Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 3.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

8/10 under 3.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

8 quoted books: 3.5–3.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3 → latest five: 5 targets/game. Change: +66.7%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus3.5+110-150
FD ↗3.5+106-140
Novig ↗3.5+123-138
CZR ↗3.5+116-170
DK3.5+121-155
HRB3.5+110-150
B3653.5+125—
FAN3.5+110-180
PIN3.5+106-140
MGM ↗3.5+105-140
Underdog ↗2.5DFS projection · pick’em
Rec / game3.5
Targets24
Target share17%
Catch %58%
Season 2026: 14 rec · 188 yds · red-zone targets 2 (12% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4CLE63741
2026 · W3CIN63601
2026 · W2NE65280
2026 · W1ATL63260
2025 · W13BUF1000
2025 · W12CHI3000
2025 · W11CIN21170
2025 · W10LAC32351
2025 · W9IND2140
2025 · W8GB54741