Dak Prescott: Slingin’ It Over 36.5 Pass Attempts
Dak didn’t get a crack at Philly last year, thanks to a hamstring that tapped him out midseason. Rough break. Before that, though? From Weeks 1–9 the Cowboys were basically allergic to running the ball, rocking a 61% situation-neutral pass rate, good for second-highest in the league.
Fast-forward to 2025: Brian Schottenheimer is now running the show, and let’s just say Dallas didn’t exactly open the checkbook for running backs. Instead, they brought in George Pickens, which screams “we’re throwing this thing.”
Enter the Eagles: A classic pass-funnel defense in 2024. Teams hit them with a 58% pass rate—7th highest in the league. Now Dallas strolls into Week 1 as 7.5-point underdogs. Translation? Dak’s arm is about to get a workout.
Let’s talk numbers. Prescott averaged 35.75 pass attempts per game last year—despite missing a chunk of Week 9 when he left hurt after 24 throws. If you pull that game out, he was firing 37.4 attempts per outing. His median was 35.5, and he cleared 36.5 attempts in four of eight games (or four of seven if you don’t count the “hammy bailout”). Even more telling: he went over 36.5 in three of his five losses.
Bottom line? Philly’s probably going to handle business, which means Dak will be chucking it early, often, and probably out of desperation by the fourth quarter.
Play it: Dak Prescott HIGHER than 36.5 pass attempts | Underdog
NFL Props Hot Sheet – Cowboys vs. Eagles
🔥 100% Prop Hit Rate Trends
A.J. Brown Anytime TD (+165) → hit 2/2
Jalen Hurts Anytime TD (-165) → hit 3/3
Dak Prescott Over 1.5 Pass TD (+120) → hit 2/2 vs PHI
Dak Prescott Over 243.5 Pass Yds (-114) → hit 2/2 vs PHI
Dak Prescott Over 7.5 Rush Yds (-130) → hit 2/2 vs PHI
Dak Prescott Over 23.5 Completions (+100) → hit 2/2 vs PHI
Dak Prescott Over 36.5 Pass Att (+100) → hit 2/2 vs PHI
Jalen Hurts Over 212.5 Pass Yds (-114) → hit 2/2
Jalen Hurts Over 8.5 Rush Att (+106) → hit 2/2
Jalen Hurts Over 254.5 Pass+Rush Yds (-114) → hit 2/2
CeeDee Lamb Over 6.5 Receptions (-112) → hit 2/2
CeeDee Lamb Over 73.5 Rec Yds (-114) → hit 3/3
J. Williams Over 12.5 Rec Yds (-114) → hit 2/2
Jahan Dotson Over 5.5 Rush+Rec Yds (-135) → hit 3/3
Jahan Dotson Over 7.5 Rec Yds (-122) → hit 3/3
✅ 80–83% Trends
Saquon Barkley Over 96.5 Rush Yds (-114) → hit 5/6 (83%)
Saquon Barkley Over 19.5 Rush Att (+100) → hit 5/6 (83%)
Saquon Barkley Over 114.5 Rush+Rec Yds (-114) → hit 5/6 (83%)
Dallas Goedert Over 3.5 Receptions (+100) → hit 4/5 (80%)
Dallas Goedert Over 37.5 Rec Yds (-114) → hit 4/5 (80%)
📊 70–77% Trends
Jalen Hurts Over 36.5 Rush Yds (-114) → hit 10/13 (77%)
Dak Prescott Over 1.5 Pass TD (+120) → hit 15/20 (75%)
Dak Prescott Over 0.5 INT (-160) → hit 3/4 (75%)
Dak Prescott Over 1.5 Rush Att (-185) → hit 14/20 (70%)
Jake Ferguson Over 3.5 Receptions (-168) → hit 3/4 (75%)
📉 65–67% Trends
DeVonta Smith Over 54.5 Rec Yds (-114) → hit 2/3 (67%)
Jalen Hurts Over 1.5 Pass TD (+134) → hit 2/3 (67%)
Saquon Barkley Anytime TD (-210) → hit 2/3 (67%)
CeeDee Lamb Anytime TD (+145) → hit 2/3 (67%)
George Pickens Over 55.5 Rec Yds (-114) → hit 6/9 (67%)
Jake Ferguson Over 3.5 Receptions (-168) → hit 13/20 (65%)
Dak Prescott Over 243.5 Pass Yds (-114) → hit 13/20 (65%)
Dak Prescott Over 23.5 Completions (+100) → hit 13/20 (65%)
Dak Prescott Over 254.5 Pass+Rush Yds (-114) → hit 13/20 (65%)
🏈 NFL Prop Bets Week 1 – Hit Rates and Picks
💰 NFL Week 1 – 100% RB Streaks
- J. Gibbs: 70+ Rush+Rec Yds ✅ 18/18
- D. Henry: 60+ Rush Yds ✅ 18/18
- R. Dowdle: 20+ Rush Yds ✅ 16/16
- K. Williams: 50+ Rush Yds ✅ 16/16
- A. Kamara: 4+ Receptions ✅ 11/11
- C. Brown: 80+ Rush+Rec Yds ✅ 8/8
- A. Jones: 2+ Receptions ✅ 8/8
- B. Robinson: 60+ Rush Yds ✅ 6/6
- S. Barkley: 90+ Rush+Rec Yds ✅ 6/6
- J. Taylor: 90+ Rush Yds ✅ 5/5
🙌 Wide Receiver Prop Streaks
🔥 100% hit rates
K. Allen: 25+ Yds ➡️ 13/13
C. Ridley: 40+ Yds ➡️ 12/12
A. St. Brown: 5+ Catches ➡️ 11/11
L. McConkey: 50+ Yds ➡️ 11/11
P. Nacua: 5+ Catches ➡️ 10/10
X. Worthy: 40+ Yds ➡️ 10/10
M. Nabers: 50+ Yds ➡️ 10/10
J. Chase: 6+ Catches ➡️ 10/10
A. Thielen: 20+ Yds ➡️ 10/10
D. Adams: 4+ Catches ➡️ 10/10
💪 Quarterback Prop Streaks
🔥 100% hit rates
J. Goff: 200+ Yds ➡️ 10/10
J. Burrow: 250+ Yds ➡️ 9/9
K. Murray: 200+ Yds ➡️ 8/8
B. Nix: 20+ Rush Yds ➡️ 5/5
G. Smith: 5+ Rush Yds ➡️ 4/4
J. Herbert: 225+ Yds ➡️ 4/4
J. Daniels: 200+ Yds ➡️ 3/3
J. Allen: 30+ Rush Yds ➡️ 3/3
J. Flacco: 200+ Yds ➡️ 3/3
S. Rattler: 150+ Yds ➡️ 3/3
🏈 NFL Week 1 100% TD Streaks
J. Jacobs: Anytime TD ✅ 9/9
J. Gibbs: Anytime TD ✅ 6/6
D. Henry: Anytime TD ✅ 4/4
T. McLaurin: Anytime TD ✅ 4/4
J. Hurts: Anytime TD ✅ 3/3
B. Robinson: Anytime TD ✅ 3/3
J. Taylor: Anytime TD ✅ 3/3
A. Brown: Anytime TD ✅ 2/2
A. Jones: Anytime TD ✅ 2/2 vs CHI
J. Chase: Anytime TD ✅ 2/2 vs CLE
