Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 19.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

6/10 under 19.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

4 quoted books: 18.5–19.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6 → latest five: 5.4 opportunities/game. Change: -10%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-04TB1776
2026-09-25ATL984
2026-09-20NYJ1032
2026-09-13MIN3063
2025-11-02CAR1032
2025-10-27PIT5997
2025-10-19ARI22105
2025-10-12CIN2422
2025-09-29DAL1655
2025-09-21CLE1843

Compare books

draftkings · Over 18.5 (-116)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 18.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 18.5 (-124)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

novig · Over 18.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:23 PM ET

fanduel · Over 19.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:23 PM ET

fanduel · Under 19.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 18.5 (-107)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 18.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 18.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET