NFL Odds, Public Betting & Super Bowl Futures

The NFL board moves fast, and the early lines are where the edges live. This is the full Cleatz NFL hub — Week 1 spreads and totals, public-money splits, and the Kalshi win probabilities I trade against from my desk in Jackson Hole. I’m not here to tell you who to root for. I’m here to show you where the money’s going, where the public’s piling in, and where the market hasn’t caught up yet. Lines this early are soft. Read them before they tighten.

— Jason, Cleatz Founder

NFL — Week 1 — interactive game grid; select a game to open lines, Kalshi odds and player props.

CLEATZ · pro football
NFL — Week 1
The Cleatz read Football is almost back — and the Week 1 board is already moving. First kickoff is about 5 weeks away, with 16 games already posted. The public is all over Raiders -3.5 at 100% of the spread handle. On the futures board, Los Angeles R leads at 16% to win the Super Bowl. Lines this early are soft — lock in your reads before the market tightens.

NFL Week 1 Odds & Lines

Every Week 1 spread, total, and the share of public bets on each side, in one board. The number to the right of each team is the point spread; O/U is the projected combined score. The percentage is where the public bets are landing — a heavy lean isn’t a signal to follow, it’s a signal to ask why the line hasn’t moved with it.

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+EV props this week · best price vs. consensus
Demarcus Robinson — Anytime TDDraftKings +750+11.2% EV
Christian Kirk — Anytime TDDraftKings +550+11.2% EV
Emanuel Wilson — Anytime TDCaesars +325+4.5% EV

Public Money — Week 1 Share of Handle

“Share of handle” is the percentage of money on a side, not the percentage of tickets. When handle and ticket count split apart, that gap is usually sharp money on one side and public money on the other. The teams below are drawing the most lopsided action on the Week 1 board — the starting point for any fade.

Most Bet Teams
Raiders -3.5vs. Dolphins · Sep 13 · 2:25 pm100%
Ravens -3.5@ Colts · Sep 13 · 11:00 am92%
Cardinals +10.5@ Chargers · Sep 13 · 2:25 pm92%
Lions -7vs. Saints · Sep 13 · 11:00 am85%
Falcons +3@ Steelers · Sep 13 · 11:00 am85%
Most Bet Totals
Under 48.5 PointsCowboys @ Giants · Sep 13 · 6:20 pm100%
Under 46.5 PointsCardinals @ Chargers · Sep 13 · 2:25 pm99%
Over 46.5 PointsBears @ Panthers · Sep 13 · 11:00 am97%
Under 40.5 PointsDolphins @ Raiders · Sep 13 · 2:25 pm96%
Under 45.5 PointsPackers @ Vikings · Sep 13 · 2:25 pm94%
WEEK 1 NFL PUBLIC BETS →

Super Bowl & Conference Futures — Kalshi Win Probability

These aren’t sportsbook futures odds with vig baked in — they’re live Kalshi win probabilities, priced by a real market in cents on the dollar. That makes them a cleaner read on what a title is actually worth than a book’s padded number. Use them to spot futures the sportsbooks haven’t repriced yet. New to Kalshi? Our Kalshi promo code gets you started.

Super Bowl Champion
Los Angeles R16%
Seattle8%
Buffalo8%
Baltimore7%
Kansas City6%
Full Super Bowl odds →Trade $25 and get up to $500! ↗
AFC Championship
Buffalo16%
Baltimore13%
Kansas City12%
Los Angeles C11%
Houston10%
Trade $25 and get up to $500! ↗
NFC Championship
Los Angeles R25%
Seattle13%
San Francisco10%
Philadelphia9%
Green Bay9%
Trade $25 and get up to $500! ↗

NFL Win Totals 2026 — Kalshi Over/Under

Season win totals are the market’s preseason verdict on every team. We track all 32 with live Kalshi over/under prices and public splits on a dedicated page. → See every team’s 2026 NFL win total

Los Angeles R
O/U11.5
Over 55%Under 45%
Baltimore
O/U10.5
Over 52%Under 48%
Buffalo
O/U10.5
Over 55%Under 45%
Cincinnati
O/U10.5
Over 46%Under 54%
Detroit
O/U10.5
Over 53%Under 47%
Houston
O/U10.5
Over 47%Under 53%
Los Angeles C
O/U10.5
Over 43%Under 57%
Philadelphia
O/U10.5
Over 44%Under 56%
Prices as of Aug 10, 8:53 PM MDT · live Kalshi orderbook midpoints
Trade win totals on Kalshi ↗

NFL Betting — Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current NFL Week 1 odds?
Week 1 spreads and totals are posted on the board above and refresh as the market moves. Early-week lines are the softest of the season — they tighten as sharp money comes in.
What does “public betting percentage” mean?
It’s the share of bets on one side of a market. A high percentage means the public is heavily on that side — which often signals where the value sits on the other side once you account for handle vs. tickets.
How is Kalshi win probability different from sportsbook futures odds?
Kalshi prices are set by a live market in cents, with no built-in vig. Sportsbook futures bake in a margin, so a Kalshi win probability is usually a cleaner read on a team’s true title odds.
What are NFL season win totals?
A win total is the number of regular-season games the market expects a team to win. You bet whether the team finishes Over or Under that number — a season-long read on a team’s outlook.
Can I trade NFL markets on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi offers regulated NFL futures and win-total markets across most U.S. states. New traders can use Cleatz promo code CLEATZ10 to get started.

Jason Ziernicki
Founder at CLEATZ | jason@cleatz.com | Web |  + posts

Jason Ziernicki is the founder of CLEATZ, where he analyzes sports betting data, public betting percentages, alt-line trends, and prediction markets across the NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports.

He is based in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where he routinely trades on Kalshi each month, hoping to win on weather markets like snowfall, as well as sports and politics.

His work focuses on turning sportsbook data and betting market trends into actionable insights for bettors/traders.