.5 Underdog | Over lean4.5 (-125) · novigL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Christian McCaffrey RB | 4.5 | -125FD | +113Novig | — | Under lean5.5 (-156) · bet365L5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| George Kittle TE | 4.5 | -104Novig | +105B365 | 4.5 PrizePicks4.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Mike Evans WR | 4.5 | +135FAN | -161B365 | 4.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Davante Adams WR | 4.5 | +122Novig | -120MGM | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Dalton Kincaid TE | 4.5 | +130Novig | -135Novig | 4 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Khalil Shakir WR | 4.5 | +116FD | -120Novig | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Jakobi Meyers WR | 3.5 | -108Novig | +100Novig | 3.5 PrizePicks3.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Brenton Strange TE | 3.5 | +138Novig | -148FD | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Dontayvion Wicks WR | 3.5 | -117Novig | +107CZR | 3.5 Underdog | Under lean4.5 (-255) · fanaticsL5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Makai Lemon WR | 3.5 | -108Novig | +110MGM | — | Insufficient history4/5 qualifying games |
| Colston Loveland TE | 3.5 | -150MGM | +133Novig | 4.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Rome Odunze WR | 3.5 | +130B365 | -162DK | 2.5 Underdog | Under lean3.5 (-162) · draftkingsL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Kalif Raymond WR | 3.5 | +156Novig | -164DK | 2.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Wan'Dale Robinson WR | 3.5 | -117Novig | +112DK | 4.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Devaughn Vele WR | 3.5 | -125B365 | +126DK | — | Over lean3.5 (-125) · bet365L5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 5/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Alvin Kamara RB | 3.5 | +140B365 | -120Novig | 3.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Jordan Addison WR | 3.5 | +112FD | -148FD | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Denzel Boston WR | 3.5 | +119Novig | -133Novig | 2.5 Underdog | Insufficient history4/5 qualifying games |
| Adonai Mitchell WR | 3.5 | — | — | — | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Kenyon Sadiq TE | 3.5 | +122Novig | -121DK | 3.5 PrizePicks | Insufficient history4/5 qualifying games |
| Ashton Jeanty RB | 3.5 | -105B365 | +117Novig | 4.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Michael Mayer TE | 3.5 | +100Novig | +100MGM | 3.5 PrizePicks3.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Tre Tucker WR | 3.5 | +125B365 | -118MGM | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Hunter Henry TE | 3.5 | -104Novig | +100FD | 3.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Romeo Doubs WR | 3.5 | -125B365 | +122Novig | 4.5 Underdog | Under lean4.5 (-159) · draftkingsL5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Roman Wilson WR | 3.5 | +125B365 | -138Novig | 2.5 Underdog | Under lean3.5 (-138) · novigHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Pat Freiermuth TE | 3.5 | +138Novig | -137DK | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Keenan Allen WR | 3.5 | +130B365 | -111Novig | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Jaylen Warren RB | 3.5 | +120B365 | — | 2.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Courtland Sutton WR | 3.5 | +125Novig | -138CZR | — | Under lean3.5 (-138) · caesarsL5 trend + workload supportL5 5/5 · L10 5/10 · L10 is mixed |
| RJ Harvey RB | 3.5 | -138Novig | +135Novig | 4 PrizePicks4.5 Underdog | Over lean3.5 (-138) · novigL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Jameson Williams WR | 3.5 | -115MGM | +105HRB | — | Over lean3.5 (-115) · betmgmHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Deebo Samuel WR | 3.5 | -103DK | +110B365 | 3.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Bijan Robinson RB | 3.5 | -113Novig | +112FD | — | Under lean4.5 (-230) · fanaticsL5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 5/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Mark Andrews TE | 3.5 | -124DK | +118FD | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Brian Thomas WR | 2.5 | +150CZR | -163Novig | 2 PrizePicks2.5 Underdog | Over lean1.5 (-170) · hardrockbetL5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 9/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Will Shipley RB | 2.5 | +115B365 | -113Novig | 2.5 PrizePicks2.5 Underdog | Under lean2.5 (-113) · novigHistorical L5 trendL5 5/5 · L10 10/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Darius Cooper WR | 2.5 | -138FD | +104FD | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| D'Andre Swift RB | 2.5 | +114DK | -113Novig | 2.5 Underdog | Under lean2.5 (-113) · novigHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| MarShawn Lloyd RB | 2.5 | +138DK | -165HRB | 1.5 Underdog | Insufficient history4/5 qualifying games |
| Gunnar Helm TE | 2.5 | +120Novig | -120FD | — | Under lean2.5 (-120) · fanduelL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Kayshon Boutte WR | 2.5 | +153Novig | -159CZR | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Cameron Skattebo RB | 2.5 | +140B365 | -163DK | 3.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Chigoziem Okonokwo | 2.5 | -161B365 | — | 3.5 Underdog | Insufficient history0/5 qualifying games |
| Greg Dulcich TE | 2.5 | -115Novig | +113Novig | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Aaron Jones RB | 2.5 | -144Novig | +133Novig | 3 PrizePicks2.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Quinshon Judkins RB | 2.5 | -111Novig | +110HRB | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Braelon Allen RB | 2.5 | +100Novig | -120Novig | 2.5 PrizePicks | Under lean2.5 (-120) · novigHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · Available 7/8 |
| Isaiah Williams WR | 2.5 | +124DK | -125MGM | 1.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| DeMario Douglas WR | 2.5 | -106Novig | -103PIN | 2.5 PrizePicks2.5 Underdog | Under lean2.5 (-103) · pinnacleHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson RB | 2.5 | -139Novig | +128FD | 3.5 Underdog | Under lean3.5 (-190) · caesarsL5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Jonathan Taylor RB | 2.5 | +100MGM | -106Novig | 2.5 Underdog2.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Darnell Washington TE | 2.5 | +133Novig | -138Novig | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Michael Pittman WR | 2.5 | -108PIN | -122PIN | 2.5 PrizePicks | Under lean2.5 (-122) · pinnacleL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 5/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Germie Bernard WR | 2.5 | +144FD | -156Novig | 1.5 Underdog | Insufficient history3/5 qualifying games |
| Evan Engram TE | 2.5 | +141Novig | -144Novig | 1.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Isaac TeSlaa WR | 2.5 | +153Novig | -161DK | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. WR | 2.5 | -116B365 | +111Novig | — | Under lean3.5 (-280) · fanaticsL5 trend + better available lineL5 5/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Kendrick Bourne WR | 2.5 | +122Novig | -130DK | 1.5 Underdog | Under lean2.5 (-130) · draftkingsHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Jeremiyah Love RB | 2.5 | +114DK | -127Novig | — | Insufficient history4/5 qualifying games |
| AJ Barner TE | 2.5 | +113Novig | -122FD | 2.5 PrizePicks2.5 Underdog | Under lean2.5 (-122) · fanduelL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 4/10 · L10 conflicts with L5 |
| Cooper Kupp WR | 2.5 | +125B365 | -127DK | — | Under lean2.5 (-127) · draftkingsL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Kyle Pitts TE | 2.5 | +116DK | -125Novig | 1.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Kyren Williams RB | 2.5 | -144DK | +138Novig | 3.5 Underdog | Over lean2.5 (-144) · draftkingsL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Keon Coleman WR | 2.5 | -150Novig | +144Novig | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Tyler Higbee TE | 2.5 | -115Novig | +113DK | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Ty Johnson RB | 2.5 | +159CZR | -179DK | — | Over lean1.5 (-155) · hardrockbetL5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 9/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Bhayshul Tuten RB | 1.5 | -107DK | -104Novig | 1.5 PrizePicks1.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Dameon Pierce RB | 1.5 | — | — | 1.5 Underdog | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Skyy Moore WR | 1.5 | +114PIN | -121Novig | 0.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Jonnu Smith TE | 1.5 | +186DK | -228PIN | 0.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Cole Kmet TE | 1.5 | +135Novig | -162DK | 0.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Kaleb Johnson RB | 1.5 | +350B365 | — | 1.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Elic Ayomanor WR | 1.5 | +115Novig | -114FD | 1.5 Underdog1.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Tony Pollard RB | 1.5 | -120Novig | +113Novig | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Tyjae Spears RB | 1.5 | -153Novig | +140DK | 2.5 Underdog | Under lean2.5 (-225) · caesarsL5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| David Montgomery RB | 1.5 | +120MGM | -138Novig | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Jaylin Noel WR | 1.5 | -125B365 | +123DK | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Joquavious Marks | 1.5 | +108Novig | -108DK | 1.5 PrizePicks1.5 Underdog | Insufficient history0/5 qualifying games |
| Xavier Hutchinson WR | 1.5 | +144Novig | -150Novig | — | Over lean1.5 (+144) · novigL5 trend + workload supportL5 5/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Daniel Bellinger TE | 1.5 | — | — | — | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Darnell Mooney WR | 1.5 | +104Novig | -113Novig | 1.5 PrizePicks1.5 Underdog | Over lean1.5 (+104) · novigHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Jacory Merritt RB | 1.5 | +140B365 | — | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Rachaad White RB | 1.5 | -141B365 | +146FD | — | No clear leanBoth sides qualify at different lines |
| Ollie Gordon RB | 1.5 | -111Novig | +115MGM | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Kevin Coleman WR | 1.5 | -127Novig | +128DK | — | Insufficient history3/5 qualifying games |
| Kendre Miller RB | 1.5 | +160B365 | — | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Mason Taylor TE | 1.5 | -144Novig | +125MGM | 2.5 Underdog | Over lean1.5 (-144) · novigHistorical L5 trendL5 5/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Raheim Sanders RB | 1.5 | -174Novig | +154FD | 2.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Jerry Jeudy WR | 1.5 | +122Novig | -121DK | 1.5 PrizePicks1.5 Underdog | Over lean1.5 (+122) · novigHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Cody White WR | 1.5 | -127Novig | +112FD | 2.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Efton Chism III WR | 1.5 | -170FAN | +150Novig | 1.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Eli Raridon TE | 1.5 | +144FD | -166DK | 0.5 Underdog | Insufficient history3/5 qualifying games |
| Kyle Williams WR | 1.5 | +190B365 | — | 1.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| TreVeyon Henderson RB | 1.5 | -105B365 | — | 1.5 PrizePicks0.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Laquon Treadwell WR | 1.5 | +120CZR | -120Novig | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Marvin Mims Jr. WR | 1.5 | +125Novig | -133Novig | 0.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Troy Franklin WR | 1.5 | -105FAN | +100Novig | 1.5 PrizePicks1.5 Underdog | Under lean1.5 (+100) · novigL5 trend + workload supportL5 4/5 · L10 4/10 · L10 conflicts with L5 |
| Elijah Higgins TE | 1.5 | +170B365 | — | 0.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Tyler Allgeier RB | 1.5 | -145HRB | +128DK | 3.5 Underdog | No clear leanBoth sides qualify at different lines |
| Rashid Shaheed WR | 1.5 | -161B365 | +150Novig | 2 PrizePicks2.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Emanuel Wilson RB | 1.5 | -150Novig | +128DK | 2.5 Underdog | Under lean1.5 (+128) · draftkingsHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 9/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| George Holani RB | 1.5 | -135Novig | +128DK | 2.5 Underdog | Under lean1.5 (+128) · draftkingsHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 9/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Tory Horton WR | 1.5 | +178Novig | -192B365 | 0.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Jahan Dotson WR | 1.5 | -138Novig | +122FD | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Rashod Bateman WR | 1.5 | -135Novig | +122Novig | 2.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Derrick Henry RB | 1.5 | +171CZR | -213Novig | 0.5 Underdog | Over lean0.5 (-238) · draftkingsL5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 6/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Justice Hill RB | 1.5 | +102Novig | -116DK | 1.5 PrizePicks1.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Matthew Hibner TE | 1.5 | +115B365 | — | 0.5 Underdog | Insufficient history3/5 qualifying games |
| Devontez Walker WR | 1.5 | +200FAN | -265CZR | — | Under lean1.5 (-265) · caesarsHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 9/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Colby Parkinson TE | 1.5 | -167Novig | +143DK | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Dawson Knox TE | 1.5 | +125Novig | -154DK | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| James Cook RB | 1.5 | -120FAN | -102DK | 1.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Josh Palmer WR | 1.5 | -110FAN | +104Novig | 1.5 PrizePicks1.5 Underdog | Under lean1.5 (+104) · novigHistorical L5 trendL5 5/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
| Kyle Monangai RB | 1 | — | — | — | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB | 0.5 | +240B365 | — | 1.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Elijah Moore WR | 0.5 | — | — | — | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Mark Redman TE | 0.5 | -111B365 | — | 0.5 Underdog0.5 PrizePicks | Insufficient history1/5 qualifying games |
| Bo Melton WR | 0.5 | -111B365 | — | 0.5 PrizePicks0.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Calvin Ridley WR | 0.5 | -163Novig | +160Novig | 0.5 Underdog | No clear leanBoth sides qualify at different lines |
| Foster Moreau TE | 0.5 | — | — | — | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Brevin Jordan TE | 0.5 | — | — | — | Insufficient history1/5 qualifying games |
| Chimere Dike WR | 0.5 | — | — | — | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Jared Wayne WR | 0.5 | — | — | — | Insufficient history4/5 qualifying games |
| Lewis Bond WR | 0.5 | — | — | — | Insufficient history1/5 qualifying games |
| Marlin Klein TE | 0.5 | — | — | — | Insufficient history1/5 qualifying games |
| Cade Stover TE | 0.5 | — | — | — | No clear leanNo priced sportsbook lines available |
| Najee Harris RB | 0.5 | -167B365 | — | 1.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Theo Johnson TE | 0.5 | -132B365 | — | 1.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Jaylen Wright RB | 0.5 | -192B365 | — | — | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Isaiah Davis RB | 0.5 | -105B365 | — | 0.5 PrizePicks1.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| J.K. Dobbins RB | 0.5 | -213B365 | — | 1.5 Underdog | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Brian Robinson RB | 0.5 | -116B365 | — | 0.5 Underdog0.5 PrizePicks | No clear leanL5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides |
| Olamide Zaccheaus WR | 0.5 | -195HRB | +178DK | — | Over lean0.5 (-195) · hardrockbetHistorical L5 trendL5 4/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Jordan Whittington WR | 0.5 | -149Novig | +150DK | — | Under lean1.5 (-450) · fanaticsL5 trend + better available lineL5 5/5 · L10 9/10 · L10 supports L5 |
| Konata Mumpfield WR | 0.5 | -170HRB | +144DK | — | Under lean1.5 (-500) · fanaticsL5 trend + better available lineL5 4/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixed |
Longest Reception
Best available number, then best price at that number. Compare all quoted lines below.
Longest Reception research leans
Historical leans · At least 4/5 hits · Nearest remaining week first · Confirm the line and price.
David Montgomery
Receiving LongestReceptionOver leanOver 6.5 at -106
fanduelL5 5/5 · L10 9/10 · L10 supports L5Previous five: 1.6 → latest five: 2 opportunities/game. Change: +25%.
See reasoning
Over lean · Research notes
5/5 over 6.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).
9/10 over 6.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.
3 quoted books: 6.5–7.5. No qualifying line advantage.
Previous five: 1.6 → latest five: 2 opportunities/game. Change: +25%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
- Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
- Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for HOU and DET; team changes may affect usage.
History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
Xavier Hutchinson
Receiving LongestReceptionOver leanOver 11.5 at -122
fanduelL5 5/5 · L10 8/10 · L10 supports L5Previous five: 4 → latest five: 7.8 opportunities/game. Change: +95%.
See reasoning
Over lean · Research notes
5/5 over 11.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).
8/10 over 11.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.
3 quoted books: 11.5–12.5. No qualifying line advantage.
Previous five: 4 → latest five: 7.8 opportunities/game. Change: +95%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
- Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
- Workload spans 2025–2026.
History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
Brock Bowers
Receiving LongestReceptionUnder leanUnder 22.5 at -118
fanduelL5 5/5 · L10 7/10 · L10 is mixedPrevious five: 8.2 → latest five: 8.6 opportunities/game. Change: +4.9%.
See reasoning
Under lean · Research notes
5/5 under 22.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).
7/10 under 22.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.
3 quoted books: 19.5–22.5. Selected threshold is better than the median quoted line.
Previous five: 8.2 → latest five: 8.6 opportunities/game. Change: +4.9%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
- Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
- Workload spans 2025–2026.
- L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.
History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
How leans are selected
Standard passing, rushing and receiving L5/L10 use the latest qualifying regular-season games across the selected and previous seasons, newest first. Prior-team games count. Longest-play markets retain the qualifying-game policy shown on their board. Passing history excludes appearances without a pass attempt. Five games and at least 4 of the latest 5 results beating the exact selected threshold qualify a historical Over or Under lean. Pushes are not hits. L10, line comparison and workload are additional context, not requirements or exclusions. L10 fewer than 5/10 is flagged as conflicting, 5–7/10 as mixed, and 8–10/10 as supporting. Samples of 6–9 games show the actual denominator; missing games are never filled. Within each upcoming week, ranking uses L5 hits with additional credit for a better line than the median of at least three quoted books (0.5 for counts; 2.5 for yards), or a 10% workload change in the same direction. Workload compares the latest five qualifying games with the preceding five across seasons and teams. All ten games need numeric workload values; missing values are never filled or skipped to create a different sample. Season and team changes are disclosed as context. With five to nine games, the latest-five average is shown when complete; no change is calculated. A zero preceding-five average has no percentage change. Unavailable or opposing workload does not block a historical lean. Both sides qualifying at different lines produces no directional lean. Feed must be refreshed within 20 minutes; quotes known to be older than two hours are excluded. Historical leans are not projected win probabilities or calculated betting edges. Passing TD totals use this same historical Over/Under screen. Anytime TD and First TD scorer markets are separate and receive no automatic directional lean. Unsupported markets receive no automatic directional lean.
No players match these filters.
Week 5 · Upcoming
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L5/L10 compare the most recent qualifying completed games with the displayed current line, not historical betting results. Sample: at least one target per game; current and previous seasons, including playoffs. Pushes are shown separately within the sample. Missing stats are excluded. History: ESPN game logs, player IDs: nflverse. Odds: SGO. Historical frequency is not a forecast. Opponent explosive rates are not included in this release.
How to compare NFL receiving props
- Choose receiving yards, receptions or longest reception. A catch total, total yardage and the longest catch describe different outcomes.
- Compare both the line and the payout. A lower Over threshold is not automatically a better bet when the price also changes.
- Read recent targets and results in the context of the player’s role. Confirm quarterback availability, injuries and coverage matchup separately from the historical screen.
Reading the history and research signals
L5 and L10 refer to recent qualifying game samples, which can span seasons and teams. They compare past results with the displayed current line; they are not a record of bets placed at historical odds. A historical lean requires at least four of the latest five results to beat its selected threshold, plus the sample and freshness requirements in the methodology. L10 and workload add context; the hit rate is not a forecast probability.
Check the displayed update time. Cached prices may change or be unavailable when you reach a sportsbook. Missing data is not a zero result.
Receiving props FAQ
Are receptions included on this receiving props page?
Yes. Select the Receptions tab for catch totals. Receiving Yards and Longest Reception have separate boards so their thresholds and history stay distinct.
Is longest reception the same as receiving yards?
No. Receiving yards uses the player’s total receiving yardage. Longest reception uses the yardage of a single catch: the player’s longest reception in the game.
21+. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Odds and lines are subject to change; always confirm the current price at your sportsbook before betting.
Lines and best-price data are aggregated across sportsbooks and refreshed throughout the day. CLEATZ provides information and analysis, not betting advice.
Jason Ziernicki is the founder of CLEATZ and has worked in the online sports betting industry since 2012. At CLEATZ, he focuses on public betting data, sportsbook line movement, prediction markets and data-driven sports betting tools.