CFB Playoffs Semifinals Props Cheat Sheet
🟢 Top Tier
- Riley Nowakowski (Indiana) O1.5 Receptions
- 66.4% implied probability
- 80% L5 / L10
- Elite matchup: 100% DVP (L5)
- Harrison Wallace II (Ole Miss) O3.5 Receptions
- 60.6% implied probability
- 80% L5
- 100% DVP L5 / 70% DVP L10
🟡 Secondary Value
- Malik Benson (Oregon) O43.5 Receiving Yards
- 100% L5 hit rate
- Strong defensive matchup (80% DVP L5)
- Roman Hemby (Indiana) O55.5 Rushing Yards
- Solid consistency (60–70%)
- Strong run matchup: 80% DVP L5 & L10
⚠️ Higher-Risk / Better Odds
Trending upward with improving matchup (70% DVP L10)
Roman Hemby O59.5 Rushing Yards (+104)
Only 49% implied probability
| Player | Game | Prop | Line | Odds | Prob% | L5 | L10 | DVP L5 | DVP L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Nowakowski | ORE at IND | Receptions | Over 1.5 | -198 | 66.4% | 80% | 80% | 100% | 80% |
| Dakorien Moore | ORE at IND | Receptions | Over 2.5 | -160 | 61.5% | 60% | 70% | 60% | 60% |
| Dakorien Moore | ORE at IND | Receiving Yards | Over 30.5 | -114 | 53.3% | 60% | 70% | 60% | 60% |
| Dakorien Moore | ORE at IND | Receiving Yards | Over 29.5 | -122 | 55.0% | 60% | 70% | 60% | 60% |
| Roman Hemby | ORE at IND | Rushing Yards | Over 55.5 | -114 | 53.3% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 80% |
| Kewan Lacy | MIA at MISS | Receptions | Over 1.5 | -198 | 66.4% | 40% | 70% | 60% | 60% |
| Malik Benson | ORE at IND | Receiving Yards | Over 43.5 | -114 | 53.3% | 100% | 60% | 80% | 60% |
| Harrison Wallace II | MIA at MISS | Receptions | Over 3.5 | -154 | 60.6% | 80% | 60% | 100% | 70% |
| Cayden Lee | MIA at MISS | Receiving Yards | Over 29.5 | -114 | 53.3% | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Roman Hemby | ORE at IND | Rushing Yards | Over 59.5 | +104 | 49.0% | 40% | 60% | 60% | 70% |
Public Betting Data & Trends
Ole Miss vs. Miami Bet Player Props (1/8)
via DraftKings Sportsbook
1st TD Scorer
① Kewan Lacy (Ole Miss)
② Mark Fletcher Jr. (Miami FL)
③ Malachi Toney (Miami FL)
④ Trinidad Chambliss (Ole Miss)
⑤ CJ Daniels (Miami FL)
Anytime TD Scorer
① Kewan Lacy (Ole Miss)
② Mark Fletcher Jr. (Miami FL)
③ Malachi Toney (Miami FL)
④ Trinidad Chambliss (Ole Miss)
⑤ Luke Hasz (Ole Miss)
2+ TD Scorer
① Kewan Lacy (Ole Miss)
② Mark Fletcher Jr. (Miami FL)
③ Trinidad Chambliss (Ole Miss)
④ Malachi Toney (Miami FL)
⑤ Miami FL D/ST
Most Bet Player Props
① Mark Fletcher Jr. (Miami FL) — 90+ Rushing Yards
② Mark Fletcher Jr. (Miami FL) — 80+ Rushing Yards
③ Total Field Goals Made — Over 2.5
④ Trinidad Chambliss (Ole Miss) — 2+ Passing TDs
⑤ Mark Fletcher Jr. (Miami FL) — 100+ Rushing Yards
Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends
- Oregon TEs were targeted 24 times in the Red Zone last season– most among Big Ten Teams
- Oregon TEs have 15 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among Big Ten Teams
- Oregon RBs have averaged 7.0 Yards per Carry (2,028 yards/291 carries) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
- Oregon Skill Players have averaged 17.3 yards per reception (156 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and short this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.7
- Oregon have thrown 13 TDs and just one interception in the 1st half this season– T-3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.4
Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends
- Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (60 completions/130 attempts) in the 1st half this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 64%
- Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 51% (126 completions/248 attempts) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 63%
- Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 51% (126 completions/248 attempts) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 62%
- Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (60 completions/130 attempts) in the 1st half this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 63%
- Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 59%
