Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

5/5 under 1.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 under 1.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

7 quoted books: 1.5–1.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.8 → latest five: 2.8 targets/game. Change: 0%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	1.5	-115	-115
FD ↗	1.5	-114	-114
CZR ↗	1.5	-120	-110
DK	1.5	-122	-105
FAN	1.5	-110	-140
B365	1.5	-135	—
HRB	1.5	-115	-115
Novig ↗	1.5	-111	+104
PIN	1.5	-114	-114
PP ↗	1.5	DFS projection · pick’em
Underdog ↗	1.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Rec / game1.0

Targets9

Target share8%

Catch %33%

Season 2026: 3 rec · 80 yds · red-zone targets 1 (6% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	NE	4	1	3	0
2026 · W2	DET	3	1	43	1
2026 · W1	HOU	2	1	34	1
2025 · W18	NYJ	3	1	1	0
2025 · W17	PHI	2	1	12	0
2025 · W16	CLE	1	1	2	0
2025 · W15	NE	2	1	16	0
2025 · W12	HOU	4	2	21	0
2025 · W11	TB	5	2	17	0
2025 · W6	ATL	2	2	60	0