No clear lean · Research notes

Over 12.5

3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 12.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.4 → latest five: 3.2 opportunities/game. Change: +33.3%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	TEN	28	2	2
2026-09-27	DAL	31	3	2
2026-09-20	NO	22	9	7
2026-09-13	IND	0	1	0
2025-12-28	GB	7	1	1
2025-12-22	NE	0	2	0
2025-12-07	PIT	18	3	2
2025-11-28	CIN	0	1	0
2025-11-09	MIN	10	2	1
2025-10-31	MIA	9	4	2

Compare books

fanduel · Over 12.5 (-108)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 12.5 (-114)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 12.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:25 PM ET

draftkings · Over 12.5 (-116)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

draftkings · Under 12.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 12.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:25 PM ET

caesars · Under 12.5 (-117)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 12.5 (-122)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET