2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
Previous five: 4.4 → latest five: 1.6 targets/game. Change: -63.6%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 10.5 | -115 | -115 |
| B365 | 10.5 | -116 | -116 |
| FD ↗ | 10.5 | -114 | -114 |
| HRB | 10.5 | -115 | -115 |
| CZR | 10.5 | -113 | -115 |
| DK | 10.5 | -108 | -116 |
| MGM ↗ | 24.5 | +190 | — |
| FAN | 10.5 | -120 | -125 |
| Novig ↗ | 10.5 | -113 | -113 |
| PIN | 10.5 | -114 | -114 |
| PP ↗ | 10.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Underdog ↗ | 9.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | NE | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | LAC | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 2026 · W2 | DET | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 2026 · W1 | HOU | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 2025 · W18 | NYJ | 2 | 2 | 24 | 1 |
| 2025 · W17 | PHI | 5 | 5 | 30 | 0 |
| 2025 · W16 | CLE | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| 2025 · W15 | NE | 4 | 3 | 37 | 2 |
| 2025 · W14 | CIN | 7 | 6 | 93 | 0 |
| 2025 · W13 | PIT | 4 | 3 | 28 | 0 |