Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 over 15.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 over 15.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

3 quoted books: 15.5–15.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 4.4 → latest five: 3.6 opportunities/game. Change: -18.2%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for HOU and NE; team changes may affect usage.
Workload moves against this historical trend. This is context, not an eligibility exclusion.
L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	DAL	21	4	3
2026-09-27	IND	15	2	2
2026-09-20	CIN	21	5	3
2026-09-13	BUF	21	2	1
2026-02-08 PO	SEA	21	5	1
2026-01-25 PO	DEN	6	6	1
2026-01-18 PO	HOU	32	5	3
2026-01-12 PO	LAC	42	4	4
2026-01-04	MIA	13	4	2
2025-12-22	BAL	16	3	1

Compare books

fanduel · Over 15.5 (-108)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 15.5 (-108)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 15.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 15.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 15.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 15.5 (-122)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET