Welcome to Cleatz.com’s NBA Player Props Tonight, where we break down the smartest Over/Under bets, usage-driven insights, and hit-rate data from across the Association.
From three-point snipers to assist kings and rebound machines, these are the NBA player props that matter tonight, backed by real trends and verified data.
Top NBA Player Prop Picks Tonight
Best Overall (Elite Consistency)
- Luke Kornet Over 11.5 Points + Rebounds (-132)
100% L5, 90% L10 with 100% DVP L5/L10. One of the cleanest convergence spots on the slate. - Tre Jones Over 4.5 Assists (-106)
100% L5 / 90% L10 at a near pick’em price—excellent value for the role.
Strong Secondary Plays
- Matas Buzelis Over 1.5 Assists (-180)
100% L5, 90% L10 with steady usage. - Immanuel Quickley Over 0.5 Steals (-205)
High floor (80–100% recent hit rates) despite the juice. - Grayson Allen Over 15.5 Points + Rebounds (-122)
100% L5 with perfect DVP alignment.
Value / Plus-Money
- Luke Kornet Over 5.5 Rebounds (+112)
Same role as his combo line with plus money—nice way to scale exposure.
Safest Parlay Anchors
Matas Buzelis Over 1.5 Assists
Luke Kornet Over 11.5 Points + Rebounds
Tre Jones Over 4.5 Assists
| Player | Game | Prop | Outcome | Odds | Prob% | L5⬇️ | L10 | DVP_L5 | DVP_L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immanuel Quickley | TOR at GSW | Steals | Over 0.5 | -205 | 67.2 | 100 | 80 | 80 | 70 |
| Luke Kornet | SAS at HOU | Points+Rebounds | Over 11.5 | -132 | 56.9 | 100 | 90 | 100 | 100 |
| Tre Jones | LAC at CHI | Assists | Over 4.5 | -106 | 51.5 | 100 | 90 | 60 | 60 |
| Matas Buzelis | LAC at CHI | Assists | Over 1.5 | -180 | 64.3 | 100 | 90 | 80 | 70 |
| Russell Westbrook | MIA at SAC | 3PT Made | Over 1.5 | -156 | 60.9 | 100 | 60 | 80 | 80 |
| Russell Westbrook | MIA at SAC | Points | Over 14.5 | -132 | 56.9 | 100 | 70 | 60 | 60 |
| Grayson Allen | PHX at PHI | Points+Rebounds | Over 15.5 | -122 | 55.0 | 100 | 60 | 100 | 100 |
| Russell Westbrook | MIA at SAC | Points+Rebounds | Over 20.5 | -122 | 55.0 | 100 | 70 | 60 | 60 |
| Maxime Raynaud | MIA at SAC | Points+Rebounds | Over 13.5 | -132 | 56.9 | 80 | 80 | 100 | 100 |
| LeBron James | LAL at DEN | Steals | Over 0.5 | -240 | 70.6 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 70 |
| Luke Kornet | SAS at HOU | Rebounds | Over 5.5 | +112 | 47.2 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 90 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | LAC at CHI | Points | Over 10.5 | -106 | 51.5 | 80 | 90 | 80 | 70 |
| Isaac Okoro | LAC at CHI | Points | Over 7.5 | -102 | 50.5 | 80 | 60 | 80 | 80 |
| Isaac Okoro | LAC at CHI | Points+Rebounds | Over 9.5 | -120 | 54.5 | 80 | 60 | 100 | 90 |
| Paul George | PHX at PHI | Points | Over 14.5 | -166 | 62.4 | 80 | 60 | 60 | 60 |
| Tre Jones | LAC at CHI | Points | Over 8.5 | -102 | 50.5 | 80 | 70 | 60 | 80 |
| Royce O’Neale | PHX at PHI | Points | Over 8.5 | -114 | 53.3 | 80 | 70 | 100 | 90 |
| Luke Kornet | SAS at HOU | Points | Over 6.5 | -114 | 53.3 | 80 | 70 | 100 | 90 |
NBA Props Betting Trends & Hit Rates
🏀 NBA Props Top ALT Line Trends
① Luke Kornet — 10+ PTS + REB
20 / last 20 games
② Tre Jones — 6+ Points
20 / last 20 games
③ Maxime Raynaud — 11+ PTS + REB
20 / last 20 games
④ Amen Thompson — 20+ PTS + REB
19 / last 19 games
⑤ Kevin Durant — 4+ Rebounds
18 / last 18 games
⑥ DeMar DeRozan — 3+ Assists
15 / last 15 games
⑦ Devin Booker — 1+ 3PT Made
13 / last 13 games
⑧ Nikola Vučević — 14+ Points
12 / last 12 games
⑨ Isaac Okoro — 2+ Rebounds
12 / last 12 games
⑩ De’Aaron Fox — 8+ REB + AST
11 / last 11 games
NBA First Basket Scorer Odds
Who will score the first basket today?
First Basket Scorer Predictions & Stats Today
- Andrew Wiggins (MIA) has scored the first basket in 6 of his last 20 games (+24.00 Units / 120% ROI)
- Spencer Jones (DEN) has scored the first basket in 2 of his last 9 games (+21.20 Units / 236% ROI)
- Jamal Shead (TOR) has scored the first basket in 2 of his last 5 games (+16.00 Units / 320% ROI)
- Duncan Robinson (DET) has scored the first basket in 2 of his last 6 games (+16.00 Units / 267% ROI)
- Saddiq Bey (NOP) has scored the first basket in 3 of his last 13 games at home (+15.50 Units / 119% ROI)
- Tobias Harris (DET) has scored the first basket in 3 of his last 9 away games (+15.50 Units / 172% ROI)
- De’Aaron Fox (SAS) has scored the first basket in 3 of his last 6 games (+15.00 Units / 250% ROI)
- DeMar DeRozan (SAC) has scored the first basket in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+14.75 Units / 246% ROI)
- Rudy Gobert (MIN) has scored the first basket in 4 of his last 15 away games (+14.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- Anthony Edwards (MIN) has scored the first basket in 3 of his last 6 games (+13.75 Units / 229% ROI)
Below are the top first scorer prop bets for today, sorted by the implied probability of scoring the first field goal, with current betting odds.
NBA First Basket Scorer Odds Today, Jan. 20
| Player Name | Odds to Score First | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama (SAS) | +360 | 21.74% |
| Deandre Ayton (LAL) | +425 | 19.05% |
| Luka Doncic (LAL) | +475 | 17.39% |
| Bam Adebayo (MIA) | +475 | 17.39% |
| Devin Booker (Phx) | +500 | 16.67% |
| Tyrese Maxey (PHI) | +500 | 16.67% |
| Ivica Zubac (LAC) | +500 | 16.67% |
| Brandon Ingram (TOR) | +500 | 16.67% |
| Jusuf Nurkic (UTA) | +525 | 16% |
| John Collins (LAC) | +550 | 15.38% |
| Stephen Curry (GSW) | +550 | 15.38% |
| Jamal Murray (DEN) | +550 | 15.38% |
| Norman Powell (MIA) | +550 | 15.38% |
| Andrew Wiggins (MIA) | +550 | 15.38% |
| De’Aaron Fox (SAS) | +575 | 14.81% |
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