Week 1 is here, and the PrizePicks board is stacked. Doesn’t matter if you’re a vet or making your first entry; going in blind is how you burn your bankroll. This cheat sheet breaks down the props that matter and keeps you from falling into the usual traps.
Key Tips for Building Entries
- Game Scripts: Match picks to likely outcomes (shootout vs. slugfest).
- Consistency: Target players who regularly hit projections.
- Trends: Watch recent form and favorable matchups.
- Diversify: Spread across games and stat types.
- Injuries: Late scratches = value in backups.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Overloading Stars: Big names flop in tough spots.
- Ignoring Weather: Rain, snow, wind can crush props.
- Chasing Big Cards: Stick to 2–3 player entries for better odds.
📊 PrizePicks Line Movement NFL Week 1
(updated Friday 9/5/25)
| Player | Team | Opp | Date | Market | Prev. Line | PrizePicks | Change |
| Jonathan Taylor | IND | MIA | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Rushing Yards | 79.5 | 76.5 | -3 |
| Andrei Iosivas | CIN | @CLE | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Receiving Yards | 21.5 | 20.5 | -1 |
| Tee Higgins | CIN | @CLE | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Receiving Yards | 63.5 | 62.5 | -1 |
| Chase Brown | CIN | @CLE | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Rushing Yards | 65.5 | 66.5 | 1 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | LV | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Rushing Yards | 42.5 | 43.5 | 1 |
| Michael Wilson | ARI | @NO | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Receiving Yards | 24.5 | 25.5 | 1 |
| Ja’Marr Chase | CIN | @CLE | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Receiving Yards | 85.5 | 86.5 | 1 |
| Jakobi Meyers | LV | @NE | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Receiving Yards | 51.5 | 52.5 | 1 |
| Brian Thomas | JAX | CAR | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Receiving Yards | 76.5 | 73.5 | -3 |
| Brenton Strange | JAX | CAR | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Receiving Yards | 28.5 | 29.5 | 1 |
| Jaylin Noel | HOU | @LAR | Sun Sep 7 2:25 pm | Receiving Yards | 21.5 | 17.5 | -4 |
| Derrick Henry | BAL | @BUF | Sun Sep 7 6:20 pm | Rushing + Receiving Yards | 89.5 | 88.5 | -1 |
| Michael Pittman | IND | MIA | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Receiving Yards | 46.5 | 44.5 | -2 |
| James Cook | BUF | BAL | Sun Sep 7 6:20 pm | Rushing + Receiving Yards | 69.5 | 68.5 | -1 |
| Trey McBride | ARI | @NO | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Receiving Yards | 62.5 | 63.5 | 1 |
| James Cook | BUF | BAL | Sun Sep 7 6:20 pm | Receiving Yards | 11.5 | 10.5 | -1 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | BAL | @BUF | Sun Sep 7 6:20 pm | Receiving Yards | 13.5 | 14.5 | 1 |
| Keon Coleman | BUF | BAL | Sun Sep 7 6:20 pm | Receiving Yards | 33.5 | 36.5 | 3 |
| Spencer Rattler | NO | ARI | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Passing Yards | 199.5 | 195.5 | -4 |
This Week’s Top NFL Player Trends (Week 1)
Wide Receiver Prop Streaks
🔥 100% hit rates
K. Allen: 25+ Yds ➡️ 13/13
C. Ridley: 40+ Yds ➡️ 12/12
A. St. Brown: 5+ Catches ➡️ 11/11
L. McConkey: 50+ Yds ➡️ 11/11
P. Nacua: 5+ Catches ➡️ 10/10
X. Worthy: 40+ Yds ➡️ 10/10
M. Nabers: 50+ Yds ➡️ 10/10
J. Chase: 6+ Catches ➡️ 10/10
A. Thielen: 20+ Yds ➡️ 10/10
D. Adams: 4+ Catches ➡️ 10/10
💪 Quarterback Streaks
🔥 100% hit rates
J. Goff: 200+ Yds ➡️ 10/10
J. Burrow: 250+ Yds ➡️ 9/9
K. Murray: 200+ Yds ➡️ 8/8
B. Nix: 20+ Rush Yds ➡️ 5/5
G. Smith: 5+ Rush Yds ➡️ 4/4
J. Herbert: 225+ Yds ➡️ 4/4
J. Daniels: 200+ Yds ➡️ 3/3
J. Allen: 30+ Rush Yds ➡️ 3/3
J. Flacco: 200+ Yds ➡️ 3/3
S. Rattler: 150+ Yds ➡️ 3/3
🏈 NFL Week 1 – 100% TD Streaks
J. Jacobs: Anytime TD ✅ 9/9
J. Gibbs: Anytime TD ✅ 6/6
D. Henry: Anytime TD ✅ 4/4
T. McLaurin: Anytime TD ✅ 4/4
J. Hurts: Anytime TD ✅ 3/3
B. Robinson: Anytime TD ✅ 3/3
J. Taylor: Anytime TD ✅ 3/3
A. Brown: Anytime TD ✅ 2/2
A. Jones: Anytime TD ✅ 2/2 vs CHI
J. Chase: Anytime TD ✅ 2/2 vs CLE
