How does wind direction affect MLB betting?

Wind blowing out of the park helps batted balls carry further, leading to more home runs and higher run totals, making the over a stronger bet. Wind blowing in from center field reduces ball flight, suppresses home runs, and makes the under more attractive. Wind speed matters too: under 8 mph has minimal impact, while 12+ mph in either direction moves the needle.

What MLB weather data should I check before setting my DFS lineup?

In order of importance: (1) precipitation risk — avoid any game with 40%+ rain chance near first pitch; (2) wind direction and speed — target stacks in games where wind is blowing out at 10+ mph; (3) temperature — favor hitters in 75°F+ conditions and pitchers in sub-55°F conditions; (4) humidity — higher humidity slightly aids ball flight.

Does weather affect MLB home run props?

Yes, significantly. Temperature and wind direction together can shift the expected distance of a batted ball by more than 20%. When targeting HR props, prioritize fly ball hitters in favorable weather conditions and avoid backing power hitters in cold, wind-blowing-in games.

Which MLB stadiums are most affected by weather?

Wrigley Field in Chicago is the most weather-volatile park due to its exposed location and unpredictable Lake Michigan winds. Coors Field in Denver is affected by elevation — the thin air at 5,280 feet makes it permanently favorable for hitters. Comerica Park, Progressive Field, and Fenway Park are also highly weather-sensitive, particularly in early-season cold snaps.

What happens to my bet if an MLB game is postponed due to weather?

If a game is postponed before becoming official — generally before five full innings are completed — most sportsbooks will void the bet and return your stake. Always check your sportsbook's specific house rules. For DFS, a postponed game means all players from that game score zero points.

NFL First TD Scorer Props: Who Will Score The First TD in Super Bowl LX?

Updated On February 8, 2026

Tier 1 — Best Overall First TD Picks

Kenneth Walker (SEA RB) — +370

Why it works

Q1 rush share: 57.5% (L5) | 63.1% (L10)
Red-zone rush share: 45.5% (L5) | 53.8% (L10)
Seattle’s clear early-drive finisher
Shortest TD path (no pass dependency)

CLEATZ Verdict:
The cleanest and most repeatable First TD profile on the board.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA WR) — +500

Why it works

Q1 target share: 42.9% (L5) | 36.1% (L10)
Red-zone target share: 37.5% (L5) | 40.0% (L10)
Primary passing option on scripted drives

CLEATZ Verdict:
If the Seahawks score through the air early, JSN is overwhelmingly the most likely target.

Tier 2 — Strong Value / Leverage Picks

Hunter Henry (NE TE) — +1400

Why it works

Team-high red-zone target share: 33%
Consistent early-drive usage
TE scoring tends to be underpriced in First TD markets

CLEATZ Verdict:
Excellent leverage if New England scores first via play-action.

TreVeyon Henderson (NE RB) — +3000

Why it works

Q1 rush share: 42.5% (L5) | 47.4% (L10)
Red-zone rush share: 60% (L5) | 62.5% (L10)
Massive goal-line equity at long odds

CLEATZ Verdict:
One of the best long-shot First TD prices on the board.

Tier 3 — Conditional / Script-Dependent

Rhamondre Stevenson (NE RB) — +850

Strong early rushing role
Less red-zone dominance than Henderson
Needs a Patriots-controlled opening drive

Fades / Low-Probability Options

Secondary WRs with limited Q1 usage
Backup RBs without goal-line roles
QBs without designed goal-line runs

These profiles rely on broken plays, not repeatable scoring paths.

Player	Position	RATING	Odds	First Pos Chance	Q1 Rush Share L5	Q1 Rush Share L10	Q1 Target L5	Q1 Target L10	RZ Rush Share L5	RZ Rush Share L10	RZ Target L5	RZ Target L10	L5 HIT	L10 HIT
JSN	WR	82.25	+500	50.0	0.0	3.1	42.9	36.1	0.0	0.0	37.5	40.0	20%	30%
Hunter Henry	TE	78.80	+1400	50.0	0.0	0.0	12.1	14.3	0.0	0.0	33.3	30.0	20%	20%
TreVeyon Henderson	RB	70.64	+3000	50.0	42.5	47.4	3.0	7.9	60.0	62.5	0.0	10.0	20%	10%
Cooper Kupp	WR	67.54	+1200	50.0	0.0	0.0	14.3	18.0	0.0	0.0	37.5	30.0	0%	0%
Austin Hooper	TE	67.00	+4000	50.0	0.0	0.0	6.1	4.6	0.0	0.0	33.3	10.0	20%	10%
Mack Hollins	WR	64.28	+1900	50.0	0.0	0.0	25.8	19.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0%	0%
Stefon Diggs	WR	63.03	+1300	50.0	0.0	0.0	33.3	27.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.0	0%	0%
Kayshon Boutte	WR	62.92	+1800	50.0	0.0	0.0	10.7	13.6	0.0	0.0	50.0	20.0	0%	10%
Kenneth Walker	RB	59.96	+370	50.0	57.5	63.1	14.3	14.8	45.5	53.8	12.5	20.0	20%	10%
R. Stevenson	RB	50.94	+850	50.0	47.5	42.5	9.1	9.5	40.0	26.7	0.0	16.7	0%	0%
Drake Maye	QB	49.88	+1700	50.0	7.5	13.2	3.0	1.6	0.0	18.8	0.0	0.0	0%	10%
AJ Barner	TE	48.17	+1200	50.0	2.5	3.1	11.4	16.4	0.0	0.0	12.5	10.0	0%	0%
George Holani	RB	48.10	+2500	50.0	6.5	3.3	0.0	0.0	25.0	18.2	0.0	0.0	0%	0%
Rashid Shaheed	WR	46.00	+1700	50.0	0.0	3.1	11.4	9.8	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0%	0%